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Am J Public Health. 2002 Dec;92(12):1982-7.

Childhood vaccine purchase costs in the public sector: past trends, future expectations.

Author information

1
Child Health Evaluation and Research (CHEAR) Unit, Division of General PediatricsUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor 48109, USA. mattdav@umich.edu

Abstract

OBJECTIVES:

We examined recent public-sector trends in childhood vaccine costs and estimated future costs.

METHODS:

We used public-sector price data to calculate vaccine purchase cost per child for children aged 0 to 6 years from 1975 to 2001. We fit a linear regression model to historical data and then used it to project costs per child from 2002 to 2020, adjusted to 2001 US dollars.

RESULTS:

Controlling for inflation, the cost of vaccine purchase per child climbed from $10 in 1975 to $385 in 2001. The cost of vaccine purchase in the year 2020 following recommendation of 7 additional vaccines is estimated to be $1225 per child (95% confidence interval = $891, $1559).

CONCLUSIONS:

The cost per child for recommended vaccines at public-sector prices may triple over the next 2 decades. These projections have implications for vaccine financing at federal and state levels.

PMID:
12453820
PMCID:
PMC1447363
DOI:
10.2105/ajph.92.12.1982
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
Free PMC Article

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