Skip to main content
Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
Am Heart J. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2015 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as:
PMCID: PMC4269555
NIHMSID: NIHMS611576
PMID: 25173533

Addressing Barriers to Optimal Oral Anticoagulation Use and Persistence Among Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Proceedings, Washington, DC, December 3–4, 2012

Paul L. Hess, MD,* Michael J. Mirro, MD, Hans-Christoph Diener, MD,§ John W. Eikelboom, MD, Sana M. Al-Khatib, MD, MHS,* Elaine M. Hylek, MD, MHS, Hayden B. Bosworth, PhD,*# Bernard J. Gersh, MB, ChB, DPhil,** Daniel E. Singer, MD,†† Greg Flaker, MD,‡‡ Jessica L. Mega, MD, MPH,§§ Eric D. Peterson, MD, MPH,* John S. Rumsfeld, MD, PhD,‖‖ Benjamin A. Steinberg, MD,* Ajay K. Kakkar, MB, BS, PhD,¶¶ Robert M. Califf, MD,* and Christopher B. Granger, MD*, on behalf of the Atrial Fibrillation Think-Tank Participants

Abstract

Approximately half of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and with risk factors for stroke are not treated with oral anticoagulation (OAC), whether it be with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) or novel OACs (NOACs); and of those treated, many discontinue treatment. Leaders from academia, government, industry, and professional societies convened in Washington, DC, on December 3–4, 2012, to identify barriers to optimal OAC use and adherence and to generate potential solutions. Participants identified a broad range of barriers, including knowledge gaps about stroke risk and the relative risks and benefits of anticoagulant therapies; lack of awareness regarding the potential use of NOAC agents for VKA-unsuitable patients; lack of recognition of expanded eligibility for OAC; lack of availability of reversal agents and the difficulty of anticoagulant effect monitoring for the NOACs; concerns with the bleeding risk of anticoagulant therapy, especially with the NOACs and particularly in the setting of dual antiplatelet therapy; suboptimal time in therapeutic range for VKA; and costs and insurance coverage. Proposed solutions were to increase awareness of stroke risk as well as the benefits and risks of OAC use via educational initiatives and feedback mechanisms, to develop and disseminate shared decision-making tools, to better define the role of VKA in the current therapeutic era including eligibility and ineligibility for different anticoagulant therapies, to identify NOAC reversal agents and monitoring strategies and make knowledge regarding their use publicly available, to minimize the duration of dual antiplatelet therapy and concomitant OAC where possible, to improve time in therapeutic range for VKA, to leverage observational datasets to refine understanding of OAC use and outcomes in general practice, and to better align health system incentives.

Introduction

Approximately 3 million US adults have been diagnosed with atrial fibrillation (AF).1,2 Registries have consistently shown that about half of these patients with risk factors for stroke are not treated with oral anticoagulation (OAC).3,4 Among patients treated with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs), the quality of anticoagulation control is often poor,5 and many permanently discontinue treatment.6 Assuming a 5% annual stroke rate among untreated patients and a two thirds reduction in stroke with warfarin or the novel OACs (NOACs), approximately 50,000 strokes per year are preventable in the US alone.7

VKAs have recognized limitations. To discuss these limitations and key challenges regarding the development of alternatives, stakeholders from academia, government, and industry convened July 25–27, 2005.8 Aligned with the principles laid out in that meeting, randomized clinical trials established, and have led to regulatory approval of, three NOACs that are at least as or more efficacious than VKA for stroke prevention (Figure 1).911 But even with the introduction of dabigatran to the market, overall rates of OAC for AF have not increased.12 To address continued barriers to OAC use, including warfarin, and to propose solutions, a second meeting took place in Washington, DC, on December 3–4, 2012. Leaders from academia, government, industry, and professional societies (Appendix Table 1) were challenged to identify barriers to effective use of OAC and to develop corresponding recommendations to surmount them. Results of a trial demonstrating the efficacy of a fourth NOAC, edoxaban, were released after this meeting and were therefore not specifically addressed in the discussion.13 Nonetheless, many of the issues considered also apply to edoxaban. The aim of this manuscript is to summarize these think-tank discussions and recommendations (Table 1).

An external file that holds a picture, illustration, etc.
Object name is nihms611576f1.jpg

Efficacy (Intention-to-Treat) and Safety of Novel Oral Anticoagulants Available in the United States

Table 1

Barriers to Oral Anticoagulation (OAC) Use and Corresponding Recommendations to Improve Treatment Rates

BarriersRecommendations
Knowledge gaps about stroke riskIncrease awareness of stroke risk and of benefits of OAC use via multifaceted educational initiatives
Lack of understanding about why half of patients with AF and risk of stroke are not treated with OACsSystematically study reasons patients are not on OAC and develop individualized approaches to intervene, where appropriate
Lack of appreciation that aspirin has little ability to prevent stroke in people with AFHighlight data showing that OAC is far more effective than aspirin at preventing stroke in AF
Lack of data collection and feedback in clinical practiceDevelop tools to identify patients with AF, risk factors for stroke, and use of OAC, with on-line feedback to providers
Lack of appreciation that NOACs can be used for many VKA-unsuitable patientsClarify which VKA-unsuitable patients can be treated with NOACs, and define the current role of VKA including where NOACs should not be used
Lack of appreciation of expanding eligibility for OACBetter define OAC eligibility and ineligibility, and benefits and risks for patients who have a single CHADS2 or CHA2DS2VASc risk factor
Lack of availability of reversal agents and anticoagulant effect monitoring for NOACsIdentify and develop NOAC reversal agents and monitoring strategies and organize and disseminate knowledge regarding their use; emphasize the importance of prevention of serious bleeding as the most important way to prevent bleeding-related complications
Concern about bleeding risk of OAC in the setting of dual antiplatelet therapyMinimize the duration of dual antiplatelet therapy and concomitant OAC use
Concern about bleeding risk of OAC with concomitant aspirinLimit use of aspirin to patients with a clear indication, such as recent acute coronary syndrome
Lack of recognition of the short half-lives and short anticoagulant effects of NOACsEducational efforts to distinguish management concerns of procedures and bleeding with NOACS compared to VKAs
Uncertainty about practical issues in use of NOACsDevelop and disseminate simple tools, including web-based ones, to guide safe and effective use of NOACs
Lack of health system level understanding of and efforts to improve quality of AF careDevelop systems to measure, feedback, guide intervention, and incentivize optimal use of OAC at systems level; advocate use of OAC performance measures with feedback to providers and health systems as appropriate
Concern about suboptimal time in therapeutic range for VKAPromote organized, high quality anticoagulation services for patients on warfarin
Concern over spontaneous reports of bleeding eventsContinue monitoring and reporting of OAC adverse events in a systemic way (rather than sporadic reports with no denominator) that provides accurate estimates of risk
Costs of NOACs and complexity and lack of understanding of insurance coverageCatalogue available costs, assistance programs, coverage programs

Abbreviations: NOAC = novel oral anticoagulation; VKA = vitamin K antagonist

Barriers to Oral Anticoagulant Initiation and Persistent Use

1. Lack of awareness of stroke risk and the risks and benefits of oral anticoagulation

At least one third of patients diagnosed with AF are unaware of the associated stroke risk.14,15 Although awareness of stroke risk is increasing among physicians,16 OAC use varies considerably according to specialty, with primary care physicians prescribing OAC less commonly than cardiologists.17 Unfortunately, time during outpatient clinical encounters is often limited, and AF may be only one of several comorbidities to be addressed in any given office visit, particularly by general practitioners. The decision to initiate an OAC and the associated education of patients and family members around the use of OAC takes considerable time and resources. Further, there may be differential knowledge of the relative risks and benefits of different anticoagulation therapies,18 particularly with the recent approvals of NOACs. These factors may partially explain the observed difference in OAC prescription rates among specialties.

2. Lack of awareness of the potential use of novel oral anticoagulants for vitamin K antagonist (VKA)-unsuitable patients

NOACs have several advantages over VKAs, the most salient of which is lower risk of intracranial hemorrhage and hemorrhagic stroke found for all of the NOACs. Others include lack of need for therapeutic monitoring and a modest but worthwhile reduction in mortality found in several clinical trials. Having been in use for more than sixty years, VKA nonetheless remains the dominant treatment for stroke prevention in AF. In the modern therapeutic era, patient selection factors for warfarin therapy compared with NOACs may not be immediately apparent. Moreover, concern over use of VKAs – and often over issues specific to VKA therapy such as the need for close INR monitoring – is a common reason for not using OAC of any type. Historically, a variety of reasons not to use OAC have been put forward.18 The misperception that aspirin is sufficiently effective for stroke prevention and substantially safer than the novel drugs appears to be a significant contributor to the problem of OAC undertreatment.

3. Lack of recognition of expanded eligibility for oral anticoagulation

The improved side effect profile of NOACs over VKAs may alter OAC eligibility. In fact, guidelines have evolved to recommend OAC for patients with at least 2 CHA2DS2-VASc risk factors, and to be preferred or considered for patients with at least one CHA2DS2-VASc risk factor.19,20 Further, patients not commonly thought to be at high risk for stroke may nonetheless derive benefit from the NOACs, which have lower risk of hemorrhagic stroke and intracranial hemorrhage.21,22

The threshold for OAC initiation is determined by the benefit of treatment balanced against the risk of adverse events, notably serious bleeding. The most recent study comparing warfarin to antiplatelet therapy, ACTIVE-W, found that warfarin had a favorable risk-benefit balance among patients with a CHADS2 score of 1.23 Newer data strongly indicate that even relatively low-risk patients with AF benefit substantially from anticoagulant therapy, best shown to date with apixaban.24 Patients at lower risk of stroke with a CHADS2 score of 1 made up as much as one third of the population in several of the NOAC clinical trials.10,11 In the AVERROES trial, patients with CHADS2 score of 0 or 1 had significant relative and absolute reductions in stroke with apixaban versus aspirin (6/1004 (0.54%/year) versus 16/1022 (1.41%/year), hazard ratio (HR) 0.38, 95% confidence interval (CI 0.14–0.93) but a comparable risk of major bleeding (6/1004 (0.54%/year) versus 6/1022 (0.53%/year), HR 1.02, 95% CI −0.32–3.26).25 However, neither professional guidelines nor the Food and Drug Administration (FDA)- approved labeling support initiating OAC among AF patients with a CHADS2 score of 0, and the most recent European and American College of Cardiology/ American Heart Association guidelines recommend no antithrombotic therapy for patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0.19,20

Improving stroke risk stratification could allow identification of patients for treatment who were not previously thought to benefit from OAC. The discriminatory power of the CHADS2 score is moderate,26 suggesting that its use may result in patients whose true stroke is low receiving OAC, while those with a relatively high stroke risk may not. Data show that accounting for female sex, age 65 to 74 years, and vascular disease (as in the CHA2DS2-VASc score) adds discriminatory power,27,28 particularly among those with a CHADS2 score of 0 or 1.29 Cardiac biomarkers, including high sensitivity troponin and N-terminal proB-type natriuretic peptide, as well as creatinine clearance may further improve prognostic power.3032

4. Lack of reversal agents and lack of ability to monitor effects of novel oral anticoagulants

Clinicians are uncomfortable with the absence of good anticoagulation reversal strategies for the NOACs. Concern exists regarding life-threatening hemorrhage on NOACs, particularly in patients requiring invasive procedures and especially when those are needed emergently.33 Monitoring of NOAC treatment effect may be desirable in these situations, in the event of an overdose, and in advance of planned procedures such as cardioversion when there are questions about drug compliance and concern with the thrombosis risk associated with inconsistent anticoagulation. Unfortunately, reversal options and monitoring strategies and how they may inform care are not well-defined.34,35

5. Bleeding risk of oral anticoagulants, particularly in the setting of dual antiplatelet therapy

Dual antiplatelet therapy (including following coronary stent placement) and OAC are indicated for acute coronary syndromes and AF, respectively. The combination of disease processes poses a therapeutic dilemma, as bleeding risk is significantly elevated when antiplatelet and antithrombotic therapies are used simultaneously. Compared with aspirin alone, triple therapy with aspirin, VKA and clopidogrel increases bleeding fourfold.36 When prasugrel rather than clopidogrel is used, bleeding rates may be even higher.37 There is a similar increase in risk when adding a NOAC to aspirin and clopidogrel, with a 3-to 4-fold increased risk in major bleeding events.38,39 The use of ticagrelor or prasugrel rather than clopidogrel might be expected to further elevate bleeding risk in this setting, although empiric data are lacking. More data on these issues are needed to inform clinical decision making.

6. Suboptimal time in therapeutic range (TTR) for VKA

VKA has a narrow therapeutic window, and the amount of time spent in therapeutic range (TTR) varies. Although cause and effect is unproven in the absence of randomized data, low TTR is generally associated with increased risk of bleeding and of stroke;40 conversely, in some datasets, patients with a high TTR are more prone to bleeding, presumably related to higher TTR being mainly due to less time in sub therapeutic range.41 Achieving a higher TTR, and possibly lower event rates, is possible through regular INR monitoring with timely and appropriate dose adjustment.42 However, monitoring can be burdensome for many patients, particularly those who do not have ready access to a medical facility. The inconvenience of monitoring may lead patients to decide against starting VKA, to decreased adherence, or to discontinue treatment altogether.

7. Fear of bleeding events with novel oral anticoagulants

VKA-associated bleeding is common in clinical practice. By contrast, no information was available regarding bleeding rates associated with NOACs in general practice until recently, although bleeding rates appeared generally similar to warfarin in clinical trials of NOACs.43 Following the approval of dabigatran in October 2010, a substantial number of reports of serious and fatal bleeding events were submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration’s Adverse Event Reporting System. The number of reports of bleeding associated with dabigatran was considerably higher than the number of reports with warfarin. These findings contrasted with those of a large controlled trial, Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulation Therapy (RE-LY), which showed that bleeding rates with dabigatran 150 mg twice a day and warfarin were similar, and bleeding was less with dabigatran at the 110 mg twice a day dose. Concern regarding dabigatran-associated bleeding rippled through the medical literature and the lay press alike. Because adverse drug effects that were not detected in clinical trials can appear when a drug is broadly used, regulatory authorities have a responsibility to understand and respond to such concerns. Detailed review of the spontaneous reports did not identify any unknown risk factors for bleeding, and dabigatran was generally used in accordance with its FDA label. FDA responded with careful analyses of insurance-claim and administrative data from the Mini-Sentinel database, which has the advantage, compared to spontaneous reports, of a clearly defined denominator of patients on dabigatran and on warfarin as well as a systematic report of all observed, clinically significant bleeding events associated with each drug. Dabigatran-associated bleeding rates were clearly not increased compared with warfarin, and in fact bleeding on dabigatran appeared similar to if not lower than bleeding on warfarin.44

8. Costs and insurance coverage

The total costs of care using NOACs compared with warfarin may not be very different.45 While costs of NOACs themselves are substantially higher than VKA, savings associated with NOACs occur in the clinical sphere with fewer intracranial bleeding events and a reduced need for monitoring. As a result, dabigatran has been recommended as a therapeutic option for AF patients in the United Kingdom.45 In the United States, VKAs and associated monitoring are affordable for most patients with regard to “out-of-pocket” costs, but NOACs are less so. Whether NOACs are included in various formularies and to what degree their costs are covered is variable. The tiered structure of Medicare Part D, for example, may not fully reflect the clinical benefits (and related health care system savings) of the products. In the instances in which a NOAC is covered, out-of-pocket costs are at times difficult to ascertain prior to filling a prescription. Moreover, with the ‘donut hole,’ patients may be held accountable for a greater amount of the cost of NOACs depending on the costs of their other drugs. Finally, coverage for NOACs (and individual patient’s ability to pay) may vary over time, leading to transitions to VKA and associated adverse outcomes.46

9. Other potential barriers to oral anticoagulant use

Additional barriers to oral anticoagulant use include drug-drug interactions, unwanted side effects such as gastritis or potentially myocardial infarction,10 or a requirement that drugs be administered with food. Although the monitoring needs for VKA are generally thought of as a negative factor, discouraging use, regular monitoring measures adherence and the interface with expert health care providers might improve adherence. In the case of the NOAC, there is a need for alternative strategies to assess and enhance adherence.

A major issue highlighted at this meeting was the lack of clear explanation of the failure of many patients with risk factors for stroke to be treated with OAC, and the lack of a framework to categorize these patients in a way that can inform treatment improvement initiatives.

Recommendations

A series of recommendations was developed around the need to better define why AF patients are not being treated with OAC, to develop methods to measure performance and provide feedback, to improve education with practical guidance for safe and effective use of the novel oral anticoagulants, to leverage coverage and health policy opportunities, and to test and implement interventions at a health system level. Many uncertainties call for additional research. Specific recommendations are provided below.

1. Define reasons for oral anticoagulant underuse classified in ways that can guide intervention to improve use

Although numerous studies have documented that only about half of AF patients with risk factors for stroke are treated with an OAC in various health care settings, the specific reasons are less well known. There was consensus in the working group that better understanding of why so many patients are not being treated is a high priority. Challenges around safe and effective use of warfarin, such as documented or perceived inability to comply with monitoring, is a commonly given reason. Multiple reasons are often reported in individual patients. Patient and/or physician preference for antiplatelet therapy is a frequently cited reason, but this presumably reflects a lack of understanding of how inferior anti-platelet therapy is compared to OAC. Concern with potential bleeding is an important factor, and the lack of reversal agents for the NOACs is a widely expressed concern among physicians even though this may be less of a problem due to their relatively short half-lives. Reasons to withhold OAC therapy could be categorized in two domains: according to whether it is a patient, a provider, or a system level reason; and according to whether it is appropriate, inappropriate, or of uncertain appropriateness (Figure 2).

An external file that holds a picture, illustration, etc.
Object name is nihms611576f2.jpg

Reasons for Unsuitability for Oral Anticoagulation Among Patients with AF and CHADS ≥1 and/or CHADS-VASc ≥2

*Applicable to VKA only.

2. Increase the awareness of stroke risk and the value of oral anticoagulant use via impactful educational initiatives

Patient educational efforts should focus on the threat of preventable stroke despite AF’s often asymptomatic nature. Educational initiatives should target a broad array of physician groups involved in the management of AF patients. To maximize the yield of patient-provider interactions, the development of decision aids for shared decision-making,47 multifaceted educational materials, and point-of-care decision support is needed. Although it is logical to focus on educating cardiologists, education of primary care physicians, hospitalists, emergency physicians, and advanced practice providers will be essential to guide improved care. Case-based studies, interactive teaching methods, education embedded into patient care environments, and assessment of education effectiveness are important elements of improvement efforts. Identifying barriers to use and opportunities to guide optimal use of OACs at a health system level is an important priority.

3. Collect data and feedback performance regarding oral anticoagulant use among eligible patients to providers

“If you don’t measure it, you can’t improve it” is an appropriate adage for anticoagulation for AF. An important question is defining who should be treated with OAC. While this seems simple on the surface, identification of such patients using electronic health records in the United States has been challenging. Although the CHADS2 risk factors are easy to measure, they may not be easy to assess in an electronic medical record without specifically collecting information on whether or not they are present. A crucial question, as yet unanswered, is, “How much AF is enough to warrant treatment?” The trials studying anticoagulants have generally included patients with a clinical diagnosis of AF who were either in AF at the time of enrollment or who had two documented episodes two weeks apart. Six minute episodes of silent AF in older patients with cardiac devices are associated with a 2.5 fold risk of subsequent stroke,48 but more studies are needed to determine if OAC is beneficial for these patients.

To measure performance in clinical care, patients with AF must be identified, the presence of stroke risk factors must be assessed, and the use of OAC and presence of contraindications should be determined.49 Several quality improvement initiatives addressing this are underway, including the American College of Cardiology’s PINNACLE-AF registry,50 the Outcomes Registry for Better Informed Treatment of AF (ORBIT-AF),51 the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD (GARFIELD) registry,52 and the American Heart Association’s Get With The Guidelines program.53 Traditional registries, while helpful in assessing how populations are being treated, are not well suited to providing measurement and feedback in real time to improve care for individual patients. Much more work needs to be done to enhance measurement, feedback, and broad interventions to improve the use of OAC, including the use of appropriate electronic tools and incentives at the health system level. A data warehouse in a health system could be used to identify candidates for OAC treatment and follow-up on a system level rather than solely relying on individual physicians to make appropriate decisions in real-time. The increasing availability of electronic health records represents a rich opportunity for broad, real-time assessment and feedback of therapeutic decisions and clinical outcomes. Improvement in standardized electronic decision support tools may enhance the point of care use of OAC. OAC adherence may be enhanced electronically by providing reminders to patients on their mobile devices that their prescription refill time has lapsed. These strategies, in conjunction with data analytics of the health system data warehouse, may provide a true “safety net” for select patients.

4. Define who should receive vitamin K antagonists rather than novel oral anticoagulants

Patients who have been on warfarin for a significant period of time, are on a stable dose with stable INRs, and can comply with frequent monitoring, may prefer to stay on warfarin despite a higher risk of intracranial hemorrhage. Similarly, a NOAC may not be suitable for patients with advanced renal disease, e.g. creatinine clearance < 25 to 30 ml/min. Rare patients may develop intolerance to NOACs but can tolerate VKA. NOACs are approved for use in “non-valvular” AF. The term “non-valvular atrial fibrillation,” however, needs further definition, since more than one quarter of patients in some of the trials of NOACs had moderate or severe valvular abnormalities, with consistent treatment effects in that subgroup.54 The novel agents should not be used in patients with significant mitral stenosis (who were excluded from the trials) or with mechanical prosthetic valves (for which the novel agent tested was neither safe nor effective).55 Finally, out-of-pocket expenses may be substantially less with warfarin compared with a NOAC (Table 2), and higher cost will continue to be an important barrier for many patients.

Table 2

Reasons for Use of Vitamin K Antagonists (Rather Than Novel Oral Anticoagulants) in AF

Patient stable on warfarin with high time in therapeutic range and patient decision to forgo the reduced risk of intracranial hemorrhage
Mechanical prosthetic valves
Clinically significant mitral stenosis
Severe renal insufficiency
Inability to afford novel agents

5. Identify NOAC reversal agents and monitoring strategies

It is important to recognize that while vitamin K, fresh frozen plasma, and prothrombin complex concentrates reverse the coagulation test effects of VKAs, their effectiveness on reducing bleeding and its consequences is much less well established. Furthermore, data regarding risk of NOAC-associated periprocedural bleeding are reassuring, including data from the RE-LY trial showing similar or lower serious bleeding with dabigatran than with warfarin, even among patients undergoing emergent procedures.56 This may be due, in part, to their shorter half-life in comparison with VKA such that the effect is largely gone 1 to 2 days after the last dose. Nonetheless, research to identify ways to quickly reverse the effect of NOACs and monitor their anticoagulant effect is needed and is underway.57,58 Andexanet alpha, for example, is a recombinant protein that functions as a factor Xa decoy, and it has shown promise with regard to reversing effects of oral factor Xa inhibitors.59 A monoclonal antibody fragment antidote for dabitatran is under development.60 As more data become available, there will be a value in making NOAC reversal strategies widely interpretable and accessible, perhaps analogous to the poison control model.61 A website or hotline to provide guidance on this and other practical issues regarding all NOACs may be useful. It will be important to engage hematology specialists and to demonstrate how institutional protocols can help guide care. Along these lines, reviews providing practical guidance are currently available.35,62,63 Helping providers deal with every-day practical issues in the use of the novel drugs is important in enhancing their safe and effective use.

6. Minimize the duration of dual antiplatelet therapy and concomitant OAC use

Among AF patients undergoing percutaneous coronary interventions, a bare metal stent is preferable to a drug-eluting stent in the absence of a clear need for the latter. Among patients with a significant bleeding diathesis and acceptably low stroke risk, consideration can be given to temporarily suspending OAC and resuming it when an antiplatelet agent is no longer required. Guidelines have encouraged avoiding aspirin when using VKA, unless there is a clear indication, i.e. within a year of a myocardial infarction. Such advice is likely to be applicable to the novel agents as well. Avoiding aspirin may result in important reductions in bleeding.

7. Improve time in therapeutic range for patients on warfarin

Organized anticoagulation services have been shown to improve care and outcomes for patients on VKA. Scheduling and ensuring appropriate follow-up is part of this systematic approach. INR checks should generally occur at least monthly among those on a stable dose and more often among those requiring dosing adjustments.49 Automated telephone or electronic appointment reminders may aid in the process. Alternatively, use of point-of-care INR devices may also improve TTR. In a randomized clinical trial, INR self-testing was comparable to in-office venous blood draws with regard to bleeding and stroke rates.64 The safety of self-monitoring has been demonstrated in several other clinical trials.65 Accordingly, the Veterans Affairs healthcare system recently revised their anticoagulation policy to allow self-testing in place of venous plasma testing. If outcomes are improved, this strategy may be adopted by other healthcare systems.

8. Leverage observational datasets to refine understanding of oral anticoagulant use and outcomes (effectiveness and safety) in general practice

Using the Mini-Sentinel database, the FDA has demonstrated its ability to assess the rate and impact of spontaneous bleeding reports in a timely way.44 As electronic health records become more widespread and interconnected, this process is expected to become more useful and safety signals may even be detected in real-time. The large number of bleeding events attributed to dabigatran versus warfarin in spontaneous reports to the FDA was thought to be driven largely by a heightened awareness of the dabigatran bleeding because of the drug’s novelty, leading to a larger fraction of events that were reported for dabigatran compared with warfarin, a familiar drug known to cause bleeding.66 Such a reporting bias is always possible in a spontaneous reporting system. As noted, the mini-Sentinel sites, including all parts of the health care system, did not have such a bias. A similar effect may be observed when other NOACs are used more widely.

9. Better align health system incentives

The full set of patient outcomes over the care cycle should be weighed against total costs for the patient’s condition, rather than the costs borne by a single payor. Educational programs should be designed that include systems improvement to measure, provide feedback on, provide tools for, and establish incentives to guide optimal OAC for AF. An important step is to be able to identify the AF population with electronic health records. A system is needed to categorize patients not being treated in a way that assesses their risks and can lead to specific interventions that will improve their care. The goal is to enhance value for patients, rather than simply focusing on cost containment. Patients with AF should be fully educated regarding risk of stroke and its consequences. Further, out-of-pocket expenses of OACs in various formularies should be made clear. With therapeutic benefit and costs in mind, patients will be better equipped to make appropriate, informed decisions regarding whether to use OAC and what insurance coverage best suits them. An important opportunity will be to advocate for use of OAC performance measures49 with feedback to providers and health systems as appropriate.

10. Define other indications for oral anticoagulants

Further research is needed regarding the risk of subclinical or silent AF and the role of OAC to modify that risk, the risk and benefit of OAC with antiplatelet therapy following acute coronary syndrome, and about many of the practical issues regarding OAC use around the time of procedures and management of bleeding.

Conclusions

It is estimated that 50,000 preventable strokes occur annually in the United States alone related to suboptimal anticoagulation care for AF. In view of the opportunity to improve care and public health, interventions to improve OAC use are needed at the levels of patients, providers, and health care systems. Patients and providers would benefit from increased awareness of stroke risk and the effects of treatment, which may be achieved with the implementation of educational initiatives and feedback mechanisms. A better-delineated role of VKA in the current therapeutic era, better-defined OAC eligibility and ineligibility, increased knowledge and dissemination of practical advice on safe and effective use of OAC, and better evidence to guide antithrombotic therapy with AF and coronary stenting may help health care providers make more informed decisions with their patients. Finally, improvements can be made from a system standpoint, including supporting higher quality use of warfarin, measuring and feeding back quality of care, and better aligning incentives in integrated health systems.

Acknowledgements

We give special thanks to Robert Temple, MD, for his important contributions to this manuscript.

Appendix

Table 1

Think-tank Meeting Participants

Gerald Abate, MD
Daiicho Sankyo
Sana Al-Khatib, MD
Duke University
Nhi Beasley
Food and Drug Administration
Mary Elllen Beliveau
American College of Cardiology
Hayden Bosworth, PhD
Duke University
Robert Califf, MD
Duke University
Paul Chang, MD
Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Andreas Clemens, MD
Boehringer Ingelheim
Michael Cuffe, MD, MBA
Hospital Corporation of America Physician
Services
Susan Czajkowski, PhD
National Institutes of Health
William Daley, MD, MPH
Sanofi-Aventis
Hans-Christoph Diener, MD, PhD
Essen University Hospital
Flavia Dietrich, MD
Bristol-Myers-Squibb
Preston Dunnmon, MD, MBA
Food and Drug Administration
John Eikelboom, MBBS, MSc
McMaster Universitiy
Fred Fiedorek, MD
Bristol Myers-Squibb
Larry Fields, MD
Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Avi Fischer, MD
St. Jude Medical
Tara Fish
Thrombosis Research Institute
Greg Flaker, MD
University of Missouri
Bernard Gersh, MB, ChB, DPhil
Mayo Clinic
Willis D. Gradison, Jr.
Duke University
Christopher Granger, MD
Duke University
Laura Lee Hall, PhD
American College of Physicians
Jeff Hamilton, MS
Daiichi Sankyo
Michael Hanna, MD
Bristol Myers-Squibb
Paul Hess, MD
Duke University
Elaine Hylek, MD, MPH
Boston University
Uchenna Iloeje, MD, MPH
Bristol Myers-Squibb
Ajay Kakkar, MBBS, PhD
Thrombosis Research Institute
Karin Kraska, PharmD
Daiicho Sankyo
Hans Lanz, MD
Daiichi Sankyo
Mark Lewis
Boehringer Ingelheim
Srijoy Mahapatra, MD
St. Jude Medical
Josephine Martin, PhD
St. Jude Medical
Jessica L. Mega, MD, MPH
Harvard Medical School
Michael Mirro, MD
Parkview Health System
Marelle Molbert
Duke University
Louise Morgan, MSN
American Heart Association
Lorenz Muller
Daiichi Sankyo
Christopher Nessel, MD
Janssen Research & Development, LLC
Eric Peterson, MD, MPH
Duke University
Mayme Lou Roettig, RN, MSN
Duke University
Martin Rose, MD
Food and Drug Administration
John Rumsfeld, MD, PhD
Veterans Health Administration
Janet Schnee, MD
Boehringer Ingelheim
Nils Schoof, MD
Boehringer Ingelheim
Kevin Schulman, MD
Duke University
Monica Shah, MD
National Institutes of Health
Daniel W. Singer, MD
Harvard Medical School
John Smith, MD, PhD
Boehringer Ingelheim
Benjamin Steinberg, MD
Duke University
Nusrath Sultana
St. Jude Medical
Robert Temple, MD
Food and Drug Administration
Ellis Unger, MD
Food and Drug Administration
Martin van Eickels, MD
Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peter Wildgoose, PhD
Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Robert Wolf, MD
Bristol Myers-Squibb

Footnotes

Publisher's Disclaimer: This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final citable form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

References

1. Go AS, Hylek EM, Phillips KA, et al. Prevalence of diagnosed atrial fibrillation in adults; national implications for rhythm management and stroke prevention: the AnTicoagulation and Risk factors In Atrial fibrillation (ATRIA) study. JAMA. 2001;285:2370–2375. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
2. Go AS, Mozaffarian D, Roger VL, et al. Heart disease and stroke statistics--2013 update: a report from the American Heart Association. Circulation. 2013;127:e6–e245. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
3. Ogilvie IM, Newton N, Welner SA, et al. Underuse of oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review. Am J Med. 2010;123:638–645. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
4. Piccini JP, Hernandez AF, Zhao X, et al. Quality of care for atrial fibrillation among patients hospitalized for heart failure. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2009;54:1280–1289. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
5. Connolly SJ, Pogue J, Eikelboom J, et al. Benefit of oral anticoagulant over antiplatelet therapy in atrial fibrillation depends on the quality of international normalized ratio control achieved by centers and countries as measured by time in therapeutic range. Circulation. 2008;118:2029–2037. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
6. Zalesak M, Siu K, Francis K, et al. Higher persistence in newly diagnosed nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients treated with dabigatran versus warfarin. Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2013;6:567–574. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
7. AF Investigators. Risk factors for stroke and efficacy of antithrombotic therapy in atrial fibrillation. Arch Intern Med. 1994;154:1449–1457. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
8. Jackson K, Gersh BJ, Stockbridge N, et al. Antithrombotic drug development for atrial fibrillation: proceedings, Washington, DC, July 25–27,2005. Am Heart J. 2008;155:829–840. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
9. Patel MR, Mahaffey KW, Garg J, et al. Rivaroxaban versus warfarin in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. N Engl J Med. 2011;365:883–891. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
10. Connolly SJ, Ezekowitz MD, Yusuf S, et al. Dabigatran versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation. N Engl J Med. 2009;361:1139–1151. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
11. Granger CB, Alexander JH, McMurray JJV, et al. Apixaban versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation. N Engl J Med. 2011;365:981–992. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
12. Kirley K, Qato DM, Kornfield R, et al. National trends in oral anticoagulant use in the United States, 2007 to 2011. Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2012;5:615–621. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
13. Giugliano RP, Ruff CT, Braunwald E, et al. Edoxaban versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation. N Engl J Med. 2013;369:2093–2004. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
14. Lip GY, Kamath S, Jafri M. Ethnic differences in patient perceptions of atrial fibrillation and anticoagulation therapy: the West Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Project. Stroke. 2002;33:238–242. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
15. Harwell TS, Blades LL, Oser CS, et al. Perceived risk for developing stroke among older adults. Prev Med. 2005;41:791–794. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
16. Aliot E, Breithardt G, Brugada J, et al. An international survey of physician and patient understanding, perception, and attitudes to atrial fibrillation and its contribution to cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality. Europace. 2010;12:626–633. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
17. Turakhia MP, Hoang DD, Xu X, et al. Differences and trends in stroke prevention anticoagulation in primary care vs cardiology specialty management of new atrial fibrillation: The Retrospective Evaluation and Assessment of Therapies in AF (TREAT-AF) study. Am Heart J. 2013;165:93–101. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
18. Devereaux PJ, Anderson DR, Gardner MJ, et al. Differences between perspectives of physicians and patients on anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation: observational study. BMJ. 2001;323:1218–1222. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
19. Camm AJ, Lip GY, De Caterina R, et al. 2012 focused update of the ESC guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation: an update of the 2010 ESC guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation. developed with the special contribution of the European Heart Rhythm Association. Eur Heart J. 2012;33:2719–2747. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
20. January CT, Wann LS, Alpert JS, et al. 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS guideline for the management of patients with atrial fibrillation: A report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines and the Heart Rhythm Society. Circulation. 2014 Mar 28; Epub. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
21. Eckman MH, Singer DE, Rosand J, Greenberg SM. Moving the tipping point: the decision to anticoagulate patients with atrial fibrillation. Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2011;4:14–21. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
22. del Conde I, Halperin JL. Ineligibility for anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation. Am J Med. 2013;126:105–111. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
23. Healey JS, Hart RG, Pogue J, et al. Risks and benefits of oral anticoagulation compared with clopidogrel plus aspirin in patients with atrial fibrillation according to stroke risk: the Atrial fibrillation Clopidogrel Trial With Irbesartan for prevention of Vascular Events (ACTIVE-W) Stroke. 2008;39:1482–1486. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
24. Connolly SJ, Eikelboom J, Joyner C, et al. Apixaban in patients with atrial fibrillation. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:806–817. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
25. Lip GY, Connolly S, Yusuf S, et al. Modification of outcomes with aspirin or apixaban in relation to CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores in patients with atrial fibrillation: a secondary analysis of the AVERROES study. Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol. 2013;6:31–38. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
26. Wang TJ, Massaro JM, Levy D, et al. A risk score for predicting stroke or death in individuals with new-onset atrial fibrillation in the community: the Framingham Heart Study. JAMA. 2003;290:1049–1056. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
27. Lip GY, Nieuwlaat R, Pisters R, Lane DA, Crijns HJ. Refining clinical risk stratification for predicting stroke and thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation using a novel risk factor-based approach: The Euro Heart Survey on Atrial Fibrillation. Chest. 2010;137:263–272. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
28. Friberg L, Rosenqvist M, Lip GY. Evaluation of risk stratification schemes for ischaemic stroke and bleeding in 182 678 patients with atrial fibrillation: The Swedish Atrial Fibrillation cohort study. Eur Heart J. 2012;33:1500–1510. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
29. Coppens M, Eikelboom JW, Hart RG, et al. The CHA2DS2-VASc score identifies those patients with atrial fibrillation and a CHADS2 score of 1 who are unlikely to benefit from oral anticoagulant therapy. Eur Heart J. 2013;34:170–176. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
30. Hijazi Z, Oldgren J, Andersson U, et al. Cardiac biomarkers are associated with an increased risk of stroke and death in patients with atrial fibrillation: a Randomized Evaluation of Long-term Anticoagulation Therapy (RE-LY) substudy. Circulation. 2012;125:1605–1616. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
31. Hijazi Z, Wallentin L, Siegbahn A, et al. N-terminal pro-b-type natriuretic peptide for risk assessment in patients with atrial fibrillation: Insights from the ARISTOTLE trial (Apixaban for the Prevention of Stroke in Subjects With Atrial Fibrillation) J Am Coll Cardiol. 2013;61:2274–2284. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
32. Piccini JP, Stevens SR, Chang Y, et al. Renal dysfunction as a predictor of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: validation of the R2CHADS2 index in the ROCKET AF (Rivaroxaban Once-daily, oral, direct factor xa inhibition Compared with vitamin K antagonism for prevention of stroke and Embolism Trial in atrial fibrillation) and ATRIA (AnTicoagulation and Risk factors In Atrial fibrillation) study cohorts. Circulation. 2013;127:224–232. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
33. del Zoppo GJ, Eliasziw M. New options in anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation. N Engl J Med. 2011;365:952–953. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
34. Eerenberg ES, Kamphuisen PW, Sijpkens MK, et al. Reversal of rivaroxaban and dabigatran by prothrombin complex concentrate: a randomized, placebo-controlled, crossover study in healthy subjects. Circulation. 2011;124:1573–1579. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
35. Weitz JI, Quinlan DJ, Eikelboom JW. Periprocedural management and approach to bleeding in patients taking dabigatran. Circulation. 2012;126:2428–2432. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
36. Sørensen R, Hansen ML, Abildstrom SZ, et al. Risk of bleeding in patients with acute myocardial infarction treated with different combinations of aspirin, clopidogrel, and vitamin k antagonists in Denmark: A retrospective analysis of nationwide registry data. Lancet. 2009;374:1967–1974. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
37. Sarafoff N, Martischnig A, Wealer J, et al. Triple therapy with aspirin, prasugrel and vitamin k antagonists in patients with drug eluting stent implantation and an indication for oral anticoagulation. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2013;61:2060–2066. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
38. Alexander JH, Lopes RD, James S, et al. Apixaban with antiplatelet therapy after acute coronary syndrome. N Engl J Med. 2011;365:699–708. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
39. Mega JL, Braunwald E, Wiviott SD, et al. Rivaroxaban in patients with a recent acute coronary syndrome. N Engl J Med. 2011;366:9–19. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
40. Nieuwlaat R, Connolly BJ, Hubers LM, et al. Quality of individual inr control and the risk of stroke and bleeding events in atrial fibrillation patients: a nested case control analysis of the ACTIVE W study. Thrombosis research. 2012 Jun;129:715–719. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
41. Van Spall HG, Wallentin L, Yusuf S, et al. Variation in warfarin dose adjustment practice is responsible for differences in the quality of anticoagulation control between centers and countries: an analysis of patients receiving warfarin in the Randomized Evaluation of Long-term Anticoagulation Therapy (RE-LY) trial. Circulation. 2012;126:2309–2316. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
42. Wieloch M, Sjalander A, Frykman V, et al. Anticoagulation control in Sweden: reports of time in therapeutic range, major bleeding, and thrombo-embolic complications from the national quality registry AuriculA. Eur Heart J. 2011;32:2282–2289. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
43. Larsen TB, Rasmussen LH, Skjoth F, et al. Efficacy and safety of dabigatran etexilate and warfarin in "real-world" patients with atrial fibrillation: a prospective nationwide cohort study. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2013;61:2264–2273. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
44. Southworth MR, Reichman ME, Unger EF. Dabigatran and postmarketing reports of bleeding. N Engl J Med. 2013;368:1272–1274. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
45. Faria R, Spackman E, Burch J, et al. Dabigatran for the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism in atrial fibrillation: a NICE single technology appraisal. Pharmacoeconomics. 2013;31:551–562. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
46. Patel MR, Hellkamp AS, Lokhnygina Y, et al. Outcomes of discontinuing rivaroxaban compared with warfarin in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: analysis from the ROCKET AF trial (Rivaroxaban Once-daily, oral, direct factor xa inhibition Compared with vitamin K antagonism for prevention of stroke and Embolism Trial in Atrial Fibrillation) J Am Coll Cardiol. 2013;61:651–658. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
47. Sepucha KR. Shared decision-making and patient decision aids: is it time? Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2012;5:247–248. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
48. Healey JS, Connolly SJ, Gold MR, et al. Subclinical atrial fibrillation and the risk of stroke. N Engl J Med. 2012;366:120–129. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
49. Estes NA, 3rd, Halperin JL, Calkins H, et al. ACC/AHA/Physician Consortium 2008 clinical performance measures for adults with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Performance Measures and the Physician Consortium for Performance Improvement (writing committee to develop clinical performance measures for atrial fibrillation) developed in collaboration with the Heart Rhythm Society. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2008;51:865–884. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
50. Chan PS, Maddox TM, Tang F, et al. Practice-level variation in warfarin use among outpatients with atrial fibrillation (from the NCDR PINNACLE program) Am J Cardiol. 2011;108:1136–1140. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
51. Piccini JP, Fraulo ES, Ansell JE, et al. Outcomes registry for better informed treatment of atrial fibrillation: Rationale and design of ORBIT-AF. Am Heart J. 2011;162:606–612. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
52. Kakkar AK, Mueller I, Bassand JP, et al. International longitudinal registry of patients with atrial fibrillation at risk of stroke: Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD (GARFIELD) Am Heart J. 2012;163:13–19. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
53. Smaha LA. The American Heart Association Get With The Guidelines program. Am Heart J. 2004;148(5 Suppl):S46–S48. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
54. Avezum A, Lopes RD, Schulte PJ, et al. Apixaban versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation and valvular heart disease: findings from the ARISTOTLE study. Eur Heart J. 2013;34:809. (Abstract Supplement) [Google Scholar]
55. Eikelboom JW, Connolly SJ, Brueckmann M, et al. Dabigatran versus warfarin in patients with mechanical heart valves. N Engl J Med. 2013;369:1206–1214. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
56. Healey JS, Eikelboom J, Douketis J, et al. Periprocedural bleeding and thromboembolic events with dabigatran compared with warfarin: Results from the Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulation Therapy (RE-LY) randomized trial. Circulation. 2012;126:343–348. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
57. Majeed A, Schulman S. Bleeding and antidotes in new oral anticoagulants. Best Pract Res Clin Haematol. 2013;26:191–202. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
58. Garcia D, Barrett YC, Ramacciotti E, Weitz JI. Laboratory assessment of the anticoagulant effects of the next generation of oral anticoagulants. J Thromb Haemost. 2013;11:245–252. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
59. Gonsalves WI, Gupta V, Patnaik MM. Management of bleeding complications in patients with new oral anticoagulants. J Hematol Transfus. 2014;2:1015. [Google Scholar]
60. Schiele F, van Ryn J, Canada K, et al. A specific antidote for dabigatran: functional and structural characterization. Blood. 2013;121:3554–3562. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
61. Bronstein AC, Spyker DA, Cantilena LR, Jr, et al. 2011 annual report of the American Association of Poison Control Centers' National Poison Data System (NPDS): 29th annual report. Clin Toxicol (Phila) 2012;50:911–964. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
62. Heidbuchel H, Verhamme P, Alings M, et al. European Heart Rhythm Association practical guide on the use of new oral anticoagulants in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation. Europace. 2013;15:625–651. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
63. Kaatz S, Kouides PA, Garcia DA, et al. Guidance on the emergent reversal of oral thrombin and factor xa inhibitors. American J Hematol. 2012;87(Suppl 1):S141–S145. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
64. Matchar DB, Jacobson A, Dolor R, et al. Effect of home testing of international normalized ratio on clinical events. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:1608–1620. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
65. Heneghan C, Ward A, Perera R, et al. Self-monitoring of oral anticoagulation: Systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data. Lancet. 2012;379:322–334. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
66. Weber JCP. Epidemiology of adverse reactions to nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. Adv Inflamm Res. 1984;6:1–7. [Google Scholar]