Clinical Description
CDKN2A cancer predisposition is characterized by an increased risk of developing multiple cutaneous melanomas, pancreatic cancer, and other tumors including gliomas and astrocytomas. Some affected individuals have a high total nevus count (often >50 nevi) and atypical-appearing nevi, although the number and extent of atypical nevi can vary significantly [Ipenburg et al 2016, Soura et al 2016]. Affected individuals from more than 300 families have been identified with a pathogenic variant in CDKN2A [Berwick et al 2006, Soura et al 2016, Kimura et al 2021, Overbeek et al 2021, Ibrahim et al 2023]. The following description of the phenotypic features associated with this condition is based on these reports.
Table 2.
CDKN2A Cancer Predisposition: Frequency of Select Features
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| Cancer Type | General Population Risk | Risk for Malignancy | Comment |
|---|
| p16INK4a isoform | p14ARF isoform |
|---|
|
Melanoma
| Up to 3% | 28%-76% 1 | Risk may be impacted by geographic location & sun exposure. 2 |
|
Pancreatic
| 2% | 15%-20% 3 | NA | Risk may be impacted by smoking history. 4 |
|
Nervous system tumors
| 0.001% 5 | NA | Elevated 6 | Incl glioma, astrocytoma |
Cutaneous melanoma is the most commonly associated malignancy in individuals with CDKN2A cancer predisposition. Individuals often develop multiple cutaneous melanomas in their lifetime. Studies have shown a lower median age of onset (around age 40 years) of cutaneous melanoma in individuals with CDKN2A cancer predisposition as compared to those with sporadic cutaneous melanoma, in whom the median age of diagnosis is the mid-60s [van der Rhee et al 2011, Soura et al 2016]. The age of onset of the first cutaneous melanoma is quite variable and has been reported as young as age nine years [Goldstein et al 2018]. These reports may be subject to ascertainment bias; in some individuals age of onset of melanoma may be at older ages, and penetrance is not 100%. Individuals often have multiple nevi, some of which may have atypical features. However, these are not considered precursors of melanoma but rather potential risk factors for melanoma. Melanoma most commonly develops on normal skin in individuals with and without CDKN2A cancer predisposition [Soura et al 2016]. Superficial spreading and nodular melanoma may be more prevalent in individuals with CDKN2A cancer predisposition than in those with sporadic melanoma. There does not appear to be a difference in risk for metastasis between individuals with CDKN2A cancer predisposition and sporadic cutaneous melanoma [Hornbuckle et al 2003, Soura et al 2016].
Pancreatic cancer is the second most common malignancy reported in individuals with CDKN2A cancer predisposition. The suggested risk is widely accepted as approximately 12-fold that of the general population (15%-20% lifetime risk) [Kimura et al 2021, Klatte et al 2022] (see also NCCN Guidelines, Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast, Ovarian, Pancreatic, and Prostate Version 2.2025 [login required; accessed 1-8-25]). Meta-analysis of published studies suggests risk for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is increased 12- to 47-fold for individuals with CDKN2A pathogenic germline variants [Pantaleo et al 2023]. This larger range includes some cohorts subject to ascertainment bias and/or population-specific data. The mean age of onset for pancreatic cancer in individuals with CDKN2A pathogenic variants ranges from age 65 to 71 years [Goldstein et al 2000, Lynch et al 2002]. It is unknown if the mean age of onset for pancreatic cancer is meaningfully lower for individuals with CDKN2A pathogenic variants compared to sporadic pancreatic cancer.
Nervous system tumors. Germline CDKN2A variants that disrupt p14ARF are associated with an increased risk for glioma, glioblastoma multiforme, astrocytoma, neurilemmoma, neuroma, schwannoma, and meningioma, although reports of this are relatively rare [Toussi et al 2020, Chan et al 2021].
Other cancers have been reported in individuals with germline CDKN2A variants including head and neck squamous cell, sarcoma, esophageal, lung, breast, and non-melanoma skin cancers (particularly in individuals with a CDKN2A pathogenic variant affecting p14ARF) [Chan et al 2021]. However, data are too limited to determine if the CDKN2A variant is causative or if these were sporadic cancers.
Genotype-Phenotype Correlations
Pathogenic variants in CDKN2A can affect p16INK4, p14ARF, or both proteins (see Molecular Pathogenesis). The spectrum of cancers reported in individuals with pathogenic variants affecting p14ARF is broader than in individuals with pathogenic variants affecting p16INK4A [Chan et al 2021].
CDKN2A pathogenic variant p.Arg112dup is associated with higher risk for pancreatic, lung, head/neck, and gastroesophageal cancers with risk modified by smoking history [Goldstein et al 2007, Helgadottir et al 2014].
Biallelic CDKN2A pathogenic variants. Only two individuals with biallelic CDKN2A pathogenic variants have been reported in the literature; one developed adenocarcinoma at age 54 and reportedly had no history of atypical nevi or melanoma, while the other had many atypical nevi and seven melanomas [Pavel et al 2003].
Prevalence
The true prevalence of CDKN2A cancer predisposition is currently unknown. Of individuals with multiple primary melanomas, approximately 5% of individuals without a family history of melanoma and approximately 10% of individuals with at least three family members affected with melanoma have a germline CDKN2A pathogenic variant [Bruno et al 2022]. Pathogenic variants in CDKN2A have been identified in 0.1%-2.5% of unselected individuals with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and 2.2%-3.3% of individuals with familial pancreatic cancer (two first-degree relatives with pancreatic cancer) [Paranal et al 2024].
The prevalence of CDKN2A cancer predisposition may be increased in certain populations due to founder variants (see Table 7).