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Epidemiology Morbidity And Mortality

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Last Update: February 2, 2020.

Definition/Introduction

From an etymological perspective, the word “epidemiology” can be divided into the Greek roots “epi,” “demos,” and “logos,” which respectively mean “upon,” “people,” and “the study of.” Historically, epidemiology has focused on population-level factors regarding communicable infectious disease, but it has evolved to include non-communicable infectious diseases, chronic diseases, infant health, and environmental and behavioral health. Today, it is a wide-encapsulating umbrella that encompasses any health-related issues that may influence the overall health of a population, such as environmental exposures, injuries, natural disasters, and terrorism, to name a few. It is a multifaceted branch of medicine, fundamentally guided by systematic scientific inquiry via ratios, probabilities, and other statistical calculations, focusing on the incidence, distribution, and factors concerning diseases and health outcomes within a specific population.

Epidemiologists work in conjunction with other health professionals to study patterns, mediums of transmission, or determinants of a specific health event within a particular population. They also work proactively to learn about diseases not previously studied, such as Legionnaire disease and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). For example, the World Health Organization (WHO) met in Geneva, Switzerland, in 2003 to discuss the epidemiology of SARS and learn about the disease’s risk factors, mediums of transmission, and reservoirs. These proactive studies better equip health professionals with the knowledge necessary for a robust response in case a health-related event occurs, and in these cases, a disease outbreak. Other notable instances in which epidemiologists have played a role include historical, biological warfares, the eradication of smallpox, relief efforts to victims of hurricanes and terrorist attacks, and, most recently, Ebola and Zika virus outbreaks. When responding to these health events, epidemiologists utilize previously collected, analyzed, and verified data to create, advise on, and implement informed and targeted solutions to monitor and prevent the occurrence, worsening or recurrence of population-level health-related events. Epidemiologists play an integral part in the maintenance of the overall health and wellness of many specific populations.

Lastly, the field of epidemiology works continuously with public health surveillance, creating a system in which patterns and health outcomes of health-related events undergo continuous monitoring; this is especially important in the fields of medicine focusing on upstream factors and preventative health issues. Legionnaire disease, for example, was surveilled by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention in 18 Chinese hospitals between 2014 to 2016. This study showed correlational data identifying cities, gender, age group, and seasons with the highest prevalence rates. It also identified L. pneumophila as the pathogen of interest in pneumonia-causing Legionnaire disease in China. The team acknowledged China’s lack of Legionnaire disease reporting and suggested the establishment of routine diagnostic methods to decrease the likelihood of misdiagnoses and underreporting.[1]

Two measures commonly used for epidemiological surveillance are morbidity and mortality. These measures describe the progression and severity of a given health event. They are useful tools to learn about risk factors of diseases, as well as to compare and contrast health events and between different populations. While similar and often related, morbidity and mortality, however, are not identical. Morbidity is the state of being symptomatic or unhealthy for a disease or condition. It is usually represented or estimated using prevalence or incidence. Prevalence describes the proportion of the population with a given symptom or quality. It is calculated by dividing the number of affected individuals by the total number of individuals within a specific population. It is usually presented as a ratio or as a percentage. Incidence, on the other hand, shows the frequency at which individuals within a specific population develop a given symptom or quality. It is calculated by dividing the number of NEW cases within a designated, particular period by the number of individuals within the population. When making this calculation, it is essential to remember to subtract the number of individuals who are already affected by the total number of individuals within a population.

Mortality, on the other hand, is related to the number of deaths caused by the health event under investigation. It can be communicated as a rate or as an absolute number. Mortality usually gets represented as a rate per 1000 individuals, also called the death rate. The calculation for this rate is to divide the number of deaths in a given time for a given population by the total population. To keep these values concise and for ease of comparison to other health events, this number can be multiplied by 1000 to reflect the “per 1000” rate of the target population.

Morbidity and mortality are two types of retrospective information that allows for continuous evaluation of the efficacy of either a specific health care system or an implemented intervention in place. For example, the use of maternal morbidity and mortality to gauge the risks of pregnancy and childbirth, as well as the efficacy of the health care they receive, are of vital importance.[2] In a related vein, accurate assessment of these measures are crucial to understanding and evaluating their impact and trajectory. Ultimately, mortality alongside morbidity allows epidemiologists to study further the burdens that a health event may place on a population. These metrics also allow stakeholders to more effectively prioritize which health events to tackle and to allocate resources toward as well as proactively manage the potential onset of a health event.

Issues of Concern

Epidemiology has undoubtedly been a critical player in the continued wellness of today's society. There are, however, some potential concerns with this discipline, namely in the application or misuse of epidemiological data. Information intended to help make informed decisions, prepare for future adverse health events, or advance the knowledge of the general population can be otherwise used for propaganda or scare tactics, especially in today's heavily connected society. The knowledge of laypeople can be taken advantage of by using excerpts from research papers taken out of context. For example, during the Ebola outbreak, early communication characterized the ensuing effort as lacking preparation, while later communication was mired in government mistrust.[3] During the outbreak, one of the avenues of communication that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention used was Twitter.[4] While the original intention was to increase transparency and rapidly provide the public with information about the outbreak, it instead increased the likelihood of acting on data that had not been fully verified. This situation is especially true during disease outbreaks when information regarding its determinants may not be immediately peer-reviewed.[5] Information of varying reliability and quality then leads to the potential of spreading unnecessary terror or panic that may or may not be remediable by expert opinions.

Misinformation or incomplete information can also complicate the interpretation and application of epidemiological research. Morbidity and mortality face many challenges similar to other population-based statistical measures. These include language barriers, variations in methodologies and definitions, and sampling and reporting biases.[2][6][7][8] Often, morbidity and mortality rely on census data for their calculations, but this data is not always available, especially in less developed countries or those affected by humanitarian crises or natural disasters.[8] 

Government mistrust can also play a role in the formulation of inaccuracies. For example, research has shown that about 40% of the undocumented Latino immigrants in the United States report a fear of accessing care due to concerns about being deported, which are only made worse by the limited health services and financial resources to which undocumented immigrants legally have access.[9][10] These factors possess the potential to affect the accurate reporting of morbidity and mortality rates adversely, while the health event progressively becomes underreported. Ultimately, it is the cumulation of the inaccuracies mentioned above that can manifest as ill-advised decisions or interventions for health-related events. If data is not available from a census, other means of data collection should be employed. Their advantages and disadvantages merit consideration, and their limitations require immediate action. The anticipation of foreseeable pitfalls, sound study designs, and effective countermeasures need to be in place to garner the most accurate picture of the health event and population in focus.

Furthermore, continued education from epidemiologists needs to be a priority. Through educational activism, epidemiologists can present their research and equip their audiences with the necessary background information to effectively understand and apply the epidemiology of a health event. Educational interactions also provide an opportunity for epidemiologists to qualify their claims as well as the limitations of a study. This approach ultimately ensures that the data produced is utilized in its intended manner. Continued educational activism not only empowers the general population, but it also keeps organizations, people in power, and other epidemiologists in check. In fact, within the epidemiology department of CDC, their epidemic intelligence service (EIS), is not only responsible for research, field investigation, and surveillance, but also education via presentations on complex scientific topics, writing peer-reviewed journals and updating public health information.

Clinical Significance

Epidemiology can be broken down into two types: descriptive and analytic. Typically, descriptive epidemiology precedes analytic epidemiology. Descriptive epidemiology aims to develop foundational knowledge regarding the health event in focus. This data can include rates of occurrences, populations affected, timing, and geographic-specific presentations of a health event. By studying population-specific characteristics, epidemiologists can start learning about the natural history, modes of transmission, risk factors, and even disparities of a health event that is present within a community. Descriptive epidemiology also utilizes information from continuous public health surveillance and ultimately initiates the process of developing hypotheses and directing field investigations to develop effective and informed analytic studies. For example, in a breast cancer study, incidence and prevalence rates may be observed in different countries and in different age groups to learn about its etiologies, risk factors, and potential preventative measures.[11]

Analytic epidemiology, on the other hand, builds from descriptive epidemiology. As hypotheses arise in descriptive epidemiology, analytic epidemiology aims to test its validity. It seeks to uncover potential associations and any other contributors between factors and outcomes with the use of a control group. This hypothesis testing is possible via experimentation or observation. Experimental studies usually involve clinical trials within a controlled process; this includes the use of randomization procedures, implementations of placebos, and counterbalancing measures to counteract any potential confounding variables or bias. The overarching goal of experimental studies is to establish a causal relationship between an exposure and an outcome. For example, in a parasitic infection study, the exposure would be the parasites, and the outcome would be host survival or host extinction.[12]

Observational studies, on the other hand, detect the onset of an outcome between those exposed and those not exposed, as well as any potentially related variables, with the hopes of determining associations. There are three types of observational studies: cohort, case-control, and cross-sectional. Cohort studies observe both exposed and non-exposed individuals and record the number of outcomes between the two groups over a designated amount of time. In these observations, if the outcomes are higher in those exposed than non-exposed (control), then an association can be inferred. For example, in a study of obesity risk factors, over 8000 children were followed until 7 years of age. The primary outcome observed was the development of obesity (BMI over the 95th percentile). In this study, risk factors associated with an increased likelihood of developing obesity were found to include: parental obesity, early body mass index rebound, more than eight hours watching television per week at age three, catch-up growth, short sleep duration, and weight gain in the first year.[13]

Case-control studies, on the other hand, involve a more retrospective approach, wherein the rates of exposures in individuals who present with the outcome get compared with those that do not (control). In these observations, if there are more individuals exposed who also have the outcome of interest, then an association can be inferred. For example, in a study of running-related injuries, it was found that people who have been active for less than 8.5 years and women with a BMI less than 21 kg/m^2  were at a higher likelihood of developing tibial injuries.[14]

Lastly, cross-sectional studies focus more on a specific time-point rather than a more extended period, leading to data showing the prevalence or incidence of an outcome after an exposure. This format, however, does not offer as much information as the first two types of observational studies and is usually better suited when focusing on the descriptive epidemiology of a larger population. For example, in a study of medical student mental health, students in their first, third, and sixth years of education were surveyed. The study showed that first-year students identified workload and lack of feedback as stressors, third-year students identified "competence worries" as a stressor, and sixth-year students rated lack of support as a stressor.[15] Ultimately, it is through the combination of these analytic studies that direct epidemiologists' decision-making and responses to public health issues or involvement in policy development and law-making. By knowing these factors, interventions can be highly targeted, and the potential for unintended consequences can be limited or completely avoided.

Interventions are also monitored during implementation and evaluated for efficacy, efficiency, impact, cost-effectiveness, and potential for improvement. Two important outcome measures are morbidity and mortality. Changes within these two measures can indicate not only the severity of a health event but also serve as one of the litmus tests for the responses that epidemiologists may take. Morbidity and mortality measures can be gathered using either descriptive or analytic epidemiology and can undergo stratification into various subcategories, such as perinatal, neonatal, infant, and maternal morbidity mortalities, to name a few. Morbidity and mortality can also be stratified by age, race,  ethnicity, sex, gender, nationality, and socioeconomic status, which provide an opportunity to uncover group-specific susceptibilities or exposures within a population. These subcategories provide great insight not only into the health of the population but also highlight any group that may be disproportionately affected. For example, a review of infant mortality in the United States from 1950 to 2010 showed that while infant mortality has substantially decreased in the past four decades, the disparity between African Americans and whites has progressively increased, further worsened by education and income inequities.[16] Other disparities uncovered include the indirect relationship between socioeconomic status and cancer mortalities,[17] the prevalence of asthma morbidities in inner-city areas,[18], and the unethical targeting of smoking advertisements in low-income schools.[19] It is by using these types of information that stakeholders of a community or population can make better decisions on the type, target, order, and scope of an intervention to pursue, ultimately allowing for communities to properly allocate their time, money, and other resources toward the most impactful and cost-effective interventions.

Nursing, Allied Health, and Interprofessional Team Interventions

Nurses need to be aware of research study methodology and what their outcomes mean. Nurses also play a vital role in infection prevention and patient education.

Nursing, Allied Health, and Interprofessional Team Monitoring

When epidemics occur, nurses are the key staff who look after patients. Thus, nurses must be fully aware of modes of disease transmission and how to limit spread to others.

Questions

To access free multiple choice questions on this topic, click here.

References

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Bookshelf ID: NBK547668PMID: 31613448

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