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Risk Reduction of Cognitive Decline and Dementia: WHO Guidelines. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2019.

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Risk Reduction of Cognitive Decline and Dementia: WHO Guidelines.

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Evidence profile: Physical activity and cognitive decline or dementia

Scoping question:

For adults with normal cognition or mild cognitive impairment, are physical activity interventions more effective than usual care or no intervention in reducing the risk of cognitive decline and/or dementia?

Background

As the number of older adults increases worldwide, a rise in dementia and Alzheimer’s disease (AD) has also been reported,1 causing health, economic and social burdens.2,3 In 2015, it has been estimated that there were 46.8 million people with dementia in the world, and the number is predicted to double every 20 years, reaching 74.7 million in 2030 and 131.5 million in 2050.1 AD/dementia has been linked to modifiable, lifestyle-related and cardiovascular risk factors14 and since the management of cardiovascular diseases is still suboptimal in many countries, especially among older adults and no cure is available for AD, management of cardiovascular risks could be crucial in halting the rapid increase in the prevalence of dementia, as some projection models suggested.5,6

Regular physical exercise during the life course is associated with significant health benefits. Physical activity is associated with lower risk for cardiovascular diseases7 and premature death8,9. Physical activity also promotes mobility and functional independence10,11 and may also provide psychological and social benefits12.

Physically active lifestyle is linked also to brain health. In large observational studies with follow-up periods extending up to decades physically active persons seem to be less likely to develop cognitive decline, all-cause dementia, vascular dementia and Alzheimer’s disease when compared to inactive persons1316. Especially highest levels of physical exercise seem to be most protective14,15. Physical activity seems to have beneficial effects on brain structures17, which may underlie the found associations17. Other potential mechanisms underlying the found associations are most likely indirect, such as effects of physical exercise on other modifiable cardiovascular risk factors, such as hypertension, insulin resistance and cholesterol.

The current knowledge of beneficial effects of physical activity on dementia prevention lies mainly on observational evidence, and physical activity interventions aiming to prevent cognitive decline have been less successful. There is very limited evidence that physical activity which improves cardiovascular fitness could have beneficial effects on cognition especially among people without any cognitive deficits18. However, physical activity-induced improvements in certain cognitive domains have been observed among persons with mild cognitive impairment19,20. Also multidomain interventions promoting physical activity and simultaneously targeting other dementia-related risk factors have shown promising results especially among persons at high risk for cognitive decline21.

This review of systematic reviews was carried out to search, identify, and synthesise the evidence currently available on the efficacy of physical activity interventions (aerobic, resistance training or multicomponent physical activity) aimed at reducing the risk of dementia and/or cognitive impairment.

Part 1. Evidence review

Scoping questions in PICO format (population intervention, comparisons, outcome)

For adults with normal cognition or mild cognitive impairment, are physical activity interventions more effective than usual care or no intervention in reducing the risk of cognitive decline and/or dementia?

P: Adults with normal cognition or mild cognitive impairment

I: Physical activity interventions (aerobic, resistance training or multicomponent physical activity)

C: Care as usual or no intervention

O: Critical

Cognitive function (or cognitive test results using validated instruments)

Incident MCI

Dementia

Important

Quality of life

Functional level (ADL, IADL)

Adverse events

Drop-out rates

Search Strategy

Date of search: 02nd May 2018

Search starting time: 31st December 2015

Full search terms

(dementia OR cognit* OR mild cognitive impairment OR Alzheimer disease OR dementia vascular OR dementia multi-infarct OR MCI OR cognitive dysfunction OR neuropsychologi* OR Health-Related Quality Of Life OR life quality OR Activities, Daily Living OR Chronic Limitation of Activity OR Limitation of Activity, Chronic OR ADL OR activities of daily living OR Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions OR Adverse Drug Event OR Adverse Drug Reaction OR Long Term Adverse Effects OR Adverse Effects, Long Term Disease-Free Survival OR Event-Free Survival OR Adverse effects) AND (Exercise OR exercise therapy OR Acute Exercise OR Aerobic Exercise OR Exercise Training OR Exercise, Aerobic OR Exercise, Isometric OR Exercise, Physical OR Isometric Exercise OR Physical Activity OR resistance training)

Simplified search terms

(dementia OR MCI OR cognition OR Quality Of Life OR ADL OR Adverse Effects OR Drop-out) AND (exercise OR physical activity)

Searches were conducted in the following databases1:

Cochrane

Pubmed

NICE Guidelines

Embase

PsycInfo

Global Health Library (Including WHOLIS, PAHO, AIM, LILACS)

Database of impact evaluations

AFROLIB

ArabPsycNet

HERDIN NeON

HrCak

IndMED

KoreaMed

AJOL

List of systemic reviews identified by the search process

Included in GRADE2 tables:

Comparison: Aerobic exercise intervention vs usual care or no intervention in adults with normal cognition

Barha CK et al. Sex differences in exercise efficacy to improve cognition: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials in older humans. Front Neuroendocrinol. 2017 Jul;46:71–85. doi: 10.1016/j.yfrne.2017.04.002. [PubMed: 28442274] [CrossRef]

Comparison: Training exercise intervention vs usual care or no intervention in adults with normal cognition

Barha CK et al. Sex differences in exercise efficacy to improve cognition: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials in older humans. Front Neuroendocrinol. 2017 Jul;46:71–85. doi: 10.1016/j.yfrne.2017.04.002. [PubMed: 28442274] [CrossRef]

Comparison: Multimodal exercise intervention vs usual care or no intervention in adults with normal cognition

Barreto PS et al. Exercise training for preventing dementia, mild cognitive impairment, and clinically meaningful cognitive decline: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2017 Dec 5. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glx234 [PubMed: 29216339] [CrossRef]

Northey JM et al. Exercise interventions for cognitive function in adults older than 50: a systematic review with meta-analysis Br J Sports Med. 2018 Feb;52(3):154–160. doi: 10.1136/bjsports-2016-096587. [PubMed: 28438770] [CrossRef]

Comparison: Aerobic exercise intervention vs usual care or no intervention in adults with mild cognitive impairment (MCI)

Song D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002 [PubMed: 29334638] [CrossRef]

Comparison: Training exercise intervention vs usual care or no intervention in adults with mild cognitive impairment (MCI)

Song D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002 [PubMed: 29334638] [CrossRef]

Comparison: Multimodal exercise intervention vs usual care or no intervention in adults with mild cognitive impairment (MCI)

Song D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002 [PubMed: 29334638] [CrossRef]

PICO Table

Serial NumberIntervention vs Comparison & PopulationOutcomesSystematic reviews used for GRADEJustification for systematic review used
1Aerobic exercise vs care as usual or no intervention or active control in individuals with normal cognitionIncidence of dementiaNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
MCINo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Cognitive functionBarha CK et al. Sex differences in exercise efficacy to improve cognition: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials in older humans. Front Neuroendocrinol. 2017 Jul;46:71–85. doi: 10.1016/j.yfrne.2017.04.002.Most recent (2017) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) assessing the effect of aerobic exercise on cognitive function in adults with normal cognition.
Quality of LifeNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Functional levels (ADL)No relevant systematic review availableN/A
Adverse eventsNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Drop-out RatesNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
2Resistance exercise vs care as usual or no intervention or active control in individuals with normal cognitionIncidence of dementiaNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
MCINo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Cognitive functionBarha CK et al. Sex differences in exercise efficacy to improve cognition: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials in older humans. Front Neuroendocrinol. 2017 Jul;46:71–85. doi: 10.1016/j.yfrne.2017.04.002.Most recent (2017) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) assessing the effect of resistance training on cognitive function in adults with normal cognition.
Quality of LifeNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Functional levels (ADL)No relevant systematic review availableN/A
Adverse eventsNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Drop-out RatesNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
3Multimodal exercise vs care as usual or no intervention no intervention or active control in individuals with normal cognitionIncidence of dementiaBarreto PS et al. Exercise training for preventing dementia, mild cognitive impairment, and clinically meaningful cognitive decline: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2017 Dec 5. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glx234Most recent (2017) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) assessing the effect of multimodal physical activity on dementia onset in adults with normal cognition.
MCIBarreto PS et al. Exercise training for preventing dementia, mild cognitive impairment, and clinically meaningful cognitive decline: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2017 Dec 5. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glx234Most recent (2017) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) assessing the effect of multimodal physical activity on the onset of MCI in adults with normal cognition
Cognitive functionNorthey JM et al. Exercise interventions for cognitive function in adults older than 50: a systematic review with meta-analysisBr J Sports Med. 2018 Feb;52(3):154–160. doi: 10.1136/bjsports-2016-096587.Most recent (2018) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) assessing the effect of multimodal physical activity on cognition in adults with normal cognition
Quality of LifeNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Functional levels (ADL)No relevant systematic review availableN/A
Adverse eventsNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Drop-out RatesBarreto PS et al. Exercise training for preventing dementia, mild cognitive impairment, and clinically meaningful cognitive decline: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2017 Dec 5. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glx234Most recent (2017) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) reporting on drop-out in multimodal physical activity interventions in adults with normal cognition.
4Aerobic exercise vs care as usual or no intervention no intervention or active control in individuals with MCIIncidence of dementiaNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
MCINo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Cognitive functionSong D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002Most recent (2018) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) assessing the effect of aerobic exercise on cognitive function in adults with MCI.
Quality of LifeNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Functional levels (ADL)No relevant systematic review availableN/A
Adverse eventsNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Dropout RatesNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
5Resistance training vs care as usual or no intervention no intervention or active control in individuals with MCIIncidence of dementiaNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
MCINo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Cognitive functionSong D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002Most recent (2018) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) assessing the effect of resistance training on cognitive function in adults with MCI.
Quality of LifeNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Functional levels (ADL)No relevant systematic review availableN/A
Adverse eventsNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Drop-out RatesNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
6Multimodal exercise vs care as usual or no intervention no intervention or active control in individuals with MCIIncidence of dementiaNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
MCINo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Cognitive functionSong D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002Most recent (2018) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) assessing the effect of multimodal physical activity on cognitive function in adults with MCI.
Quality of LifeSong D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002Most recent (2018) and only available systematic review (moderate quality) assessing the effect of multimodal physical activity interventions on quality of life in adults with MCI.
Functional levels (ADL)No relevant systematic review availableN/A
Adverse eventsNo relevant systematic review availableN/A
Drop-out RatesSong D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002Most recent (2018) and only available systematic review (Moderate quality) reporting on attrition of multimodal physical activity interventions in adults with MCI.

Narrative descriptions of the studies that went into the analysis

GRADE tables 1–3: Physical activity interventions in adults with normal cognition

Grade tables 13 present the evidence from three systematic reviews that assessed the efficacy of aerobic exercise22, resistance training22 and multimodal23,24 interventions in preventing/delaying dementia and/or cognitive decline in people with normal cognition. Although Barha et al. (2017)22 assessed the effects of all three types of physical activity interventions (aerobic exercise, resistance training and multimodal exercise) on cognition, a more recent systematic review of equal quality by Northey et al. (2018)24 investigating the effects of multimodal exercise on cognition was selected.

Barha et al.22 conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess if different types of exercise interventions can improve domain-specific cognition in older adults with normal cognition. Two reviewers (C B and RF) conducted the extensive literature search and study evaluation independently. A total of 41 randomised controlled trials (RCTs) were included in the narrative qualitative synthesis and 39 in the meta-analysis. The interventions were classified into three categories: aerobic training, resistance training and multimodal training. The control groups varied from active balance and tone group to sedentary groups (36 studies) to multimodal control groups (1 study) and not reported (2 studies). The outcomes included domain-specific cognition (global, executive function, episodic memory, visuospatial function, word fluency and processing speed). Each cognitive domain was measured with a range of tests (e.g. global cognition with MMSE; executive function with set shifting, Stroop test; episodic memory with logical memory, immediate and delayed recall; visuospatial function with useful field of view, reaction time, clock drawing; word fluency with words by letter and category; processing speed with cancellation test, simple/choice reaction time test). The number of the participants, who were middle-aged older adults (45 years and older) without any neurodegenerative/clinical disorders, ranged from 18–666. The mean follow-up time of the 41 RCTs was 30 weeks.

The authors found that aerobic exercise had greater cognitive benefits than resistance training for all cognitive domains. Beneficial effects of aerobic exercise were observed for global cognition: standardized mean difference (SMD 0.85, 95% CI: 0.24 – 1.47, p=0.007); executive function (SMD 2.06, 1.58 – 2.55, p<0.000); visuospatial function (SMD 0.64, 0.14 – 1.15, p=0.013); word fluency (SMD 0.35, 95% CI: 0.2 – 0.5, p<0.000); processing speed (SMD 0.47, 0.24 – 0.7, p<0.000). The gains in the episodic memory (SMD 0.04, 95% CI: −0.36 – 0.45, p= 0.827) were not significant (GRADE table 1).

Resistance training improved executive function (SMD 0.64, 95% CI: 0.41 – 0.87, p<0.000) and visuospatial function (SMD 0.55, 95%CI: 0.14–0.95, p=0.009). No improvement was seen for episodic memory (SMD 0.07, 95% CI: 0.08 – 0.22, p=0.337) and word fluency (SMD 0.83, 95% CI: 0.87–2.53, p=0.339) and there was negative effect for global cognition (SMD −1.81, 95% CI: 2.88 −0.75, p=0.001). No study assessing impact of resistance training on processing speed was available (GRADE table 2). The authors also conducted tests for heterogeneity among the studies (Q statistic and Higgins I2); and noted how longer interventions may have greater impact on cognitive function.

Barreto et al.23 conducted a systematic review to assess effects of multimodal exercise on dementia onset, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) onset and cognitive decline. Two reviewers conducted literature search independently. Cochrane Collaboration’s tool for evaluating risk of bias was applied to the included studies. A total of 5 randomised controlled trials (RCTs) were included in the review with total participants (n=2878) and age range (65–80 years). The mean follow-up was 12 months. Control group varied from placebo to sham exercise to social group.

For dementia onset, 3 studies with participants (n=1966) were included. These studies had high heterogeneity (I2=63.1%). The incidence of dementia was 3.7% (n=949) for exercisers and 6.1% (n=1017) for controls. Multimodal exercise was not found to reduce the risk of dementia onset (Risk ratio (RR)= 0.56 95% CI: 0.23 – 1.36, p=0.20). In a sensitivity analysis, the authors found a significant effect of exercise for reducing the risk of dementia onset by 35%. However, this must be interpreted with caution since and should not be assumed as a definitive finding. It remains undecided that exercise can decrease the risk of incident dementia (GRADE table 3). For MCI onset, only one study was available with participants (n=1635) and a follow-up duration of 2 years. The incidence of dementia was 10.2% (n=686) for exercisers and 9.1% (n=682) for controls. Multimodal exercise was not found to reduce the risk of MCI onset (Risk ratio (RR)=1.12, 95% CI: 0.81 – 1.55, p=0.49). Drop-out rates were also reported individually for 5 studies and were not included into any meta-analysis. Mean drop-out rates for the exercise group were 21.4% and for the control group 14.2% (GRADE table 3).23

Northey et al.24 conducted a systematic review to assess effects of exercise upon cognition in adults with normal cognition. Since this review was of similar quality as the review used for the dementia and MCI outcomes23, but more recent, it was chosen to gather the evidence on the cognitive function outcomes. After an extensive literature search, two authors (NJ and SD) independently extracted the data and assessed the risk of bias of included RCTs according to the Cochrane Collaboration Guidelines25. GRADE guidelines26 were also applied independently by two authors (NJ and SD) to evaluate the overall quality of evidence for the comparison of cognitive function between exercise and control groups. To study effects of multimodal exercise upon cognition, the review included nine RCTs with total participants (n=716) of age >50 years. Cognition was assessed across following domains: global, attention, executive function, memory and working memory. In order to assess heterogeneity, Q-statistic was applied (p <0.01) showing significant heterogeneity across included studies. Publication bias was identified through an evaluation of funnel plot asymmetry and the effect size was not large enough to downgrade the evidence.

Benefits of multimodal exercise were reported for attention (SMD 0.27, 95% CI: 0.41–0.41), executive function (SMD 0.34, 95% CI 0.2–0.47), memory (SMD 0.36, 95% CI: 0.22–0.5), working memory (SMD 0.29, 0.12–0.45) except for global cognition (SMD 0.16, 95% CI: 0.14 – 0.47) (GRADE table 3). The authors provide positive evidence for both aerobic and resistance training (i.e. multicomponent training), in compliance with exercise recommendations for age group (>50 years) to improve cognitive functions.

Overall risk of bias in included studies varied from not-serious to serious risk of bias. Methodological inconsistences in the studies with high risk of bias were mainly due to sequence generation, random allocation, allocation concealment, incomplete outcome data, and attrition (GRADE tables 13).

GRADE tables 4, 5, and 6: Physical activity Interventions in adults with mild cognitive impairment (MCI)

Song et al.20 conducted a systematic review assessing the effects of aerobic exercise, resistance training, and multimodal exercise on cognition in individuals with MCI. Literature search, and quality assessment of the included RCTs was carried out by two authors independently (SD and LY). A total of eleven RCTs (n=881, age range 50–94 years) were included in the systematic review. Control group varied from placebo, to stretching, to health education, to social recreational activities. The review included studies with a single component (aerobic exercise or resistance training) as well as multimodal interventions, and the results were reported on domain-specific cognitive function (global function, executive function, and memory).

In the analysis of aerobic exercise intervention (GRADE table 4), only one of the two studies that reported on global cognition showed a significant improvement of global cognition following aerobic exercise intervention (SMD 0.58 95% CI:0.18–0.98)27. For the effect on executive functioning Three aerobic exercise studies were pooled, with no significant effect being detected (SMD 0.03; 95% CI −0.26 to 0.32). Similar results were reported for memory, both as immediate (SMD 0.01; 95% CI −0.22 to 0.24) and delayed recall (SMD 0.01; 95% CI −0.21 to 0.23).

When interventions specifically focused on training exercise were analysed (GRADE table 5), a small to moderate improvement on global cognition was reported (SMD 0.41; 95% Cl 0.01 to 0.80). However, executive function improved only in one of the three studies included in the pooled analysis, the one characterised by the longest and intensive intervention28. Furthermore, resistance training did not seem to improve either immediate (SMD 0.12; 95% Cl −0.24 to 0.48) nor delayed (SMD 0.19; 95% Cl −0.17 to 0.55) recall as measures of memory.

The main analysis of the systematic review focused on multidomain exercise interventions (GRADE table 6). For global cognition, beneficial effects were reported after pooling data from seven studies (SMD 0.30 95%CI: 0.10–0.49, p=0.02). For executive functioning, no significant beneficial effects were reported (SMD 0.12 95%CI: 0.04–0.29, p=0.14), after combining data from nine studies. For memory, no significant beneficial effects were reported after pooling data from eight studies (SMD 0.04 95%CI: −0.06–0.15, p=0.43). The authors also reported effects of multimodal exercise intervention on health-related quality of life assessed using questionnaires in two RCTs29,30. No meta-analysis was conducted but no significant beneficial effect on health-related quality of life was reported. Drop-out rates of 20.8% and 25% were also reported by same RCTs.

The included RCTs mostly had serious risk of bias due to concerns in allocation concealment, and selection in several studies included in the analysis. Although publication bias was not formally investigated the search was limited only to a small number of databases and no other source was included. Heterogeneity was investigated across studies for each analysis, using I2xref> statistics, which revealed no significant results.

Since these types of intervention studies in this population are limited and are subject to various methodological flaws, more RCTs with rigorous study designs are needed. Future studies are recommended specifying (1) recruitment methods; (2) systematic recruitment of participants to ensure sample representativeness; (3) appropriate controls to enhance internal validity of the findings; (4) clear description of numbers and reasons for withdrawals and drop-outs; (5) approaches to improve adherence; (6) outcomes evaluating the transferability of cognitive gains to psychological well-being and quality of life; (7) comparison group- and individual-based exercises on cognitive and psychological outcomes; (8) long-term follow-ups. These would allow researchers to detect the effects of physical exercise on delaying the progression to dementia among such cohort.

Additional Evidence

The evidence (low to high quality), obtained from the systematic search presented here above, points towards a beneficial effect of physical activity in reducing the risk of dementia and cognitive decline in particular, especially for aerobic exercise and in people with normal cognition. Observational evidence also confirms this conclusion.

In 2016, Lafortune et al.31 conducted a quick systematic review on mid-life behavioral risk factors (including physical activity, diet, smoking, alcohol, weight change, as well as leisure, cognitive activity, and social networks) associated with healthy ageing, dementia, disability and frailty in later life. Concerning the association between mid-life physical activity and cognition/dementia, ten longitudinal cohort studies were included in the qualitative synthesis. The review reported consistent evidence of the association between mid-life physical activity and lower risk of dementia as well as better cognitive functioning, in older life.

The following year after, a systematic review and meta-analysis32 of longitudinal studies investigating the potential protective role of physical activity against cognitive decline, all-cause dementia, Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and vascular dementia was published by Guure and colleagues. 25 studies for all cause dementia with follow-up of at least 12 months and up to 28, were included. The overall sample size was n=117410. The meta-analysis reported a protective effect for high level of physical activity on all-cause dementia (OR 0.79, CI 0.69–0.88), cognitive decline (OR 0.67, CI 0.55–0.78), AD (OR 0.62, CI 0.49–0.75), and a non-protective effect for vascular dementia (OR 0.92, CI 0.62–1.30).

A second systematic review with meta-analysis33 of cohort studies was conducted to assess the dose-response relationship between physical activity and dementia (all-cause, AD and vascular dementia). The systematic review included a total of 16 studies and for all-cause dementia, the sample size was n= 37436, and the follow-up ranged from 3–31.6 years. The meta-analysis reported higher levels of physical activity to be associated with lower risk of all-cause dementia (RR 0.73, CI 0.62–0.87), and AD (RR 0.74, CI 0.58–0.94). The review identified a linear relationship between dementia/AD and leisure-time physical activity, in the range 0–2000 kcal/week or 0–45 metabolic equivalent of task hours (MET-h)/week. For every 500 kcal or 10 MET-h increase per week, an approximate decrease of 10% and 13% in the risk of all-cause dementia and AD was reported, respectively.

Finally, Engeroff and colleagues34 conducted a systematic review assessing the association between physical activity in adult life (18+ years) cognitive functions in late adulthood (60+ years). 14 longitudinal studies and nine cross-sectional studies were included. The review concluded that leisure-time physical activity in early, mid, and late adulthood was associated with better cognitive functioning (including global cognition, executive function, and memory) in older age. Limitations were identified concerning the impact of physical activity in early adulthood and the effect of adherence to current WHO recommendations oh physical activity, due to the fact that only two longitudinal studies have used cut-offs comparable to these recommendations.

Other relevant guidelines

WHO recommendations on physical activity for health 201042. http://www.who.int/dietphysicalactivity/publications/9789241599979/en/

GRADE Tables

GRADE table 1

Author(s): Ruth Stephen, Mariagnese Barbera, Jenni Kulmala

Date: 13th June 2018

Question: Aerobic exercise intervention compared to no intervention for reducing risk of dementia and /or cognitive decline in adults with normal cognition

Setting: Middle-aged older adults (45 years and older) without any neurodegenerative/clinical disorders

Bibliography: Barha CK et al. Sex differences in exercise efficacy to improve cognition: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials in older humans. Front Neuroendocrinol. 2017 Jul;46:71–85. doi: 10.1016/j.yfrne.2017.04.002 [PubMed: 28442274] [CrossRef].

Certainty assessment№ of patientsEffectCertaintyImportance
№ of studiesStudy designRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionOther considerationsAerobic exercise interventionno interventionRelative (95% CI)Absolute (95% CI)
Global cognition (follow up: mean 41.5 weeks; assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
4randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AbN/Ab-

SMD 0.85 SD higher

(0.24 higher to 1.47 higher)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATE

CRITICAL
Executive functioning (follow up: mean 26 weeks; assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
14randomised trialsseriouscnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AdN/Ad-

SMD 2.06 SD higher

(1.58 higher to 2.55 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

MODERATE

CRITICAL
Episodic memory (follow up: mean 37 weeks; assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
7randomised trialsseriouscnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AeN/Ae-

SMD 0.04 SD higher

(0.36 lower to 0.45 higher)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATE

CRITICAL
Visuospatial function (follow up: mean 32.5 weeks; assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
9randomised trialsseriouscnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AfN/Af-

SMD 0.64 SD higher

(0.14 higher to 1.15 higher)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATE

CRITICAL
Word fluency (follow up: mean 34 weeks; assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
7randomised trialsseriouscnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AgN/Ag-

SMD 0.35 SD higher

(0.2 higher to 0.5 higher)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATE

CRITICAL
Processing speed (follow up: mean 21 weeks; assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
3randomised trialsseriouscnot seriousnot seriousserioushnoneN/AhN/Ah-

SMD 0.47 SD higher

(0.24 higher to 0.7 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardized mean difference

Explanations

a

Downgraded due to 2 of the studies included in the pooled analysis deemed at risk of bias for random allocation, allocation sequence, and attrition.

b

Total 869 participants for global cognition, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

c

Downgraded due to majority of the studies included in the pooled analysis deemed at risk of bias for random allocation, allocation sequence, and attrition.

d

Total 446 participants for executive functioning, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

e

Total 1145 participants for episodic memory, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

f

Total 1179 participants for visuospatial function, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

g

Total 1043 participants for word fluency, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

h

Total 242 participants for processing speed, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

GRADE table 2

Author(s): Ruth Stephen, Mariagnese Barbera, Jenni Kulmala

Date: 13th June 2018

Question: Resistance training intervention compared to no intervention for reducing the risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with normal cognition

Setting: Middle-aged older adults (45 years and older) without any neurodegenrative/clinical disorders

Bibliography: Barha CK et al. Sex differences in exercise efficacy to improve cognition: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials in older humans. Front Neuroendocrinol. 2017 Jul;46:71–85. doi: 10.1016/j.yfrne.2017.04.002 [PubMed: 28442274] [CrossRef].

Certainty assessment№ of patientsEffectCertaintyImportance
№ of studiesStudy designRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionOther considerationsResistance training interventionno interventionRelative (95% CI)Absolute (95% CI)
Global Cognition (follow up: mean 48 weeks; assessed with: measured with a range of tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
3randomised trialsnot seriousseriousaseriousbnot seriouscnoneN/AdN/Ad-

SMD 1.81 SD lower

(2.88 lower to 0.75 lower)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
Executive functioning (follow up: mean 30.5; assessed with: measured with a range of tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
7randomised trialsseriousenot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AfN/Af-

SMD 0.64 SD higher

(0.41 higher to 0.87 higher)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATE

CRITICAL
Episodic memory (follow up: mean 44.5 weeks; assessed with: a range of tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
4randomised trialsseriousgnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AhN/Ah-

SMD 0.07 SD higher

(0.08 lower to 0.22 higher)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATE

CRITICAL
Visuospatial function (follow up: mean 64 weeks; assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
2randomised trialsnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AiN/Ai-

SMD 0.55 SD higher

(0.14 higher to 0.95 higher)

⨁⨁⨁⨁

HIGH

CRITICAL
Word fluency (follow up: mean 60 weeks; assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
2randomised trialsnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AjN/Aj-

SMD 0.83 SD higher

(0.87 lower to 2.53 higher)

⨁⨁⨁⨁

HIGH

CRITICAL

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardized mean difference

Explanations

a

Although heterogeneity was not formally assessed, of the three studies included (Alves et al., Ansai et al., Komulainen et al.), only one (Alves et al.) showed a significant negative correlation between resistance training and global cognition. The remaining studies reported no correlation. The effect was therefore only driven by one single study, which also had the smallest number of participants in both the control and the intervention arms: 14 participants/arm versus 23/arm (Ansai et al.) and ~230 (Komulainen et al.).

b

One study (Alves et al.) was conducted only on women and another study (Ansai et al.) was conducted on oldest old (80+) participants.

c

In all the three studies included (Alves et al., Ansai et al., Komulainen et al.), the intervention on resistance training was only one component of different types of multimodal interventions, therefore only small subgroups of participants were included in the meta-analysis of the systematic review. The authors of the systematic review reported only the total number of participants included in the meta-analysis but did not clarify the specific number per study and per arm (intervention and control).

d

Total 757 participants for global functioning, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

e

Downgraded due to three studies included in the pooled analysis deemed at risk of bias for random allocation, allocation sequence.

f

Total 626 participants for executive functioning, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

g

Downgraded due to two studies included in the pooled analysis deemed at risk of bias for random allocation, allocation sequence.

h

Total 904 participants for episodic memory, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

i

Total 728 participants for visuospatial function, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

j

Total 735 participants for word fluency, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

References:

Alves et al. PLoS One. 2013 Oct 3;8(10):e76301 [PMC free article: PMC3789718] [PubMed: 24098469]

Ansai et al. Geriatr Gerontol Int. 2015 Sep;15(9):1127–34 [PubMed: 25407380].

Komulainen et al. European Geriatric Medicine. 2010;1:266–272

GRADE table 3

Author(s): Ruth Stephen, Mariagnese Barbera, Jenni Kulmala

Date: 13th June 2018

Question: Multimodal exercise compared to usual care or active control for reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with normal cognition

Setting: Older adults without dementia; Community dwelling older people >50 years (no limitations on baseline cognitive status)

Bibliography: FOR INCIDENCE OF DEMENTIA & MCI, Drop-out (1) Barreto PS et al. Exercise training for preventing dementia, mild cognitive impairment, and clinically meaningful cognitive decline: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2017 Dec 5. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glx234 [PubMed: 29216339] [CrossRef] FOR COGNITION (2) Northey JM et al. Exercise interventions for cognitive function in adults older than 50: a systematic review with meta-analysis Br J Sports Med. 2018 Feb;52(3):154–160. doi: 10.1136/bjsports-2016-096587 [PubMed: 28438770] [CrossRef].

Certainty assessment№ of patientsEffectCertaintyImportance
№ of studiesStudy designRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionOther considerationsMultimodal exerciseusual care or active controlRelative (95% CI)Absolute (95% CI)
Incidence of Dementia (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: new diagnosis of dementia)
3randomised trialsnot seriousseriousanot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedb35/949 (3.7%)62/1017 (6.1%)

RR 0.56

(0.23 to 1.36)

27 fewer per 1,000

(from 22 more to 47 fewer)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
MCI (follow up: mean 24 months; assessed with: new diagnosis)
1randomised trialsnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedb70/686 (10.2%)62/682 (9.1%)

RR 1.12

(0.81 to 1.55)

11 more per 1,000

(from 17 fewer to 50 more)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATE

CRITICAL
Global cognition (assessed with: MMSE; Scale from: 0 to 30; Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
N/Aerandomised trialsseriouscseriousdnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AeN/Ae-

SMD 0.16 SD higher

(0.14 lower to 0.47 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Attention (assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
N/Aerandomised trialsseriouscseriousdnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AeN/Ae-

SMD 0.27 SD higher

(0.41 higher to 0.41 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Executive functioning (assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
N/Aerandomised trialsseriouscseriousdnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AeN/Ae-

SMD 0.34 SD higher

(0.2 higher to 0.47 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Memory (assessed with: a range of different tests; Scale from: N/A to N/A Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
N/Aerandomised trialsseriouscseriousdnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AeN/Ae-

SMD 0.36 SD higher

(0.22 higher to 0.5 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Working memory (assessed with: a range of different test; Scale from: N/A to N/A Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
N/Aerandomised trialsseriouscseriousdnot seriousnot seriousnoneN/AeN/Ae-

SMD 0.29 SD higher

(0.12 higher to 0.45 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Drop-out (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: Percentages)
5randomised trialsseriousfseriousdnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedbDrop-out rates of the 5 studies included were reported individually and not included into any meta-analysis: CONTROL GROUP mean =14.2 range = 6.7% to 28%; INTERVENTION GROUP mean= 21.4%, range= 9.2% to 46.2%

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

IMPORTANT

CI: Confidence interval; RR: Risk ratio

Explanations

a

Downgraded due significant heterogeneity (I2=63).

b

Downgraded due to no adequate investigation of the publication bias, partially incomplete search strategies and no detailed description of reason for exclusion in the systematic review.

c

Downgraded due to studies judged at high risk of bias allocation concealment, sequence generation, and incomplete outcome data.

d

Downgraded due to significant heterogeneity across studies. Q-statistic was applied to assess heterogeneity, p-value obtained was <0.01, showing significant heterogeneity across studies.

e

A total of 36 studies were included overall in the quantitative synthesis. However, not all the studies were included into the analysis of each cognitive domain and, for each cognitive outcome, the review provided only a number of size effect and no other information necessary to identify the exact studies considered included into the analysis of each cognitive domain.

f

Downgraded due to studies judged at high risk of bias for blinding of the participants, allocation concealment.

GRADE table 4

Author(s): Ruth Stephen, Mariagnese Barbera, Jenni Kulmala

Date: 13th June 2018

Question: Aerobic exercise intervention compared to no intervention for reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with MCI

Setting: Adults with MCI

Bibliography: Song D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002 [PubMed: 29334638] [CrossRef]

Certainty assessment№ of patientsEffectCertaintyImportance
№ of studiesStudy designRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionOther considerationsAerobic exercise interventionno interventionRelative (95% CI)Absolute (95% CI)
Global Cognition (assessed with: a range of measurements Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
2randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousseriousbpublication bias strongly suspectedc6567Out of the two studies included, only one reported a significant improvement of global cognition following aerobic exercise intervention (SMD 0.58 95% CI:0.18–0.98)1

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
Executive functioning (follow up: mean 6.5 months; assessed with: Verbal fluency, Stroop test; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
3randomised trialsseriousdnot seriousnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedc115100-

SMD 0.03 SD higher

(0.26 lower to 0.32 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Memory (follow up: mean 6 months; assessed with: Immediate recall; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
4randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedc170170-

SMD 0.01 SD higher

(0.22 lower to 0.24 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Memory (follow up: mean 6 months; assessed with: Delayed recall; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
4randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedc170170-

SMD 0.01 SD higher

(0.21 lower to 0.23 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardized mean difference

Explanations

a

Downgraded due to allocation, and selection bias in the studies included.

b

Downgraded due to low sample size.

c

No formal analysis for publication bias was conducted, the search was carried out on a limited number of databases and no other source was included.

d

Downgraded due to presence of allocation, and selection bias in two studies included in the analysis.

Reference:

1

Lautenschlager, N., Cox, K., Flicker, L., Foster, J., Bockxmeer, F., Xiao, J., Almeida, O., 2008. Effect of physical activity on cognitive function in older adults at risk for Alzheimer disease: a randomized trial. J. Am. Med. Assoc. 300 (9), 1027–1037 [PubMed: 18768414].

GRADE table 5

Author(s): Ruth Stephen, Mariagnese Barbera, Jenni Kulmala

Date: 13th June 2018

Question: Resistance training intervention compared to no intervention for reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with MCI

Setting: Adults with MCI

Bibliography: Song D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002 [PubMed: 29334638] [CrossRef]

Certainty assessment№ of patientsEffectCertaintyImportance
№ of studiesStudy designRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionOther considerationsAerobic exercise interventionno interventionRelative (95% CI)Absolute (95% CI)
Global Cognition (assessed with: a range of measurements Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
2randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousseriousbpublication bias strongly suspectedc4953-

SMD 0.41 SD higher

(0.01 higher to 0.80 higher)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
Executive functioning (follow up: mean 6.5 months; assessed with: Verbal fluency, Stroop test; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
3randomised trialsseriousdnot seriousnot seriousseriousbpublication bias strongly suspectedc6067Out of the three studies considered, significant improvement in executive functioning was identified only in the one with the longest follow up.1

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
Memory (follow up: mean 6 months; assessed with: Immediate recall; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
4randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousseriousbpublication bias strongly suspectedc7781-

SMD 0.12 SD higher

(0.24 lower to 0.48 higher)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
Memory (follow up: mean 6 months; assessed with: Delayed recall; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
4randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousseriousbpublication bias strongly suspectedc7781-

SMD 0.19 SD higher

(0.17 lower to 0.55 higher)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardized mean difference

Explanations

a

Downgraded due to allocation, and selection bias in the studies included.

b

Downgraded due to low sample size.

c

No formal analysis for publication bias was conducted, the search was carried out on a limited number of databases and no other source was included.

d

Downgraded due to presence of allocation, and selection bias in two studies included in the analysis.

Reference:

1

Nagamatsu, L.S., Chan, A., Davis, J.C., Beattie, B.L., Graf, P., Voss, M.W., Liu-Ambrose, T., 2013. Physical activity improves verbal and spatial memory in older adults with probable mild cognitive impairment: a 6-month randomized controlled trial. J. Aging Res [PMC free article: PMC3595715] [PubMed: 23509628].

GRADE table 6

Author(s): Ruth Stephen, Mariagnese Barbera, Jenni Kulmala

Date: 13th June 2018

Question: Multimodal exercise intervention compared to no intervention for reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with MCI

Setting: Adults with MCI

Bibliography: Song D et al. The effectiveness of physical exercise on cognitive and psychological outcomes in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: A systematic review and meta-analysis doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2018.01.002 [PubMed: 29334638] [CrossRef]

Certainty assessment№ of patientsEffectCertaintyImportance
№ of studiesStudy designRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionOther considerationsMultimodal exercise interventionno interventionRelative (95% CI)Absolute (95% CI)
Global Cognition (assessed with: a range of measurements Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
7randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedb327301-

SMD 0.30 SD higher

(0.10 lower to 0.49 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Executive functioning (follow up: mean 6.5 months; assessed with: Verbal fluency, Stroop test; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
8randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedb450400-

SMD 0.12 SD higher

(0.04 lower to 0.29 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Memory (follow up: mean 6 months; assessed with: Immediate recall/Delayed recall; Scale from: N/A to N/A: Higher SMD=better cognitive performance)
8randomised trialsseriousanot seriousnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedb280287-

SMD 0.04 SD higher

(0.06 lower to 0.15 higher)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Health related quality of life (follow up: mean 15 months; assessed with: Questionnaires)
2randomised trialsnot seriousnot seriousnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedbNo significant difference was observed in health-related quality of life

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATE

IMPORTANT
Drop-out (assessed with: number reported)
2randomised trialsseriouscnot seriousnot seriousnot seriouspublication bias strongly suspectedbDrop-out rates of two included studies: 25% and 20.8%

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

IMPORTANT

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardized mean difference

Explanations

a

Downgraded due to allocation, and selection bias in some of the studies included.

b

No formal analysis for publication bias was conducted, the search was carried out on a limited number of databases and no other source was included.

c

Downgraded due to presence of allocation and selection blinding bias in one study included in the analysis.

Part 2. From evidence to decisions

Summary of Findings

Table 1Aerobic exercise intervention compared to no intervention for reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with normal cognition

Patient or population: reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with normal cognition

Setting: Middle-aged older adults (45 years and older) without any neurodegenerative/clinical disorders

Intervention: Aerobic exercise intervention

Comparison: no intervention

OutcomesAnticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)Relative effect (95% CI)№ of participants (studies)Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)Comments
Risk with no interventionRisk with Aerobic exercise intervention

Global cognition (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 41.5 weeks

-

SMD 0.85 SD higher

(0.24 higher to 1.47 higher)

-(4 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATEa,b

Aerobic exercise seems to have a significant beneficial effect on global cognition

Executive functioning (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 26 weeks

-

SMD 2.06 SD higher

(1.58 higher to 2.55 higher)

-(14 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATEc,d

Aerobic exercise seems to have significant beneficial effect on executive functioning

Episodic memory (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 37 weeks

-

SMD 0.04 SD higher

(0.36 lower to 0.45 higher)

-(7 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATEc,e

Aerobic exercise does not seem to have a beneficial effect on episodic memory

Visuospatial function (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 32.5 weeks

-

SMD 0.64 SD higher

(0.14 higher to 1.15 higher)

-(9 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATEc,f

Aerobic exercise seems to have a significant beneficial effect on visuospatial function

Word fluency (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 34 weeks

-

SMD 0.35 SD higher

(0.2 higher to 0.5 higher)

-(7 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATEc,g

Aerobic exercise seems to have a significant beneficial effect on word fluency

Processing speed (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 21 weeks

-

SMD 0.47 SD higher

(0.24 higher to 0.7 higher)

-(3 RCTs)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWc,h

Aerobic exercise seems to have a significant beneficial effect processing speed
*

The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). Higher SMD = better cognitive performance.

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardised mean difference

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence

High certainty: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect

Moderate certainty: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different

Low certainty: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect

Very low certainty: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

Explanations

a

Downgraded due to 2 of the studies included in the pooled analysis deemed at risk of bias for random allocation, allocation sequence, and attrition.

b

Total 869 participants for global cognition, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

c

Downgraded due to majority of the studies included in the pooled analysis deemed at risk of bias for random allocation, allocation sequence, and attrition.

d

Total 446 participants for executive functioning, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

e

Total 1145 participants for episodic memory, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

f

Total 1179 participants for visuospatial function, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

g

Total 1043 participants for word fluency, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

h

Total 242 participants for processing speed, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control)

Table 2Resistance training intervention compared to no intervention for reducing the risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with normal cognition

Patient or population: reducing the risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with normal cognition

Setting: Middle-aged older adults (45 years and older) without any neurodegenerative/clinical disorders

Intervention: Resistance training intervention

Comparison: no intervention

OutcomesAnticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)Relative effect (95% CI)№ of participants (studies)Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)Comments
Risk with no interventionRisk with Resistance training intervention

Global Cognition (Cognition)

assessed with: measured with a range of tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 48 weeks

-

SMD 1.81 SD lower

(2.88 lower to 0.75 lower)

-(3 RCTs)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOWa,b,c,d

Resistance training seem to decrease global cognition compared to controls

Executive functioning (Cognition)

assessed with: measured with a range of tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 30.5

-

SMD 0.64 SD higher

(0.41 higher to 0.87 higher)

-(7 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATEe,f

Resistance training seems to have a beneficial effect on executive functioning

Episodic memory (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 44.5 weeks

-

SMD 0.07 SD higher

(0.08 lower to 0.22 higher)

-(4 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATEg,h

Resistance training does not seem to have a beneficial effect on episodic memory

Visuospatial function (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 64 weeks

-

SMD 0.55 SD higher

(0.14 higher to 0.95 higher)

-(2 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁⨁

HIGHi

Resistance training seems to have a beneficial effect on visuospatial function

Word fluency (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 60 weeks

-

SMD 0.83 SD higher

(0.87 lower to 2.53 higher)

-(2 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁⨁

HIGHj

Resistance training does not seem to have a beneficial effect on word fluency
*

The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). Higher SMD = better cognition.

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardised mean difference

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence

High certainty: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect

Moderate certainty: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different

Low certainty: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect

Very low certainty: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

Explanations

a

Although heterogeneity was not formally assessed, of the three studies included (Alves et al., Ansai et al., Komulainen et al.), only one (Alves et al.) showed a significant negative correlation between resistance training and global cognition. The remaining studies reported no correlation. The effect was therefore only driven by one single study, which also had the smallest number of participants in both the control and the intervention arms: 14 participants/arm versus 23/arm (Ansai et al.) and ~230 (Komulainen et al.).

b

One study (Alves et al.) was conducted only on women and another study (Ansai et al.) was conducted on oldest old (80+) participants.

c

In all the three studies included (Alves et al., Ansai et al., Komulainen et al.), the intervention on resistance training was only one component of different types of multimodal interventions, therefore only small subgroups of participants were included in the meta-analysis of the systematic review. The authors of the systematic review reported only the total number of participants included in the meta-analysis but did not clarify the specific number per study and per arm (intervention and control).

d

Total 757 participants for global functioning, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

e

Downgraded due to three studies included in the pooled analysis deemed at risk of bias for random allocation, allocation sequence.

f

Total 626 participants for executive functioning, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

g

Downgraded due to two studies included in the pooled analysis deemed at risk of bias for random allocation, allocation sequence.

h

Total 904 participants for episodic memory, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

i

Total 728 participants for visuospatial function, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

j

Total 735 participants for word fluency, but no numbers reported per arm (intervention or control).

References:

Alves et al. PLoS One. 2013 Oct 3;8(10):e76301 [PMC free article: PMC3789718] [PubMed: 24098469]

Ansai et al. Geriatr Gerontol Int. 2015 Sep;15(9):1127–34 [PubMed: 25407380].

Komulainen et al. European Geriatric Medicine. 2010;1:266–272

Table 3Multimodal exercise compared to usual care or active control for reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with normal cognition

Patient or population: reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with normal cognition

Setting:

Intervention: Multimodal exercise

Comparison: usual care or active control

OutcomesAnticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)Relative effect (95% CI)№ of participants (studies)Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)Comments
Risk with usual care or active controlRisk with Multimodal exercise

Incidence of Dementia (Dementia)

assessed with: new diagnosis of dementia

follow up: mean 12 months

61 per 1,000

34 per 1,000

(14 to 83)

RR 0.56

(0.23 to 1.36)

1966

(3 RCTs)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWa,b

Multimodal exercise does not seem to reduce the risk of dementia onset

MCI (MCI)

assessed with: new diagnosis

follow up: mean 24 months

91 per 1,000

102 per 1,000

(74 to 141)

RR 1.12

(0.81 to 1.55)

1368

(1 RCT)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATEb

Multimodal exercise does not seem to reduce the risk of MCI onset

Global cognition (Cognition)

assessed with: MMSE

Scale from: 0 to 30

-

SMD 0.16 SD higher

(0.14 lower to 0.47 higher)

-(N/A)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWc,d,e

Multimodal exercise does not seem have beneficial effect on global cognition

Attention (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

-

SMD 0.27 SD higher

(0.41 higher to 0.41 higher)

-(N/A)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWc,d,e

Multimodal exercise seems to have beneficial effect on attention

Executive functioning (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

-

SMD 0.34 SD higher

(0.2 higher to 0.47 higher)

-(N/A)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWc,d,e

Multimodal exercise seems to have beneficial effect on executive functioning

Memory (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different tests

Scale from: N/A to N/A

-

SMD 0.36 SD higher

(0.22 higher to 0.5 higher)

-(N/A)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWc,d,e

Multimodal exercise seems to have beneficial effect on memory

Working memory (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of different test

Scale from: N/A to N/A

-

SMD 0.29 SD higher

(0.12 higher to 0.45 higher)

-(N/A)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWc,d,e

Multimodal exercise seems to have beneficial effect on attention

Drop-out

assessed with: Percentages

follow up: mean 12 months

Drop-out rates of the 5 studies included were reported individually and not included into any meta-analysis: CONTROL GROUP mean =14.2 range = 6.7% to 28%; INTERVENTION GROUP mean= 21.4%, range= 9.2% to 46.2%(5 RCTs)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOWb,d,f

Drop-outs in the intervention group seem to be moderate to high
*

The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). Higher SMD = better cognition.

CI: Confidence interval; RR: Risk ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence

High certainty: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect

Moderate certainty: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different

Low certainty: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect

Very low certainty: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

Explanations

a

Downgraded due significant heterogeneity (I2=63).

b

Downgraded due to no adequate investigation of the publication bias, partially incomplete search strategies and no detailed description of reason for exclusion in the systematic review.

c

Downgraded due to studies judged at high risk of bias allocation concealment, sequence generation, and incomplete outcome data.

d

Downgraded due to significant heterogeneity across studies. Q-statistic was applied to assess heterogeneity, p-value obtained was <0.01, showing significant heterogeneity across studies.

e

A total of 36 studies were included overall in the quantitative synthesis. However, not all the studies were included into the analysis of each cognitive domain and, for each cognitive outcome, the review provided only a number of size effect and no other information necessary to identify the exact studies considered included into the analysis of each cognitive domain.

f

Downgraded due to studies judged at high risk of bias for blinding of the participants, allocation concealment.

Table 4Aerobic exercise intervention compared to no intervention for reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with MCI

Patient or population: reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with MCI

Setting: Adults with MCI

Intervention: Aerobic exercise intervention

Comparison: no intervention

OutcomesAnticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)Relative effect (95% CI)№ of participants (studies)Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)Comments
Risk with no interventionRisk with Multimodal exercise intervention

Global Cognition (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of measurements

Out of the two studies included, only one reported a significant improvement of global cognition following aerobic exercise intervention (SMD 0.58 95% CI:0.18–0.98)1-

132

(2 RCTs)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOWa,b,c

Aerobic exercise seems to have beneficial effect on global cognition

Executive functioning (Cognition)

assessed with: Verbal fluency, Stroop test

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 6.5 months

-

SMD 0.03 SD higher

(0.26 lower to 0.32 higher)

-

215

(3 RCTs)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWc,d

Aerobic exercise does not seem to have beneficial effect on executive functioning

Memory (Cognition)

assessed with: Immediate recall

follow up: mean 6 months

-

SMD 0.01 SD higher

(0.22 lower to 0.24 higher)

-

340

(4 RCTs)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWa,c

Aerobic exercise does not seem to have beneficial effect on memory

Memory (Cognition)

assessed with: Delayed recall

follow up: mean 6 months

-

SMD 0.04 SD higher

(0.06 lower to 0.15 higher)

-

340

(4 RCTs)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWa,c

Aerobic exercise does not seem to have beneficial effect on memory
*

The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). Higher SMD = better cognition.

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardised mean difference

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence

High certainty: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect

Moderate certainty: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different

Low certainty: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect

Very low certainty: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

Explanations

a

Downgraded due to allocation, and selection bias in the studies included.

b

Downgraded due to low sample size.

c

No formal analysis for publication bias was conducted, the search was carried out on a limited number of databases and no other source was included.

d

Downgraded due to presence of allocation, and selection bias in two studies included in the analysis.

Reference:

2

Lautenschlager, N., Cox, K., Flicker, L., Foster, J., Bockxmeer, F., Xiao, J., Almeida, O., 2008. Effect of physical activity on cognitive function in older adults at risk for Alzheimer’s disease: a randomized trial. J. Am. Med. Assoc. 300 (9), 1027–1037 [PubMed: 18768414].

Table 5Resistance training intervention compared to no intervention for reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with MCI

Patient or population: reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with MCI

Setting: Adults with MCI

Intervention: Aerobic exercise intervention

Comparison: no intervention

OutcomesAnticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)Relative effect (95% CI)№ of participants (studies)Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)Comments
Risk with no interventionRisk with Multimodal exercise intervention

Global Cognition (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of measurements

-

SMD 0.41 SD higher

(0.01 higher to 0.80 higher)

-

102

(3 RCTs)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOWa,b,c

Resistance training seem to have beneficial effect on global cognition

Executive functioning (Cognition)

assessed with: Verbal fluency, Stroop test

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 6.5 months

Out of the three studies considered, significant improvement in executive functioning was identified only in the one with the longest follow up.1-

127

(3 RCTs)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOWb,c,d

Resistance training seems to have beneficial effect on executive functioning, but only in the study with the longest follow up.

Memory (Cognition)

assessed with: Immediate recall

follow up: mean 6 months

-

SMD 0.12 SD higher

(0.24 lower to 0.48 higher)

-

158

(3 RCTs)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOWa,b,c

Resistance training exercise does not seem to have beneficial effect on memory

Memory (Cognition)

assessed with: Delayed recall

follow up: mean 6 months

-

SMD 0.19 SD higher

(0.17 lower to 0.55 higher)

-

158

(3 RCTs)

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOWa,b,c

Resistance training exercise does not seem to have beneficial effect on memory
*

The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). Higher SMD = better cognition.

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardised mean difference

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence

High certainty: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect

Moderate certainty: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different

Low certainty: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect

Very low certainty: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

Explanations

a

Downgraded due to allocation, and selection bias in the studies included.

b

Downgraded due to low sample size.

c

No formal analysis for publication bias was conducted, the search was carried out on a limited number of databases and no other source was included.

d

Downgraded due to presence of allocation, and selection bias in two studies included in the analysis.

Reference:

1

Nagamatsu, L.S., Chan, A., Davis, J.C., Beattie, B.L., Graf, P., Voss, M.W., Liu-Ambrose, T., 2013. Physical activity improves verbal and spatial memory in older adults with probable mild cognitive impairment: a 6-month randomized controlled trial. J. Aging Res [PMC free article: PMC3595715] [PubMed: 23509628].

Table 6Multimodal exercise intervention compared to no intervention for reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with MCI

Patient or population: reducing risk of dementia and/or cognitive decline in adults with MCI

Setting: Adults with MCI

Intervention: Multimodal exercise intervention

Comparison: no intervention

OutcomesAnticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)Relative effect (95% CI)№ of participants (studies)Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)Comments
Risk with no interventionRisk with Multimodal exercise intervention

Global Cognition (Cognition)

assessed with: a range of measurements

-

SMD 0.30 SD higher

(0.10 lower to 0.49 higher)

-

628

(7 RCTs)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWa,b

Multimodal exercise seems to have beneficial effect on global cognition

Executive functioning (Cognition)

assessed with: Verbal fluency, Stroop test

Scale from: N/A to N/A

follow up: mean 6.5 months

-

SMD 0.12 SD higher

(0.04 lower to 0.29 higher)

-

850

(9 RCTs)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWa,b

Multimodal exercise does not seem to have beneficial effect on executive functioning

Memory (Cognition)

assessed with: Immediate recall/Delayed recall

follow up: mean 6 months

-

SMD 0.04 SD higher

(0.06 lower to 0.15 higher)

-

567

(8 RCTs)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWa,b

Multimodal exercise does not seem to have beneficial effect on executive functioning

Health related quality of life (HRQoL)

assessed with: Questionnaires

follow up: mean 15 months

No significant difference was observed in health-related quality of life(2 RCTs)

⨁⨁⨁◯

MODERATEb

Multimodal exercise does not seem have beneficial effect on quality of life

Drop-out

assessed with: number reported

Drop-out rates of two included studies: 25% and 20.8%(2 RCTs)

⨁⨁◯◯

LOWb,c

The drop-out rates were moderate for multimodal exercise intervention
*

The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI). Higher SMD = better cognition.

CI: Confidence interval; SMD: Standardised mean difference

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence

High certainty: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect

Moderate certainty: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different

Low certainty: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect

Very low certainty: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

Explanations

a

Downgraded due to allocation, and selection bias in some of the studies included.

b

No formal analysis for publication bias was conducted, the search was carried out on a limited number of databases and no other source was included.

c

Downgraded due to presence of allocation and selection blinding bias in one study included in the analysis.

Evidence-to-Decision Table

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Annex. PRISMA3 flow diagram for systematic review of the reviews – cognitive decline interventions3

Image evidenceprofile1app1f1

Footnotes

1

Please note that the EurasiaHealth database did not return any meaningful answer to the search.

2

GRADE: Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation. More information: http:​//gradeworkiggroup.org

3

Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). For more information: http://www​.prisma-statement.org

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