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Mistry H, Connock M, Pink J, et al. Autologous chondrocyte implantation in the knee: systematic review and economic evaluation. Southampton (UK): NIHR Journals Library; 2017 Feb. (Health Technology Assessment, No. 21.6.)

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Autologous chondrocyte implantation in the knee: systematic review and economic evaluation.

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Chapter 7Discussion

Statement of principal findings:

  • ACI has evolved since the last review by NICE in 2005, and now chondrocytes are seeded into membranes or scaffolds, rather than a liquid suspension of cells being secured under a periosteal or collagen cap.
  • Selection of the chondrocytes that are most likely to produce good quality repairs (‘characterisation’) is now used, though there are no published trials proving benefit.
  • ACI is an effective way of treating defects in articular cartilage, giving good results in over 80% of patients. If results are good at 2 years, benefit is generally sustained for up to 10 years. A very large UK cohort showed graft survivals of 78% at 5 years, and 51% at 10 years.
  • The main comparator, MF, is effective in a smaller proportion and appears to be less durable.
  • Our economic modelling found that ACI appeared to be cost-effective compared with MF, with a key driver being duration of benefit and likely avoidance or postponement of a second repair or of knee replacement. MF was less costly, but provided fewer QALYs.
  • Total costs were influenced by the proportion needing a second repair, and by the method used for second repairs. If all second repairs were by ACI, the cost per QALY gained for initial ACI compared with initial MF was £8925. If all second repairs were by MF, the cost per QALY gained was £9788. These results were confirmed by the CEACs: so if the decision-maker is willing to pay £20,000 for a QALY, ACI is 56–59% more likely to be cost-effective than MF. For both scenarios, ACI as a first repair was more cost-effective than MF as a first repair.
  • There is a shortage of long-term studies, particularly of MF. As requested by NICE, we carried out survival analysis making the best of what data there were. Caveats are required.
  • We included six studies of long-term results of ACI, the best of which was by Nawaz et al.,80 from Stanmore. It was best because of size (827 – all of the other studies put together provided 371); it reflected UK practice (albeit from a centre of excellence); it provided data from the period 1998–2008, on different generations of ASCI; and it provided very useful subgroup data.
  • Using the older data, MF comes out less well, with progressive failure over time.
  • As noted in the previous report, ACI is less successful in people who had had prior repair attempts, such as MF.
  • The new base-case analysis used MF followed, if necessary, by ACI, as the lowest cost option, with other options being compared with that. The ICER for ACI as a primary procedure compared with MF was around £19,000. The range of economics analyses produced ICERs that might be considered acceptable by NICE.

Strengths and weaknesses of evidence

  • At the last appraisal, there were no long-term data from trials. The evidence base has also evolved with data on longer-term follow-up both from trials and cohort studies. However, the longest-term data come from older generations of ACI, and recruits to such studies had often had several prior attempts at repair, which appear to reduce the effectiveness of ACI.
  • Because of short follow-up of the MACI trials, there is a lack of long-term utility data.
  • The TIG/ACT trial43 of ChondroCelect used ACI-P, which has now been superseded by ACI-C or MACI. ChondroCelect cells are now used in a MACI procedure wherein the cells are loaded on to a membrane by the surgeon.
  • There is a general problem when long-term results are needed but the technology continues to evolve. Data on long-term results come mainly from first-generation ACI.
  • Utilities vary considerably among studies. For example, baseline utility before repair ranges from 0.41 (Derrett2005140) to 0.532 or 0.504 (ACTIVE,35 MF and ACI groups, respectively) to 0.654 (Gerlier 2010141).
  • When considering survival curves extrapolated beyond the observed data, it should be borne in mind that the extrapolation assumes that the curve based on the observed data will continue. However, this may not always be the case. For example, if ACI failures occurred mainly in the early observed years, longer-term observations would show a levelling off. However, this may apply only after successful ACI. Bhosale et al.,108 from Oswestry, in a series of 80 patients, reported that success at 15 months was sustained, but average follow-up was for only 5 years. The Nawaz study80 suggests that when ACI is most successful, the survival curve shows some levelling off by about 7 years, whereas in those in whom it fails, the curve shows a linear decline.
  • The lack of data on the benefits of MF compared with debridement alone is a problem. (And it is worth remembering that in a previous assessment report, we noted a lack of evidence for debridement and lavage over non-operative approaches.3)
  • We relied heavily on the Nawaz study.80 We confirmed with the lead author that the patients in the ACI arm of the Bentley trial,78 and the cohort in the long-term outcome study by Biant et al.,79 were included. Before obtaining that information, we had included the Bentley78 and Biant79 studies on pooled survival analysis. Curiously, removing them worsened the ACI results, despite them having, in some ways, patients with poorer prognostic factors. For example, the proportions having previous repair attempts were 34% in Nawaz, 94% in Bentley and 73% in Biant. The patients in the Bentley78 and Biant79 studies were from the earliest days (1998–2001) and were ‘salvage’ cases after means of 1.7 and 1.3 previous procedures, respectively.
  • The reason for the better results in the Minas series136 than in the Nawaz study80 is not clear. The Minas136 patients all had MACI. The definitions of failure may explain some of the difference, with failure in Minas136 very surgically defined, such that some failures in the Nawaz study might not have been classed as failure by Minas et al.136
  • Another variable that may cause differences in outcomes could be differences in comparator treatments, such as drilling and MF. After MF, microscopic cracks form around the holes. These do not occur when bone is drilled. So MF may do more damage to the subchondral bone.
  • As noted, there are rather more long-term studies of ACI than of MF. Why are there so few of MF? Could it be that long-term results are poor and that people with data do not publish it? Should the questions in this appraisal have included: Should MF be done at all, irrespective of whether ACI is available?
  • The evidence base has many deficiencies. One is that older studies tended to recruit patients who had had previous attempts at repair, and these may give a misleadingly pessimistic picture of how ACI would perform if used as first procedure.

Other issues

Asymptomatic lesions

The BASK UK39 Consensus recommends that patients should have conservative treatment with physical therapy before being considered for cartilage repair. Many will become asymptomatic and will no longer qualify for ACI according to the NICE scope. However, their cartilage defect will not recover spontaneously, and they are likely to develop OA in later years. Should they be considered for ACI?

The Dutch Orthopaedic Association recommends treatment of asymptomatic ICRS grade 5 lesions.22

Osteoarthritis

The NICE scope excludes people with ‘advanced osteoarthritis’. OA can be defined as generalised degenerative change affecting both sides of an articulation. ACI is used for isolated cartilage defects. There can be isolated defects on both surfaces (‘kissing lesions’), which could be considered for ACI if the rest of the joint is in good order. Patients with only early OA (less than grade 2 which has definite osteophytes and possible joint space narrowing) could have been included in some trials. However, no details for such a subgroup are given in the results. In the TIG/ACT trial,43 patients with advanced OA (as defined by radiographic atlas OA grade 2–3) were excluded.

A systematic review of cartilage repair in early OA by de Windt et al.166 found evidence of benefit in those having various forms of ACI, ranging from ACI-P to MACI. Early OA was defined in different ways in the nine case series, and de Windt et al.166 described the studies as being of ‘generally low methodological quality’. Nevertheless, they reported that outcomes to 9 years were good, and suggested that ACI in early OA might be used to postpone TKR, but recommended a RCT.

There may, therefore, be a place for ACI in early OA, even if only to postpone TKR until patients are older, and some of the ICERs reported earlier are within the acceptable range. However, the evidence base is much weaker than for purely chondral lesions.

However, if ACI were to be restricted based on radiological signs of OA, there are some problems to be considered. One of the difficulties in comparing the results of studies involving patients with OA is the definition of the disease and the assessment of its severity. The European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) definition of OA emphasises the importance of pain and functional loss alongside physical changes in the joint, but this definition is hard to objectively apply in research terms, and symptoms are significantly influenced by environmental and psychosocial factors.167170

There is a variable relationship between symptoms and structural changes in OA and it is recognised that plain radiographs, MRI and arthroscopic findings do not universally correlate with pain or physical function.171173

The most common method for assessing structural changes in knee OA is plain radiography, graded using the Kellgren–Lawrence classification.174 Care has to be taken in interpreting plain radiographic findings, as Kellgren–Lawrence grades have moderate, but not strong, correlations with other measures of structural change, such as MRI measures of OA or operative findings.175180

The Kellgren–Lawrence classification is a widely accepted tool in OA research and good reliability has been quoted in series in which the assessors were experienced in its use.173,178 However, it is based on a subjective assessment of structural changes and different authors often apply different criteria to define the boundaries between the grades, making comparisons across studies difficult.181

The boundary between Kellgren–Lawrence grades 2 and 3 is often difficult to define, as the interpretation of ‘possible’ and ‘definite’ joint space narrowing can be very subjective.182 However, this is not so important when considering suitability for ACI, as the Nawaz study80 showed that there was little difference in outcomes. The distinction between lower Kellgren–Lawrence grades is also difficult and is dependent on the interpretation of small osteophytes, which can variably give a score of 0, 1 or 2, depending on the exact definitions used and the radiological technique.181

The diagnosis of OA is often made based on the combination of symptoms and a Kellgren–Lawrence grade of ‘2 or more’, despite evidence that Kellgren–Lawrence grade of 1 (‘doubtful osteophytes’) has a high chance of progressing to ‘2 or more’ with time.183,184

The studies in this review have varied in terms of their reporting of the radiological assessment, and definitions were not always clearly defined in the reports, which may explain some of the variance in findings between studies. For example, relatively little detail is given in the Minas paper185 on the radiological assessment and the Kellgren–Lawrence paper is not referenced, whereas the radiological grading is reported in detail by Nawaz et al.80 A relatively high proportion of cases with Kellgren–Lawrence grade 2 or above were reported by Knutsen,67 which may explain the poor results for ACI in this series in comparison to others.

Defining OA is problematic. A big cartilage lesion with pain and some joint space loss could variably be defined as no, mild or moderate OA.

Age threshold for knee replacement

In our modelling we have assumed that TKR would not be performed for people with OA until age 55 years or later. We used that age restriction because knee replacements do not last for ever, and replacing a replacement is more difficult, more expensive and less successful than the first replacement, and may not last as long.

With increasing longevity, it may no longer be the case that a knee replacement in someone over 60 years is likely to last them all of their days. Perhaps especially in women who live longer. However, a TKR in a younger person with OA is very likely to need replacement. (This may not apply to people having knee replacement because of inflammatory arthritis because their activity, and hence the stresses put upon the prosthesis, will often be limited by problems with other joints.)

In the National Joint Registry 2015 report,157 figure 3.16 shows that the probability of a first revision after TKR is higher in people who have replacements at younger ages. Those who have TKR under the age of 55 years have a 12% probability of it being replaced by 11 years, which is more than double the risk after first TKR at older ages.

It is therefore a major decision to carry out TKR in people with OA under the age of 60 years, and very few are done. It should be noted that TKR is rarely an absolute necessity. The aim is to reduce pain, and that can be done in other ways, such as with analgesics or reducing activity.

It should also be borne in mind that TKR does not fully restore knee function. The TKR does not move like a normal knee, and younger, active patients may find function on stairs and slopes disappointing.

Autologous chondrocyte implantation can restore normal function in younger patients. In patients who are older but too young for TKR, but who do not have generalised wear and tear, ACI may help bridge the gap to TKR, even if the results are not as good as in younger patients with only an isolated chondral defect.

Body mass index

Jaiswal et al.186 from Stanmore reported a lack of benefit from ACI or MACI in patients with BMI score of over 30 kg/m2, though this was based on small numbers in the high BMI group. Their data came from the trial of MACI versus ACI. In 53 patients with BMI scores of under 25 kg/m2, 82% of patients had a good or excellent result. In the overweight group (BMI 25–30 kg/m2) 49% (22 of 45) had a good or excellent result, whereas only one of 18 patients with BMI over 30 kg/m2 had a good result.

Mithöfer et al.82 also reported worse outcomes in those with BMI score of over 30 kg/m2. Behery et al.83 reported no correlation but had data on only eight patients.

Data on the effect of high BMI on outcomes of cartilage repair is sparse. Jaiswal et al.186 reported that their literature review found few previous studies. In most studies, mean BMI scores were well below 30 kg/m2, perhaps because cartilage injuries occur largely in people active in sports. Jaiswal used the term ‘obese’ but some sportsmen with high BMI scores may be lean but very muscular.

Similar findings have been reported for MF by Asik et al.,106 with better results in those with BMI score of less than 25 kg/m2.

Research needs

Recommendations for research made in the systematic reviews.

Some of the recommendations made in the reviews are now out of date and are not included here. Other recommendations include:

  • High-quality clinical trials are needed, fulfilling the following criteria:
    • Multicentre, adequate sample size with long-term follow-up (preferably 5–10 years).
    • Patients in trials should be stratified based on BMI, defect location, post-debridement defect size and previous cartilage repair.
    • Transparent patient enrolment with clearly stated inclusion and exclusion criteria.
    • Proper independently performed randomisation techniques.
    • No concurrent surgical interventions (anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction, realignment osteotomy, meniscal surgery, etc.), consistent surgical technique.
    • Use of validated, responsive and reliable patient-orientated outcome measures; clear reporting of data with a statement of both clinical relevance and significance; and use of independent assessors.
    • Further information is needed on the relationship between clinical, histological and radiological outcomes, and the most appropriate measure of functional outcomes that relates to a generic measure of health-related QoL.
  • Cohort studies of long-term effects (≥ 10 years) are needed.
  • Research is needed to explain lack of return to sports by some patients.
  • Prospective long-term studies are needed to determine if articular cartilage repair in athletes can influence the high incidence of OA associated with high-impact sports.
  • More studies should be done on the maturation process of finally formed repair tissue and on appropriate rehabilitation programmes for the different techniques.

Fourth-generation autologous chondrocyte implantation

There are several lines of investigation.

Mesenchymal cells

It has been suggested that mesenchymal stem cells from bone marrow can be used as an alternative to ACI and that their reproduction is less affected by age. (For reviews see Nakamura et al.187 and Perera et al.188)

A review of scaffold-based repair by Filardo et al.189 mentions another option, using mesenchymal stem cells and a degradable scaffold, covered with fibrin.190

The ASCOT trial191 will compare repairs with chondrocytes and bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells, and with the combination of both.

INSTRUCT

This appears to be a one-stage procedure mixing chondrocytes and bone marrow cells, without cell culture. Cells from a biopsy of cartilage are mixed with bone marrow cells then seeded into a porous scaffold, which is then implanted into the defect. Evidence comes from a poster by Hendriks et al.192 So far, only 37 patients had reached 12-month follow-up, of whom 72% had hyaline cartilage on biopsy.

Cartilage implantation

The development here is that instead of implanting cultured chondrocytes into the defect, the autologous chondrocytes are used to grow new cartilage in the laboratory, which is then implanted.193

Gel-type autologous chondrocyte implantation

Gel-type ACI appears to be a new variant without using membrane or periosteum, but using cells held in place with fibrin. Choi et al.194 report a case series with 98 patients. There do not appear to have been RCTs against standard ACI.

Single-stage procedures

Cole et al.89 report a RCT with 29 patients, comparing MF (nine patients) with a cartilage autograft implantation system (CAIS) in which chondrocytes are not sent for culture. Instead, hyaline cartilage is harvested in similar amount as for traditional ACI, but then minced and attached to a biodegradable scaffold with fibrin glue, in a single operation. Results at 24 months showed some advantages for the CAIS group, with IKDC score 83 for CAIS and 60 for MF, and KOOS also better.

Other cells

Mizuno et al.195 report that ear cartilage cells can be used, at least in dogs.

New forms of microfracture

Filardo et al.189 report five case series of autologous matrix-induced chondrogenesis, which combines MF with a collagen matrix to stabilise the blood clot. Long-term results are not yet available.

Siclari et al.196 used a combination of MF and a cell-free hyaluronan cap that had been immersed in autologous plasma in 52 patients. At 2 years, KOOS results showed good improvement. Biopsies were taken from four patients and showed hyaline or hyaline-like repair tissue.

Metal or plastic patches for knees

These were excluded by NICE as comparators, but sound sufficiently promising to be used in trials. They may not be suitable for younger patients but might be an option for the 40–60 years subgroup, perhaps in order to postpone knee replacement.

The HemiCAP® (Arthrosurface, Franklin, MA, USA)197 is used for resurfacing localised damage in femoral condyles, and is described by the manufacturer as a ‘contoured articular resurfacing implant’, and as ‘bridging the gap between biological therapies and TKR’. The evidence base seems to consist of a few case series with no RCTs:

  • Patello Femoral HemiCAP®198
  • UniCAP®199
  • HemiCAP® Classic.200

The BioPoly™ RS Knee System201 (Schwartz Biomedical, Fort Wayne, IN, USA) is CE marked for sale in the European Union. It is a hyaluronic and polythene implant for repairing the joint surface.

The Episealer (Episurf AB, Stockholm, Sweden)202 comes in two forms, for femoral condyle and trochlea, and is described as a small metallic button with implants tailored for each patient.

These products are said to allow rapid return to activities, unlike the long rehabilitation that is required after ACI. A recent study203 reported that after ACI or MF followed by a long period of rehabilitation, 33% and 26% of sportspeople did not regain full quadriceps power after MF and ACI, respectively. Another study204 reported good results after ACI-P, with 26 of 33 patients having good or excellent results at 10 years, but also noted that patients did not return to full pre-injury activity levels. This may be partly due to the long lay-off during the rehabilitation process. However, those who return to previous activity too early have poorer outcomes than those who wait at least 12 months.205

Conclusion

The evidence base for ACI has improved since the last appraisal by NICE. In most analyses, the ICERs for ACI compared with MF appear to be within a range usually considered acceptable.

The evidence base for ACI is much better than for MF.

Copyright © Queen’s Printer and Controller of HMSO 2017. This work was produced by Mistry et al. under the terms of a commissioning contract issued by the Secretary of State for Health. This issue may be freely reproduced for the purposes of private research and study and extracts (or indeed, the full report) may be included in professional journals provided that suitable acknowledgement is made and the reproduction is not associated with any form of advertising. Applications for commercial reproduction should be addressed to: NIHR Journals Library, National Institute for Health Research, Evaluation, Trials and Studies Coordinating Centre, Alpha House, University of Southampton Science Park, Southampton SO16 7NS, UK.

Included under terms of UK Non-commercial Government License.

Bookshelf ID: NBK424062

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