TABLE D-18Projected U.S.-Trained Postdoctorates and Positions for U.S.-Trained Postdoctorates by Field, Alternative Scenarios, 2001–2011

Field and Year Postdocs in Workforce Projected Positions from Trend Over
Medium High Low 5 years 20 years
Biomedical
2001 12,711 12,711 12,711 11,655 11,655
2002 12,726 12,820 12,627 11,682 12,787
2003 12,819 13,025 12,613 11,473 13,186
2004 12,950 13,278 12,617 11,263 13,584
2005 13,214 13,686 12,739 11,054 13,982
2006 13,515 14,149 12,882 10,845 14,380
2007 13,916 14,721 13,111 10,636 14,779
2008 14,291 15,282 13,309 10,426 15,177
2009 14,695 15,871 13,524 10,217 15,575
2010 15,052 16,416 13,690 10,008 15,973
2011 15,392 16,948 13,843 9,799 16,371
Clinical
2001 507 507 507 415 415
2002 546 554 540 364 470
2003 585 601 570 336 487
2004 620 643 594 307 503
2005 659 694 623 278 520
2006 705 751 658 249 537
2007 750 808 690 221 554
2008 785 855 713 192 571
2009 813 895 727 163 588
2010 834 930 735 134 605
2011 859 967 744 106 622
Behavioral
2001 2,391 2,391 2,391 2,093 2,093
2002 2,527 2,543 2,512 1,907 2,157
2003 2,651 2,685 2,617 1,784 2,226
2004 2,746 2,800 2,693 1,662 2,296
2005 2,842 2,917 2,765 1,539 2,366
2006 2,905 3,002 2,806 1,417 2,435
2007 2,968 3,090 2,845 1,294 2,505
2008 3,021 3,167 2,873 1,172 2,575
2009 3,072 3,245 2,900 1,049 2,645
2010 3,109 3,308 2,912 927 2,714
2011 3,144 3,369 2,919 804 2,784

SOURCE: NRC analysis.

From: Appendix D, Demographic Projections of the Research Workforce, 2001–2011

Cover of Advancing the Nation's Health Needs
Advancing the Nation's Health Needs: NIH Research Training Programs.
National Research Council (US) Committee for Monitoring the Nation's Changing Needs for Biomedical, Behavioral, and Clinical Personnel.
Washington (DC): National Academies Press (US); 2005.
Copyright © 2005, National Academy of Sciences.

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