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Faculty of Law and Criminal Justice, School of Criminal Justice, Institute of Forensic Science, University of Lausanne, le Batochime, 1015 Lausanne-Dorigny, Switzerland. alex.biedermann@unil.ch.
ABSTRACT: Prior probabilities represent a core element of the Bayesian probabilistic approach to relatedness testing. This letter opinions on the commentary Use of prior odds for missing persons identifications by Budowle et al., published recently in this journal. Contrary to Budowle et al., we argue that the concept of prior probabilities (i) is not endowed with the notion of objectivity, (ii) is not a case for computation, and (iii) does not require new guidelines edited by the forensic DNA community--as long as probability is properly considered as an expression of personal belief.
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