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RISCARD

Derivation of prognostic modelMenotti 2001104
Menotti 2002103
Location & dateECCIS-SCS Gubbio
Population characteristicsN=9771
N=9,089 (RISCARD)
Age 35–74
5–15 year follow-up
Inclusion, co-morbidity
Risk factorsAge
Sex
Mean blood pressure
Non-HDL cholesterol
HDL cholesterol
Smoking
Diabetes
BMI
Heart rate
OutcomeHard CHD
Hard CVD
Hard cerebrovascular
Prediction period5 years
Statistical methodsLog-linear model incorporating Weibull hazard distribution; accelerated time failure model
PracticalModels for older and younger people
Computer program (RISCARD)
Authors notes
Modifications, tools or guidelines
External validation
Convergent validation
Trials of health outcomes

From: Appendix 3, Prognostic models or risk scoring methods for use in targeting primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases (part completed)

Cover of A Systematic Review of Risk Scoring Methods and Clinical Decision Aids Used in the Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease (Supplement)
A Systematic Review of Risk Scoring Methods and Clinical Decision Aids Used in the Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease (Supplement) [Internet].
NICE Clinical Guidelines, No. 67S.
Beswick AD, Brindle P, Fahey T, et al.
Copyright © 2008, Royal College of General Practitioners.

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