Northwick Park

Derivation of prognostic modelMiller et al. 199781
Location & dateNorthwick Park Heart Study, North London, UK
Date not specified
Population characteristicsAge 40–64
N=1511
100% men
100% white
Occupational cohort
5 year follow up
Inclusion, co-morbidity
Risk factorsBody mass index
Cholesterol
Systolic blood pressure
Smoking (current) (also version including fibrinogen and Factor VIIc)
OutcomeCHD (fatal and non-fatal)
Prediction period5 years
Statistical methodsMultiple linear regression analysis
PracticalRisk equation
Authors notes
Modifications, tools or guidelinesIncrease risk by 50% if family history of premature ischaemic heart disease
External validation
Convergent validation
Trials of health outcomes

From: Appendix 3, Prognostic models or risk scoring methods for use in targeting primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases (part completed)

Cover of A Systematic Review of Risk Scoring Methods and Clinical Decision Aids Used in the Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease (Supplement)
A Systematic Review of Risk Scoring Methods and Clinical Decision Aids Used in the Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease (Supplement) [Internet].
NICE Clinical Guidelines, No. 67S.
Beswick AD, Brindle P, Fahey T, et al.
Copyright © 2008, Royal College of General Practitioners.

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