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    Am J Obstet Gynecol. 1993 Feb;168(2):480-4.

    Predictors of human gestational length.

    Source

    Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health.

    Abstract

    OBJECTIVES:

    Our objective was to identify statistically significant variables that determine the length of human gestation.

    STUDY DESIGN:

    Multiple linear regression was used to analyze 9355 observations from the Delivery Interview Program, a cross-sectional study conducted from 1977 through 1980 at the Boston Hospital for Women (now called the Brigham and Women's Hospital).

    RESULTS:

    Maternal parity, age, and race were found to be the most important variables determining the length of human gestation. Multiparous women, women aged < 19 or > 34 years, and black women were found to have shorter gestations than primiparous women, women aged 19 to 34 years, or white women.

    CONCLUSION:

    By means of our linear model the length of pregnancy for women with different risk factors can be estimated more precisely than Naegele's rule allows.

    PMID:
    8438913
    [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

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