Estimating African-American mortality from inaccurate data

Demography. 1994 Aug;31(3):427-58.

Abstract

This paper evaluates the quality of vital statistics and census data for estimating African-American mortality over a period of six decades. The authors employ intercensal cohort comparisons and extinct generation estimates to demonstrate that conventionally constructed African-American death rates may be seriously flawed as early as age 50. Using the crude death rate at ages 50+ for 1978-1982 in conjunction with estimated growth rates and two model life table systems, the authors estimate black age-specific death rates in 1978-1982. These results suggest that if a racial crossover in death rates occurs, the age pattern of mortality among African-Americans must be far outside the range observed in populations with more accurate data.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Bias
  • Black or African American / statistics & numerical data*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cohort Studies
  • Death Certificates
  • Demography
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Life Tables
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality*
  • United States / epidemiology
  • Vital Statistics