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    J Theor Biol. 1985 Jan 21;112(2):403-27.

    Nearly one dimensional dynamics in an epidemic.

    Schaffer WM, Kot M.

    The incidence of measles in New York City and Baltimore was studied using recently developed techniques in nonlinear dynamics. The data, monthly case reports for the years 1928-1963, suggest almost two dimensional, chaotic flows whose essential attributes are captured by one dimensional, unimodal maps. The effects of noise, inevitable in ecological and epidemiological systems are discussed.

    PMID: 3982045 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

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