2-[¹⁸F]FDG PET-based quantification of lymph node metabolic heterogeneity for predicting lymph node metastasis in patients with colorectal cancer

Background and purpose: The pre-surgical estimation of lymph node (LN) metastasis in colorectal cancer (CRC) poses a significant diagnostic predicament. The associations between LN morphology, density, and metabolic heterogeneity and LN metastasis status in CRCs have been seldomly examined through the lens of radiomics. This research aimed to assess 2-[¹⁸F]FDG PET-based quantification of intratumoral metabolic heterogeneity for predicting lymph node metastasis in patients with colorectal cancer.

Materials and methods: The construction of the model utilized data from 264 CRC patients, all of whom underwent preoperative 2-[¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT. Radiomic features were extracted from PET and CT images of LNs. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was implemented for selecting pertinent imaging features with a tenfold cross-validation. The predictive accuracy for LN metastasis status was juxtaposed against traditional methodologies (comprising CT-reported LN status and PET/CT-reported LN status) by deploying the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The radiomics signature was evaluated based on discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility parameters. The model was further subjected to validation using an independent cohort of 132 patients from the period of January 2012 to June 2020.

Results: The radiomics model was composed of eight significant radiomic features (five from PET and three from CT), encapsulating metabolic and density heterogeneity. The radiomics signature (area under the curve (AUC), 0.908) showcased a significantly superior performance compared to CT-reported LN status (AUC, 0.563, P < 0.001) and PET/CT-reported LN status (AUC, 0.64, P < 0.001) for predicting LN-positive or LN-negative status. The radiomics signature (AUC, 0.885) also showcased a significantly superior performance compared to CT-reported LN status (AUC, 0.587, P < 0.001) and PET/CT-reported LN status (AUC, 0.621, P < 0.001) to identify N1 and N2. This signature maintained its independence from clinical risk factors and exhibited robustness in the validation test set. Decision curve analysis attested to the clinical utility of the radiomics signature.

Conclusions: The radiomics signature based on 2-[¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT, which derived image features directly from LNs irrespective of clinical risk factors, displayed enhanced diagnostic performance compared to conventional CT or PET/CT-reported LN status. This allows for the identification of pre-surgical LN metastasis status and facilitates a patient-specific prediction of LN metastasis status in CRC patients.