Mortality in Two Waves of COVID-19: A Comparative Analysis of a Tertiary Care Hospital in India

Cureus. 2023 Sep 11;15(9):e45025. doi: 10.7759/cureus.45025. eCollection 2023 Sep.

Abstract

Background COVID-19 has spread as two distinct surges of cases in many countries. Several countries have reported differences in disease severity and mortality in the two waves. Objective Compare the in-hospital mortality in the two COVID-19 waves at a tertiary care hospital in India. Methods We conducted a retrospective data collection. Distinct periods of surges in cases and admissions were defined as the first wave spanning from March 2020 to December 2020 and the second wave from April 2021 to June 21, 2021. The primary outcome of this study was to compare mortality rates in terms of total hospital mortality rate (TMR) and case fatality rate (CFR). Results Mortality rates of wave 2 were approximately 10 times that of wave 1 (TMR of 20.3% in wave 2 versus 2.4% in wave 1 and CFR of 1.5% versus 17.7% in wave 1 and 2, respectively). Mortalities in wave 2 had a larger proportion of severe disease at presentation, faster progression of symptoms to death, and more patients without any chronic comorbid condition dying due to the direct effect of COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Conclusion Our data matches the worldwide reported pooled hospital mortality figures and shows the comparative difference in disease severity between the two waves.

Keywords: case fatality rate.; covid wave 1; covid wave 2; covid-19; total mortality rate.