Impact of time between faecal immunochemical tests in colorectal cancer screening on screening results: A natural experiment

Repeated rounds of faecal immunochemical testing (FIT) for occult blood is a common method for screening for colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the time interval between FIT rounds is not thoroughly investigated. In a CRC screening trial in South-Eastern Norway, individuals were invited for biennial FIT between 2012 and 2019. The positivity threshold was >15 mcg haemoglobin/g faeces (mcg/g). Due to organizational challenges, the interval between screening rounds randomly varied between 1.5 and 3.5 years, forming a natural experiment. We investigated the detection rate of CRC and advanced neoplasia (AN: CRC or advanced adenoma) at the subsequent round (FIT₂ ), according to the faecal haemoglobin concentration (f-Hb) at the initial screening round (FIT₁ ), and time between the two screening rounds. 18 522 individuals with negative FIT₁ who attended FIT₂ were included in this study. 245 AN were detected at FIT₂ , of which 34 were CRC. The CRC detection rate at FIT₂ for participants with FIT₁ = 0 mcg/g was 0.09% while it was 0.28% for participant with 0 > FIT₁ ≤ 15 mcg/g; odds ratio (OR) 3.22, 95% CI 1.49-6.95. For each 3 months' increment between FITs, the OR for detecting CRC was 1.33 (95% CI 0.98-1.79), while the OR was 1.13 (1.02-1.26) for AN. Individuals with FIT₁ -value of 0 mcg/g, had a lower AN detection rate compared with participants with 0 > FIT₁ ≤ 15 mcg/g, irrespective of time between tests. Although CRC and AN detection rates increase with increasing time interval between FITs, individuals with undetectable f-Hb at first screen have substantially lower risk of CRC at the next screening round compared with individuals with detectable f-Hb.