Alkaline phosphatase and score of HRCT as indicators for predicting the severity of COVID-19

Background: The clinical symptoms, blood laboratory data, O2 saturation and high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) findings are critical factors in diagnosis of COVID-19 infection.

Methods: In this study, 105 hospitalized patients suspected of having COVID-19 were evaluated. Finally, the laboratory and HRCT and related factors data of 83 confirmed cases by HRCT and RT-PCR were analyzed. To compare the median of quantitative variables in the two groups, the Mann-Whitney U test was used. Also, to determine the factors associated with the positiveness of the HRCT result, a univariate logistic model was fitted. Moreover, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to test the ability of the final model to predict the positiveness of HRCT result.

Results: 61.40% of the patients had a comorbidity disease. 89.20% had fever, 92.00% cough, 91.40% dyspnea. Abnormal CRP was seen in 77.80% of the patients, followed by 66.70% lymphopenia, and 60.30% neutrophilia. Also, ALP (abnormal vs. normal) and score of HRCT assessment variables had a significant effect on the positiveness of HRCT findings. 87.95% had abnormal HRCT with 41% bilateral multi lobar patchy ground glass opacity (GGO). Moreover, there was a statistically significant association between the level of O2 saturation and HRCT results.

Conclusion: Our findings showed that male patients with middle age and comorbidity disease were more susceptible to the COVID-19 infection. Additionally, clinical features, blood laboratory findings, O2 saturation and HRCT findings are critical factors in the prognosis of COVID-19 infection.