Impact of a Nationwide Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 Transmissibility, Italy

Emerg Infect Dis. 2021 Jan;27(1):267-270. doi: 10.3201/eid2701.202114. Epub 2020 Oct 20.

Abstract

On March 11, 2020, Italy imposed a national lockdown to curtail the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. We estimate that, 14 days after lockdown, the net reproduction number had dropped below 1 and remained stable at »0.76 (95% CI 0.67-0.85) in all regions for >3 of the following weeks.

Keywords: COVID-19; Italy; SARS; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus disease; lockdown; reproduction number; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; transmissibility; viruses; zoonoses.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19 / epidemiology*
  • COVID-19 / prevention & control*
  • COVID-19 / transmission
  • Communicable Disease Control / methods*
  • Humans
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Public Health
  • SARS-CoV-2*
  • Time Factors