Our previous studies demonstrated promising outcomes after haploidentical donor transplant combined with unrelated umbilical cord blood (haplo-cord- hematopoietic stem cell transplantation [HSCT]) for hematological disorders. However, clinical profiling regarding chronic graft-versus-host disease (cGVHD) has not yet been fully described under this protocol. This study analyzed the clinical characteristics of cGVHD among 300 patients with hematological malignancies who received haplo-cord-HSCT between January 2012 and July 2016 at our center. During the follow-up, the 5-year cumulative incidence of cGVHD based on the National Institutes of Health (NIH) consensus criteria was 32.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 28.7-35.7); the 5-year cumulative incidence of moderate to severe cGVHD was 11.4% (95% CI, 9.4-13.4). After the multivariate analysis, the GVHD overall survival (GOS) was associated with relapse, thrombocytopenia, bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome, and steroid-refractory cGVHD. The infused CD34+ cells (≥3.46 × 106/kg) from haploidentical grafts were a protective factor affecting GOS. This study proposed a nomogram for predicting GOS using the aforementioned five variables. The concordance index was 0.877 (95% CI, 0.859-0.895) for the accuracy evaluation of the nomogram. Our results suggested that the 5-year cumulative incidence of NIH-defined cGVHD after haplo-cord-HSCT was 32.2%, and this nomogram may help clinicians select reasonable treatment strategies.
Keywords: National Institutes of Health criteria; chronic graft-versus-host disease; haploidentical hematopoietic stem cell transplantation; nomogram; umbilical cord blood.