Predictive accuracy of Sepsis-3 definitions for mortality among adult critically ill patients with suspected infection

Chin Med J (Engl). 2019 May 20;132(10):1147-1153. doi: 10.1097/CM9.0000000000000166.

Abstract

Background: Sepsis-3 definitions have been published recently; however, their diagnostic value remains controversial. This study was to assess the accuracy of Sepsis-3 definitions compared to Sepsis-1 definitions by stratifying mortality among adult critically ill patients with suspected infection.

Methods: A multicenter, prospective cohort study was conducted from November 10, 2017 to October 10, 2018, in five Intensive Care Units (ICUs) at four teaching hospitals. Thirty-day mortality was compared across categories for both Sepsis-3 definitions and Sepsis-1 definitions, which were evaluated by logistic regression analysis followed by measurement of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for predicting 30-day mortality rates.

Results: Of the 749 enrolled patients, 644 (85.9%) were diagnosed with sepsis according to the Sepsis-1 definitions. Among those patients, 362 were diagnosed with septic shock (362/749, 48.3%). However, according to the Sepsis-3 definitions, there were 483 patients with a diagnosis of sepsis (483/749, 64.5%), among whom 299 patients were diagnosed with septic shock (299/749, 39.9%). According to the Sepsis-3 definitions, sepsis (sepsis and septic shock) patients had higher 30-day mortality (41.8%) than sepsis patients according to the Sepsis-1 definitions (31.8%, χ = 5.552, P = 0.020). The AUROC of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) scores with regard to 30-day mortality rates were 0.609 (0.566-0.652) and 0.694 (0.654-0.733), respectively. However, the AUROC of SOFA scores (0.828 [0.795-0.862]) were significantly higher than that of SIRS or qSOFA scores (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: In adult critically ill patients with suspected infection, the Sepsis-3 definitions were relatively accurate in stratifying mortality and were superior to the Sepsis-1 definitions.

Trial registration: www.chictr.org.cn (ChiCTR-OOC-17013223).

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Critical Illness
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Intensive Care Units
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Organ Dysfunction Scores
  • Prospective Studies
  • ROC Curve
  • Sepsis / diagnosis*
  • Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome / diagnosis