Development and validation of a simple integer risk score for prediction of in-hospital mortality following Takotsubo syndrome

Heart Lung. 2016 Nov-Dec;45(6):510-514. doi: 10.1016/j.hrtlng.2016.08.009. Epub 2016 Sep 24.

Abstract

Background: Data regarding the characteristics associated with worse outcomes in Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) patients is lacking.

Methods and objectives: The National Inpatient Sample (NIS) 2012 database was utilized to calculate a risk score for in-hospital mortality following TTS that was internally and externally validated in both 2012 and 2013 databases, respectively.

Results: The incidences of in-hospital mortality in the 2012 development sample were 0.2%, 3.2% and 15.6% in the low risk (≤2), intermediate risk (3-4) and high-risk (≥5) score groups, respectively. The risk score C-statistics were 0.86 and 0.88 in the development and external validation samples, respectively (p < 0.001). Age ≥ 80 year was associated with the highest odds ratio (OR) of mortality (OR 8.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) 5.79-11.25). Other important predictors were acute cerebrovascular accident and acute respiratory failure.

Conclusions: The risk of in-hospital mortality following TTS could be predicted using a simple risk score, which could aid in identifying and proper management of a higher risk group.

Keywords: Heart failure; Mortality; Risk model; Stress cardiomyopathy; Takotsubo syndrome.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Female
  • Hospital Mortality / trends
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Inpatients*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Odds Ratio
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Factors
  • Takotsubo Cardiomyopathy / epidemiology*