Risk of mortality associated to chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a 13-year follow-up

Nefrologia. 2015;35(5):487-92. doi: 10.1016/j.nefro.2015.05.025. Epub 2015 Jul 8.
[Article in English, Spanish]

Abstract

Objective: Our aim was to assess the usefulness of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and urinary albumin excretion (UAE) to predict the risk of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Material and methods: This is a prospective cohort study in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Clinical end-point was mortality rate. GFR was measured in ml/min/1.73 m2 and stratified in 3 categories (≥60; 45-59; <45); UAE was measured in mg/24hours and was also stratified in 3 categories (<30; 30-300; >300). Mortality rates were reported per 1000 patient-years. Cox regression models were used to predict mortality risk associated with combined GFR and UAE. The predictive power was estimated with C-Harrell statistic.

Results: A total of 453 patients (39.3% males), aged 64.9 (SD 9.3) years were included; mean diabetes duration was 10.4 (SD 7.5) years. Median follow-up was 13 years. Total mortality rate was 39.5/1000. The progressive increase in mortality in the successive categories of GFR and UAE was statistically significant (P<.001). In a multivariable analysis, UAE (HR30-300=1.02 and HR>300=2.83; X2=11.6; P =.003) and GFR (HR45-59=1.34 and HR<45=1.84; X2=6.4; P =.041) were independent predictors for mortality, with no significant interaction. Simultaneous inclusion of GFR and UAE improved the predictive power of models (C-Harrell 0.741 vs. 0.726; P =.045).

Conclusions: GFR and UAE are independent predictors for mortality in type 2 diabetic patients and do not show a statistically significant interaction.

Keywords: Chronic renal failure; Diabetes mellitus tipo 2; Insuficiencia renal crónica; Mortalidad; Mortality; Type 2 diabetes mellitus.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Albuminuria / epidemiology
  • Albuminuria / etiology
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / complications*
  • Diabetic Nephropathies / mortality*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Glomerular Filtration Rate
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality / trends
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • Renal Insufficiency, Chronic / mortality*
  • Risk