Two-hour diagnostic algorithms for early assessment of patients with acute chest pain--Implications of lowering the cardiac troponin I cut-off to the 97.5th percentile

Clin Chim Acta. 2015 May 20:445:19-24. doi: 10.1016/j.cca.2015.03.002. Epub 2015 Mar 11.

Abstract

Aims: Assessment of patients with suspected non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is based on cardiac troponin (cTn) levels with the 99th percentile as cut-off. However, cardiovascular risk starts already at lower troponin concentrations. We therefore, aimed to investigate the utility of 2-hour algorithms using the high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) 97.5th percentile as cut-off which corresponds to the standard URL for most biomarkers.

Methods: Hs-cTnI was measured at presentation and 2h in 1624 chest pain patients. Diagnostic algorithms were developed applying hs-cTnI levels dichotomized at the 99th and 97.5th percentiles combined with hs-cTnI changes and/or ECG findings.

Results: The prevalence of NSTEMI was 13.9%. The adjusted odds ratios for 1-year mortality were 2.7 (95% CI 1.4-5.1) for the 99th percentile and 3.1 (95% CI 1.6-5.9) for the 97.5th percentile. The best-performing 99th percentile-based algorithms provided a positive predictive value (PPV) of 86.3% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 99.3%. Using 97.5th percentile-based algorithms to define NSTEMI resulted in few reclassifications and yielded similar diagnostic estimates (PPV 85.4%, NPV 99.4%).

Conclusion: The hs-cTnI 97.5th percentile integrated into 2-hour algorithms provided high diagnostic estimates and could, due to better prognostic properties serve as an alternative to the 99th percentile.

Keywords: Cardiac troponin; Chest pain; Diagnosis; Emergency department; Myocardial infarction.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Aged
  • Algorithms*
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Chest Pain / blood
  • Chest Pain / diagnosis*
  • Chest Pain / pathology
  • Early Diagnosis
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Infarction / blood
  • Myocardial Infarction / diagnosis*
  • Myocardial Infarction / pathology
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Survival Analysis
  • Troponin I / blood*

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Troponin I