Context effects produced by question orders reveal quantum nature of human judgments

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014 Jul 1;111(26):9431-6. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1407756111. Epub 2014 Jun 16.

Abstract

The hypothesis that human reasoning obeys the laws of quantum rather than classical probability has been used in recent years to explain a variety of seemingly "irrational" judgment and decision-making findings. This article provides independent evidence for this hypothesis based on an a priori prediction, called the quantum question (QQ) equality, concerning the effect of asking attitude questions successively in different orders. We empirically evaluated the predicted QQ equality using 70 national representative surveys and two laboratory experiments that manipulated question orders. Each national study contained 651-3,006 participants. The results provided strong support for the predicted QQ equality. These findings suggest that quantum probability theory, initially invented to explain noncommutativity of measurements in physics, provides a simple account for a surprising regularity regarding measurement order effects in social and behavioral science.

Keywords: attitude judgment; measurement effects; national surveys; quantum theory.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Attitude
  • Humans
  • Judgment / physiology*
  • Models, Psychological*
  • Probability Theory*
  • Surveys and Questionnaires*