Gastroenteric neuroendocrine neoplasms classification: comparison of prognostic models

Cancer. 2013 Jan 1;119(1):36-44. doi: 10.1002/cncr.27716. Epub 2012 Jun 28.

Abstract

Background: Gastroenteric neuroendocrine neoplasms (GE-NENs) display highly variable clinical behavior. In an attempt to assess a better prognostic description, in 2010, the World Health Organization (WHO) updated its previous classification, and the European Neuroendocrine Tumors Society (ENETS) proposed a new grading and TNM-based staging system. In the current study, the authors evaluated the prognostic significance of these models and compared their efficacy in describing patients' long-term survival to assess the best prognostic model currently available for clinicians.

Methods: The study cohort was composed of 145 patients with extrapancreatic GE-NEN who were observed from 1986 to 2008 at a single center and were classified according to the WHO and ENETS classifications. Survival evaluations were performed using Kaplan-Meyer analyses on 131 patients. Only deaths from neoplasia were considered. A P value < .05 was considered significant. Prognostic efficacy was assessed by determining the Harrell concordance index (c-index).

Results: Both the 2010 WHO and the ENETS classification were able to efficiently divide patients into classes with different prognoses. According to the model comparison, the ENETS TNM-based staging system appeared to be the strongest. All combined models were effective prognostic predictors, but the model that included the 2010 WHO classification plus ENETS staging had a higher c-index.

Conclusions: Both the 2010 WHO classification and the ENETS staging system are valid instruments for GE-NENs prognostic assessment, with TNM-based stage appearing to be the best available choice for clinicians, both alone and in association with other classifications.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Female
  • Gastrointestinal Neoplasms / classification*
  • Gastrointestinal Neoplasms / pathology
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Neoplasm Grading
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Neuroendocrine Tumors / classification*
  • Neuroendocrine Tumors / pathology
  • Prognosis
  • Survival Analysis