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    J Am Geriatr Soc. 2011 Jun;59(6):1069-73. doi: 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2011.03408.x. Epub 2011 Jun 7.

    The nonlinear relationship between gait speed and falls: the Maintenance of Balance, Independent Living, Intellect, and Zest in the Elderly of Boston Study.

    Source

    From the *Institute for Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Boston, Massachusetts; †Division of Gerontology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; and ‡Division of Preventive and Behavioral Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester, Massachusetts.

    Abstract

    OBJECTIVES:

    To examine the relationship between gait speed and falls risk.

    DESIGN:

    Longitudinal analysis of the association between gait speed and subsequent falls and analysis of gait speed decline as a predictor of future falls.

    SETTING:

    Population-based cohort study.

    PARTICIPANTS:

    Seven hundred sixty-three community-dwelling older adults underwent baseline assessments and were followed for falls; 600 completed an 18-month follow-up assessment to determine change in gait speed and were followed for subsequent falls.

    MEASUREMENTS:

    Gait speed was measured during a 4-m walk, falls data were collected from monthly post-card calendars, and covariates were collected from in-home and clinic visits.

    RESULTS:

    There was a U-shaped relationship between gait speed and falls, with participants with faster (≥1.3 m/s, incident rate ratio (IRR)=2.12, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.48-3.04) and slower (<0.6 m/s, IRR=1.60, 95% CI=1.06-2.42) gait speeds at higher risk than those with normal gait speeds (1.0-<1.3 m/s). In adjusted analyses, slower gait speeds were associated with greater risk of indoor falls (<0.6 m/s, IRR=2.17, 95% CI=1.33-3.55; 0.6-<1.0 m/s, IRR=1.45, 95% CI=1.08-1.94), and faster gait speed was associated with greater risk of outdoor falls (IRR=2.11, 95% CI=1.40-3.16). A gait speed decline of more than 0.15 m/s per year predicted greater risk of all falls (IRR=1.86, 95% CI=1.15-3.01).

    CONCLUSION:

    There is a nonlinear relationship between gait speed and falls, with a greater risk of outdoor falls in fast walkers and a greater risk of indoor falls in slow walkers.

    © 2011, Copyright the Authors. Journal compilation © 2011, The American Geriatrics Society.

    PMID:
    21649615
    [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
    PMCID:
    PMC3141220
    Free PMC Article

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