Estimated growth rates of most-common variants. Colors match Fig. 5; black diamonds denote founder-sequence frequency previously measured by SGA [4]; horizontal bars, 95% confidence-intervals; and

, the rate of accumulation of variants. The dashed line in CH40 denotes accumulation of the SLAFHHVAR in the first 2 weeks of the infection (estimated minimal escape rate,

= 0.44 day
−1, doubling time 1.6 days). Our previous SGA-sequence-derived estimates of the founder sequence loss rate were lower, 0.13 day
−1 (doubling time 5.3 days) and 0.10 day
−1 (doubling time 6.9 days) for WEAU Env AY9 and SUMA TAT epitopes, respectively [4].