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    J Natl Cancer Inst. 2010 May 5;102(9):605-13. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djq099. Epub 2010 Apr 22.

    Overdiagnosis in cancer.

    Source

    Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA. h.gilbert.welch@dartmouth.edu

    Abstract

    This article summarizes the phenomenon of cancer overdiagnosis-the diagnosis of a "cancer" that would otherwise not go on to cause symptoms or death. We describe the two prerequisites for cancer overdiagnosis to occur: the existence of a silent disease reservoir and activities leading to its detection (particularly cancer screening). We estimated the magnitude of overdiagnosis from randomized trials: about 25% of mammographically detected breast cancers, 50% of chest x-ray and/or sputum-detected lung cancers, and 60% of prostate-specific antigen-detected prostate cancers. We also review data from observational studies and population-based cancer statistics suggesting overdiagnosis in computed tomography-detected lung cancer, neuroblastoma, thyroid cancer, melanoma, and kidney cancer. To address the problem, patients must be adequately informed of the nature and the magnitude of the trade-off involved with early cancer detection. Equally important, researchers need to work to develop better estimates of the magnitude of overdiagnosis and develop clinical strategies to help minimize it.

    Comment in

    • Less is more: not "going the distance" and why. [J Natl Cancer Inst. 2011]
    • Re: Overdiagnosis in cancer. [J Natl Cancer Inst. 2010]
    • Solving the overdiagnosis dilemma. [J Natl Cancer Inst. 2010]
    PMID:
    20413742
    [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
    Free full text

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      • Overdiagnosis in cancer.
        Overdiagnosis in cancer.
        J Natl Cancer Inst. 2010 May 5 ;102(9):605-13. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djq099. Epub 2010 Apr 22 .
        PubMed

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