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PLoS Curr. 2009 Aug 22;1:RRN1009.

Swine origin influenza A (H1N1) virus and ICU capacity in the US: are we prepared?

Author information

  • 1EviMed Research Group, LLC, USA.

Abstract

We developed a model simulating the potential impact of influenza H1N1 pandemic on the volume of acute respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation (ARF-MV) and the accompanying mortality rate in the US. We calculate that 46 million people will contract the infection, resulting in 2.7 million hospitalizations, 331,587 episodes of ARF-MV and nearly 200,000 deaths, suggesting that the US may require the ability to provide MV at a volume approximately 33% over the current annual use.

PMID:
20025198
[PubMed]
PMCID:
PMC2762727
Free PMC Article
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