Abstract

OBJECTIVES:

To investigate which ultrasound or biochemical markers in both the first and the second trimesters are the best predictors for fetal growth and small-for-gestational age (SGA).

METHODS:

This was a prospective study of 619 Chinese women with a singleton pregnancy. At 11 to 13 + 6 weeks, fetal crown-rump length (CRL), placental volume (PlaV), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), and the maternal serum levels of pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (beta-hCG) were measured. Fetal biparietal diameter, femur length, abdominal and head circumference, PlaV and UtA-PI were then measured at 18-22 weeks. All markers were transformed to gestational age-specific Z-scores or multiples of the median (MoM). Birth weights were also transformed to Z-scores using the individualized gestational age-related optimal weight based on a locally derived nomogram. The relationship between all markers and the customized birth weight were examined, and their predictive powers for SGA were examined by regression analysis.

RESULTS:

Univariate analysis revealed that all markers except free beta-hCG correlated with birth weight Z-score. After multiple linear regression analysis, only PlaV, UtA-PI and CRL in the first trimester, and PlaV and UtA-PI in the second trimester, stood out as independent markers. Logistic regression analysis showed that PlaV was the only independent first-trimester predictor of SGA, and in the second trimester both PlaV and UtA-PI were independent predictors. The sensitivity of these first- and second-trimester markers in predicting SGA were 41% and 45%, respectively, at a false-positive rate of 20%. Combining them did not significantly improve prediction of SGA.

CONCLUSIONS:

Among the various known ultrasound and biochemical markers, only the first-trimester PlaV and the second-trimester PlaV plus UtA-PI are independent predictors for SGA.