My NCBISign In

Display Settings:

Format

Send to:

Choose Destination

    Global Health. 2008 Sep 19;4:9.

    Adaptation costs for climate change-related cases of diarrhoeal disease, malnutrition, and malaria in 2030.

    Ebi KL.

    ESS, LLC, Alexandria, VA 22304, USA. krisebi@essllc.org.

    ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Climate change has begun to negatively affect human health, with larger burdens projected in the future as weather patterns continue to change. The climate change-related health consequences of diarrhoeal diseases, malnutrition, and malaria are projected to pose the largest risks to future populations. Limited work has been done to estimate the costs of adapting to these additional health burdens. METHODS: The costs of treating diarrhoeal diseases, malnutrition (stunting and wasting only), and malaria in 2030 were estimated under three climate scenarios using (1) the current numbers of cases; (2) the projected relative risks of these diseases in 2030; and (3) current treatment costs. The analysis assumed that the number of annual cases and costs of treatment would remain constant. There was limited consideration of socioeconomic development. RESULTS: Under a scenario assuming emissions reductions resulting in stabilization at 750 ppm CO2 equivalent in 2210, the costs of treating diarrhoeal diseases, malnutrition, and malaria in 2030 were estimated to be $4 to 12 billion. This is almost as much as current total annual overseas development assistance for health. CONCLUSION: The investment needs in the health sector to address climate-sensitive health outcomes are large. Additional human and financial resources will be needed to prevent and control the projected increased burden of health outcomes due to climate change.

    PMID: 18803827 [PubMed - in process]

    PMCID: PMC2556651

    Supplemental Content

    Click here to read Click here to read
    Write to the Help Desk