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    Acta Psychiatr Scand. 1991 May;83(5):342-6.

    Predicting long-term outcome in schizophrenia.

    Source

    Department of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, University of Lund, Sweden.

    Abstract

    Prediction of 14- to 17-year outcome from symptoms present at admission and psychological and personality data was attempted among the 92 survivors of a group of 110 first-admitted schizophrenic patients. Three different outcome criteria were used and the correlations between these varied from low to high. Using a discriminant analytical approach where all 107 predictor variables were used to predict a combination of outcome criteria, 23% of outcome variance could be explained, which should be compared with 49% in a previous 5- to 9-year outcome study on the same material. At least one outcome variable--economic self-support--could not at all be predicted. "Atypical" symptoms were associated with favourable outcome and longitudinal variables indicative of "high-risk personality", or duration and severity of illness, were related to bad prognosis. Overt psychotic symptoms had no significant correlation with outcome.

    PMID:
    1853726
    [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

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