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    Cancer. 2008 Jul 15;113(2):355-9.

    Complete remission sustained 3 years from treatment initiation is a powerful surrogate for extended survival in multiple myeloma.

    Barlogie B, Anaissie E, Haessler J, van Rhee F, Pineda-Roman M, Hollmig K, Alsayed Y, Epstein J, Shaughnessy JD Jr, Crowley J.

    Myeloma Institute for Research and Therapy, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas 72205, USA. barlogiebart@uams.edu

    BACKGROUND: Complete response (CR) has been considered a necessary although not sufficient early clinical endpoint for extended survival in multiple myeloma. METHODS: By using Total Therapy 2 (TT2) clinical outcome data in 668 patients, whether sustained CR (SUS-CR) was potentially a superior surrogate for survival than attaining CR status per se was evaluated. RESULTS: Compared with not achieving CR (NON-CR) and especially achieving and subsequently losing CR status (LOS-CR) within a 3-year landmark from treatment initiation, SUS-CR was associated with highly superior postlandmark survival (P < .0001). These results were validated in 231 untreated patients enrolled in the predecessor trial, TT1 (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.54, P = .013) and in 1103 previously treated patients on other transplant protocols (HR = 0.49; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In all 3 trial settings the survival benefit of SUS-CR was independent of metaphase abnormalities as a dominant adverse parameter. Given its bleak prognosis despite high CR rates, SUS-CR should be evaluated as a primary trial endpoint in high-risk myeloma.

    PMID: 18470907 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

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