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    J Clin Epidemiol. 2008 Aug;61(8):796-802. Epub 2008 Mar 28.

    Comorbidity index was successfully validated among men but not in women.

    Rius C, Pérez G, Rodríguez-Sanz M, Fernàndez E; COHESCA Study Group.

    Public Health Agency of Barcelona, Epidemiology Service, Plaça Lesseps, 1. 08023 Barcelona, Spain. 32284mrg@comb.es

    OBJECTIVE: To validate the prognostic accuracy of a previously proposed comorbidity index using information of a different and separate population-based cohort. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We assessed the predictive accuracy of a comorbidity index to predict mortality by looking at calibration and discrimination in the development cohort as well as in a new cohort for validation. Calibration of the model was assessed by comparing predicted and current mortality in the new cohort by means of Hosmer-Lemeshow test (HL). Discrimination of the models was analyzed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC). RESULTS: In the development cohort, we have not detected differences between the predicted and the observed mortality in both, men (HL=7.7, P=0.46) and women (HL=11.7, P=0.16). The discrimination of the model accounted 81% in men and 79% in women. In the validation cohort, we obtained a good calibration among men (HL=10.1, P=0.43) but not in women (HL=21.4, P=0.01). The discrimination was quite similar to the development cohort in both sexes (ROC area=80% in men, ROC area=78% in women). CONCLUSION: The comorbidity index has good calibration and discrimination and was successfully validated in a different population-based cohort among men but not among women.

    PMID: 18375100 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

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