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    Trends Parasitol. 2007 Jun;23(6):243-6. Epub 2007 Apr 6.

    Early warning systems for malaria in Africa: from blueprint to practice.

    Source

    Department of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, UK. jonathan.cox@lshtm.ac.uk

    Abstract

    Although the development of early warning systems for malaria has been advocated by international agencies and academic researchers for many years, practical progress in this area has been relatively modest. In two recent articles, Thomson et al. provide new evidence that models of malaria incidence that incorporate monitored or predicted climate can provide early warnings of epidemics one to five months in advance in semi-arid areas. Although the potential benefits of these models in terms of improved management of epidemics are clear, several technical and practical hurdles still need to be overcome before the models can be widely integrated into routine malaria-control strategies.

    PMID:
    17412641
    [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

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