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    Theor Biol Med Model. 2007 Mar 22;4:12.

    Theoretical size distribution of fossil taxa: analysis of a null model.

    Reed WJ, Hughes BD.

    Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia V8W 3P4, Canada. reed@math.uvic.ca

    BACKGROUND: This article deals with the theoretical size distribution (of number of sub-taxa) of a fossil taxon arising from a simple null model of macroevolution. MODEL: New species arise through speciations occurring independently and at random at a fixed probability rate, while extinctions either occur independently and at random (background extinctions) or cataclysmically. In addition new genera are assumed to arise through speciations of a very radical nature, again assumed to occur independently and at random at a fixed probability rate. CONCLUSION: The size distributions of the pioneering genus (following a cataclysm) and of derived genera are determined. Also the distribution of the number of genera is considered along with a comparison of the probability of a monospecific genus with that of a monogeneric family.

    PMID: 17376249 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

    PMCID: 1845141

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