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    J Int Med Res. 2004 Nov-Dec;32(6):633-8.

    Predictive value of risk factors in patients with obstructive jaundice.

    Pitiakoudis M, Mimidis K, Tsaroucha AK, Papadopoulos V, Karayiannakis A, Simopoulos C.

    Second Department of Surgery, Medical School, Democritus University of Thrace, Alexandroupolis, Greece.

    Clinical and laboratory parameters that may affect post-operative mortality and morbidity were studied in 215 patients operated on for obstructive jaundice. The cause of the bile duct obstruction was benign disease in 56.7% of patients and malignant disease in 43.3%. Overall postoperative mortality and morbidity rates were 21.9% and 33.5%, respectively. Eight risk factors were shown to be associated with increased mortality: age > 70 years; malignancy; leucocytosis > 15 000 cells/microl and fever > 38.5 degrees C; haematocrit < or = 30%; creatinine > 1.3 mg/dl; albumin < or = 3 g/dl; bilirubin > 20 mg/dl; and serum alkaline phosphatase > 100 IU/l. The simultaneous presence of less than three risk factors was always associated with post-operative survival, but concomitant existence of seven or more risk factors indicated 100% mortality. Understanding the factors related to post-operative morbidity and mortality in patients with obstructive jaundice will better guide appropriate surgical or non-surgical management and lead to improved survival.

    PMID: 15587757 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

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