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    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2003 Dec 23;100(26):15324-8. Epub 2003 Dec 8.

    Markov chain Monte Carlo without likelihoods.

    Source

    Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA.

    Abstract

    Many stochastic simulation approaches for generating observations from a posterior distribution depend on knowing a likelihood function. However, for many complex probability models, such likelihoods are either impossible or computationally prohibitive to obtain. Here we present a Markov chain Monte Carlo method for generating observations from a posterior distribution without the use of likelihoods. It can also be used in frequentist applications, in particular for maximum-likelihood estimation. The approach is illustrated by an example of ancestral inference in population genetics. A number of open problems are highlighted in the discussion.

    PMID:
    14663152
    [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
    PMCID:
    PMC307566
    Free PMC Article

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