A new prognostic model for testicular germ cell tumours

APMIS. 2003 Jan;111(1):100-5; discussion 105. doi: 10.1034/j.1600-0463.2003.1110114_1.x.

Abstract

In univariate analyses of patients with metastatic testicular germ cell tumours (TGCT), both the International Germ Cell Consensus Classification (IGCCC) and serum lactate dehydrogenase (S-LD) isoenzyme 1 catalytic concentration (S-LD-1) significantly predicted survival. In complementary analyses of 81 patients with metastatic TGCT, S-LD and S-LD-1 classified the prognosis differently for 23 patients. In multivariate Cox hazard analyses of risk factors, only IGCCC and S-LD-1 predicted the prognosis (p=0.036, and p=0.0007, respectively). A new prognostic model based on prognostic information from main histology, IGCCC, and S-LD-1 changed the prognostic prediction by IGCCC for 19 patients (24%). Judged by to the area under the curve for receiver operation characteristics curves, the new model predicted five-years survival for the patients better than IGCCC and a modified version of the third edition of the TNM classification (p=0.025, and p=0.01, respectively). However, new studies should validate the new model before it is recommended as a general classification system of patients with metastatic TGCT.

MeSH terms

  • Biomarkers, Tumor / blood
  • Germinoma / blood
  • Germinoma / diagnosis*
  • Humans
  • Isoenzymes / blood
  • L-Lactate Dehydrogenase / blood
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoplasm Metastasis
  • Neoplasms, Second Primary / blood
  • Neoplasms, Second Primary / diagnosis*
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Survival Analysis
  • Testicular Neoplasms / blood
  • Testicular Neoplasms / diagnosis*
  • Testis / pathology

Substances

  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • Isoenzymes
  • L-Lactate Dehydrogenase