Format

Send to:

Choose Destination
See comment in PubMed Commons below
Stat Methods Med Res. 1999 Sep;8(3):183-93.

Population modelling in drug development.

Author information

  • 1Department of Laboratory Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, USA.

Abstract

In this paper we discuss the vital role that population (hierarchical) modelling can play within the drug development process. Specifically, population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic models can provide reliable predictions of an individualized dose-exposure-response relationship. A predictive model of this kind can be used to simulate and hence design clinical trials, find initial dosage regimens satisfying an optimality criterion on the population distribution of responses, and individualized regimens satisfying such a criterion conditional on individual features, such as sex, age, etc. Throughout we emphasize prediction and advocate mechanistic as opposed to empirical modelling, and argue that the Bayesian approach is particularly natural in this setting.

PMID:
10636334
[PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
PubMed Commons home

PubMed Commons

0 comments
How to join PubMed Commons

    Supplemental Content

    Full text links

    Icon for HighWire
    Loading ...
    Write to the Help Desk