- Journal List
- Mol Syst Biol
- v.7; 2011
- PMC3101951

# Network modeling of the transcriptional effects of copy number aberrations in glioblastoma

^{1}Tobias Abenius,

^{1,}

^{2}Teresia Kling,

^{2}Linnéa Schmidt,

^{2}Erik Johansson,

^{2,}

^{3}Torbjörn E M Nordling,

^{4}Bodil Nordlander,

^{2}Chris Sander,

^{5}Peter Gennemark,

^{1,}

^{6}Keiko Funa,

^{2,}

^{3}Björn Nilsson,

^{7}Linda Lindahl,

^{2}and Sven Nelander

^{a,}

^{2}

^{1}Mathematical Sciences, University of Gothenburg and Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden

^{2}Sahlgrenska Cancer Center, Institute of Medicine, Gothenburg, Sweden

^{3}Medical Biochemistry, Institute of Biomedicine, Gothenburg, Sweden

^{4}Automatic Control, School of Electrical Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden

^{5}Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, Computational Biology Center, New York, NY, USA

^{6}Department of Mathematics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

^{7}Department of Laboratory Medicine, Lund University, Lund, Sweden

^{a}Sahlgrenska Cancer Center, University of Gothenburg, Institute of Medicine, Box 425, Gothenburg 41530, Sweden. Tel.: +46 76 138 0123; Fax: +16 46 422 0717; Email: es.ug@rednalen.nevs

## Abstract

DNA copy number aberrations (CNAs) are a hallmark of cancer genomes. However, little is known about how such changes affect global gene expression. We develop a modeling framework, EPoC (Endogenous Perturbation analysis of Cancer), to (1) detect disease-driving CNAs and their effect on target mRNA expression, and to (2) stratify cancer patients into long- and short-term survivors. Our method constructs causal network models of gene expression by combining genome-wide DNA- and RNA-level data. Prognostic scores are obtained from a singular value decomposition of the networks. By applying EPoC to glioblastoma data from The Cancer Genome Atlas consortium, we demonstrate that the resulting network models contain known disease-relevant hub genes, reveal interesting candidate hubs, and uncover predictors of patient survival. Targeted validations in four glioblastoma cell lines support selected predictions, and implicate the p53-interacting protein Necdin in suppressing glioblastoma cell growth. We conclude that large-scale network modeling of the effects of CNAs on gene expression may provide insights into the biology of human cancer. Free software in MATLAB and R is provided.

**Keywords:**cancer biology, cancer genomics, glioblastoma

## Introduction

Gains and losses of chromosomal material that alter DNA copy number are a hallmark of cancer genomes. At the level of a single locus, the effects of a copy number aberration (CNA) are well known: on average, increased copy number (gene amplification) leads to increased gene expression, decreased copy number (gene deletion) leads to decreased gene expression (Pollack et al, 2002; Lee et al, 2008; Nilsson et al, 2008). However, CNAs also affect the expression of genes located outside the amplified/deleted region itself via indirect mechanisms. For example, deletion of a transcriptional repressor may increase the expression of its targets, amplification of a kinase may drive a signaling cascade, and so on. Our knowledge of how CNAs affect gene expression at a genome-wide level is limited.

Global network modeling of expression and copy number changes can elucidate such causal connections, and prove helpful in the study of several key problems in cancer biology. Specifically, such models may (1) identify functionally important genes whose perturbations have a significant and dispersed impact on transcription; (2) facilitate the discovery of possible therapeutic targets by matching model-identified key regulators or their targets to pharmacological databases; and (3) assist in the identification of distinct CNA and mRNA features that are predictive of patient prognosis or therapeutic response.

Current methods for transcriptional network modeling seemingly fall into three main categories. One common approach is to derive models from mRNA profiles only, using, e.g., gene–gene (partial) correlations, Bayesian networks, ordinary differential equations or mutual information (Friedman et al, 2000; Schäfer and Strimmer, 2005; Margolin et al, 2006; Bansal et al, 2007; Opgen-Rhein and Strimmer, 2007). A second common technique is to construct models of mRNA expression from targeted perturbation experiments, as controlled perturbations strongly facilitate causal inference (Yeung et al, 2002; Tegner et al, 2003; di Bernardo et al, 2005; Bansal et al, 2007; Bonneau et al, 2007; Lehár et al, 2007; Nelander et al, 2008; Lauria et al, 2009). A third alternative is to use the naturally occurring genetic variation in a separating population to study the relationship between genotype and expression phenotype (Jansen, 2003; Lee et al, 2006, 2009; Rockman, 2008; Suthram et al, 2008; Zhu et al, 2008; see also Discussion). Here, we focus on the role of acquired genetic variations in tumors, specifically CNAs, and ask how these can be used to derive transcriptional networks. CNAs are prevalent in several human cancers, and tend to appear in a patient-specific and multifactorial manner in the tumors, which resembles an optimal experimental design to derive causality (Fisher, 1926).

We present a global model of CNA-driven transcription in the brain tumor glioblastoma. The model is derived using EPoC (Endogenous Perturbation analysis of Cancer), a computational method that constructs network models of mRNA expression, viewing CNAs as informative system perturbations introduced endogenously during the evolution of the tumor, and the corresponding mRNA profiles as the steady-state response to that perturbation. We apply EPoC to glioblastoma data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) consortium. Previous analyses of glioblastoma have revealed altered pathways and disease subtypes (Pollack et al, 2002; Freije et al, 2004; Phillips et al, 2006; Tso et al, 2006; Lee et al, 2008; TCGA-Consortium, 2008; Dahlback et al, 2009; Verhaak et al, 2010; Cerami et al, 2010) and networks of correlating transcripts (Carro et al, 2010) (ARACNE). Key examples of CNA/mRNA analyses for other tumors include clustering and modular network modeling, leading to the discovery of regulators such as *MITF*, *RAB27A* and *TBC1D16* in malignant melanoma (Garraway et al, 2005; Akavia et al, 2010), and linkage analysis to reveal the association of *cMYC* amplification to wound healing signatures in breast cancer (Adler et al, 2006). Network analysis of 654 selected breast cancer transcripts and 384 genomic regions has identified a candidate regulatory region on chromosome 17 (Peng et al, 2008). Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) has also been put forth as an alternative non-network approach to integrating DNA/mRNA data (Waaijenborg et al, 2008; Witten et al, 2009).

We use EPoC to construct a gene-level model, which encompasses 10 672 genes, causally connecting CNAs to expression changes in glioblastoma. First, we establish that the parameters of the EPoC network model can be robustly estimated from paired genome-wide DNA- and RNA-level data from a set of tumors, using a combination of lasso regression and bootstrap. Second, we show that a novel score, based on a sparse singular value decomposition of the derived CNA–mRNA network model, identifies prognostic biomarkers capable of clinical stratification into short-term and long-term survivors. Third, EPoC identifies key mechanisms (disease-driving CNAs), which we assess by chemoinformatic analyses and comparisons to known biological pathways, revealing the likely existence of short regulatory paths between EPoC hubs and targets, as well as 15 candidate drug targets. We confirm a candidate hub, the p53-interacting protein Necdin, *NDN*, in U87MG, U373MG, U343MG and T98 glioma-derived cell lines by experimentally testing a small transcriptional network around *NDN*, receptor tyrosine kinases *EGF* receptor (*EGFR*) and platelet-derived growth factor receptor alpha (*PDGFRA*). Finally, we demonstrate rapid and consistent performance of EPoC in comparison with mRNA-only methods, standard expression quantitative locus (eQTL) methods and two recent multivariate methods for genotype–mRNA coupling (Peng et al, 2008; Lee et al, 2009).

## Results

### Modeling copy number-dependent transcription in tumors

#### Transcriptional and CNA-driven networks

To connect mRNA levels with DNA copy number in glioblastoma tumors, we adapt a common model for mRNA transcription regulation and turnover. This model formulation, related to the so-called S-system (Savageau, 1969, 1976; Crampin et al, 2004), takes the form of sets of differential equations:

where *n* is the number of genes, d*y*_{i}/d*t* and *y*_{i}, *i*=1,2, …, *n* denote the change rate and average mRNA concentrations in a tumor respectively, and *u*_{i}⩾0, *i*=1,2, …, *n* the average number of gene copies corresponding to a particular transcript (Figure 1B). Equation (1) states that the change rate of transcript *y*_{i} is the difference between its synthesis rate and its decay rate. The synthesis rate is determined by the number of copies of the gene's DNA, *u*_{i}, the regulatory effects of other genes, *w*_{ij} and a gene-specific synthesis constant, α_{i}. Similarly, the decay rate is determined by the regulatory effects of other genes, *v*_{ij} and a gene-specific decay constant, β_{i}. Obviously, the assumption of proportionality on *u*_{i} is a simplification and unlikely to hold for all genes in the genome (e.g., gene copies may generate transcripts at different rates due to epigenetic differences). Nevertheless, recent data indicate that it is a reasonable approximation for a large proportion of genes in the genome (Nilsson et al, 2008).

**A**) Using genome-wide, paired mRNA- and DNA-level data as input, EPoC generates a quantitative causal network model of the global effects of copy number aberrations on mRNA expression. The resulting model is subsequently

**...**

The procedure used to estimate the model parameters in Equation (1) is described in detail in Materials and methods. In short, assuming steady-state conditions, the log-transformed and zero-centered mRNA and CNA profiles of glioblastoma can be summarized by two mutually complementing linear systems. The first of these represents the transcriptional network (*A*):

where Δ*Y* and Δ*U* are stack matrices of log-transformed and zero-centered mRNA and CNA profiles of glioblastoma, respectively, and *R* (defined by the α's and β's of the original model, Materials and methods) is a matrix that captures the effects on transcription of non-CNA perturbations in individual tumors (e.g., SNPs, sequence mutations or environmental effects). The *transcriptional network A*={*a*_{ij}} relates to the original model by *a*_{ij}=*w*_{ij}−*v*_{ij}, meaning its elements *a*_{ij} represents the net influence from transcript *j* to transcript *i*; *a*_{ij}>0 indicates activation of transcription *i* by transcript *j*, *a*_{ij}<0 inhibition, and the magnitude *a*_{ij} the strength of the interaction.

The second representation is termed the *CNA-driven network* (*G*):

*G*={*g*_{ij}} consists of CNA–mRNA couplings: *g*_{ij}>0 indicates CNA-driven transcriptional activation (i.e., transcription of gene *i* is increased because the copy number of gene *j* has been altered), *g*_{ij}<0 CNA-driven transcriptional inhibition, and the magnitude of *g*_{ij} the strength of the interaction. This network is related to the first as *G*=−*A*^{−1} and the topologies of the two networks are thus related (Figure 1C). However, while *A* reflects direct transcriptional interaction, corrected for the impact of a transcript's own CNA, *G* models how the effects of CNA perturbations propagate through the system to produce their steady-state responses and should contain key disease-driving CNAs as hubs, as well as their downstream targets (Figure 1C).

To identify the transcriptional interactions (non-zero elements in *A*) and the CNA–mRNA couplings (non-zero elements in *G*), we need to solve the large linear equation systems ((2) and (3)). We use a gene-level lasso regression approach paired with cross-validation and bootstrap to robustly identify these network parameters (Materials and methods).

#### Survival scores derived from network decompositions

We next describe how survival scores can be derived from the EPoC model, based on a particular interpretation of the CNA-driven network as a signal amplifier. From a systems perspective, it is natural to view the copy number profile as the input to the system *G*, whereas the gene expression profile is the corresponding output. One common way to summarize a system's input–output behavior is to compute the main axes of signal gain, defined as the singular value decomposition *G*=*C*Λ*D*^{T} (Golub and Loan, 1996; Skogestad and Postlethwaite, 2005; Nordling and Jacobsen, 2009) (Materials and methods). When applied to the CNA-driven network *G*, this decomposition should reveal CNA perturbations that are strongly amplified by the system (in the leading columns of *D*), as well as the transcripts which are most affected by CNA perturbations (in the leading columns of *C*) (Figure 1C). We use sparse SVD (Zou et al, 2006), which ensures that only a small subset of perturbations and transcripts are present in the leading columns (Materials and methods). Once estimates of *C* and *D* have been obtained, EPoC computes the level of signal amplification in each tumor by the scalar projection scores *Z*_{y}=*C*^{T}Δ*Y* and *Z*_{u}=*D*^{T}Δ*U* (Materials and methods). Concisely put, these scores summarize the total burden of molecular changes consistent with the CNA-driven network, and should therefore correlate with clinical survival. Below, we confirm this conjecture for the patients in the TCGA glioblastoma cohort.

### Global CNA-driven networks of glioblastoma

#### EPoC finds 512 robust associations between CNAs and mRNAs in glioblastoma

We proceed to estimate EPoC networks for human glioblastoma. We use CNA- and mRNA-level data (10 672 matched genes, 186 patients) provided by the TCGA consortium (TCGA-Consortium, 2008). Before estimating the network, EPoC applies a filter to select possible CNA regulators in the data (defined as genes that are recurrently amplified or deleted across the patients; Materials and methods). In total, we keep 2640 genes as possible CNA regulators, whereas we keep all 10 672 genes as possible targets and/or transcriptional regulators. On the basis of these data, network modeling proceeds as follows. First, EPoC determines a suitable model size, i.e., the number of interactions in the network. For this, we have developed a customized procedure utilizing random data splits (Figure 2A). In brief, the tumors (i.e., the 186 glioma cases) are split into two random groups. We estimate a network for each group, and compare the two networks using Kendall's *W* (akin to rank correlation of detected network interactions, Materials and methods). This procedure is repeated for different network sizes, and we select the network size that optimizes *W*. The optimal network size for the TCGA glioblastoma data is estimated to 200–500 interactions (Figure 2A). We then construct a robust final network of the optimal network size using bootstrap: On each of 1000 bootstrap data sets (resampling from the 186 tumors; Friedman et al, 2000), we generate a network of size around 400 (as obtained in Figure 2A). We retain interactions that appear in at least 20% of the 1000 bootstrap networks, a cutoff set well above appearance frequencies expected by chance (Figure 2B). This results in a final CNA-driven network with 512 interactions, of which 263 are stimulatory and 249 are inhibitory (Figure 3A).

#### CNA hubs that best explain mRNA variability in glioblastoma

The identified CNA-driven network *G* contains a number of copy number-altered genes that control multiple downstream genes (Figure 3A, Table I). Among these highly connected hub genes, we find well-known oncogenes and tumor supressors that are frequently deleted or amplified in glioblastoma, including *EGFR*, *PDGFRA*, *CDKN2A* and *CDKN2B* (Figure 3A), confirming a clear association between these alterations and transcriptional variability of glioblastoma. In addition, EPoC identifies a number of interesting hub genes that have not previously been associated with glioblastoma, e.g., *MTAP* and *SEC61G*. *MTAP* is located close to *CDKN2A*/*B* on chromosome 9, and *SEC61G* is located close to *EGFR* on chromosome 7, but both *MTAP* and *SEC61G* have unique and robustly identified targets in our network model. This may suggest that they are not mere innocent bystanders (passenger mutations), but may have tumorigenic effects of their own. Recent work has shown that amplification of *SEC61G* leads to a more than 10-fold transcriptional induction of this gene (Bralten et al, 2010); deletion of *MTAP* is believed to confer sensitivity to purine synthesis inhibitors such as *SDX-102* (Kindler et al, 2009). Additional hubs include interferon alpha 1 (*IFNA1*), myeloid/lymphoid or mixed-lineage leukemia translocated to 10 (*MLLT10*, a well-known leukemia gene), glutamate decarboxylase 2 (*GAD2*), a postulated glutamate receptor *GPR158* and Necdin (*NDN*, pursued below). As expected, the model does not contain hubs to represent copy number neutral glioma oncogenes/tumor suppressors altered by missense, nonsense or frameshift mutations (*TP53, ERBB2, NF1, RBI, PIK3R1, PIK3CA*; Parsons et al, 2008; TCGA-Consortium, 2008). To account for the effects of additional types of mutations, we would require a model for the non-CNA perturbation term, *R*, in Equation (2), which is reserved for future work.

Besides nominating disease drivers, the derived network itself contains additional useful information. For instance, we detect robust CNA–mRNA links between the hubs *EGFR*, *PDGFRA*, and *CHIC2* and target genes that are markers of early neural development, such as the glioblastoma stem cell marker *CD133 (PROM1)* and the transcription factors *SOX10, SOX11, NR2E1(TLX)* and *NKX2.2* (Figure 3B) (Shi et al, 2008; Haslinger et al, 2009; Piccirillo et al, 2009). For instance, neural stem cell renewal is under epistatic control of both *SOX10* and *NR2E1(TLX)* (Shi et al, 2008), and our model may suggest that *PDGFRA* and *EGFR* may act as complementary drivers of these two regulators (Discussion). Comparing the CNA-driven network with the two compound-target databases Drugbank and Ingenuity, we nominate a set of compounds with known activities that could, in principle, counteract endogenous perturbations in our model (Figure 3C).

#### Phenotypic and transcriptional consequences of hub gene perturbation in glioblastoma cell lines

To assess the biological relevance of a hub gene in the *G* network that has not been previously associated with glioblastoma, we have chosen to perform directed validation experiments on *NDN*. This gene has five downstream targets in the *G* network and shares a common target, fibroblast growth factor 9 (*FGF9*; also known as glia-activating factor), with *PDGFRA* which is frequently amplified in glioblastoma (Figure 3B). *NDN* is maternally imprinted, located on chromosome 15, and encodes a p53-interacting protein that belongs to the melanoma antigen family (Taniura et al, 1998). In the TCGA data, *NDN* is deleted in 29/186 patients. We introduce perturbations of *NDN* by overexpressing the gene in four glioblastoma cell lines (T98G, U-87MG, U-343MG and U-373MG), leading to decreased cell cycling time in all cell lines, except T98G (Figure 4A–C). Using the U-343MG cell line, we measure the expression of a set of downstream targets of *NDN* and *PDGFRA* by qPCR to assess the transcriptional response of *NDN* overexpression and inhibition/stimulation of *PDGFRA*, respectively. The results confirm a set of EPoC predictions, including induction of *CPNE8* by *NDN*, induction of *KCNH8* by *PDGF-AA* protein dimers (i.e., a *PDGFRA* agonist) and suppression of *KCNH8* by Imatinib (a selective inhibitor of *PDGFRA* and other tyrosine kinases). Further, when *NDN* is overexpressed, *FGF9* does not respond to *PDGFRA* perturbation. This is not only consistent with the prediction that *NDN* and *PDGFRA* regulate the transcription of *FGF9* in opposite directions, but may also suggest a more complicated mechanism that is not captured by our model because *NDN* perturbation by itself did not suppress *FGF9* levels (Figure 4E). For the other two of the tested transcripts, *GALNT13* and *ALK*, which are both expressed at very low levels in U-343MG cells, we did not detect any significant changes. Further, we perturbed the activity of the *EGFR* by activating it using one of its ligands (*EGF*) and inhibiting it with a selective *EGFR* inhibitor (*Gefitinib*). As readout, we measured the transcriptional effect on *SOCS2* (a modulator of STAT signaling), *NR2E1* (also known as *TLX*, a transcription factor believed to be important for neural stem cell renewal), yielding results compatible with a coupling between hub perturbation and transcriptional response (Figure 4F).

*NDN*and

*PDGFRA*. (

**A**–

**D**)

*NDN*overexpression slows the growth of glioblastoma cell lines. (

**A**) Interactions in the network around

*EGFR*,

*NDN*and

*PDGFRA*. (

**B**) Perturbation of

*NDN*by stable overexpression

**...**

Taken together, these observations support that the estimated CNA-driven network is mechanistically informative, and that CNA–mRNA links identified by EPoC broadly agree with data from relevant validation experiments. Our approach operates at the gene level and our data also support that individual hub genes can be identified in practice (e.g., *NDN*). Very large aberrations, however, cannot be fully resolved by the current modeling strategy (e.g., EPoC identifies a small set of candidate hubs in a 7 Mb region on the short arm of chromosome 10, which is often lost in its entirety in glioblastoma; see Discussion, Table I).

### CNA-driven networks contain prognostic information

A crucial test for any disease network model is to ask if it produces clinically relevant predictions. While it is well established that CNA and mRNA patterns may predict survival and response to therapy using a range of supervised or unsupervised techniques (Broëtet al, 2009; Zhang et al, 2009; Verhaak et al, 2010), less work has been done in deriving prognostic scores from actual network models. We thus proceed to test the patient prognostic value of the CNA-driven network *G*, using the derived survival scores *Z*_{y} and *Z*_{u} (above).

As predicted, we find that these scores achieve a significant degree of prognostic separation (Figure 5A). In contrast, when we examine the prognostic properties of the transcriptional network, *A*, we find no evident survival stratification when separating patients along the leading components of the SVD of *A*. We also demonstrate that a standard singular value decomposition (SVD) calculated from mRNA profiles or CNA profiles fails to detect survival differences in the data. We further calculate survival curves for the first six components of both mRNA and CNA data in the *G*, *A* and data SVD cases, revealing that survival differences are only seen in the first SVD component of *G* (Table II).

**A**) Kaplan–Meier curves to assess prognostic scores extracted from the CNA-driven network. Prognostic scores are computed by a sparse singular value decomposition of the CNA-driven network

**...**

To visualize the contribution of individual genes to the survival scores, we color-code the CNA-driven network *G* (Figure 5B). As an example, from the leading singular vectors of *G*, we note that CNAs in *EGFR* and *PDGFRA* are highly amplified by the network system model (yellow nodes) and identify the leading mRNA responders to these perturbations (green nodes), which include, e.g., growth factor *PDGFA*, glutamate receptor *GRIK1*, the transcription factor *SOX11*, and the *STAT* pathway modulator *SOCS2*.

We thus conclude that the estimated CNA-driven EPoC model correlates with a clinically relevant phenotype. This is in general support of model validity, and suggests that integrative models may help to identify clinically useful glioblastoma biomarkers.

### Technical comparison with mRNA-based and eQTL-type methods

We compare the performance of EPoC to a set of alternative network construction methods. We include a set of mRNA-only methods based on information theory (ARACNE), partial correlations (GeneNet) and sparse estimation of the inverse covariance (precision) matrix (glasso). We also consider methods based on combinations of genotype and expression data. These include (i) a univariate SNP-eQTL (Stranger et al, 2007a, 2007b), here using CNAs in place of SNPs; (ii) a recent network method termed remMap (Peng et al, 2008); and (iii) the SNP-eQTL module network solver LirNet (Lee et al, 2009), here using CNAs genotypes in place of SNPs. remMap and LirNet, similar to EPoC, use variants of lasso for model fitting and are thus preferred points of comparison. remMap was recently proposed to relate genomic-region variations to select genes in breast cancer, and LirNet was of late advantageously compared with a set of eQTL-type methods, including Geronemo (Lee et al, 2006) and Bayesian networks with eQTL priors (Zhu et al, 2008). Details of the comparison are given in Materials and methods.

#### Model consistency between independent glioblastoma data sets

We identify the subset of 146 patients (out of the 186 patients analyzed above), for which two independent CNA and mRNA data sets have been produced at different institutes in the TCGA consortium. These technically independent data sets provide an ideal setting for an unbiased comparison of the methods. We thus apply each method to the two data sets, and use Kendall's *W* to investigate the consistency between the two solutions (Materials and methods). This analysis shows stronger performance by EPoC CNA-driven networks *G* over all other methods for all but the largest network sizes (Figure 6A), i.e., EPoC *G* network solutions from two technically independent data sets largely agree both in terms of detection and estimated strength of network interactions.

**A**) We compare network models derived from two full replicate glioblastoma data sets (146 identical tumors; same patients and samples) but processed at different centers with slightly different

**...**

Apart from glasso, methods that incorporate combined genomic/transcriptional data perform better than mRNA-based networks (ARACNE and GeneNet). We also derive transcriptional EPoC *A* networks (solving Equation (2); Materials and methods). EPoC *A* corrects transcripts for their own CNAs prior to network construction and performs quite well, but clearly worse than EPoC *G*. This is best explained by the stronger correlations among mRNAs compared with CNAs (predictor variables in EPoC *A* and EPoC *G*, respectively), as it is well known that regression modeling with highly correlated predictors is subject to instability (Breiman, 1996; Skogestad and Postlethwaite, 2005; Nordling and Jacobsen, 2009; and references therein). While CNAs may exhibit strong correlation within a genomic region, CNA correlation between genomic regions is globally much lower than between mRNAs (data not shown). As expected, EPoC *G*, remMap and LirNet perform better than standard eQTL, which likely reflects the benefit of a multivariate modeling approach, using regularization (*L*1 in EPoC *G*, and *L*1+*L*2 in remMap and LirNet) over a univariate approach (eQTL).

#### Pathway overlap and prediction error

We proceed to determine the overlap between the derived networks and two protein–protein interaction (PPI) and two pathway databases. Results from this analysis demonstrate a similar ranking of methods as in the robustness tests above (Figure 6B, Materials and methods). That is, EPoC *G* captures the most known direct and short-path interactions. In absolute numbers, 65 interactions in the CNA-driven network correspond to known short-range interactions (shortest path between the genes is one or two steps in at least one of the databases). Among the other methods, EPoC *A* and glasso also exhibit a good overlap with known pathways.

We emphasize robustness in the above analysis, but EPoC can also be used to generate network models for mRNA prediction from CNA data (Materials and methods). We assess the prediction accuracy by computing cross-validation errors for EPoC *G*, remMap and LirNet, which all produce natural prediction models. We conclude that EPoC *G* results in the smallest prediction errors on the glioblastoma data set (Supplementary Figure 2).

#### Qualitative differences and speed

Additional comparisons (Supplementary information) show that the genotype-driven networks and mRNA-based networks capture complementary genomic process information in terms of structure and gene content: the EPoC CNA-driven network has a more hub-oriented structure, with several development-associated genes as responders, whereas the transcriptional network captures inflammatory and cell cycle processes (Supplementary Figure 1). The distinction between CNA-driven and transcriptional networks is well illustrated by a hierarchical clustering summary, structurally comparing networks produced by all the above methods using Kendall's *W*. We see a clear structural separation between mRNA-based and genome-type-driven networks (Supplementary Figure 1). As a practical consideration, we also demonstrate that the scalability and algorithmic speed of EPoC is highly competitive (Supplementary information).

From these comparisons, we conclude that EPoC exhibits excellent performance in terms of model reproducibility, validity and algorithmic speed (see Materials and methods and Supplementary information). EPoC is primarily of interest for derivation of large networks at the single gene level and thus complements methods that use different levels of description, such as grouping CNAs into whole regions, integrating CNA and mRNA events over PPI networks, or by condensing transcripts into modules or linear superpositions (below). In Materials and methods and Supplementary information, we discuss the relative performance of the methods in more detail, including plausible explanations for performance differences.

## Discussion

We have demonstrated that combined network modeling of CNAs and mRNA expression levels in tumors generates mechanistically and prognostically informative results. The network-based survival scores introduced here serve to identify molecular features useful for predicting the outcome of individual patients, adding to our understanding of survival differences in the TCGA cohort (Verhaak et al, 2010). Extensive computational and experimental assessments confirm EPoC as an efficient and robust methodology to interpret CNA–mRNA profiles of glioblastoma. Applying our method to other tumors is facilitated by an efficient solver in R and MATLAB packages (Materials and methods).

### Possible limitations

CNAs often span multiple genes in large chromosomal regions (sometimes a whole chromosome or chromosome arm), introducing copy number correlations between genes in the affected region. This may lead to erroneously identified CNA–mRNA couplings in network construction. EPoC tries to address this in two ways: first, each transcript's mRNA signal is corrected by its own CNA value (Materials and methods), which largely de-correlates the transcript's signal with neighboring CNAs, thus reducing the risk of including false couplings in such regions; second, the bootstrap procedure will work against CNA–mRNA associations that cannot be resolved at the single gene level. Empirically, this seems to work well in glioblastoma, as known oncogenes and tumor suppressors are recovered as single gene hubs by the algorithm. However, we also note cases where EPoC does not resolve a single regulator (e.g., Chromosome 10, see Results section). While our tests show good support for pursuing a gene-level approach for glioblastoma, optimally modeling larger genomic regions is an interesting future research problem; possible approaches to explore are clustering of CNA profiles into regions (Peng et al, 2008), adapting statistical techniques from linkage analysis (Jiang and Zeng, 1995) or using annotation features as regulatory priors (Lee et al, 2009).

Our analysis focuses on the full set of glioblastoma patients in the TCGA compendium. We also considered subtype-specific models, using the recent classification of the TCGA glioblastoma cohort into Classical, Mesenchymal, Proneural and Neural subtypes (Verhaak et al, 2010), but found that the number of patients within each subtype is too small to produce a robust network model (as indicated by the bootstrap procedure, data not shown). We reserve work on specific cancer subtypes for when more patients become available, and suggest a rule of thumb that EPoC be applied to 100 patients or more. Future data sets may also involve finer anatomical sampling, helping to model distinct sub-populations of cells in glioblastoma tumors.

### Other approaches

In this article we have explored and compared several methods for the analysis of CNA and mRNA data. We briefly discuss some additional methods here.

CCA is a traditional multivariate technique, and has recently been extended and applied to integrate CNA and mRNA data (Waaijenborg et al, 2008; Witten et al, 2009). CCA links modules of CNA to modules of mRNA, i.e., identifies a sequence of linear combinations of subsets of CNAs maximally correlated with linear combinations of subsets of mRNA. Thus, CCA does not provide a gene-level network model, but opts to summarize CNA–mRNA interactions at a module level. CCA treats CNA and mRNA data symmetrically. Therefore, CCA components (module–module links) do not generally agree with the survival score decomposition of the CNA-driven network *G*, except under very unrealistic assumptions (Materials and methods and Supplementary information). An investigation to further compare module-level and gene-level methods, and alternative decomposition techniques is reserved for future work.

A second alternative approach to integrate CNA and mRNA data would be to adapt the electrical circuit-inspired model, eQED (Suthram et al, 2008; Kim et al, 2010), which links genetic perturbations to transcriptional responses over a predefined network from molecular interaction databases. Clearly, the key distinction between this approach and EPoC is the use of PPI and other data as a scaffold on which to construct the model. In work by Zhu et al (2004, 2007, 2008), it is suggested to use SNP-eQTL priors to guide the construction of mRNA-based transcriptional networks (for a performance test against a lasso-based method, see Lee et al, 2009).

### Future directions

For biological follow-up work, there are several predicted couplings between CNA hubs and stem cell markers that may be interesting to investigate further (Figure 3B). For instance, autocrine signaling loops are known to suppress differentiation in glioblastoma (Erlandsson et al, 2006; Dai et al, 2001); it is therefore interesting that our model connects the *PDGFRA* and *EGFR* hubs to at least seven known growth factors (including *PDGFA, PDGFD, FGF9*) and five known feedback regulators of cell signaling (including *SPRY1, SPRY2* and *SOCS2*). Exploring such links by targeted experiments may lead to new insight regarding signaling networks in glioblastoma. In addition, the compound predictions (Figure 3C) can be explored in several ways, for instance, by assessing the level of synergism between these compounds and standard glioblastoma therapies such as Temozolomide.

Future methodological work should be aimed at incorporating other data types, including miRNA expression, DNA methylation and sequence mutations, to model the nonspecific perturbation term, Γ in Equation (3), currently treated as noise in the network model estimation procedure. Both modeling and model testing might benefit from additional molecular network reference data. For instance, TF-target links could also be included as a prior for network construction or to guide method development. Extending biological-mechanistic models to encompass all levels of the regulatory process will require careful consideration and important choices of model representations. Of particular interest will also be to further develop prognostic scoring methods by linking network decomposition techniques to more advanced survival modeling, which may be an interesting extension to methods that relate principal components in tumor molecular profiles to relative hazard (Nguyen and Rocke, 2002a, 2002b).

Ambitious efforts are currently being undertaken to acquire comprehensive genome-scale data sets for several cancer types, including the Cancer Genome Atlas, and the International Cancer Genome Consortium. The recent data deluge presents a challenging opportunity to develop mechanistically and clinically relevant models of the data. EPoC is one step in this direction, and helps to set the stage for the continued modeling efforts in the context of human cancer genome programs.

## Materials and methods

### Glioblastoma data preparation

We obtained DNA and mRNA molecular profiles from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data repository (http://tcga.org and TCGA-Consortium, 2008). We use level 3 data (discrete copy number estimates and mRNA levels for known protein-coding genes) generated using Agilent 244 k DNA and Agilent 44 k mRNA, and Affymetrix U133 mRNA arrays. For model construction, mRNA and Affymetrix mRNA signals are averaged for more stable signal (Verhaak et al, 2010). Sex chromosomes are removed from the analysis.

Prior to analysis with EPoC or other network estimation methods, we standardize the amplitude of the mRNA levels, i.e., center each gene around its mean expression level and divide by its standard deviation. All methods have also been compared on unstandardized data, but standardization substantially improves the consistency of models between replicate data sets, as well as facilitates the search for an optimal regularization parameter in the sparse regression modeling, as, after standardization, a single parameter value can be used for all transcripts.

### Network parameter estimation

After centering and standardization, and assuming steady state, Equation (1) is rewritten as

(where and refer to mean gene-specific constants across all tumors). Collected for all transcripts *i*, the above translates to the linear equation systems in Equation (2)
*A*Δ*Y*+Δ*U*+*R*=0. Equation (2) can be transformed into Equation (3), where we have Δ*Y*=*G*Δ*U*+Γ, *G*=−*A*^{−1} and Γ=−*A*^{−1}*R*. Δ*Y* is the *n* × *T* matrix of mRNA expression levels for the *n* transcripts across the *T* tumors, similarly for the CNAs Δ*U*, and *G* is the *n* × *n* CNA-driven network matrix. Below, we outline how to solve for parameters of interest in Equation (3), although this is easily recast to estimate parameters in Equation (2) instead.

Prior to solving for parameters of interests, EPoC uses, by default, an optional filter to distinguish candidate (CNAs) from inherited (germ line) copy number variations (CNVs). For each gene, we calculate the number of patients with amplification of the gene (*N*1), and the number of patients with deletion of the gene (*N*_{2}). Given a total number of changes of *N*_{1}+*N*_{2}, we evaluate *P* as the binomial cumulative probability function for *N*_{1} successes in *N*_{1}+*N*_{2} attempts at 0.5 probability. Candidate hubs are selected as genes, for which *P*<δ (bias toward deletion) or *P*>1−δ (bias toward amplification). For our analysis, we set δ=10^{−8}, thus including 25% of the genes as possible regulators. The key difference when the filter is not applied is that the CNV gene GSTT1 is selected as a hub; this gene has both gains and losses, indicating no selection by the tumor, and was also seen in ovarian cancer data from TCGA (data not shown), and is located within a known CNV. We expect that the recurrent CNA detection programs RAE or GISTIC could also be used in this step with good results (Beroukhim et al, 2007; Taylor et al, 2008).

For each gene *i* we first estimate the direct effect of the gene's own CNA by the positive truncated least-squares estimate: *d*=max(0,Δ*U*_{i}^{T} Δ*Y*_{i}), where Δ*Y*_{i} is the *T* × 1 vector transpose of the *i*-th row of Δ*Y*, and similarly for Δ*U*_{i}. From the CNA filter operation above, we obtain the set of *H* candidate hubs and denote the corresponding CNA values by Δ*U*_{H}, where Δ*U*_{H} is a *H* × *T* matrix. We then solve the *n L*1 regularized regression problems (one for each gene), treating Γ terms as noise in the estimation:

where ΔU_{Hi}=Δ*U*_{H}[\*i*,\*i*], i.e., the ΔU_{H} matrix excluding gene *i*, and *G*_{i} denotes the *H* × 1 vector transpose of the *i*-th row in *G* with elements corresponding to the hub set *H*, but excluding gene *i*, and λ is the regularization parameter that controls the degree of sparsity (number of non-zeroes) in *G*. *G*_{i}[*j*] denotes the *j*-th element in vector *G*_{i}. We solve Equation (5) using the cyclic coordinate descent algorithm (Fu, 1998; Friedman et al, 2007). Following Friedman et al (2007), we speed up the computation using the fact that λ>Δ*U*_{Hi}∣∣Δ*Y*_{i}−*d*Δ*U*_{i}∣∣_{∞} implies that *G*_{i}=0 (Osborne et al, 2000), meaning that we need not search for a model for transcripts that meet this criterion as the optimal model will be empty. As a global upper limit for λ, we define λ_{max}=max_{i}Δ*U*_{Hi} ∣∣Δ*Y*_{i}−*d*Δ*U*_{i}∣∣_{∞}, for which all elements of *G* will be zero. The EPoC algorithm is summarized below (Box 1). Note, the same algorithm can be used to estimate the transcriptional network *A* by simply replacing Δ*U*_{Hi} with the mRNA data Δ*Y*_{i}.

*1. Data preparation*

Center the mRNA and CNA data, constructing the two *n* × *T* data matrices Δ*Y* and Δ*U*.

Reduce the CNAs to candidate hubs using the germline binomial filter described above. Collect the candidate CNA hubs in the *H* × *T* data matrix Δ*U*_{H}.

*2. Estimate the direct effect of each transcript's own CNA*

For each gene *i*,

estimate the direct effect of the gene's own CNA by *d*=max(0,Δ*U*_{i}^{T}Δ*Y*_{i}), where Δ*Y*_{i} is the *T* × 1 vector transpose of the *i*-th row of Δ*Y*, and similarly for Δ*U*_{i} .

*3. Estimate elements of G using lasso*

For genes *i*=1, … ,*n*, solve the lasso problem

where *G*_{i} denotes the vector transpose of *i*-th row in the gain matrix *G* with elements corresponding to the hub set *H*, but excluding gene *i*.

*4. Optimal network size*

Randomly split the data into two groups. Apply steps 2 and 3 for different values of λ to each group, and use Kendall's *W* to compute network agreement. Select the optimal λ that maximizes *W* (average *W* over 1000 random splits) and record the corresponding network size *S*. (Alternatively, here optimize for mRNA prediction.)

*5. Final network*

Generate *B*=1000 pseudo-bootstrap data sets. For selected λ in step 4—find the corresponding λ′ that generates networks of size *S* on the bootstrap data set (applying steps 2 and 3 above). The bootstrap networks are denoted *G*^{b}, *b*=1, … ,*B*. Collect interaction frequencies f{*i*,*j*}=∑_{b=1}^{B}1(*G*^{b}{*i*,*j*}≠0)/*B*. The final network consists of interactions with *f*{*i*,*j*}>*f*^{*} (here with *f*^{*}=0.2).

EPoC has been implemented in both R and MATLAB (with C) and the software is available for download at http://sysbio.med.gu.se/epoc.html

### Optimizing the size of the network

The size of the estimated network is controlled by the lasso penalty parameter λ. To determine an appropriate value for λ between 0 (fully connected model) and λ_{max} (smallest, non-empty model) we consider two different validation criteria.

We first compare network consistency using Kendall's *W* (Kendall and Smith, 1939), commonly used to assess agreement among rank-order lists and lately applied for network inference (Vacher et al, 2008; Milns et al, 2010). Here, we rank the network edges (presence and magnitude of an interaction) from different network estimates. If the rank lists agree completely, *W* is 1, and if the rank orders exhibit a random overlap, *W* is 0. Kendall's *W* is analogous to rank correlation but, as it can compare several rank lists instead of only two, we chose to use this measure instead of Spearman's rank correlation for future scalability. Here, we randomly split the data set into two non-overlapping groups, independently estimating a network for each group, and there are thus two rank lists to compare. For more robust inference, the above validation procedure is repeated 1000 times. The final choice of λ, or network size, is based on the mean value of Kendall's *W* across the 1000 random splits (Figure 2A, upper panel).

We also assess the prediction power of our method. When mRNA prediction is the goal, we need to optimize network size with this in mind. We thus compute the prediction errors for each mRNA transcript using cross-validation. Leaving out one 10th fraction of the data, we estimate the gain matrix: . For the left-out portion of the data, we can now predict the mRNA transcript by and compare with the true observed mRNA expression levels Δ*Y*^{(k)}. Note, Δ*Y*^{(k)}, Δ*U*^{(k)} refer to the left-out data, whereas the estimate refers to the estimate based on all data, except the left-out portion. The cross-validation prediction error is defined as

The validation procedure is repeated 1000 times. The final choice of λ is based on the mean prediction error across 10-fold random splits of the data (Figure 2A, lower panel). We note that networks optimized for prediction are larger than networks optimized for robustness.

For robust inference, we produce a final network model by repeating the estimation and validation procedures several times using so-called pseudo-bootstrap (Friedman et al, 2000). We generate bootstrap samples as follows: for each bootstrap simulation *b*=1, … ,*B*, we create pseudo-bootstrap mRNA data as Δ*Y*^{b}=(1−*c*)Δ*Y*+*c*Δ*Y*^{*} (here *B*=1000 bootstrap simulations). Δ*Y*^{*} is a *n* × *T* data matrix, where each column (tumor sample vector across genes) has been randomly sampled from the columns in Δ*Y*. That is, in Δ*Y*^{b} each column represents a weighted combination of one tumor sample vector with another sample. The constant *c* is small, here set to 0.01. The pseudo-boostrap CNA data, Δ*U*^{b}, is obtained in exactly the same way. We then estimate the boostrap network *G*^{b} by applying EPoC to the data set (Δ*U*^{b}, Δ*Y*^{b}). We collect frequency information for each interaction as *f*{*i*,*j*}=∑_{b=1}^{B}1(*G*^{b}{*i*,*j*}≠0)/B, i.e., *f*{*i*,*j*} is the proportion of bootstrap samples for which the interaction *i*←*j* is present in the network. Large values of *f*{*i*,*j*} suggest that the interaction is real, whereas small values suggest it is detected just by chance (numerical instabilities in the estimation procedure). We compute a cutoff for *f* using permutations of the data (Figure 2B) and pick a frequency threshold of 20%, which is well above interaction frequencies expected by chance. We visualize the obtained networks using Cytoscape (Shannon et al, 2003).

### Network-based survival score

The singular value decomposition of *G* is *G*=CΛ*D*^{T} (where *CC*^{T}=*I*, *DD*^{T}=*I* and Λ is diagonal). The right singular vectors (columns) in *D* represent the leading directions of CNA perturbations that are amplified by the system *G*. The left singular vectors (columns) in *C* represent for which mRNA transcripts these perturbation signals result in the largest effects. To aid in interpretation and identify a small set of potential prognostic biomarkers, we here construct the SVD of *G* using a sparse PCA method (Zou et al, 2006). This is based on a regression formulation of PCA, and employs a combined *L*1 and *L*2 penalty (a.k.a *elastic net*) to identify the non-zero loadings of the principal components. The sparse SVD component *D* is obtained through a sparse PCA of *GG*^{T}, and the sparse component *C* is obtained through a sparse PCA of *G*^{T}*G*. The level of sparsity is chosen such that (i) we obtain a reasonable set of biomarkers for possible therapeutic follow-up, and (ii) the solution is stable across neighboring values of the sparsity penalty.

The mRNA profiles of individual patients are projected onto the singular vector space by *Z*_{y}=*C*^{T}Δ*Y* (rows of *Z*_{y} will be components, columns will be patients); and CNA profiles are projected by *Z*_{u}=*D*^{T}Δ*U* (rows of *Z*_{u} will be components, columns will be patients). For the different components of *Z*_{y} and *Z*_{u} we thus compare patients *z*>0 and *z*<0 in terms of clinical survival (from date of surgery to date of death); survival difference *P*-values are obtained by the log-rank test.

One could consider constructing alternative biomarker modules to the above using sparse canonical correlation (CCA; Waaijenborg et al, 2008; Witten et al, 2009). In the Supplementary information, we discuss this alternative in more detail, but note here that sparse SVD of *G* can disagree substantially from CCA. The SVD of *G* focuses on CNA as the input or driver of mRNA changes, whereas CCA treats CNA and mRNA symmetrically. In our toy example, SVD of *G* correctly identifies CNA biomarkers and mRNA responders (Figure 1C). In contrast, CCA is susceptive to, and reflective of, the structure of the noise term of Equation (3). This is a major concern in our glioblastoma data set, where we know that the noise structure is non-negligible, capturing all the mRNA–mRNA dependencies that are non-CNA related.

### Method comparisons

A detailed description of the methods is found in the Supplementary information.

#### Structural consistency tests

We first construct two replicate versions of the TCGA data set, A and B. A comprised array-CGH and Agilent array measurements from MSKCC; B comprised Agilent array-CGH profiles and Affymetrix U133A mRNA profiles generated at Harvard and Broad Institute, with both A and B consisting of 146 individually matched samples. For 100 iterations, we select a mixture of the 250 genes with the highest mRNA variance in one of the data sets, plus an additional random 250 genes from the 10 672 genes studied. This way, we get a set of genes that can be analyzed also by the slowest methods (remMap, glasso, ARACNE), and which introduces a bias in favor of the methods that uses mRNA data only. We subsequently run each method for each of a series of parameter values corresponding to stringency, resulting in a series of networks of different sizes. The parameters tuned are glasso ρ, ARACNE dpi, GeneNet significance threshold, EPoC λ, remMap *L*1 penalty, LirNet *L*1 penalty and eQTL *P*-value cutoff. remMap has an additional *L*2 parameter, which is tuned for optimal performance (*W*). Similarly, LirNet is optimized to perform well by (i) using the same set of initial clusters/modules in the A and B data; (ii) by optimizing the number of modules and the *L*2 penalty. For all methods, we compute network agreement between data sets A and B using Kendall's *W* (Figure 6A).

#### Pathway comparisons

We download Reactome, IntAct and HPRD from Pathwaycommons.org, and map identifiers to the 10 672 genes in our data set. We subsequently calculate the undirected shortest path *R*_{ij} for all gene pairs (*i*,*j*) in these databases using Johnson's algorithm (Johnson, 1977). For a given network *G*, we then calculate the enrichment (relative proportion) as:

calculated across non-diagonal elements (*i*≠*j*) and where *G*_{permuted} is generated by random permutation of the non-diagonal *G* elements (1000 simulations; Figure 6B). For Figure 6B, *k*=2 is used.

#### Prediction of mRNA levels

We calculate the 10-fold cross-validation error for the remMap, LirNet and EPoC methods on random sets of 500 genes (above) (due to speed constraint of remMap). Each method is tuned to perform well by adjusting *L*1 and (when applicable) *L*2, and module number.

### Experimental methods

#### Cell culture and perturbation of NDN, PDGFRA and EGFR

Human U-343MG glioblastoma cells were cultured in Dulbeccos modified Eagles medium (DMEM; Lonza) supplemented with heat-inactivated 10% fetal bovine serum, 100 units/ml penicillin and 0.1 mg/ml streptomycin. Cells were kept in a 37°C humidified incubator containing 5% CO_{2}. For transfection, 1.5 × 10^{5} cells were seeded in a six-well plate, and the FuGENE 6 transfection Reagent (Roche) was used. The cells were transfected by the FLAGC-NecF plasmid containing Flag-tagged *NDN* and the neomycin selection cassette. For generating stable transfectants, 500 μg/ml neomycin was used, whereas for continuous growth 250 μg/ml was added. Two different cell lines (*NDN*+ and *NDN*++) were generated that expressed *NDN* at different levels. Negative control lines were generated by the same protocol, but with an insert-free plasmid. In addition to this experiment, three other cell lines, Human U-87MG, T98G and U-373MG (Cell Lines Service, Germany), were transfected with the same plasmid. U-343MG was re-transfected and previous results were confirmed. Conditions and procedures were similar, except for the transfection procedure, where cells were seeded in six replicates in six-well plates (0.7 to 4.3 × 10^{5} cells/well) and transfected with OPTI-MEM, lipofectamine and PLUSreagent (Invitrogen Corp.). To perturb the *PDGFRA* node, *PDGF-AA* was added at 30 ng/ml. To inhibit cytoplasmic tyrosine kinases, we used STI-571 (Gleevec) at 1 μM. Cells of 50–70% of confluence were grown in a six-well plate and in serum-free DMEM medium for 1 day before *PDGF-AA* and *STI-571* treatments. The duration of *PDGF-AA* and *STI-571* treatment was 14 h. To perturb the *EGFR* node in U-87MG, U-343MG, U-373MG, T98G and A172, *EGFR* inhibitor Gefitinib (Selleck Chemicals) and *EGFR* ligand *EGF* (supplied by Peprotech) was added at 5 μM and 50 ng/ml, respectively. For the Gefitinib-treated cells, controls were treated with equal concentration of DMSO. Cells were seeded in triplicates at 5 × 10^{5} cells/well in a six-well plate 24 h before addition of Gefitinib and *EGF*. Cells were treated for 6 h at 37°C.

#### Comparison of growth rates

For U-343MG, cell growth of *NDN*-expressing and cells transfected with insert-free control plasmid was measured using the MTT colorimetric assay. Initially, 1500 cells were seeded in 96-well plates, with 11 replicates for each time point and treatment. At the respective time point, cells were incubated with 20 μl of 5 mg/ml^{−1} MTT (3-(4,5-dimethylthiazol-2-yl)-2,5-diphenyltetrazolium bromide) dissolved in PBS. After 6 h at 37°C, media were removed and formazan crystals were dissolved in DMSO, and absorbance was measured at 570 nm. For U-87MG, 75 000 cells/well were seeded in six-well plates and counted after 24 days. For U-373MG and T98G, 200 000 cells/well were seeded in six-well plates and counted after 7 days. Cell number was measured using a Chemometec cell counter.

#### Statistical model to test growth rate differences

We assume an exponential model for the growth of glioblastoma cells in culture, *h*(*t*)=*h*_{0}2^{kt}, in which where *t*=time (days), *h* ∝ number of cells and *h*_{0} is the value of *h* at *t*=0. Following log transformation, this is expressed by the linear equation *log*_{2}(*h*(*t*))=*log*_{2}(*h*_{0})+*kt*, which is in good agreement with experimental data (not shown). The constant *k* is estimated by linear least squares, with confidence interval *k*±*s*_{k}·*t*_{0.975,n−2}, where *s*_{k} is the empirical standard deviation of *k*. The time *t*_{D}, it takes to double the number of cells, is given by the inverse of *k*, i.e., *t*_{D}=1/*k*, which has confidence interval

In our experiment, we tested the hypothesis that cells that overexpress Necdin (NDN) grow slower than cells that have been transfected with a negative control plasmid (CTRL). Thus, our null hypothesis *H*_{0} is that *k*_{NDN}=*k*_{CTRL} and our alternative hypothesis *H*_{1} is that *k*_{NDN}<*k*_{CTRL}. To compare the doubling rates *k*_{NDN} and *k*_{CTRL}, we calculate a *T* statistic:

#### Detection of Necdin expression

For U-343MG, cells of 50–70% confluence were solubilized with lysis buffer (150 mM NaCl, 5 mM Tris, pH 8, 0.5% deoxycholate, 10% glycerol, 1% NP-40, 1 mM PMSF, 1 mM DTT, 1 mM aprotonin). Samples were boiled for 10 min and protein content was measured using Bio-Rad protein-assay Dye Reagent. Samples of 10 μg total protein were analyzed on a 10% SDS–PAGE. After electrophoresis, the proteins were transferred onto a nitrocellulose membrane (Amersham) with a semi-dry transfer equipment (Bio-Rad). The membrane was processed for immunoblotting using an anti-FLAG primary antibody (1:2000, Sigma-Aldrich) at 4°C over night and a secondary anti-mouse antibody (1:10 000, GE Healthcare) for 1 h. To detect signal, the membrane was developed using the ECL Advance System (GE Healthcare) according to the manufacturer's protocol and scanned using LAS-1000 Plus (Fujilm).

#### qPCR analysis

Cells cultured in a six-well plate were harvested and RNA isolated using the TRIzol reagent (Invitrogen) and Ethanol precipitation. We synthesized cDNA by annealing oligo-dT primers and elongating with M-MuLV reverse transcriptase (Fermentas) according to the manufacturer's protocol. To avoid DNA contamination, the TURBO DNA-free kit (Ambion, Applied Biosystems) was used. We measured levels of transcripts and estimated *C*_{t} values for *GAPDH, NDN, CPNE8, FGF9* and *KCHN8* (primer sequences in Supplementary information) using the StepOne Real-Time PCR system (Applied Biosystems). Primer sequences were selected using the software Primer Express 3.0 (Applied Biosystems). For qPCR analysis of *SOCS2* and *NR2E1*, cells cultured in a six-well plate were harvested and cellular total RNA was extracted using the RNeasy Plus Mini Kit (Qiagen), according to the manufacturer's protocol. cDNAs were synthesized from total RNA (1 μg) using random primers according to the protocol (High Capacity cDNA Reverse Transcription kit, Applied Biosystems). The expression levels of human *SOCS2* and *NR2E1* mRNA was evaluated using quantitative real-time PCR (TaqMan Gene Expression Assays, Applied Biosystems). Each reaction was run according to manufacturer's protocol (Applied Biosystems). TaqMan Gene Expression Assays used were Hs99999903 m1 for human *ACTB*; Hs00919620 m1 for human *SOCS2*; and Hs01128417 m1 for human *NR2E1/TLX*. The reaction was run using an ABI PRISM 7900 HT Sequence Detection System (Applied Biosystems). Data were collected and recorded by ABI PRISM 7900 SDS Software (Applied Biosystems). Samples were run in duplicates.

#### Statistical analysis of qPCR experiments

Quantity levels (on an arbitrary scale, using four-point standard curves) were estimated using Applied Biosystems software. Statistical testing was conducted to test the following null hypothesis (using a four-sample, unequal variance *t*-test): log(quant. of test gene in treated cells)–log(quant. of ctrl gene in treated cells)=log(quant. of test gene in normal cells)–log(quant. of ctrl gene in normal cells). The validity of using a *t*-test was confirmed by assessing the distribution of residuals (difference between log(quantity) and the mean of log(quantity)). Residuals were compared with a normal distribution by the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, showing no evidence (*P*-value=0.1793). We used both *ACTB* and *GAPDH* as housekeeping controls.

## Supplementary Material

**Supplementary Information:**

Supplementary Methods, Supplementary Figures S1–2

^{(1.8M, pdf)}

## Acknowledgments

This project receives funding from Cancerfonden (SN), Barncancerfonden (SN), NBCNS consortium (SN), Vetenskapsradet (SN, RJ) and BioCare (SN).

*Author contributions:* The study was initiated by SN. Computational methodology was developed by SN, RJ, TA, TK, PG and TN. High-performance software was carried out by TA. Data integration was performed by TK, SN and CS. Biological network model assessment was by LS, LL, SN, BjN, BoN and KF. Method benchmarking tests was performed by TA, SN, RJ, TK. Experiments were designed and performed by LS, LL, KF, EJ and BoN. Experiments were analyzed by TK, LS, LL, BoN. Paper was written by SN and RJ with significant contributions from all authors.

## Footnotes

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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