Logo of clinjasnLink to Publisher's site
Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2009 Nov; 4(11): 1705–1715.
PMCID: PMC2774954
Original Articles

Evaluation of Trial Outcomes in Acute Kidney Injury by Creatinine Modeling


Background and objectives: Clinical trials of acute kidney injury (AKI) use changes in creatinine as outcome metrics. This study investigated how outcome metrics and baseline creatinine affect trial outcome.

Design, setting, participants, & measurements: A one-compartment pharmacokinetic model of creatinine change resulting from a decrease in GFR was applied to a population of 10,000 simulated virtual inpatients. Treatment was simulated as an amelioration of GFR decrease by a specified percentage, the treatment efficacy, in 50%. Three categorical and two continuous outcome metrics were calculated and compared. Outcomes were compared for measured and estimated baseline creatinine levels that were back-calculated assuming a GFR of 100 or 75 ml/min.

Results: The continuous metrics, the average value of creatinine and the average value of creatinine relative to baseline decreased approximately linearly with increase in treatment efficacy. The categorical metrics displayed a sigmoidal decrease and erroneously suggested perfect treatment when GFR decrease was ameliorated by only 60 to 80%. Using an estimate of baseline creatinine increased the number of patients who were classified as having AKI.

Conclusions: When used to determine clinical trial outcome, continuous metrics correctly detected the extent of intervention. At low treatment efficacy, categorical metrics underestimated and at high treatment efficacy overestimated the effect of treatment. These effects were exaggerated when the population contained a high proportion of patients with more severe AKI. An estimated baseline creatinine level will overestimate AKI prevalence compared with a measured baseline value. Clinical trials of AKI should use a continuous outcome metric and a measured baseline and report baseline median and interquartile range.

The assessment of efficacy of treatment in clinical trials that aim to prevent or treat acute kidney injury (AKI) and of the predictive values of AKI biomarkers depends critically on the choice of outcome metric. Most of these are surrogate outcomes for renal replacement therapy or death and are plasma creatinine based. Predictive values are usually assessed against a categorical metric, such as the relative or absolute increase in creatinine above a prespecified level (1,2). Most clinical trials have used a categorical metric as primary outcome (3,4); however, some trials have used a noncategorical, or continuous, metric, such as peak creatinine (5,6). For both types of metric, change in creatinine is a surrogate for change in GFR. A lack of consensus in definition of AKI and its outcomes and in timing of intervention in clinical trials has impaired comparison among trials and perhaps contributed to negative outcomes of some trials. Two groups, the Acute Dialysis Quality Initiative (ADQI) and the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN), have produced creatinine-based definitions and grading of severity of AKI, namely the RIFLE and AKIN criteria, respectively (Table 1) (7,8). These criteria incorporate relative (percentage) changes in creatinine. A third criterion was recently proposed on the basis of absolute change in creatinine within specified time periods (Waikar and Bonventre [W&B]) (9). Only RIFLE incorporates the alternative of using GFR decrease. The latter definition was recently corrected (10). AKIN defines AKI as an abrupt rise over 48 h, and W&B defines AKI as an abrupt rise in 24 to 48 h. The original published RIFLE definition did not define the period, although ADQI recommended (http://www.ccm.upmc.edu/adqi/ADQI2/ADQI2g1.pdf) and later defined AKI as a sustained rise (>24 h) within 7 d (11,12). Both RIFLE and AKIN make use of change in creatinine relative to a baseline, which is either measured or estimated using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) formula (13). RIFLE and AKIN criteria have been evaluated in epidemiologic studies (12,1417). Despite agreement on the importance of classifying severity, a striking variation remains between estimates of AKI incidence (11 to 67%) and mortality (17 to 70%).

Table 1.
Categorical severity stage metrics of AKI

Recently, Solomon and Segal (18) used pharmacokinetic modeling to demonstrate how differing baseline values, or basing the definition of AKI on relative or absolute change in creatinine, can alter diagnosis for an identical change in GFR. Similarly, Waikar and Bonventre (9) showed that a categorical metric that is based on absolute rise in creatinine and incorporates time enables earlier diagnosis of AKI than a metric that is based on relative rise.

Two possible new outcome metrics that incorporate the extent, rate, and duration of change in creatinine are the average change in creatinine above baseline (AVC) and the AVC relative to baseline (RAVC), which we introduce here (Figure 1). These are continuous metrics, which we hypothesized would detect small treatment benefits that reflected amelioration of GFR reduction.

Figure 1.
Derivation of the AVC and the RAVC for the period 0 to t.

We assessed these metrics by modeling creatinine change in 10,000 virtual inpatients (VIPs) with varying degrees of severity of AKI typical of a general intensive care unit (ICU) population. We compared continuous and categorical metrics in both prevention and intervention trials, and we used the model to examine the effect on outcome metrics of estimating baseline creatinine by the ADQI-recommended method of back-calculation from an assumed GFR (7).

Materials and Methods

Plasma creatinine changes with time were modeled with a one-compartment pharmacokinetic model (19,20). Full details of the derivation of the formula used are given in Appendix 1. Briefly, creatinine as a function of time is as a follows:

equation image

where C0 is the concentration at time, t = 0, k is the renal elimination rate constant and Css is the steady-state concentration (see Figure 1).

When there is a decrease in GFR, the creatinine concentration must increase over time to a new steady state:

equation image

where Δg is the percentage decrease in GFR and Cb is the baseline creatinine.

Output Metrics

The proportion of patients in each categorical severity stage metric defined in Table 1 was determined from change in creatinine from baseline (Cb). Total RIFLE and total AKIN were evaluated as trial outcome metrics. The severity stage metrics R, I, and F from RIFLE and I, II, and III from AKIN are not normally used to define trial outcomes but are presented to aid understanding of how treatment changes the proportion of patients in each category; for simplicity, only the largest group of patients, RIFLE R and AKIN I, are shown in the figures.

The AVC (mg/dl; see Figure 1) over time period t is:

equation image

equation image

The RAVC is the AVC relative to baseline creatinine:

equation image

To simulate a clinical situation with a limited number of measurement times, the RAVC was calculated numerically using the trapezoidal method for the discrete time points tm = {0, 12, 24, 48, 72, 96, 120, 144} hours. The mean RAVC for the VIP population is presented in all graphs.

VIP Population for Comparison of Trial Outcome Metrics

Equations 1 and 2 were used to model a population of 10,000 VIPs with initial conditions C0n, Cbn, Δgn, and kbn, where subscript n denotes VIP number n. The rate constant after a decrease in GFR for VIP n then becomes kn = kbnCbn/Cssn. By substituting for kn, C0n, Cbn, and Cssn into equation 1 we calculated the creatinine concentration at time points tm after a decrease in GFR at time 0.

Initial Values

Realistic initial conditions were defined from seven large hospital inpatient or ICU population studies (Table 2). A distribution of 10,000 initial creatinine values (Figure 2) was created using a log-normal distribution with a mean and SD comparable to the populations reported in Table 2 (2628). Each individual VIP was assigned an initial creatinine C0n from this distribution. For calculating outcome metrics, the initial creatinine value served as the baseline creatinine (Cbn = C0n).

Table 2.
Initial plasma creatinine and subsequent increase
Figure 2.
Histogram of a population of 10,000 initial plasma creatinine values (C0n) that were randomly chosen according to the probability distribution Table 2 and binned into 100 equal bins of width 0.035 mg/dl each.

Because GFR is inversely proportional to creatinine, the distribution of reported change in creatinine (Table 2) was used to estimate the distribution of initial change in GFR (Table 2, Figure 3). The studies of Ahlmstrom and Hoste had much higher rates of AKI than others and were treated as outliers. Of the remaining studies, 76 ± 10% (mean ± SD) patients had a GFR decrease of <33%, 12 ± 4% of 33 to 50%, and 11 ± 6% of >50%. To create a VIP population with the same distribution of AKI, decreases in GFR, Δgn, were randomly distributed among the 10,000 VIPs. Thus, 77% of VIPs had a GFR decrease of <33%, 13% a decrease between 33 and 50%, and 12% a decrease >50% (Figure 3). The third metric, kbn, is not typically measured. It may be calculated using the patient weight and creatinine clearance (see Appendix 1). For the simulation, our calculations showed that a single value of kbn could be used for all VIPs, in this case 0.1/h, without losing the power of the model to discriminate between differences in GFR change.

Figure 3.
Histogram of a population of 10,000 initial plasma GFR decreases (Δgn) randomly chosen according to the probability distribution Table 2 and binned into 100 equal bins of width 1% each.

Calculated Changes

To simulate a prevention trial, we randomly assigned VIPs to two equal-sized groups, untreated and treated (each n = 5000). In the untreated group, there was no change in initial conditions, including GFR decrease Δgn; therefore, the creatinine time course remained unaltered for each VIP. In the treated group, the GFR decrease was ameliorated for each VIP at time t = 0, and the creatinine time course was recalculated. The extent of amelioration (called the treatment efficacy) was initially set at 10% for all VIPs (i.e., Δgn [treated] = 0.9 × Δgn [before treatment]). The procedure was repeated for treatment efficacies of 20 to 90% in steps of 10%. A 100% treatment efficacy is equivalent to no change in GFR and complete prevention of AKI. A 0% treatment efficacy produced no amelioration of GFR decrease.

We undertook three subgroup analyses to simulate intervention. VIP population subsets (subgroups) were selected to match predetermined decreases in GFR, which were severe enough to be ranked as the corrected R and F categories by RIFLE (10), so that populations had respective decreases of >33.3% (VIP-33; n = 2286) and 66.7% (VIP-67; n = 427), thus corresponding to the R or higher and F categories in Table 1. A third high-risk subgroup was selected on the basis of an initial creatinine of >1.5 mg/dl (VIP-HR; n = 710). The same approach to treatment efficacy was then applied as for the prevention trial; that is, treatment produced a degree of amelioration of GFR decline referred to as the treatment efficacy. The ideal assumption is made here that AKI has been diagnosed by a biomarker of injury before GFR has declined, so although the patients are predicted to sustain a decrease in GFR sufficient to increase creatinine above the threshold for classification as AKI, this decrease was either fully or partially reversed by the intervention. As for the prevention trial, each subgroup was randomly divided into control and treated groups, with recalculation of the subsequent creatinine time course after the GFR decrease of the treated cohort was ameliorated at t = 0. An alternative simulation could be performed by delaying either the reversal of GFR or the timing of intervention until after an increase in creatinine was detected. This was not attempted, because there are no published data that could be used to define the otherwise arbitrary distribution of timing of such a delay.

VIP Population for Assessing the Methods of Defining Baseline Creatinine

The lowest plasma creatinine measured within 24 h of ICU admission of 1037 consecutive patients who were admitted to a general ICU in 12 mo (Christchurch Hospital, 2007) defined the initial creatinine distribution, C0, of a second VIP population. Patients who had an initial creatinine >3.0 mg/dl (n = 14) or were younger than 17 yr (n = 4) were excluded. The distribution of the decrease in GFR applied to this group was the same as for the first VIP population (Figure 3).

We used three methods for determining the baseline creatinine, Cb, for each VIP. For method A, the baseline was the same as the initial ICU creatinine, C0. For methods B and C, baseline creatinine was back-calculated from the MDRD formula using an assumed GFR of 75 or 100 ml/min, respectively (13).

Statistical Analysis

The effect size is a measure of the relative ability of the outcome metric to distinguish between the treated and control groups at a given treatment efficacy. The effect size (Cohen's d statistic) was calculated as the difference between the means divided by the pooled SD; this is independent of the number of VIPs (29).


Time Course of Creatinine

The creatinine distribution for the VIP population was calculated as a function of time using equation 1 for an initial decrease in GFR, Δgn, and using the input values in Table 3. Figure 4 depicts the increase in creatinine relative to baseline for all 10,000 VIPs.

Table 3.
Parameters of input values created for the VIPs (n = 10,000)
Figure 4.
Distribution of 10,000 VIP population showing the relative (%) increase in plasma creatinine from baseline at each time point, t. Box plots show 25 and 75% quartiles with median. Upper whiskers are 1.5 times the interquartile range; lower whiskers show ...

Prevention Trial

Preventative treatment reduced RAVC approximately in proportion to the treatment efficacy, from 23.5 in the untreated group at 48 h to 1.6 in the treated group with a 90% treatment efficacy (Figure 5A). This corresponded to an effect size of 1.01 (Figure 5C). The relationship between treatment efficacy and effect size for the RAVC was approximately linear. The AVC showed a similar result with linear increase in effect size from 0.12 to 0.91. Because the AVC behaved very similarly to the RAVC in all groups, it is not shown in the graphs.

Figure 5.
Prevention trial (n = 10,000). The proportion (%) of VIPs categorized in each categorical outcome metric for total RIFLE, total AKIN, total W&B, severity stage metrics RIFLE R and AKIN I, and the value of the continuous outcome metric mean RAVC ...

The categorical metrics had a negative sigmoidal (nonlinear) relationship to treatment efficacy (Figure 5, A and B). The gradual reduction in total RIFLE and total AKIN at treatment efficacies below 40% was not evenly reflected in the severity categories, as illustrated by the inconsequential changes in RIFLE R and AKIN I below a treatment efficacy of 40%. Total RIFLE, total W&B, and total AKIN classified no patients with AKI at treatment efficacies above 60, 70, and 80%, respectively.

At 48 h, the effect size was greater for RAVC than the categorical metrics for all treatment efficacies (Figure 5C). At 144 h, the effect size of RAVC was reduced for treatment efficacies above 40 to 50%, whereas there was little change in the effect size of the other metrics (Figure 5D).

Intervention Trials

For intervention in the VIP-33 subgroup, RAVC and total W&B exhibited a linear relationship with treatment efficacy, and total RIFLE and AKIN showed an inverse sigmoidal relationship (Figure 6, A and B). The categorical variables erroneously classified all patients as showing 100% amelioration at treatment efficacies above 60% (total RIFLE and W&B) and above 80% (total AKIN). Below a treatment efficacy of 40%, more patients were classified as AKIN I than in the untreated cohort. This results from more patients having dropped down from a higher severity category than having dropped below the threshold for AKIN I as the result of treatment. The effect sizes were considerably greater for this intervention trial than for the prevention trial using the full cohort (compare Figure 6, C and D, with Figure 5, C and D), especially for total RIFLE and total AKIN above treatment efficacies of 40 and 60%, respectively, for which these metrics are more discriminatory than RAVC.

Figure 6.
Intervention trial VIP-33 (initial GFR decrease >33.3%; n = 2286). The proportion (%) of VIPs categorized in each categorical outcome metric for total RIFLE, total AKIN, total W&B, severity stage metrics RIFLE R and AKIN I, and the value ...

For intervention in the VIP-67 subgroup, only RAVC exhibited an approximately linear relationship with treatment efficacy (Figure 7). The nonlinearity of the categorical metrics that were observed in VIP-33 was greatly exaggerated. Total RIFLE and total AKIN were unable to detect any treatment effect below 40 to 50% (Figure 7, C and D). At treatment efficacies of 20 to 50%, some VIPs whose initial classification was RIFLE F or AKIN III became classified as RIFLE R or AKIN I, increasing these metrics.

Figure 7.
Intervention trial VIP-67 (initial GFR decrease >66.7%; n = 427). The proportion (%) of VIPs categorized in each categorical outcome metric for total RIFLE, total AKIN, total W&B, severity stage metrics RIFLE R and AKIN I, and the value ...

The nonlinearity that was observed in the categorical variables of the total VIP cohort was exaggerated in VIP-HR (Figure 8). Total W&B and total AKIN were less discriminatory at treatment efficacies below 40% in this subgroup than in the total cohort (compare Figure 8, C and D, with Figure 5, C and D).

Figure 8.
High-risk patients (initial creatinine >1.5 mg/dl; n = 710). The proportion (%) of VIPs categorized in each categorical outcome metric for total RIFLE, total AKIN, total W&B, severity stage metrics RIFLE R and AKIN I, and the value of ...

Using MDRD to Estimate Baseline Creatinine

The effect of using an assumed GFR to back-calculate baseline creatinine is contrasted with the use of the initial value (model A) in Table 4. Model B (assumed GFR of 75 ml/min) resulted in a decrease in all categorical and continuous metric classifications of AKI compared with model A, with the exception of AKIN severity stage III and the W&B stages 2 and 3. Model C (assumed GFR of 100 ml/min) resulted in an increase in all categorical and continuous metric classifications of AKI compared with model A. The lower mean baseline creatinine in model C compared with model B explains the higher RAVC, AVC, and categorical metrics.

Table 4.
Effect of baseline creatinine determination on severity classification at 48 h after insult

Despite the excess of misclassification by model C, the mean baseline creatinine for models A and C were not significantly different. The difference in output metrics is due to the difference in distribution of baseline creatinine. The variance of model C was significantly smaller (P < 0.0001) and the median significantly higher (P < 0.0001) than for model A. In other words, estimating baseline creatinine values using a “one size fits all” GFR (model C) compressed the range of baseline values compared with a measured baseline population (model A). This resulted in an overestimation of the proportion of patients who were classified by total RIFLE, total AKIN, and total W&B of 36, 21, and 92%, respectively.


The optimal outcome metric for clinical studies of AKI is uncertain (9,18). In this study, the RAVC (and AVC) showed an approximately linear relationship with treatment efficacy, correctly reflecting the extent of the targeted intervention. At low treatment efficacy, the categorical metrics tended to underestimate and at high treatment efficacy to overestimate the extent of intervention. These deviations were most pronounced in intervention trials (subgroups VIP-33 and especially VIP-67); however, as the risk of AKI in a population increases (e.g., VIP-67 versus VIP-33), categorical metrics will become progressively less discriminatory between the treated and untreated groups. In contrast, continuous metrics, (e.g., RAVC) maintain discrimination.

The RIFLE and AKIN criteria have been used in retrospective epidemiologic studies but less widely in prospective clinical trials. Two published prevention trials used RIFLE as a secondary outcome metric (30,31). and one used RIFLE R as a randomization criterion (32). RIFLE has been used as a gold standard against which to assess the predictive value of novel biomarkers (3335). Many other measures of creatinine continue to be used as outcomes of clinical trials, including the proportion of patients with a serum creatinine of >150 μmol/L (36) or a >25% increase in 72 h (30). Solomon and Segal (18) argued that individuals with high initial creatinine or low GFR were more likely to be identified as having kidney injury by the AKIN criteria. Waikar and Bonventre (9) argued for AKI to be classified by absolute rather than relative changes and to incorporate time, effectively making the rate of change the important metric.

Both continuous and categorical outcome metrics depend crucially on correct determination of baseline creatinine. Lower baseline creatinine estimates that were determined using an assumed GFR of 100 ml/min (MDRD) increased the prevalence of AKI regardless of the metric used. Similarly, in a pediatric population, Zapitelli et al. (37) showed that a baseline creatinine derived from an assumed GFR of 100 or 120 ml/min (Schwarz) progressively increased the prevalence of AKI compared with a measured baseline creatinine. Bagshaw et al. (38) demonstrated in a population with severe AKI that back-calculation by the MDRD formula overestimates AKI by RIFLE category. Importantly, it was the narrower distribution (smaller interquartile range) of the back-calculated baseline distribution (100 ml/min), compared with the measured creatinine baseline distribution that resulted in more patients' being classified as having AKI. In other words, even when the estimated baseline creatinine distribution has the same mean as the measured baseline creatinine of the population, the use of this method for calculating baseline creatinine values will overestimate the incidence of AKI.

The implication for clinical trials is that it is not merely the mean and SD of the creatinine that enable us to compare trials but the distribution. For facilitation of comparisons between trials and epidemiologic studies, the medians and upper and lower quartile ranges of the populations should be published. Furthermore, every effort should be taken to use reasonable measured baseline creatinine values than estimated ones. In some cases, no preadmission creatinine is available. A strategy that involves using the lowest of the ICU values (39) or even a post-ICU creatinine concentration (when this is lower than the ICU values) seems to be preferable to a formulaic estimate of baseline creatinine.

If total RIFLE, AKIN, or W&B is used as the primary or secondary outcome for a trial, then the results will depend on the baseline creatinine. These results highlight the potential for misinterpreting trial outcomes. The effect of partially efficacious treatment is to reduce the proportions in the more severe AKIN or RIFLE stages while increasing the proportion in the less severe stages. This may lead to the treatment arm's having higher proportions in AKIN I or AKIN II, for example, than the placebo arm. Caution is required when patients are stratified according to stage of severity; AKIN and RIFLE stages are inappropriate as stand-alone outcomes in clinical trials.

The results show that categorical metrics suggest perfect treatment when the amelioration of GFR decrease is not 100%. This is because categorical outcomes aggregate all creatinine changes below a cutoff (e.g., 0.3 mg/dl in the case of AKIN) into one “non-AKI” category. A noncategorical metric, such as the RAVC, incorporates the differences among all patients. The RAVC also incorporates several time points rather than relying on a single point to classify a patient into a RIFLE or an AKIN stage. The importance of time in a definition of AKI was recently highlighted by the W&B model, which demonstrated that absolute change in creatinine was an earlier marker of a change in GFR for patients who had chronic kidney disease and developed AKI (9). This study has not sought to establish RAVC as an alternative definition of AKI for an individual patient; rather, it is limited to RAVC as an outcome metric in clinical trials. The question of whether a snapshot of renal function or an average over several days in the ICU is a better predictor of outcome, such as death, needs validation in clinical studies.

A proportion of patients who enter the ICU will have had time for the disease to evolve from insult to GFR decrease and then to the point that this becomes detectable by an increase in creatinine. Intuitively, this highlights that using the entry to ICU value of creatinine as a baseline underestimates the prevalence of AKI. The presence of a proportion of both treated and placebo groups with a GFR decrease will then mask treatment efficacy in an intervention trial.

This study has limitations. Our evaluation is limited to “treatment efficacy,” defined as a proportional reduction in GFR decrease irrespective of initial GFR. It is possible that some treatments are more effective at ameliorating or preventing GFR decrease (e.g., in patients who have a higher initial GFR). Within a population of treated patients, treatment efficacy is likely to be normally distributed. When the change in the outcome metric is approximately linear across this distribution, the modeled outcomes will be unaffected; however, when the changes are not symmetrical on either side of the mean treatment efficacy, the outcome metric curves will be “smoothed out” with less abrupt changes with treatment efficacy. The model, at present, does not allow for a transient rise in plasma creatinine, which is known to occur in some patients.

Our model further assumes that the rate of production of creatinine and the volume of distribution are constant during the 7 d and that nonglomerular creatinine excretion is negligible. In the ICU situation, total muscle mass changes at a rate of approximately 2%/d (40). Plasma creatinine concentration does not decrease immediately and may in fact increase a little (41). During 48 to 144 h, these changes are negligible. The volume of distribution may change, for example as a result of high volumes of fluid intake; however, this is unlikely to have a major effect on the rate of change of creatinine when the rate of elimination of creatinine is changing rapidly as in AKI. Furthermore, at any given GFR, tubular secretion will reduce creatinine and therefore affect both categorical and noncategorical outcome metrics, similarly reducing both RAVC and the chance of categorical classification of AKI. This does not change any of the conclusions that arise from this study.

Only one continuous metric has been modeled. Others, such as the maximal change in creatinine, are possible. Any difference between these categories and AVC and RAVC would require further evaluation that takes into account both the time point and the duration during which each metric is evaluated.

This creatinine-kinetic modeling highlights the importance to clinical trials of choosing an outcome metric in AKI that enables detection of small differences in GFR change. Categorical metrics are poorly discriminatory as outcome variables in populations with high proportions of patients with severe AKI. The RAVC (and AVC) are discriminatory irrespective of cohort composition and reflect treatment outcome across all degrees of treatment efficacy. When a method is used to estimate the baseline creatinine values of a population, it is important that the choice of estimated GFR approximate the real mean GFR of the population; however, a measured baseline creatinine is better still.




This study was supported by Health Research Council of New Zealand grant 05/131.

Appendix 1

A one-compartment pharmacokinetic model can be used to calculate the changes in creatinine with time (19,20):

equation image

where C is the creatinine concentration, t is the time, R is the rate of production of creatinine, V is the volume of distribution, and k is the renal elimination rate constant. R and V are assumed to be constant; therefore equation A1 can be solved to give the creatinine as a function of time:

equation image

where Css, the steady-state creatinine concentration, is

equation image

Because creatinine is assumed to be entirely eliminated by renal clearance, the renal clearance, Cl, is simply the renal elimination rate constant multiplied by volume of distribution:

equation image

If we estimate the volume of distribution as 0.6w L, where w is the weight of the patient, and use a measured or estimated clearance, then we may estimate the initial renal elimination rate constant, k. Alternatively, knowing that the half-life of creatinine, t1/2, is simply 0.693/k, we may calculate k if we measure or estimate the half-life. Figure A1 is a histogram of k calculated this way for 382 patients who were admitted to ICU at Christchurch or Dunedin hospital and enrolled in the study EARLYARF (Early Intervention in Acute Renal Failure) (ACTRN12606000032550; http://www.actr.org.au). The mean ± SD was 0.12 ± 0.08/h and median (interquartile range) was 0.10/h (0.06 to 0.17/h).

Figure A1.

An external file that holds a picture, illustration, etc.
Object name is cjn0110929860009.jpg


Published online ahead of print. Publication date available at www.cjasn.org.


1. Westhuyzen J, Endre ZH, Reece G, Reith DM, Saltissi D, Morgan TJ.: Measurement of tubular enzymuria facilitates early detection of acute renal impairment in the intensive care unit. Nephrol Dial Transplant 18: 543– 551, 2003 [PubMed]
2. Mishra J, Dent C, Tarabishi R, Mitsnefes MM, Ma Q, Kelly C, Ruff SM, Zahedi K, Shao M, Bean J, Mori K, Barasch J, Devarajan P.: Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) as a biomarker for acute renal injury after cardiac surgery. Lancet 365: 1231– 1238, 2005 [PubMed]
3. Macedo E, Abdulkader R, Castro I, Sobrinho AC, Yu L, Vieira JM.: Lack of protection of N-acetylcysteine (NAC) in acute renal failure related to elective aortic aneurysm repair-a randomized controlled trial. Nephrol Dial Transplant 21: 1863– 1869, 2006 [PubMed]
4. Marathias KP, Vassili M, Robola A, Alivizatos PA, Palatianos GM, Geroulanos S, Vlahakos DV.: Preoperative intravenous hydration confers renoprotection in patients with chronic kidney disease undergoing cardiac surgery. Artif Organs 30: 615– 621, 2006 [PubMed]
5. Haase M, Haase-Fielitz A, Bagshaw SM, Reade MC, Morgera S, Seevenayagam S, Matalanis G, Buxton B, Doolan L, Bellomo R.: Phase II, randomized, controlled trial of high-dose N-acetylcysteine in high-risk cardiac surgery patients. Crit Care Med 35: 1324– 1331, 2007 [PubMed]
6. Adabag AS, Ishani A, Koneswaran S, Johnson DJ, Kelly RF, Ward HB, McFalls EO, Bloomfield HE, Chandrashekhar Y.: Utility of N-acetylcysteine to prevent acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery: A randomized controlled trial. Am Heart J 155: 1143– 1149, 2008 [PubMed]
7. Bellomo R, Ronco C, Kellum JA, Mehta RL, Palevsky P. Acute Dialysis Quality Initiative workgroup: Acute renal failure: Definition, outcome measures, animal models, fluid therapy and information technology needs—The Second International Consensus Conference of the Acute Dialysis Quality Initiative (ADQI) Group. Crit Care 8: R204– R212, 2004 [PMC free article] [PubMed]
8. Mehta RL, Kellum JA, Shah SV, Molitoris BA, Ronco C, Warnock DG, Levin A. Acute Kidney Injury Network: Acute Kidney Injury Network: Report of an initiative to improve outcomes in acute kidney injury. Crit Care 11: R31, 2007 [PMC free article] [PubMed]
9. Waikar S, Bonventre J.: Creatinine kinetics and the definition of acute kidney injury. J Am Soc Nephrol 20: 672– 679, 2009 [PMC free article] [PubMed]
10. Pickering JW, Endre ZH.: GFR shot by RIFLE: Errors in staging acute kidney injury. Lancet 373: 1318– 1319, 2009 [PubMed]
11. Lameire N, Van Biesen W, Vanholder R.: The changing epidemiology of acute renal failure. Nat Clin Pract Nephrol 2: 364– 377, 2006 [PubMed]
12. Hoste EA, Clermont G, Kersten A, Venkataraman R, Angus DC, De Bacquer D, Kellum JA.: RIFLE criteria for acute kidney injury are associated with hospital mortality in critically ill patients: A cohort analysis. Crit Care 10: R73, 2006 [PMC free article] [PubMed]
13. Levey AS, Bosch JP, Lewis JB, Greene T, Rogers N, Roth D.: A more accurate method to estimate glomerular filtration rate from serum creatinine: A new prediction equation. Ann Intern Med 130: 461– 470, 1999 [PubMed]
14. Ahlstrom A, Kuitunen A, Peltonen S, Hynninen M, Tallgren M, Aaltonen J, Pettila V.: Comparison of 2 acute renal failure severity scores to general scoring systems in the critically ill. Am J Kidney Dis 48: 262– 268, 2006 [PubMed]
15. Cruz DN, Bolgan I, Perazella MA, Bonello M, de Cal M, Corradi V, Polanco N, Ocampo C, Nalesso F, Piccinni P, Ronco C. North East Italian Prospective Hospital Renal Outcome Survey on Acute Kidney Injury (NEiPHROS-AKI) Investigators: Targeting the problem with the RIFLE criteria. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol 2: 418– 425, 2007 [PubMed]
16. Bagshaw SM, George C, Bellomo R. ANZICS Database Management Committee: A comparison of the RIFLE and AKIN criteria for acute kidney injury in critically ill patients. Nephrol Dial Transplant 23: 1569– 1574, 2008 [PubMed]
17. Hoste EA, Schurgers M.: Epidemiology of acute kidney injury: How big is the problem? Crit Care Med 36: S146– S151, 2008 [PubMed]
18. Solomon R, Segal A.: Defining acute kidney injury: What is the most appropriate metric? Nat Clin Pract Nephrol 4: 208– 215, 2008 [PubMed]
19. Chiou WL, Hsu FH.: Pharmacokinetics of creatinine in man and its implications in the monitoring of renal function and in dosage regimen modifications in patients with renal insufficiency. J Clin Pharmacol 15: 427– 434, 1975 [PubMed]
20. Chow MS.: A method for determining the pharmacokinetics of endogenous creatinine without exogenous creatinine administration. Biopharm Drug Dispos 6: 201– 208, 1985 [PubMed]
21. Brown JR, Cochran RP, Dacey LJ, Ross CS, Kunzelman KS, Dunton RF, Braxton JH, Charlesworth DC, Clough RA, Helm RE, Leavitt BJ, MacKenzie TA, O'Connor GT.: Perioperative increases in serum creatinine are predictive of increased 90-day mortality after coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Circulation 114: I409– I413, 2006 [PubMed]
22. Chertow GM, Burdick E, Honour M, Bonventre JV, Bates DW.: Acute kidney injury, mortality, length of stay, and costs in hospitalized patients. J Am Soc Nephrol 16: 3365– 3370, 2005 [PubMed]
23. Uchino S, Bellomo R, Goldsmith D, Bates S, Ronco C.: An assessment of the RIFLE criteria for acute renal failure in hospitalized patients. Crit Care Med 34: 1913– 1917, 2006 [PubMed]
24. Bagshaw SM, George C, Dinu I, Bellomo R.: A multi-centre evaluation of the RIFLE criteria for early acute kidney injury in critically ill patients. Nephrol Dial Transplant 23: 1203– 1210, 2008 [PubMed]
25. Ostermann M, Chang R.: Acute kidney injury in the intensive care unit according to RIFLE. Crit Care Med 35: 1837– 1843, 2007 [PubMed]
26. Flynn F, Piper K, Garciawe P, Mcpherson K, Healy MJ.: Frequency distributions of commonly determined blood-constituents in health blood-donors. Clin Chim Acta 52: 163– 171, 1974 [PubMed]
27. Finney H, Newman DJ, Price CP.: Adult reference ranges for serum cystatin C, creatinine and predicted creatinine clearance. Ann Clin Biochem 37: 49– 59, 2000 [PubMed]
28. Raymond I, Pedersen F, Steensgaard-Hansen F, Green A, Busch-Sorensen M, Tuxen C, Appel J, Jacobsen J, Atar D, Hildebrandt P.: Prevalence of impaired left ventricular systolic function and heart failure in a middle aged and elderly urban population segment of Copenhagen. Heart 89: 1422, 2003 [PMC free article] [PubMed]
29. Cohen J.: Statistical Power Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences, New York, Academic Press, 1988
30. Sisillo E, Ceriani R, Bortone F, Juliano G, Salvi L, Veglia F, Fiorentini C, Marenzi G.: N-acetylcysteine for prevention of acute renal failure in patients with chronic renal insufficiency undergoing cardiac surgery: A prospective, randomized, clinical trial. Crit Care Med 36: 81– 86, 2008 [PubMed]
31. Bove T, Landoni G, Calabrò MG, Aletti G, Marino G, Cerchierini E, Crescenzi G, Zangrillo A.: Renoprotective action of fenoldopam in high-risk patients undergoing cardiac surgery: A prospective, double-blind, randomized clinical trial. Circulation 111: 3230– 3235, 2005 [PubMed]
32. Tumlin JA, Finkel KW, Murray PT, Samuels J, Cotsonis G, Shaw AD.: Fenoldopam mesylate in early acute tubular necrosis: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial. Am J Kidney Dis 46: 26– 34, 2005 [PubMed]
33. Parikh CR, Mishra J, Thiessen-Philbrook H, Dursun B, Ma Q, Kelly C, Dent C, Devarajan P, Edelstein CL.: Urinary IL-18 is an early predictive biomarker of acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery. Kidney Int 70: 199– 203, 2006 [PubMed]
34. Nickolas TL, O'Rourke MJ, Yang J, Sise ME, Canetta PA, Barasch N, Buchen C, Khan F, Mori K, Giglio J, Devarajan P, Barasch J.: Sensitivity and specificity of a single emergency department measurement of urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin for diagnosing acute kidney injury. Ann Intern Med 148: 810– 819, 2008 [PMC free article] [PubMed]
35. Bennett M, Dent C, Ma Q, Dastrala S, Grenier F, Workman R, Syed H, Ali S, Barasch J, Devarajan P.: Urine NGAL predicts severity of acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery: A prospective study. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol 3: 665– 673, 2008 [PMC free article] [PubMed]
36. Morelli A, Ricci Z, Bellomo R, Ronco C, Rocco M, Conti G, De Gaetano A, Picchini U, Orecchioni A, Portieri M, Coluzzi F, Porzi P, Serio P, Bruno A, Pietropaoli P.: Prophylactic fenoldopam for renal protection in sepsis: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled pilot trial. Crit Care Med 33: 2451– 2456, 2005 [PubMed]
37. Zappitelli M, Parikh CR, Akcan-Arikan A, Washburn KK, Moffett BS, Goldstein SL.: Ascertainment and epidemiology of acute kidney injury varies with definition interpretation. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol 3: 948– 954, 2008 [PMC free article] [PubMed]
38. Bagshaw SM, Uchino S, Cruz D, Bellomo R, Morimatsu H, Morgera S, Schetz M, Tan I, Bouman C, Macedo E, Gibney N, Tolwani A, Oudemans-van Straaten H, Ronco C, Kellum JA.: A comparison of observed versus estimated baseline creatinine for determination of RIFLE class in patients with acute kidney injury. Nephrol Dial Transplant 24: 2739– 2744, 2009 [PubMed]
39. Abosaif NY, Tolba YA, Heap M, Russell J, El Nahas AM.: The outcome of acute renal failure in the intensive care unit according to RIFLE: Model application, sensitivity, and predictability. Am J Kidney Dis 46: 1038– 1048, 2005 [PubMed]
40. Griffiths RD.: Muscle mass, survival, and the elderly ICU patient. Nutrition 12: 456– 458, 1996 [PubMed]
41. Hoste EA, Damen J, Vanholder RC, Lameire NH, Delanghe JR, Van den Hauwe K, Colardyn FA.: Assessment of renal function in recently admitted critically ill patients with normal serum creatinine. Nephrol Dial Transplant 20: 747– 753, 2005 [PubMed]

Articles from Clinical Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN are provided here courtesy of American Society of Nephrology

Save items

Related citations in PubMed

See reviews...See all...

Cited by other articles in PMC

See all...


  • Compound
    PubChem chemical compound records that cite the current articles. These references are taken from those provided on submitted PubChem chemical substance records. Multiple substance records may contribute to the PubChem compound record.
  • MedGen
    Related information in MedGen
  • PubMed
    PubMed citations for these articles
  • Substance
    PubChem chemical substance records that cite the current articles. These references are taken from those provided on submitted PubChem chemical substance records.

Recent Activity

Your browsing activity is empty.

Activity recording is turned off.

Turn recording back on

See more...