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Copyright © 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd Polypharmacy and falls in the middle age and elderly population 1Section of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam 2Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam 3Department of Medical Informatics, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam 4Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam 5Drug Safety Unit, Inspectorate for Healthcare, the Hague, the Netherlands Correspondence Bruno H. Ch. Stricker, MB PhD, Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Erasmus Medical Center, PO Box 1738, 3000 DR Rotterdam, the Netherlands. Tel: +31 10 408 8294 Fax: +31 10 408 9382 E-mail: Email: b.stricker/at/erasmusmc.nl Received January 18, 2005; Accepted September 27, 2005. This article has been cited by other articles in PMC.Abstract Aim Falls in the elderly are common and often serious. We studied the association between multiple drug use (polypharmacy) and falls in the elderly. Methods This was a population-based cross-sectional study, part of the Rotterdam Study. The participants were 6928 individuals aged ≥55 years. The prevalence of falls in the previous year was assessed. Medication use was determined with an interviewer-administered questionnaire with verification of use. Polypharmacy was defined as the use of four or more drugs per day. Results The prevalence of falls strongly increased with age. Falls were more common in women than in men. Fall risk increased with increasing disability, presence of joint complaints, use of a walking aid and fracture history. The risk of falling increased significantly with the number of drugs used per day (P for trend <0.0001). After adjustment for a large number of comorbid conditions and disability, polypharmacy remained a significant risk factor for falling. Stratification for polypharmacy with or without at least one drug which is known to increase fall risk (notably CNS drugs and diuretics) disclosed that only polypharmacy with at least one risk drug was associated with an increased risk of falling. Conclusions Fall risk is associated with the use of polypharmacy, but only when at least one established fall risk-increasing drug was part of the daily regimen. Keywords: polypharmacy, falls, elderly, pharmaco-epidemiology, risk drugs, geriatric medicine Introduction Falls are a common phenomenon in the elderly and are associated with considerable morbidity and mortality [1]. They often lead to reduced functioning and to nursing home admissions [2]. The risk of falling increases dramatically with the number of risk factors, such as musculoskeletal problems, neurological diseases, psychosocial characteristics, functional dependency and drug use. Polypharmacy, usually defined as the use of more than three or four medications, is regarded as an important risk factor for falling in the elderly [3–7]. A meta-analysis [6, 7] showed an increased fall risk in users of diuretics, antiarrhythmics and psychotropics. However, in a large population-based study it was concluded that comorbidity, being a relevant recognized risk factor for falling in the elderly, fully explains the increased risk associated with drug use [8]. Our hypothesis was that drugs can be an independent risk factor for falling but that polypharmacy itself is not a risk factor. In our hypothesis the association between polypharmacy and falling is explained by a higher probability of receiving a risk-increasing drug with the number of drugs taken. To investigate this issue, we assessed the association between polypharmacy and falling. Methods This cross-sectional analysis was part of the Rotterdam Study, a population-based prospective cohort study of 7983 people aged 55 years (mean age 70.6, range 55–106.2) [9]. Baseline examination was performed between 1990 and 1993. We excluded people with dementia (n = 482) [10] or unknown mental state (n = 455) and those who could not give an adequate fall history at baseline (n = 118). During baseline interviews and subsequent physical and laboratory examinations, information was gathered on several relevant parameters such as age, gender, functional performance [11, 12] and blood pressure. A full assessment of medical and psychiatric comorbidity was also performed. Systolic and diastolic blood pressures were measured in a recumbent position, followed by subsequent measurements in an upright position after 1–5 min of standing. Orthostatic hypotension was defined as a systolic drop of ≥20 mmHg and a diastolic drop of ≥10 mmHg [13]. As exposure of interest we examined the use of drugs. Medication use was determined at baseline by interview and verified by a physician. Drugs were coded according to the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical classification (ATC) system [14]. Although there is no uniform definition of polypharmacy, we defined it, in accordance with the literature, as the use of four or more medications [3, 5–7]. Drugs associated with falling in the fully adjusted model were classified as risk drugs. As the primary outcome we studied falling. A faller was defined as an individual with a history of one or more falls, without precipitating trauma (e.g. car accident or sports injury), in the 12 months preceding the baseline interview. Falling was assessed by structured personal interviews by trained research nurses. The Medical Ethics Committee of the Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, approved the study. Analysis We analysed the association between risk factors and falling by means of multivariate logistic regression analysis. We performed an adjusted multivariate analysis adding all known risk factors for falling: age, gender, alcohol use, history of diabetes mellitus, myocardial infarction, hypertension, Parkinson's disease, stroke, thyroid diseases, depressive episodes, functional performance (described as disability index), dizziness, gait disturbance, home-bound life style, joint complaints, memory complaints, orthostatic hypotension, systolic and diastolic blood pressure after 5 min, postural disturbance and visual acuity. All analyses were performed using SPSS version 11.0.1 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA; 2001). Results A total of 6928 subjects (87%) were eligible for our study, of whom 1144 (16.5%) experienced one or more falls in the previous year. The prevalence of falls strongly increased with age. Falls were more common in women than in men. In addition, fall risk increased with increasing disability, staying indoors because of health, joint complaints, dizziness, gait or postural disturbance, orthostatic hypotension, history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, Parkinson's disease, stroke, depressive episodes and presence of memory complaints (Table 1). Almost 72% (n = 4983) of the participants were taking at least one drug, and 20.3% (n = 1407) were taking four or more drugs. The risk of falling increased significantly with the number of drugs used per day (P for trend <0.001) (Figure 1
The probability of using a risk drug increased proportionally with the total number of medications taken, from 25% with the use of only one prescription daily to more than 60% when six or more drugs were prescribed (Figure 2
Stratification for presence or absence of at least one risk drug disclosed that polypharmacy is a risk factor for falling only if it includes a risk drug (P for trend =0.004; Figure 3
Discussion In this population-based study, fall risk was associated with the use of multiple drugs, but only when at least one established fall risk-increasing drug was part of the daily regimen. Part of the increased risk could be explained by comorbidity as shown in the fully adjusted model, but some drugs appeared to have a risk-increasing effect, independent of comorbidity. This is in contrast to the findings of Lawlor et al. [8]. They did, however, study composite groups of medications only. Possible explanations for the mechanism of action are numerous, e.g. diuretics can cause dizziness as a consequence of orthostatic hypotension, with falling as a result. Benzodiazepine derivatives may play a role by effects on the central nervous system. However, after adjustment for comorbid conditions and disability, polypharmacy (i.e. the number of drugs) remained a significant risk factor for falling. In the Guideline for the Prevention of Falls in Older Persons [2], the assessment of persons having experienced a fall focuses on modifiable risk factors. Our results support the recommendation to assess medication use, being a modifiable risk factor for falling. According to our findings, the falls assessment should focus on identifying risk-increasing drugs rather than polypharmacy per se [1]. Limitations of the study Being a cross-sectional study, our study may have some limitations. First, 37% of our population was younger than 65 years. This possibly explains the relatively low prevalence of falling (16.5%) in comparison with other studies [2], but is consistent with the large study of Lawlor et al. [8]. Because of the cross-sectional nature of this study, we cannot be certain that drug use preceded falling. The magnitude of this problem varies between the different observed associations. Calcium preparations, for example, may be prescribed as a consequence of falling to prevent fractures. However, in chronic disease situations, medications are generally prescribed on a continuous basis. Therefore it is likely that most of the drugs were already used before the assessment of falls. Third, it was not possible to control for ‘confounding by indication’, which is likely to play a role in the association between, for example, calcium preparations or laxative use and falling. Presumably, there is a clinically relevant association between osteoporosis and falling, or between disabling conditions, causing constipation and falling. The majority of relevant comorbid conditions were taken into account in the analysis. However, we were not, for example, able to assess the influence of chronic pulmonary diseases on falling. Hence, some residual confounding may play a role in our study. Finally, there may be misclassification of the outcome, which was based on structured interview. The results are dependent upon recall of events, which might introduce ‘recall bias’ as a consequence of the retrospective character of our study. In an earlier study, falls were recalled with a specificity of 91.4%, and were more likely to be remembered if an injury had occurred. The number of falls was not accurately recalled in more than a third of the persons [15]. In our analysis we therefore dichotomized on falls vs. no falls. We have no reason to believe that misclassification of the outcome, if any, was differential. Moreover, the effect of under reporting of falls was minimized by exclusion of persons with an established cognitive disorder, mostly dementia [16]. Potentially, drug interactions can play a role in falling, but the methodology of our analysis was not suitable to address that issue. Implications In accordance with the meta-analyses by Leipzig et al. [6, 7], we also found an association between diuretics, quinine and derivatives, and psychotropic drugs (especially anxiolytics-benzodiazepine derivatives and hypnotics-benzodiazepine derivatives) with falling. The major finding of our study is that the contribution of identifiable risk drugs to polypharmacy is associated with an increased fall risk, rather than polypharmacy itself. As a consequence, there is an opportunity for risk-reducing interventions in a frail elderly population, in whom polypharmacy is inevitable in order to control the underlying comorbidity. Acknowledgments We are grateful to Professor Th. Stijnen for helpful statistical advice. References 1. Tinetti ME. Clinical practice. Preventing falls in elderly persons. N Engl J Med. 2003;348:42–49. [PubMed] 2. American Geriatrics Society Panel on Falls Prevention OSP. Guideline for the prevention of falls in older persons. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2001;49:664–672. [PubMed] 3. Robbins AS, Rubenstein LZ, Josephson KR, Schulman BL, Osterweil D, Fine G. Predictors of falls among elderly people. Results of two population-based studies. Arch Intern Med. 1989;149:1628–1633. [PubMed] 4. Evans JG. Drugs and falls in later life. Lancet. 2003;361(9356):448. [PubMed] 5. Cumming RG, Miller JP, Kelsey JL, Davis P, Arfken CL, Birge SJ, Peck WA. Medications and multiple falls in elderly people: the St Louis OASIS study. Age Ageing. 1991;20:455–461. [PubMed] 6. Leipzig RM, Cumming RG, Tinetti ME. Drugs and falls in older people: a systematic review and meta-analysis. I. Psychotropic drugs. J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999;47:30–39. [PubMed] 7. Leipzig RM, Cumming RG, Tinetti ME. Drugs and falls in older people: a systematic review and meta-analysis. II. Cardiac and analgesic drugs. J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999;47:40–50. [PubMed] 8. Lawlor DA, Patel R, Ebrahim S. Association between falls in elderly women and chronic diseases and drug use: cross sectional study. BMJ. 2003;327(7417):712–717. [PubMed] 9. Hofman A, Grobbee DE, de Jong PT, van den Ouweland FA. Determinants of disease and disability in the elderly: the Rotterdam Elderly Study. Eur J Epidemiol. 1991;7:403–422. [PubMed] 10. Ott A, Breteler MMB, van Harskamp F, Claus JJ, van der Cammen TJM, Grobbee DE, Hofman A. Prevalence of Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia: association with education. The Rotterdam study. BMJ. 1995;310(6985):970–973. [PubMed] 11. Pincus T, Summey JA, Soraci SA, Jr, Wallston KA, Hummon NP. Assessment of patient satisfaction in activities of daily living using a modified Stanford Health Assessment Questionnaire. Arthritis Rheum. 1983;26:1346–1353. [PubMed] 12. Fries JF, Spitz PW, Young DY. The dimensions of health outcomes: the health assessment questionnaire, disability and pain scales. J Rheumatol. 1982;9:789–793. [PubMed] 13. Ooi WL, Hossain M, Lipsitz LA. The association between orthostatic hypotension and recurrent falls in nursing home residents. Am J Med. 2000;108:106–111. [PubMed] 14. ATC Index with DDDs. Oslo, Norway 2002 WHO Collaborating Centre for Drug Statistics Methodology: ‘Guidelines for ATC Classification and DDD Assignment’ http://www.whocc.no/atcddd/ 15. Peel N. Validating recall of falls by older people. Accid Anal Prev. 2000;32:371–372. [PubMed] 16. Cummings SR, Nevitt MC, Kidd S. Forgetting falls. The limited accuracy of recall of falls in the elderly. J Am Geriatr Soc. 1988;36:613–616. [PubMed] |
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N Engl J Med. 2003 Jan 2; 348(1):42-9.
[N Engl J Med. 2003]J Am Geriatr Soc. 2001 May; 49(5):664-72.
[J Am Geriatr Soc. 2001]Arch Intern Med. 1989 Jul; 149(7):1628-33.
[Arch Intern Med. 1989]J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999 Jan; 47(1):40-50.
[J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999]J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999 Jan; 47(1):30-9.
[J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999]BMJ. 2003 Sep 27; 327(7417):712-7.
[BMJ. 2003]Eur J Epidemiol. 1991 Jul; 7(4):403-22.
[Eur J Epidemiol. 1991]BMJ. 1995 Apr 15; 310(6985):970-3.
[BMJ. 1995]Arthritis Rheum. 1983 Nov; 26(11):1346-53.
[Arthritis Rheum. 1983]J Rheumatol. 1982 Sep-Oct; 9(5):789-93.
[J Rheumatol. 1982]Am J Med. 2000 Feb; 108(2):106-11.
[Am J Med. 2000]Arch Intern Med. 1989 Jul; 149(7):1628-33.
[Arch Intern Med. 1989]BMJ. 2003 Sep 27; 327(7417):712-7.
[BMJ. 2003]J Am Geriatr Soc. 2001 May; 49(5):664-72.
[J Am Geriatr Soc. 2001]N Engl J Med. 2003 Jan 2; 348(1):42-9.
[N Engl J Med. 2003]J Am Geriatr Soc. 2001 May; 49(5):664-72.
[J Am Geriatr Soc. 2001]BMJ. 2003 Sep 27; 327(7417):712-7.
[BMJ. 2003]Accid Anal Prev. 2000 May; 32(3):371-2.
[Accid Anal Prev. 2000]J Am Geriatr Soc. 1988 Jul; 36(7):613-6.
[J Am Geriatr Soc. 1988]J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999 Jan; 47(1):30-9.
[J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999]J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999 Jan; 47(1):40-50.
[J Am Geriatr Soc. 1999]