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Copyright © 2003 by The American Society of Human Genetics. All rights reserved. Y-Chromosome Evidence for Differing Ancient Demographic Histories in the Americas 1Department of Biology, University College, London; 2Departamento de Genética, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil; 3Instituto Venezolano de Investigaciones Científicas, Caracas, Venezuela; 4Departamento de Genética, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil; 5Department of Anthropology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque; 6Laboratorio de Genética Humana, Universidad de los Andes, Bogotá; 7Victoria Hospital, Prince Albert, Canada; 8Subassembly of Medical Sciences, Mongolian Academy of Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia; 9Laboratorio de Genética Molecular, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia; and 10Université de Montreal, Montreal Address for correspondence and reprints: Dr. Andrés Ruiz-Linares, Department of Biology, Wolfson House, University College London, 4 Stephenson Way, London NW1 2HE, United Kingdom. E-mail: a.ruizlin/at/ucl.ac.uk Received January 13, 2003; Accepted June 18, 2003. This article has been cited by other articles in PMC.Abstract To scrutinize the male ancestry of extant Native American populations, we examined eight biallelic and six microsatellite polymorphisms from the nonrecombining portion of the Y chromosome, in 438 individuals from 24 Native American populations (1 Na Dené and 23 South Amerinds) and in 404 Mongolians. One of the biallelic markers typed is a recently identified mutation (M242) characterizing a novel founder Native American haplogroup. The distribution, relatedness, and diversity of Y lineages in Native Americans indicate a differentiated male ancestry for populations from North and South America, strongly supporting a diverse demographic history for populations from these areas. These data are consistent with the occurrence of two major male migrations from southern/central Siberia to the Americas (with the second migration being restricted to North America) and a shared ancestry in central Asia for some of the initial migrants to Europe and the Americas. The microsatellite diversity and distribution of a Y lineage specific to South America (Q-M19) indicates that certain Amerind populations have been isolated since the initial colonization of the region, suggesting an early onset for tribalization of Native Americans. Age estimates based on Y-chromosome microsatellite diversity place the initial settlement of the American continent at ~14,000 years ago, in relative agreement with the age of well-established archaeological evidence. Introduction Although there is general agreement that America was first settled from Asia by people who migrated across Beringia, the pattern of migration, its timing, and the place of origin in Asia of the people(s) that migrated to the Americas remain unclear (Fiedel 1992; Crawford 1998; Jablonski 2002). Synthesizing the linguistic, dental, and genetic information available at the time, Greenberg et al. (1986) proposed that the settlement of the American continent happened in three major migratory waves. According to this model, the first migration occurred ~12,000 years ago (coinciding with the appearance of the Clovis cultural complex) and gave rise to the Amerind linguistic group, distributed across the Americas. The two subsequent migrations would be at the origin of two other major Native American language families: the Na Déne (in northwestern North America) and the Eskimo-Aleut (in circum-Arctic areas). The three-migration-wave model of Greenberg et al. (1986) has since been taken as a working hypothesis for the interpretation of newer genetic data. In particular, the definition of molecular lineages through the use of arrays of linked polymorphisms now enables a phylogeographic analysis of human migrations into the Americas. This approach has been most extensively applied to mtDNA data and focuses on examining lineage distribution in populations from Asia and America, identifying founder lineages, and estimating their ages across linguistic groups and geographic regions. Four major founder Native American mtDNA haplogroups have been identified by RFLP and sequence analysis (Torroni et al. 1993; Forster et al. 1996; Merriwether and Ferrell 1996). The distribution and diversity of these haplogroups has usually been interpreted as indicative of more than one migratory wave during the initial colonization of the Americas (Torroni et al. 1992, 1993; Horai et al. 1993). However, other mtDNA studies have challenged this interpretation and suggested the occurrence of a single migration into the continent, which would be at the origin of all major Native American linguistic families (Merriwether and Ferrell 1996; Bonatto and Salzano 1997a, 1997b; Silva et al. 2002). Interestingly, mtDNA analyses generally estimate an initial entry into the Americas prior to the last glacial maximum, ~30,000 years before present (ybp) (Torroni et al. 1994; Forster et al. 1996; Bonatto and Salzano 1997a, 1997b; Silva et al. 2002). These age estimates have contributed to the debate generated by archaeological and geological findings concerning the possibility of a colonization of the Americas significantly earlier than assumed in Greenberg’s model (Crawford 1998; Jablonski 2002). In the past few years, markers on the nonrecombining region of the Y chromosome have been used as a male complement to mtDNA analyses for the study of the colonization of the Americas. Initial analyses found one haplotype at high frequencies in native populations of all linguistic groups from North to South America (Pena et al. 1995; Santos et al. 1996; Underhill et al. 1996). This observation was interpreted as being indicative of a single founder Native American Y lineage, consistent with the view of a unique migratory wave into the continent. The other Y haplotypes detected in extant Native Americans were ascribed to recent admixture with nonnatives (Underhill et al. 1996; Bianchi et al. 1997). This putative single founder Native American lineage is characterized by a C→T mutation at marker M3 within the P-M45 Y lineage (Karafet et al. 1997; Underhill et al. 2001). Calling into question the proposal of a single founder Y lineage in the Americas, the analysis of microsatellite (STR) diversity in five populations from Colombia indicated that a fraction of those carrying the ancestral M3 allele are Native American in origin (Ruiz-Linares et al. 1999). Moreover, in Asia, the M3 mutation has been found only in extreme northeastern Siberia, raising the possibility that this lineage is, in fact, native to America, from which it could have back migrated into neighboring Siberia (Karafet et al. 1997; Lell et al. 1997). Genuine Native American Y founder haplogroups would thus correspond to P-M45 lineages ancestral to M3 and possibly to lineages other than P-M45. Indeed, Bergen et al. (1999) recently identified a mutation (RPS4Y711) restricted to eastern Asia and America and marking a Native American founder lineage outside P-M45. More recently, Karafet et al. (1999) and Lell et al. (2002) challenged the proposal of a single male migratory wave to the Americas and suggested the occurrence of at least two major migrations from northern Asia into America. According to Lell et al. (2002), the first migration introduced P-M45 chromosomes from southern central Siberia into the Americas, extending southwards to South America. The second migratory wave is proposed to have originated in eastern Siberia and to have reached only North and Central America. This second migration was delineated on the basis of P-M45 lineages characterized by STR alleles differentiated from those introduced in the first migration and by chromosomes carrying the RPS4Y711 mutation. A problem with the proposal of Lell et al. (2002) is that M45 chromosomes are found in both Native Americans and Europeans. This led Tarazona-Santos and Santos (2002) to suggest that the observation of differentiated P-M45 lineages in North/Central America compared with South America could relate to variable levels of recent admixture rather than to differences in the ancient demographic history of these population groups. Recently, Seielstad et al. (2003 [in this issue]) identified a mutation (M242) ancestral to M3 and marking a Native American founder haplotype within the P-M45 lineage. Here, we report an analysis of Y-chromosome diversity (including the novel M242 polymorphism) in Native Americans and in a diverse sample from Mongolia, an important candidate region for the Asian source of the initial colonizers of the Americas (Neel et al. 1994; Kolman et al. 1996; Merriwether et al. 1996). The Native American populations typed include a Na Dené sample and a large set of South Amerinds. These data provide strong support for the occurrence of two major male migrations from central Siberia into America and are consistent with the existence of ancient links between proto-Europeans and proto–Native Americans. A lineage (Q-M19) with a restricted geographic distribution in South America has a diversity similar to that of its ancestor lineage Q-M3, suggesting an isolation of some Amerind populations soon after the initial dispersal of settlers in South America. In contrast to mtDNA analyses, Y-microsatellite diversity is more consistent with a relatively late colonization of the Americas. Subjects and Methods Populations Examined The total number of unrelated Native American males available for typing was 438 from 24 populations (figs. (figs.11
Y-Chromosome Markers Seven biallelic polymorphisms (M3 or DYS199, M19, 92R7, M9, YAP, M2 or DYS271, and RPS4Y711) were typed as described by Karafet et al. (1999), Ruiz-Linares et al. (1999), and Underhill et al. (2000). We also examined marker M242, recently identified by Seielstad et al. (2003 [in this issue]). Lineages defined by these mutations were designated following the recommendations of the Y Chromosome Consortium (2002). Six STR loci (DYS19, DYS388, DYS390, DYS391, DYS392, and DYS393) were genotyped fluorescently using the experimental conditions of Thomas et al. (1999). Data for these microsatellites in four of the Colombian populations had been reported elsewhere (Ruiz-Linares et al. 1999). Following common usage, we refer to microsatellite lineages as “haplotypes,” to distinguish them from biallelic marker “haplogroups.” Data Analysis Allele and lineage frequencies were calculated by counting, using the Arlequin package (Schneider et al. 2000). A principal-component analysis of Y-haplogroup frequencies was performed with the Ntsys (v. 2.1) program (Rohlf 2001). This analysis included data for the populations examined here, as well as data for the Asian and Native American populations examined by Karafet et al. (1999) and Lell et al. (2002). The relatedness of microsatellite haplotypes was assessed through reduced-median networks (Bandelt et al. 1995) constructed with the Network (v. 3.1) program. Neighbor-joining trees relating haplogroups on the basis of Nei’s genetic distance (Nei 1987), calculated from microsatellite allele frequencies, were obtained using programs in the Phylip (v. 3.5) package (Felsenstein 2001). The age of Y-chromosome haplogroups was estimated by calculating the mean average square distance (ASD) between the inferred ancestral haplotype of a haplogroup and all its observed descendants (Goldstein et al. 1995; Slatkin 1995; Ruiz-Linares et al. 1999). If we assume a generation time (g) of 25 years and a mean mutation rate (m) for Y microsatellites of 0.18% per generation (Kayser et al. 2000), the age of a haplogroup can be estimated as ASD×g/m. SEs for haplogroup age were obtained by bootstrapping the sample of observed haplotypes 1,000 times. Results Geographic Distribution of Y-Chromosome Haplogroups The biallelic markers typed identified nine Y haplogroups in the populations examined (fig. 2 The other five lineages detected (P-M45*, K-M9*, Y*, DE-YAP, and E-M2) are observed outside the Americas and Asia (fig. 2 Figure 3
STR Diversity of Y-Chromosome Haplogroups Haplogroups Q-M3* and Q-M19 A total of 36 Q-M3* STR haplotypes were identified in South Amerinds (table 1). Twenty-two of these haplotypes were seen only once. Of the 14 haplotypes seen multiple times, 9 were seen in only one population, and two or three populations share the other 5. The high frequency of haplotype 1 is mostly due to this being the only haplotype observed in the Ache (n=54), a population with a marked reduction in Y-chromosome diversity. A median-joining network relating Q-M3* haplotypes detected more than once is shown in figure 4A
Table 1 also shows the 13 Q-M19 haplotypes observed in the Ticuna and the Wayuu. Haplotype 15 (seen four times and present in two Ticuna settlements) is the most frequent and is identical to an Q-M3* chromosome also found in the Ticuna. This haplotype includes the most frequent alleles at Q-M19 chromosomes (table 2) and is at the center of a network relating Q-M19 haplotypes (fig. 4B Haplogroup Q-M242* Twenty-five STR haplotypes were detected among Q-M242* chromosomes (table 3). One haplotype was shared between Mongolians and the Chipewayan and another between Amerindians and the Chipewayan, but none were shared between Amerindians and Mongolians. Ten of the Q-M242* haplotypes were also seen in lineages Q-M3* or Q-M19. Six of these Q-M242* haplotypes were found in Amerindians, four in the Chipewayan, and two in Mongolians. The modal haplotype in Amerindian Q-M242* chromosomes (haplotype 2) was found in three populations, contains the most common allele at each locus (table 2), and is at the center of a network relating haplotypes within this lineage (fig. 4C
Haplogroup P-M45* Table 4 shows the STR haplotypes detected in P-M45* chromosomes of Mongolians, the Chipewayan, and Amerinds. Haplotype 2 is shared across populations, with haplotype 3 (a one-step neighbor of haplotype 2) being shared between the Chipewayan and Amerinds. Mongolians show a markedly higher diversity of P-M45* haplotypes than do Native Americans, as indicated by a mean variance in repeat score of P-M45* chromosomes in Mongolia (1.22) that is three and six times higher than in Amerinds (0.41) and the Chipewayan (0.21), respectively (table 4). The higher diversity of Mongolian P-M45 haplotypes is also apparent in the network analysis in figure 4D
Relatedness of P-M45 Chromosomes across Populations Figure 5
Discussion The use of genetic polymorphisms to examine the initial peopling of the American continent is complicated by the possibility that some of the diversity observed in present-day populations results from admixture with recent immigrants. This problem could affect Y-chromosome studies more seriously than those based on mtDNA, since there is evidence that admixture in the Americas has preferentially involved immigrant men and native women (Carvajal-Carmona et al. 2000; Mesa et al. 2000). A case in question is the M45 mutation, which is found both in Europeans and Native Americans (fig. 2 More recently, Lell et al. (2002) proposed the division of P-M45 into two sublineages: M45a, comprising haplotypes closely related to Q-M3; and M45b, comprising haplotypes differentiated from Q-M3 and P-M45 chromosomes carrying the M173 mutation (Lell et al. 2002). Sublineage M45a was observed in southern central Siberia and from North to South America, whereas M45b appears restricted to coastal/eastern Siberia and North America. The contrasting distribution of differentiated Y lineages was interpreted as resulting from two separate male migrations into the Americas (Lell et al. 2002). However, since haplogroup P-M45 is found both in Native Americans and in Europeans, Tarazona-Santos and Santos (2002) challenged this interpretation. These last authors favor a single migration into the continent and propose that the differing distribution of P-M45 haplotypes in the Americas results from variable levels of admixture in North and South American natives. The M242 mutation recently identified by Seielstad et al. (2003 [in this issue]) is ancestral to M3 within the P-M45 haplogroup and thus allows a refined assessment of P-M45 chromosomes lacking the M3 marker in Native Americans. The Q-M242* linage has a wide distribution in Asia (Seielstad et al. 2003 [in this issue]), and we found it in 8 of the 24 Native American populations examined here, including South Amerinds and the Na Dené sample studied. The M242 marker therefore unambiguously identifies a novel major Native American founder Y lineage ancestral to Q-M3 within the P-M45 haplogroup (fig. 2 The close relatedness of Amerindian Q-M242* and Q-M3* chromosomes is further illustrated by the neighbor-joining tree relating P-M45 chromosomes (fig. 5 In this context, it is interesting to examine the possible origin of P-M45 chromosomes lacking the M242 marker in Native Americans (haplogroup P-M45*). Noticeably, the modal microsatellite haplotype observed in Chipewayan P-M45* chromosomes (haplotype 3 in table 4, with a frequency of ~29%) includes the most common four-locus haplotype observed in the M45b sublineage of Lell et al. (2002). Tarazona-Santos and Santos (2002) questioned the idea that M45b constitutes a Native American founder lineage, since haplotype 3 (characterized by alleles 14-12-24-11-13-13) is common in European populations (Weale et al. 2002), and its presence in Native Americans could be the result of recent admixture. However, although we did not find this haplotype in Mongolia, closely related lineages (including a one-step neighbor) are present in that region (haplotype 2 in table 4 and fig. 4D Among Native Americans, the RPS4Y711 mutation has so far been reported only in North American populations and in two Wayuu individuals from the extreme north of South America (Karafet et al. 1999; Lell et al. 2002). However, few South American populations have been tested for this polymorphism. In our extensive survey of 23 native South American populations (including an independent sample of Wayuu), the RPS4Y711 mutation was not observed, although we did find it in the North American Chipewayan. These data thus strongly support the notion that the C-RPS4Y711 lineage has a geographic distribution restricted to North America. Altogether, our findings indicate that Y-chromosome diversity in the Chipewayan contrasts markedly with that observed in South Amerinds, in showing a haplogroup distribution similar to that observed in some central Siberian populations (fig. 3 Noting the high frequency of the C-RPS4Y711 haplogroup in eastern Siberia, Karafet et al. (1999) and Lell et al. (2002) suggested an origin in this region for the second male migration to North America. However, this proposal is not consistent with the generally high frequency of haplogroup K-M9 in eastern Siberia and its absence in the Americas (Karafet et al. 1999; Lell et al. 2002). The principal-component analysis shown in figure 3 It is interesting to note that haplogroup C-RPS4Y711 and the proposed sublineage M45b have both been detected in North American populations of the Amerind linguistic group (Bergen et al. 1999; Karafet et al. 1999; Lell et al. 2002). The principal-component graph in figure 3 Regarding the Asian ancestry of South Amerinds, the high frequency and haplotype diversity of haplogroup P-M45* in southern/central Siberia has led to the proposal of this region as the region of origin for the initial male migration to the Americas (Karafet et al. 1999; Santos et al. 1999; Lell et al. 2002). Consistent with this scenario, the limited microsatellite data available show that Q-M242 chromosomes related to haplotype 13-12-24-10-14-13 (in which the M3 mutation presumably occurred; tables 1 and 3) are found in central Asia, including Mongolia (table 3), and in the Tuvan population (Seielstad et al. 2003 [in this issue]). Globally, Y-chromosome data therefore emphasize the critical role of southern/central Siberia in the peopling of the Americas, since this region appears to be at the origin of two major male migratory waves of colonization. The data presented here are also consistent with the intriguing possibility of ancient links between proto-Europeans and proto–Native Americans, an idea that has been put forward in previous Y-chromosome studies (Karafet et al. 1999; Santos et al. 1999; Wells et al. 2001; Lell et al. 2002). An ancestral connection between these groups has also been suggested on the basis of morphological (Brace et al. 2001) and mtDNA (Brown et al. 1998) data and could ultimately trace back to ancient east/west human dispersals from a common source in central Asia. In agreement with this scenario, the P-M45 lineage has been found to be oldest in central Asia (Wells et al. 2001; Zerjal et al. 2002), where the Tuvan population includes haplogroups M242, M45, M173, and Tat, which are now dispersed in Europe and/or America. Lineage Q-M19 had previously been detected in the Ticuna of the upper Amazon and in the Wayuu, a population living in the Guajira peninsula on the extreme north of Colombia’s Caribbean coast (Ruiz-Linares et al. 1999). Both populations have been classified in the Equatorial-Tucano linguistic family (Ruhlen 1991). The Q-M19 lineage was not detected in any of the other South Amerind populations examined here. Our survey included several populations occupying areas intermediate between the Ticuna and the Wayuu and comprises eight additional representatives of the Equatorial-Tucano linguistic family (figs. (figs.11 The age calculated for the Q-M242* lineage in Amerinds (13,611 years) and in Mongolia (15,416 years) points to a relatively recent colonization of the Americas. These dates are similar to those obtained with 16 Y-STR markers in a wide sample of Asian Q-M242 chromosomes (Seielstad et al. 2003 [in this issue]). The Asian estimates represent an upper limit for the time of entry into the Americas, and the similarity in age obtained for Q-M242 in Asia and Amerinds is suggestive of an entry soon after the occurrence of this mutation (assuming that entrance in the Americas was associated with an important population bottleneck). Although lineage dating is subject to large error margins, these Y-chromosome estimates are considerably more recent than the ~20,000–30,000 years calculated for initial entry into America on the basis of mtDNA data (Torroni et al. 1994; Forster et al. 1996; Bonatto and Salzano 1997a, 1997b; Silva et al. 2002). Interestingly, the Y-based dates are comparable to the age estimated for the oldest (well-established) archaeological sites in the Americas (~12,500 radiocarbon years old [Roosevelt et al. 2002]). Y-chromosome data are thus consistent with a relatively late colonization of the Americas followed by a rapid human population dispersal, as suggested by various archaeological studies (Jablonski 2002). The discrepancy between the Y-chromosome and mtDNA estimates for the time of initial colonization could have several explanations, of which only two are briefly mentioned here. It could relate to a more severe contraction of the male population at the time of initial entry into the Americas. Critically, migration age estimates assume the introduction of a single haplotype per lineage at the time of initial colonization. However, there is growing evidence that founder heterogeneity exists within the four major recognized Native American mtDNA lineages (Malhi et al. 2002). Another factor that could contribute to a Y-chromosome/mtDNA discrepancy is the inaccuracy of mutation rate estimates—particularly, the direct observation of mutations in mother-offspring pairs suggests that the mutation rate of mtDNA could be considerably higher than the molecular clock calibrations usually employed in population studies (Heyer et al. 2001). Both a failure to account for mtDNA founder heterogeneity and an underestimation of the mutation rate for mtDNA would increase the calculated date of initial entry into the Americas (Weiss 1994). Acknowledgments We are very grateful to the individuals who donated the samples analyzed here. Some of these samples were collected in collaboration with Professors F. M. Salzano, Francis L. Black, and the late James V. Neel. Thanks are due to the Brazilian Fundação Nacional do Índio for logistic support. This investigation was approved by the Brazilian National Ethics Commission, the Canadian Institutional Review Boards of the Sainte-Justine (Montreal) and Victoria (Prince Albert) Hospitals, The Prince Albert Grand Council, and the Bioethics Committee of Universidad de Antioquia (Colombia). Financial support in Brazil was provided by PRONEX, CNPq, and the Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul. Laboratory work in the United Kingdom was funded by a Wellcome Trust Travelling Research Fellowship (grant 059763 to M.-C.B. and A.R.-L.). D.L. is supported by Canadian Institutes of Health Research grant MOP-12782. We are grateful to Mark Seielstad and Peter Underhill, for information on the M242 polymorphism; to T. A. Weimer, for encouragement; and to two anonymous reviewers, for their insightful comments on this work. 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Am J Hum Genet. 1993 Sep; 53(3):563-90.
[Am J Hum Genet. 1993]Am J Hum Genet. 1996 Oct; 59(4):935-45.
[Am J Hum Genet. 1996]Mol Phylogenet Evol. 1996 Feb; 5(1):241-6.
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[Am J Hum Genet. 2002]Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1994 Feb 1; 91(3):1158-62.
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[Nat Genet. 1995]Genome Res. 1996 Jul; 6(7):601-11.
[Genome Res. 1996]Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1996 Jan 9; 93(1):196-200.
[Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1996]Am J Phys Anthropol. 1997 Jan; 102(1):79-89.
[Am J Phys Anthropol. 1997]Am J Phys Anthropol. 1997 Mar; 102(3):301-14.
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[Am J Hum Genet. 2002]Am J Hum Genet. 2002 May; 70(5):1377-80; author reply 1380-1.
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[Am J Hum Genet. 2000]Am J Hum Genet. 1999 Mar; 64(3):817-31.
[Am J Hum Genet. 1999]Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1999 May 25; 96(11):6312-7.
[Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1999]Nat Genet. 2000 Nov; 26(3):358-61.
[Nat Genet. 2000]Genome Res. 2002 Feb; 12(2):339-48.
[Genome Res. 2002]Hum Genet. 1999 Dec; 105(6):577-81.
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[Am J Hum Genet. 2002]Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1999 May 25; 96(11):6312-7.
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[Am J Hum Genet. 1999]Am J Hum Genet. 1999 Mar; 64(3):817-31.
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[Am J Hum Genet. 1999]Am J Hum Genet. 2002 Jan; 70(1):192-206.
[Am J Hum Genet. 2002]Am J Hum Genet. 1998 Dec; 63(6):1852-61.
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[Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1994]Am J Hum Genet. 1996 Oct; 59(4):935-45.
[Am J Hum Genet. 1996]Am J Hum Genet. 1997 Dec; 61(6):1413-23.
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[Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1997]Am J Hum Genet. 2002 Jul; 71(1):187-92.
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[Am J Hum Genet. 2002]Am J Hum Genet. 2001 Nov; 69(5):1113-26.
[Am J Hum Genet. 2001]Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1994 Feb 1; 91(3):833-5.
[Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1994]Am J Hum Genet. 1999 Mar; 64(3):817-31.
[Am J Hum Genet. 1999]Am J Hum Genet. 2002 Jan; 70(1):192-206.
[Am J Hum Genet. 2002]Genome Res. 2002 Feb; 12(2):339-48.
[Genome Res. 2002]Am J Hum Genet. 1999 Mar; 64(3):817-31.
[Am J Hum Genet. 1999]Am J Hum Genet. 2002 Jan; 70(1):192-206.
[Am J Hum Genet. 2002]