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Chapter  29:  Use of Epoetin for Anemia in Chronic Renal Failure: Evidence Report/Technology Assessment Number 29

A43264

Prepared for:
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
2101 East Jefferson Street
Rockville, MD 20852

http://www.ahrq.gov/

Contract No. 290-97-0015

Prepared by:
Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association Technology Evaluation Center
Carole Redding Flamm, MD, MPH
Principal Investigator
Naomi Aronson, Ph.D.
Rhonda Bohn, ScD, MPH
Beth Finkelstein, Ph.D., MPH
Margaret Piper, Ph.D., MPH
Jerome Seidenfeld, Ph.D.
Claudia J. Bonnell, BSN, MLS,
Maurice Carter
Maxine Gere, MS
Kathleen M. Ziegler, Pharm. D.
Investigators

AHRQ Publication No. 01-E016

August 2001

ISBN 1-58763-040-0
ISSN 1530-4396

On December 6, 1999, under Public Law 106-129, the Agency for Health Care Policy and Research (AHCPR) was reauthorized and renamed the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ). The law authorizes AHRQ to continue its research on the cost, quality, and outcomes of health care and expands its role to improve patient safety and address medical errors.

This report may be used, in whole or in part, as the basis for development of clinical practice guidelines and other quality enhancement tools, or a basis for reimbursement and coverage policies. AHRQ or U.S. Department of Health and Human Services endorsement of such derivative products may not be stated or implied.

Prepared for:
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
2101 East Jefferson Street
Rockville, MD 20852

http://www.ahrq.gov/

Contract No. 290-97-0015

Prepared by:
Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association Technology Evaluation Center
Carole Redding Flamm, MD, MPH
Principal Investigator
Naomi Aronson, Ph.D.
Rhonda Bohn, ScD, MPH
Beth Finkelstein, Ph.D., MPH
Margaret Piper, Ph.D., MPH
Jerome Seidenfeld, Ph.D.
Claudia J. Bonnell, BSN, MLS,
Maurice Carter
Maxine Gere, MS
Kathleen M. Ziegler, Pharm. D.
Investigators

AHRQ Publication No. 01-E016

August 2001

ISBN 1-58763-040-0
ISSN 1530-4396

On December 6, 1999, under Public Law 106-129, the Agency for Health Care Policy and Research (AHCPR) was reauthorized and renamed the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ). The law authorizes AHRQ to continue its research on the cost, quality, and outcomes of health care and expands its role to improve patient safety and address medical errors.

This report may be used, in whole or in part, as the basis for development of clinical practice guidelines and other quality enhancement tools, or a basis for reimbursement and coverage policies. AHRQ or U.S. Department of Health and Human Services endorsement of such derivative products may not be stated or implied.

Preface

The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), through its Evidence-based Practice Centers (EPCs), sponsors the development of evidence reports and technology assessments to assist public- and private-sector organizations in their efforts to improve the quality of health care in the United States. The reports and assessments provide organizations with comprehensive, science-based information on common, costly medical conditions and new health care technologies. The EPCs systematically review the relevant scientific literature on topics assigned to them by AHRQ and conduct additional analyses when appropriate prior to developing their reports and assessments.

To bring the broadest range of experts into the development of evidence reports and health technology assessments, AHRQ encourages the EPCs to form partnerships and enter into collaborations with other medical and research organizations. The EPCs work with these partner organizations to ensure that the evidence reports and technology assessments they produce will become building blocks for health care quality improvement projects throughout the Nation. The reports undergo peer review prior to their release.

AHRQ expects that the EPC evidence reports and technology assessments will inform individual health plans, providers, and purchasers as well as the health care system as a whole by providing important information to help improve health care quality.

We welcome written comments on this evidence report. They may be sent to: Director, Center for Practice and Technology Assessment, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, 6010 Executive Blvd., Suite 300, Rockville, MD 20852.

John M. Eisenberg, M.D.Acting Director
DirectorCenter for Practice and
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Technology Assessment
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality

The authors of this report are responsible for its content. Statements in the report should not be construed as endorsement by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services of a particular drug, device, test, treatment, or other clinical service.

Structured Abstract

Objectives

In 1996, an estimated 74,116 patients developed endstage renal disease (ESRD); most had anemia as a result of their chronic renal failure (CRF). Epoetin offers patients with anemia of CRF the potential to increase hematocrit (Hct) to a level considered normal for a healthy individual; yet the benefits and risks of such a management strategy have not been well established.

This systematic review seeks primarily to compare outcomes of maintaining a target Hct above 36 percent with outcomes of maintaining a target Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range in patients with CRF. The published clinical trial evidence that addresses the comparison of primary interest for this systematic review was quite limited. To maximize the comprehensiveness of this report, we decided, in consultation with advisory experts, also to synthesize and analyze results of studies reported only in abstract form; studies using any form of controlled design; and studies reporting intermediate outcomes known or thought, to predict health outcomes. Therefore, this report includes associational studies as well as interventional studies -- studies in which the Hct in the control group was maintained in the 30 to <33 percent range as well as those studies in which the Hct in the control group was maintained in the 33 to <36 percent range.

The report addresses: (1) adult CRF patients and (2) subpopulations of interest (with or without CRF) who have any one of seven predefined clinical characteristics thought to warrant Hct above 36 percent. We also attempted to review the outcomes of maintaining Hct above 30 percent as compared with maintaining Hct in the 27 to 30 range in pediatric CRF patients; however, no studies met the study eligibility criteria.

Search Strategy

MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched from 1985 to December 1998 and Current Contents to October 30, 1999. Two search strategies both included the terms: ("erythropoietin," "epoetin alfa," "epoetin," "Epogen," "Procrit," or "epo") and ("anemia/drug therapy," "anemia/therapy," or "anemia/diet therapy"). The first strategy also required the term "kidney failure," whereas the second strategy required at least one of the following terms: "heart failure," "congestive disease," "coronary disease," "arterial occlusive disease," cerebrovascular disease," "lung diseases, obstructive," "altitude," or "adolescent." The search results were limited to human subjects and English-language literature.

Selection Criteria

The study team included all controlled intervention studies and cross-sectional analyses with at least 10 patients per group and reported outcomes related to the Hct range comparisons of interest.

Data Collection and Analysis

The systematic review prospectively defined a protocol conducted by two independent reviewers, with disagreements resolved by consensus. A set of predefined data elements was abstracted from included studies. The quality of studies was assessed qualitatively. Descriptive results were reported as the body of evidence was not suited for quantitative analysis.

Main Results

The evidence is not sufficient to compare the outcomes of target Hct above 36 compared with 33 to <36 percent in adults with CRF. More evidence is available to compare the outcomes of target Hct above 36 compared with 30 to 36 percent. However, the evidence does not provide strong or consistent support that maintaining target Hct above 36 percent is beneficial.

In hemodialysis patients with documented ischemic cardiac disease or congestive heart failure, a randomized controlled trial (n=1,233) was halted because of increased mortality and because it was determined that a treatment benefit in the primary endpoint could not be demonstrated even if the trial was completed. No other studies reported on subpopulations of CRF patients with clinical characteristics thought to warrant target Hct above 36 percent.

Conclusions

The published literature does not provide strong or consistent support that maintaining Hct above 36 percent is more beneficial to patients with CRF than maintaining Hct in the target range of 33 to 36 percent recommended by the National Kidney Foundation's Dialysis Outcomes Quality Initiatives. Limited data on physiologic measures suggest a possible benefit for selected patients when Hct is maintained above 36 percent. However, the potential for benefit should be tested in well-designed intervention studies.

This document is in the public domain and may be used and reprinted without permission except those copyrighted materials noted for which further reproduction is prohibited without the specific permission of copyright holders.

Suggested citation

Flamm CR, Aronson N, Bohn R, et al. Use of Epoetin for Anemia in Chronic Renal Failure. Evidence Report/Technology Assessment No. 29 (Prepared by the Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association Technology Evaluation Center under Contract No. 290-97-0015). AHRQ Publication No. 01-E016. Rockville (MD) Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. August 2001.

Summary

Overview

An estimated 74,116 patients developed endstage renal disease (ESRD) in 1996; most had anemia as a result of their chronic renal failure (CRF). Epoetin offers patients with anemia of CRF the potential to target hematocrit (Hct) to a level considered normal for a healthy adult or child; yet the benefits and risks of using epoetin to normalize Hct in these patients as compared with partially correcting the anemia have not been well established. The normal range of blood hemoglobin level for adults is 16 ± 2.0 g/dL in males and 14 ± 2.0 g/dL in females (Perkins, 1999). Employing the commonly used conversion factor of multiplying by 3 to convert hemoglobin to Hct, normal Hct ranges are approximately 48 ± 6 percent for males and 42 ±6 percent for females. The normal range of blood hemoglobin level for children between the ages of 3 months and 10 years is 12.2 ± 2.3 g/dL. Employing the commonly used conversion factor of multiplying by 3 to convert hemoglobin to Hct, normal Hct range is approximately 36.6 ± 6.9 percent.

This systematic review seeks primarily to compare outcomes of maintaining a target Hct above 36 percent with maintaining a target Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range in patients with CRF. The published clinical trial evidence that addresses the comparisons of primary interest for this systematic review is quite limited. To maximize the comprehensiveness of this report, the Evidence-based Practice Center (EPC) that conducted this review decided, in consultation with advisory experts, to synthesize and analyze results of studies reported only in abstract form; studies using any form of controlled design; and studies reporting intermediate outcomes, known or thought to predict health outcomes. Therefore, this report includes associational studies as well as interventional studies -- studies in which Hct in the control group was maintained in the 30 to <33 percent range, as well as those in which Hct in the control group was maintained in the 33 to 36 percent range.

The report addresses: (1) adult CRF patients; and (2) subpopulations of interest (with or without CRF) who have any one of seven predefined clinical characteristics thought to warrant maintaining Hct above 36 percent. The EPC also attempted to review the outcomes of maintaining Hct above 30 percent as compared with maintaining Hct in the range 27 to <30 percent range in pediatric CRF patients; however, no studies met the study eligibility criteria.

Reporting the Evidence

This systematic review addresses the following key questions.

Part I: Adult Patients with CRF

  1. Based on evidence from interventional studies, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent compared with maintaining target Hct in the 30 to <36 percent range or, more importantly, in the 33 to <36 percent range?

  2. Based on evidence from associational studies, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent compared with maintaining target Hct in the 30 to <36 percent range or, more importantly, in the 33 to <36 percent range?

Part II: Pediatric Patients with CRF

What is the effect on outcomes of maintaining an Hct above 30 compared with 27 to < 30 percent or, maintaining Hct above 33 compared with 27 to <33 percent?

Part III: Subpopulations of Interest (with or without CRF)

What is the effect on outcomes of maintaining the Hct level >36 percent as compared with 30 to <36 percent in the following patient subgroups (regardless of the presence of renal failure):

(1) Patients who have coronary artery disease,
(2) Patients who have congestive heart failure,
(3) Patients who live at high altitude,
(4) Patients who have arterial occlusive disease,
(5) Patients who have cerebrovascular disorders,
(6) Patients who have obstructive lung disease,
(7) Patients who are in the adolescent age group?

It has been hypothesized that the presence of one of the conditions listed in subgroups 1 through 6 may justify maintaining Hct level above 36 percent to minimize the morbidity associated with the specified condition. For the adolescent subgroup, it is hypothesized that growth and developmental outcomes would be improved by maintaining Hct above 36 percent.

Methodology

The protocol for the systematic review was prospectively designed to define: study objectives, search strategy, study selection criteria and methods for determining study eligibility, data elements to be abstracted, and methods for abstraction. Two independent reviewers completed each step in this protocol and resolved disagreements by consensus. The quality of studies was assessed qualitatively. Descriptive results are reported because the body of evidence was not suited for quantitative analysis.

The MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched from 1985 to December 1998 and Current Contents to October 30, 1999. Two search strategies were necessary, but both included the terms: ("erythropoietin," "epoetin alfa," "epoetin," "Epogen," "Procrit," or "epo") and ("anemia/drug therapy," "anemia/therapy," or "anemia/diet therapy"). The first strategy required the term "kidney failure" whereas the second strategy required at least one of the following terms: "heart failure," "congestive disease," "coronary disease," "arterial occlusive disease," "cerebrovascular disease," "lung diseases, obstructive;" "altitude;" or "adolescent."

Studies considered to be relevant for the second search strategy were not required to include "kidney failure." The rationale for also including studies in patients without chronic renal failure was that the clinical outcomes resulting from different levels of Hct observed in nonrenal patients with one of these clinical characteristics might be generalizable to chronic renal failure patients with the same clinical characteristic. Thus, for example, if maintaining Hct level above 36 percent compared with 36 percent was shown to improve health outcomes in a general population of patients with peripheral vascular disease, then it might be reasonable to generalize that finding to CRF patients with peripheral vascular disease. The search results were limited to human subjects and English language literature.

The EPC included all controlled intervention studies and cross-sectional analyses that included at least 10 patients per group and that reported outcomes related to the Hct range comparisons of interest. Outcomes of interest included mortality, quality of life, hospital utilization, red blood cell transfusion, cardiac outcomes (including clinical cardiac events as well as echocardiographic measures of left ventricular mass), physiologic measures of physical performance, cognitive performance, sleep quality, or nutritional status. Treatment-related morbidity was assessed as well.

This review of published evidence includes both full reports and abstracts from scientific meetings. Abstracts were included in the evidence review to maximize the comprehensiveness of the evidence presented. The decision to include abstracts was made in consultation with advisory experts who suggested that the number of full reports addressing the key questions was not large and that the overall usefulness of the report would be enhanced by including analysis and synthesis of data reported in scientific abstracts. Full reports of study methodology and findings that have gone through a peer review process are viewed with greater confidence than are abstracts presented at scientific meetings. Inherent limitations of abstracts relate primarily to the limited detail of information provided in the allowable space as well as the lack of a rigorous peer review process. Thus, results of abstracts are included to provide information of potential interest to the reader, but the evidence from abstracts would be considered preliminary and of lesser quality compared with evidence drawn from a full report.

This report has undergone extensive peer review. A Technical Advisory Group was established and served as the primary advisory panel. This group was consulted extensively through all phases of this project. In addition, the Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association Technology Evaluation Center Medical Advisory Panel, which includes nationally recognized experts in technology assessment, reviewed an early work product and provided helpful comments and analytic refinements. The National Kidney Foundation, among other national stakeholder organizations, appointed peer reviewers who provided comments on the protocol and the draft evidence report. In addition, the pharmaceutical companies who manufacture and market epoetin reviewed the draft report.

During the course of the literature review, the EPC followed the status of two additional international studies that evaluated the effects of increasing Hct above 36 percent in patients with CRF. These studies include: (1) a multicenter randomized controlled trial (RCT) conducted in Canada that is comparing normalization of Hct (40.5 percent target) to partial correction of anemia (30 percent target) in 146 hemodialysis patients with asymptomatic cardiomyopathy; and (2) a multicenter RCT conducted in Scandinavia comparing normalized Hct (target of 43.5 to 48 percent in males, 40.5 to 45 percent in females) with partial correction of anemia (target 27 to 36 percent) in 416 patients with CRF (293 hemodialysis, 51 continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis, and 72 predialysis). At the time this systematic review was completed, results of the Canadian study had been published in two abstracts, and these findings are described in this systematic review. No results of the Scandinavian study were available.

Findings

1. The evidence is not sufficient to compare the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 compared with maintaining the target Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range in adults with CRF.

The evidence comparing the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 compared with maintaining the target Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range consisted of four full reports and three abstracts. No interventional studies directly addressed this question. The main source of evidence was derived from multiple cross-sectional analyses of a large Medicare dataset consisting of over 70,000 individuals. Because Medicare reimburses for maintenance of Hct over 36 percent only for patients with a comorbid condition, the findings of such associational studies are likely to reflect the underlying comorbidity in this population. Such database analyses cannot anticipate the results of adequately controlled interventional studies where the effects of using epoetin to maintain Hct above 36 percent could be directly compared with maintaining Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range.

The primary intent-to-treat analysis from a full report of an RCT in 1,233 hemodialysis patients with cardiac disease compared target Hct of 42 percent with target Hct of 30 percent. However, this same study reported a secondary cross-sectional analysis relating mortality to category of average achieved Hct level that specifically includes results for the 33 to 36 percent range. A full report of a Phase IV surveillance study described adverse events associated with use of epoetin and reports results for the 33 to 36 percent Hct range separately. However, all comparisons among target Hct levels were based on cross-sectional analysis, and no tests of statistical significance were reported for differences between these subgroups.

The evidence is not adequate to compare the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent with maintaining target Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range in adult patients with CRF. The evidence available on each of the specific outcomes of interest is summarized below.

  • Three cross-sectional analyses -- two full reports and one abstract -- provided data on the association between Hct and mortality. These data did not provide strong or consistent evidence of a survival benefit in adult patients with CRF whose Hct is maintained above 36 percent as compared with those maintained at Hct 33 to <36 percent.

  • Four cross-sectional analyses -- two full reports and two abstracts -- provided data on the association between Hct and hospital utilization. One full report and one abstract described favorable results but without analysis of statistical significance. One full report found higher hospital utilization in the group with Hct <36 percent, and one abstract found no difference. These data did not provide strong or consistent evidence of reduced hospital utilization in adult patients with CRF whose Hct is maintained above 36 percent as compared with those maintained at Hct 33 to <36 percent.

  • One cross-sectional analysis of Phase IV surveillance data in 324 patients provided data on the association between Hct and cardiac outcomes. This study also reported on hypertension, cerebrovascular accidents, transient ischemic attacks, and seizures; however, the absolute number of adverse events observed in each group being compared was quite small, and no statistical analysis was reported. Thus, no conclusions can be drawn on the basis of these data.

No studies specifically compared the Hct ranges of primary interest to this systematic review with respect to the following outcomes: quality of life, red blood cell transfusion, exercise performance, cognitive function, sleep patterns, or nutrition.

2. The evidence is not sufficient to determine whether maintaining target Hct above 36 is more beneficial than maintaining target Hct in the 30 to <36 percent range in adults with CRF.

Evidence comparing the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent with the outcomes of maintaining target Hct in the >30 to <36 percent range consisted of 13 full reports (one full report of an RCT includes both an intent-to-treat analysis and a cross-sectional analysis) describing six interventional studies and eight cross-sectional analyses, and 10 abstracts, six interventional studies and four cross-sectional analyses. Some of these reports originated from the same authors and/or institutions, and the degree of overlap of patients across separate reports could not be determined from the information provided. Of the 12 interventional studies, only four include more than 100 patients. Two of these four were full reports and two were abstracts, both derived from the same Canadian RCT.

Additional evidence was derived from multiple cross-sectional analyses, with five of these publications, two full reports and three abstracts, coming from the same research group that analyzed a large Medicare dataset consisting of over 70,000 individuals. Because Medicare reimburses for maintenance of Hct over 36 percent only for patients with comorbid conditions, the findings of such associational studies using Medicare data are likely to reflect the underlying comorbidity in this population. One research center used an observational design to examine the natural history of predialysis patients.

Overall, the evidence is not sufficient to determine whether maintaining target Hct above 36 percent is more beneficial than maintaining target Hct in the 30 to <36 percent range in adult patients with CRF.

Mortality

Two interventional studies, both full reports, and four cross-sectional analyses, three full reports and one abstract, described mortality results. The first interventional study was an RCT of 1,233 hemodialysis patients with documented congestive heart failure or ischemic cardiac disease. This study analyzed and reported results of both an intention-to-treat analysis and a cross-sectional analysis of the data. The second interventional study was a nonrandomized controlled trial of 115 hemodialysis patients free of comorbidity. The three additional cross-sectional studies, two full reports and one abstract, analyzed large databases of patients on dialysis.

The evidence does not permit a conclusion regarding the effect on mortality of maintaining Hct above 36 percent. To date, a survival advantage has not been demonstrated.

  • There was increased mortality among the patients with cardiac disease who were randomized to normal target Hct (42 percent) as compared with low target Hct (30 percent), with 31.6 percent mortality versus 26 percent mortality, respectively (statistical significance not reported). The relative risk for the combined endpoint of mortality and first nonfatal myocardial infarction was 1.3 (95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 0.9 to 1.9) for the normal target Hct group compared with the low target Hct group. This trial was halted even though these results did not achieve statistical significance. It was determined that, even if the trial was completed, the results could not demonstrate a statistically significant benefit for the higher target Hct for the primary endpoint, and there was concern over the potential harm associated with attempting to maintain higher Hct in such patients.

  • No deaths were observed in a population of CRF patients free of associated comorbidity who were maintained at Hct above 36 percent. However, the 6-month duration of followup in this study was too short to assess a long-term benefit or adverse effect on mortality.

  • Of three large database studies, one study (n=16,153) found a significantly higher mortality among those patients with Hct above 36 percent; one study (n=75,283) found no significant difference in mortality between Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct 30 to <33 percent; and a third study (n=82,879), available only as an abstract, found a significantly reduced mortality rate for Hct above 36 percent.

  • A fourth cross-sectional analysis was performed on the data from an RCT of 1,233 patients comparing target Hct of 42 percent with target Hct of 30 percent in hemodialysis patients with documented cardiac disease. So few patients in the 30 percent target Hct group achieved average Hct above 36 percent that none was included in the analysis. The lowest mortality rate was noted among those who achieved an average Hct 39 to 41.9 percent. However, no difference was apparent in mortality between patients who achieve Hct 36 to 38.9 percent compared with those who achieve Hct >30 to <36 percent. Among patients with average achieved Hct in the 30 to 36 percent range, mortality is lower in those patients assigned to the 30 percent target Hct group than those assigned to the 42 percent target Hct group.

Quality of Life

Four interventional studies, one full report and three abstracts, and two cross-sectional studies, both full reports, described quality-of-life findings. All studies suffered from relatively weak design or methodologic flaws that might introduce biases that overestimate effect on quality of life. These data did not provide strong and consistent evidence of a benefit on quality of life of maintaining the Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct >30 to <36 percent.

Hospital Utilization

Two interventional studies, both full reports, and four cross-sectional studies -- two full reports and two abstracts -- described hospital utilization. Overall, these data did not provide strong or consistent evidence of reduced hospital utilization in patients whose Hct is maintained above 36 percent as compared with those maintained at Hct >30 to <36 percent.

  • One RCT in 1,233 hemodialysis patients found no significant difference in hospital utilization between patients randomized to either the lower or higher target Hct arms. A pre/post comparison trial in 115 hemodialysis patients found a significant reduction in hospital utilization when Hct was maintained above 36 percent, but the results of this unmasked study using a comparison with historical data prior to study entry must be viewed with caution.

  • Of the cross-sectional studies, one full report found that hospital utilization in the Hct 33 to <36 percent group was lower than in either the Hct 30 to <33 percent or the Hct 36 percent groups. Another full report found a slightly lower hospitalization rate among patients with Hct above 36 percent, but no analysis of statistical significance was performed. Finally, two abstracts described favorable findings for the Hct >36 percent group but without analysis of the statistical significance.

Transfusion

One RCT reported utilization of red blood cell transfusion. This trial of 1,233 hemodialysis patients with cardiac disease found a significant reduction in red blood cell transfusion in the normal target Hct group compared with the low target Hct group, 21 percent transfused versus 31 percent transfused, respectively (p<0.001). In this study, the need for transfusion was largely associated with acute blood loss (e.g., from gastrointestinal bleeding or as a result of surgery).

Cardiac Events and Related Intermediate Cardiac Outcomes

Four full reports and three abstracts discussed cardiac outcomes. Two full reports addressed cardiac clinical events, and the remainder addressed cardiac intermediate outcome measures, including left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) (as assessed by left ventricular mass index) and left ventricular dilatation (LVD) (as assessed by left ventricular cavity volume index).

There is limited evidence on cardiac events, and the available studies are insufficient to draw conclusions. However the evidence available does not demonstrate a reduction in cardiac events when Hct is maintained above 36 percent as compared with 30 to <36 percent.

  • One RCT studied 1,233 hemodialysis patients who had documented congestive heart failure or ischemic cardiac disease. In this group of patients, although overall mortality was greater in the higher target Hct arm, no significant difference between the two study arms was seen in fatal or nonfatal cardiac events. A cross-sectional analysis of a Phase IV surveillance study in 324 patients reported zero myocardial infarctions (MI) in the Hct above 36 percent group, one MI in the Hct 33.1 to 36 percent group, and four MIs in the Hct 30 to 33 percent group. However, the number of events is small, and, relative to the Hct above 36 percent group, the number of patient-months of observation is almost three times higher in the Hct 33.1 to 36 percent group and almost seven times higher in the Hct 30 to 33 group. No statistical analysis is reported for these data thus limiting interpretation of the results.

The evidence on cardiac intermediate outcome measures described possible relationships between Hct above 36 percent and reduced left ventricular mass and left ventricular cavity size. Two full-report cross-sectional analyses suggested an association between Hct and cardiac outcome measures. However, data were insufficient from well-designed intervention studies to determine whether raising Hct above 36 from Hct 30 to 36 percent will result in a clinically meaningful improvement in left ventricular hypertrophy.

  • A cross-sectional analysis of an observational, longitudinal study in 246 evaluable chronic renal failure patients who were not yet on dialysis was conducted. Because CRF is a progressive condition, Hct decreases over time as renal function deteriorates. Over a 12-month observation period, this study compared the relative changes in mean Hct level between the group of 55 subjects who met the criteria for significant left ventricular growth with the group of 191 subjects who did not demonstrate significant left ventricular growth. A significantly greater drop in Hct was observed in the group that showed significant left ventricular growth. Furthermore, each 1.5 percent decrease in Hct was associated with a 32 percent increased odds of showing significant left ventricular growth (odds ratio [OR]=1.32, 95 percent CI=1.1 to 1.58).

  • A separate report by the same first author also reported a significant association between a lower Hct level and the presence of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) in predialysis patients.

  • An abstract of a Canadian multicenter RCT described results in 125 evaluable hemodialysis patients with asymptomatic LVH or left ventricular dilatation (LVD) who were targeted to either an Hct 39 to 42 percent or Hct 28.5 to 31.5 percent. Changes in left ventricular measurements were compared after 40 weeks. No significant differences were observable in left ventricular mass index. Only one of four analyses reported achieved statistically significant findings. Left ventricular cavity size decreased to a greater extent in patients with LVH who were maintained in the higher target Hct group compared with those maintained at Hct approximately 30 percent (p=0.05).

  • An abstract from a crossover study in 11 patients demonstrated statistically significant reductions in left ventricular mass index (p<0.01), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (p<0.01), but not left ventricular end-systolic diameter.

  • An abstract using a pre/post design in 13 patients reported no significant change in left ventricular mass after Hct was maintained above 36 for 4 months.

Exercise Performance

Four small interventional studies, two full reports and two abstracts, presented findings on intermediate outcome measures related to exercise performance. The two full reports included selected patients who were free of significant cardiovascular or musculoskeletal disease; patient selection criteria were not well described in the two abstracts. No cross-sectional analyses addressed this outcome.

The available evidence is suggestive of an improvement on physiologic measures of exercise performance when Hct is maintained above 36 percent compared with Hct 30 to 36 percent. However, whether these improvements in physiologic measures are predictive of clinically significant benefits needs to be established. In addition, such findings would need to be reproduced in large studies or populations more representative of the general population of patients with CRF.

  • A full report of a double-masked, crossover study in 14 hemodialysis patients and an abstract of a crossover RCT trial in 27 hemodialysis patients both showed a significant improvement in several physiologic measures of physical work. However, the abstract reported that, depending on the outcome being considered, approximately one-half to two-thirds of the improvement was a result of conditioning and training and one-half to one-third of the total improvement was a result of correction of anemia.

  • The two remaining studies, one abstract and one full report, also described favorable results from maintaining Hct above 36 percent. However, the selection of cases in the full report, nonrandomized control comparison study appeared open to substantial bias; and details regarding actual numerical results were very limited in the abstract.

Cognitive Function, Sleep Pattern, and Nutrition

Two full reports -- one interventional study in 20 hemodialysis patients performing neurophysiologic testing and another interventional study in 10 selected hemodialysis patients evaluating sleep patterns -- described testing conducted before and after Hct was raised to approximately 42 percent. A relationship between nutritional status and Hct level was described in an abstract reporting a cross-sectional analysis comparing serum levels of 3 different amino acids among 75 hemodialysis patients on epoetin therapy grouped according to Hct ranges. The average amino acid levels for each Hct group were compared with each other and with healthy control subjects.

Favorable results on physiologic measures of cognitive function, sleep patterns, or nutrition were observed with Hct levels above 36 percent in each of these studies. However, whether these improvements in physiologic measures are predictive of clinically significant benefits needs to be established. In addition, such findings need to be reproduced in large studies or populations more representative of the general population of patients with CRF.

Treatment-Related Morbidity

Eight studies -- four full reports and four abstracts -- described adverse events associated with maintaining Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct >30 to <36 percent. Seven of these were interventional studies, and one full report was a cross-sectional analysis of a Phase IV surveillance study without statistical analysis of results. Three of the four abstracts included fewer than 15 patients.

Blood Pressure

The evidence, derived from four full reports and three abstracts, showed no significant difference in overall blood pressure measurements when Hct was maintained above 36 percent compared with Hct >30 to <36 percent. However, several studies suggested that some patients required intensified medical management to maintain blood pressure control at Hct above 36 percent, but these studies did not permit estimation of the magnitude of the frequency of this occurrence. An RCT in 1,233 hemodialysis patients employed well-designed concurrent controls and reported no significant differences between target Hct groups in the use of various cardiovascular medications. The listed classes of medications included several antihypertensive agents; however, the reported details of data and methods of analysis did not clarify whether medication dosage might have been increased differentially in the high target Hct group.

Vascular Access Thrombosis

Five studies -- two full reports and three abstracts -- reported on vascular access thrombosis with Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct >30 to <36 percent. Targeting Hct at 42 percent significantly increased the rate of vascular access thrombosis in a population of patients with documented cardiac disease compared with targeting Hct at 30 percent. There is insufficient evidence in other groups of hemodialysis patients to determine the effect of Hct above 36 on vascular access thrombosis.

  • The best quality evidence was from an RCT that included hemodialysis patients with documented congestive heart failure or ischemic cardiac disease. There was a statistically significant increase in vascular access thrombosis in the normal target Hct group (42 percent) as compared with the low target group (30 percent), 39 versus 29 percent, p=0.001. This group of patients may have been at particularly high risk of vascular access thrombosis because of associated cardiovascular comorbidity.

  • Abstracts of two small concurrent control studies in hemodialysis patients reported no significant difference in vascular access thrombosis with Hct of 42 percent as compared with Hct 30 to 31 percent.

  • Two pre/post comparisons in hemodialysis patients -- one full report and one abstract -- reported the observed rate of vascular access; however, the lack of a comparison control group limits interpretation of these findings.

Other Treatment-Related Morbidity

The evidence describing other treatment-related morbidities is limited to two full reports and one abstract. Overall, these studies did not suggest any significant increase in other adverse events such as cerebrovascular accident, transient ischemic attack, peripheral gangrene, intestinal ischemia, or seizure with Hct above 36 percent.

3. The evidence is not sufficient to compare the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 30 percent with outcomes from the 27 to 30 percent range in pediatric patients with CRF.

No studies of pediatric patients with CRF were identified that met the study selection criteria for inclusion in this systematic review. The primary reason for exclusion of most of the studies reviewed in full-text was that the baseline or control Hct with which the normalized group was being compared was below 27 percent. Thus, the available evidence does not address the key question as set out in this systematic review, particularly with regard to outcomes of treatment efficacy.

4. The evidence is not sufficient to determine whether target Hct above 36 percent is more beneficial than target Hct 30 to <36 percent for subpopulations of interest with clinical characteristics thought to warrant Hct above 36 percent.

Patients Who Have Cardiovascular Disease

The most robust evidence on CRF patients with cardiovascular disease was from an RCT of 1,233 hemodialysis patients who had documented ischemic cardiac disease or congestive heart failure. This trial was halted because of increased mortality in the group assigned to 42 percent target Hct when compared with a 30 percent target Hct group. Although the results for a combined Endpoint -- death or first nonfatal MI -- had not achieved statistical significance (relative risk=1.3, 95 percent CI 0.9 to 1.9), it was determined that a benefit could not be demonstrated even if the trial was completed.

A second study provided a cross-sectional analysis in patients without CRF and compared perioperative morbidity and mortality for those with or without cardiovascular disease. No statistically significant difference was seen between patients who have a preoperative Hct above 36 percent compared with those who had an Hct >33 to <36 percent.

Patients Who Have Cerebrovascular Disease

A single cross-sectional analysis in patients without CRF but with cerebrovascular disease reported that, compared with patients with Hct at 30 to 35 percent, cerebral oxygen delivery was greater in those patients who had Hct levels between 40 and 45 percent, but not in those whose Hct was between 35 and 40 percent. No intervention study meeting selection criteria reported outcomes of maintaining Hct above 36 percent in a population with CRF and cerebrovascular disease.

Patients With Other Clinical Characteristics Thought to Warrant Hct Above 36 Percent

There were no studies that met selection criteria for inclusion in this systematic review for patients who live at high altitude, who have obstructive lung disease, or who are in the adolescent age group.

Conclusions

The published literature does not provide strong or consistent support that maintaining Hct above 36 percent is beneficial to patients with CRF. Although limited evidence derived from physiologic measures of functional status or left ventricular mass index suggests improvements in some selected patients, the potential for benefit should be tested in well-designed intervention studies.

Priorities for Future Research

The published literature does not provide strong or consistent support that maintaining Hct above 36 percent is beneficial to patients with CRF. The most suggestive evidence is from studies of adult CRF patients not yet on dialysis and from studies of dialysis patients without severe comorbidity. These data are from cross-sectional analyses that show an association between higher Hct and lower left ventricular mass index. In addition, several small intervention studies report improvement in physiologic measures of exercise performance when Hct is maintained at higher levels. The potential for benefit should be tested in well-designed intervention studies.

Well-designed, large trials that incorporate strong control measures such as masking and randomization are required to assess the outcomes of using epoetin to increase Hct above 36 percent and into the normal range, as compared with maintaining Hct in the target range recommended by the National Kidney Foundation's Dialysis Outcomes Quality Initiative (NKF-DOQI)™ of between 33 and 36 percent. The populations of primary interest are adult CRF patients not yet on dialysis and dialysis patients without overt cardiac disease (i.e., ischemia or congestive heart failure).

If benefits in physical performance, cognitive function, and prevention of cardiac disease when anemia is eliminated are confirmed in adults, it will be of utmost importance to perform similar studies in children with CRF.

Chapter 1. Introduction

Scope and Objectives

Most patients with chronic renal failure (CRF) will develop anemia at some point during the course of this progressive disease. Recombinant human erythropoietin (epoetin) makes it possible to increase hematocrit (Hct) levels; yet the benefits and harms associated with normalizing Hct in CRF patients need to be better understood. Recent controversy has focused on whether maintenance Hct levels should be above 36 percent in adult and adolescent CRF patients1 and above 30 percent in preadolescent CRF patients.2

This systematic review of the use of epoetin in patients with CRF sought primarily to compare outcomes of maintaining Hct >36 percent with outcomes of maintaining Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range. The published clinical trial evidence that addresses the specific comparison of primary interest for this systematic review was quite limited. To maximize the comprehensiveness of this report, the Evidence-based Practice Center (EPC) team decided, in consultation with advisory experts, also to synthesize and analyze results of studies reported only in abstract form; studies using any form of controlled design; and studies reporting intermediate outcomes known, or thought, to predict health outcomes. Therefore, this report includes associational studies as well as interventional studies -- studies in which the Hct in the control group was maintained in the 30 to <33 percent range as well as those in which the Hct in the control group was maintained in the 33 to <36 percent range.

Chapter 3, Results and Conclusions, is divided into three parts, with each part focusing on the relationship between Hct and health outcomes within a different population of interest. Part I addresses adult patients with CRF, Part II addresses pediatric patients with CRF, and Part III addresses subpopulations of interest (with or without CRF) who have clinical characteristics that are postulated to warrant maintaining Hct above 36 percent. The following key questions reflect the analytic framework for the systematic review.

Key Questions

Part I: Adult Patients with Chronic Renal Failure

  1. Based on evidence from interventional studies, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent compared with maintaining target Hct in the 30 to <36 percent range or, more specifically, in the 33 to <36 percent range?

  2. Based on evidence from associational studies, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent compared with maintaining target Hct in the 30 to <36 percent range or, more specifically, in the 33 to <36 percent range?

Part II: Pediatric Patients with Chronic Renal Failure

What is the effect on outcomes of maintaining an Hct in the following ranges:

  • Above 30 compared with 27 to <30 percent, or

  • Above 33 compared with 27 to <33 percent?

Part III: Subpopulations of Interest (with or without Chronic Renal Failure)

What is the effect on outcomes of maintaining the Hct level >36 percent as compared with 30 to <36 percent in the following patient subgroups (regardless of the presence of renal failure): (1) patients who have coronary artery disease, (2) patients who have congestive heart failure, (3) patients who live at high altitude, (4) patients who have arterial occlusive disease, (5) patients who have cerebrovascular disorders, (6) patients who have obstructive lung disease, and (7) patients who are in the adolescent age group?

Background3

Erythropoietin is an endogenous hormone, produced primarily in the kidney, which participates in regulating production of red blood cells (erythropoiesis). Two forms of recombinant human erythropoietin, which were given the generic names "epoetin alfa" and "epoetin beta" by the United States Adopted Names Council, were developed in the 1980s as treatments for anemia. The two epoetins replicate the protein sequence and biologic activity of the endogenous hormone and increase the number of red blood cells and thus the blood concentration of hemoglobin when given to individuals with functioning erythropoiesis. Indeed, when epoetin is used inappropriately in individuals with normal erythropoiesis (e.g., as a form of "blood doping" by competitive athletes), the red blood cell count can rise to a level that is life threatening (Adamson and Vapnek, 1991; Catlin and Hatton, 1991; Smith and Perry, 1992). The initial clinical use of epoetin was to treat anemia associated with CRF, especially patients on dialysis (i.e., endstage renal disease, ESRD).

Recombinant human erythropoietin replacement therapy (epoetin) is the mainstay of treatment for anemia secondary to ESRD, and the introduction of recombinant epoetin therapy in the late 1980s has dramatically changed the treatment of patients with anemia of chronic renal disease. Such patients no longer have to suffer the diminished quality of life associated with chronic severe anemia or be dependent on red blood cell transfusions. Presently, the prevailing practice is to maintain Hct below 36 percent, thus avoiding severe anemia, but maintaining a level below normal. One controversial issue is whether normalization of Hct will further improve health outcomes in CRF patients. This report is a systematic review of the evidence to compare the outcomes of maintaining Hct above 36 percent compared with the outcomes of maintaining Hct between 30 and 36 percent in patients with CRF. However, the comparison of primary interest in this report is the comparison between maintaining Hct above 36 percent and maintaining Hct between 33 and 36 percent.

Incidence, Prevalence, Costs, and Burden of Illness

The passage of the 1972 Social Security Amendment (P.L. 92-603) provided for Federal funding of health care coverage for dialysis and renal transplantation. Medicare's ESRD program has continued to be the only nationally funded, disease-specific program in the United States (Frankenfield, Prowant, Flanigan, et al., 1998). During the past 10 years, however, the incidence of ESRD has almost doubled. From 1987 to 1996, the rate grew from 142 per 1 million population to 276 per 1 million population, which translated in real numbers to 34,797 new cases of ESRD in 1987 increasing to 74,116 new cases in 1996 (National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, 2000). One major component in this increase appears to be an increased incidence of diabetes mellitus, particularly type 2. The ESRD incidence due to diabetes was 113 per 1 million population in 1996, which was a 150 percent increase over the 45 per 1 million population observed in 1987 (National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, 2000).

According to the U.S. Renal Data System, 335,014 U.S. patients in 1996 either received dialysis or a kidney transplant as life-saving treatment (National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, 2000). Particular minority populations are disproportionately afflicted with CRF. Compared with Caucasians, African-Americans and Native Americans have 4.5 and 3.7 times higher prevalence, respectively (National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, 2000). Although the number of cadaveric transplantations has only increased by 20 percent since 1987 (8,500 cases in 1996), the number of patients with ESRD receiving dialysis has doubled, and the number of patients on the transplantation waiting list has nearly tripled (Wolfe, Held, Hulbert-Shearon, et al., 1998). Studies have found lower rates of kidney transplantation and longer waiting times for minorities and women compared with whites and men (National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, 2000).

As the numbers of patients with ESRD have grown, so have the costs of the program. Medicare spent an estimated $10.96 billion in 1996, which was a 12.4 percent increase from the $9.74 billion spent in 1995. Although the ESRD population represented only 0.6 percent of the total Medicare population in 1994, their expenditures were 5.1 percent of the Medicare budget (National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, 2000).

Medicare's reimbursement for erythropoietin, which was approved in June 1989, has been in effect for a decade (Collins, Ma, Xia, et al., 1998). During this time, a number of studies have reported that increasing the Hct level from under 30 percent to more than 30 percent has decreased the occurrence of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and has resulted in improved cognitive function, exercise tolerance, and quality of life (Collins, Ma, Xia, et al., 1998). Initially, Medicare's approved reimbursement for erythropoietin was capitated at $40 per administration. Within 3 years of Medicare coverage of erythropoietin treatment, the percentage of those with Hct values under 30 percent had decreased from nearly 60 percent of the patient claims to 40 percent.

Medicare then changed reimbursements to $11 per 1,000 units (U), which was comparable to 2,500 to 2,800 U/administration at the $40 cap. Costs began rising when the dosage pattern started to increase from 2,700 to almost 4,000 U/administration. Medicare responded by reducing reimbursement to $10 per 1,000 U. The agency also started denying payment to patients who had Hct levels over 36.5 percent. By the end of 1997, dosage patterns began to stabilize. Subsequently, Medicare has taken a more flexible stance and has allowed patients to sustain Hct levels up to 37.5 percent, while continuing to track patterns of usage and effects on morbidity and mortality (Collins, Ma, Xia, et al., 1998). However, medical justification (e.g., angina) is required in order to routinely maintain Hct above 36 percent.

Disease Biology, Natural History, Pertinent Clinical Features, Patient Populations, and Settings

Chronic renal failure may result from a variety of medical conditions that produce progressive, irreversible damage to the kidneys. The most common causes for CRF are diabetes mellitus and hypertension; other major causes include glomerulonephritis, polycystic kidney disease, and other urologic conditions (Brenner and Lazarus, 1994). Progressive renal injury follows a variable time course with gradual reduction in renal function often occurring over a period of years (Brenner and Lazarus, 1994). Ultimately CRF may result in ESRD requiring renal replacement therapy (i.e., hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis) for patient survival.

Patients with CRF (either those receiving dialysis or those who are not yet on dialysis), commonly present with a normocytic, normochromic anemia (Bunn, 1994b; Faulds and Sorkin, 1989). A combination of factors appears to be responsible for this anemia. First, patients have an inappropriately low endogenous erythropoietin production, probably as a result of poorly functioning renal tissue (Bunn, 1994a, 1994b). Also, erythropoiesis appears to be inhibited by the presence of uremic solutes; these solutes also appear to shorten erythrocyte circulation half-life by increasing the osmotic fragility of the cells. The degree of anemia is roughly proportional to the degree of azotemia (Bunn, 1994b). Patients with endstage renal failure may demonstrate hemolysis, possibly because of metabolic or mechanical stresses from renal dialysis (Bunn, 1994b). Also, ferrokinetic studies have shown impaired incorporation of iron into circulating erythrocytes (Bunn, 1994b). Up to 25 percent of patients receiving chronic dialysis can develop a severe, transfusion-dependent anemia (Faulds and Sorkin, 1989).

Endstage renal disease is the final common pathway for a variety of pathologic conditions. Thus the ESRD population comprises a heterogeneous group of patients with a spectrum of clinical comorbidities. The type and severity of associated comorbidity may influence the type and severity of vascular pathology present in patients with ESRD. For example, a patient with ESRD resulting from severe diabetes mellitus would likely have more extensive systemic vascular abnormalities than a patient with ESRD resulting from chronic urinary obstruction or another process that selectively injures the kidneys and causes no systemic injury. Heterogeneity in the clinical spectrum of CRF and ESRD patients is a relevant consideration in analyzing the outcomes associated with increasing the Hct using epoetin.

Clinical Practice Guidelines for Anemia in Chronic Renal Failure

NKF-DOQI Guidelines

The National Kidney Foundation (NKF) established the Dialysis Outcomes Quality Initiative (DOQI™) in March of 1995. This initiative was developed following a series of conferences occurring in 1993 and 1994 that highlighted controversies in the quality of dialysis care. One major activity of the NKF-DOQI has been the development of evidence-based practice guidelines. The completed NKF-DOQI guidelines were published in the September and October 1997 supplement issues of the American Journal of Kidney Diseases and can also be accessed through the NKF Web site, www.kidney.org. Four topics were identified for initial guideline development: (1) hemodialysis adequacy, (2) peritoneal dialysis adequacy, (3) vascular access, and (4) anemia management. The NKF-DOQI guidelines were developed by four independent Work Groups composed of renal experts from diverse clinical disciplines. The Anemia Work Group comprised physician members representing the nephrology, hematology, and pediatric nephrology specialties and included other medical professionals such as nurses and pharmacists. The anemia guideline includes 28 separate recommendations addressing seven different management dimensions: anemia workup, target Hct/hemoglobin, iron support, administration of epoetin, inadequate epoetin response, role of red blood cell transfusion, and possible adverse effects related to epoetin therapy.

The NKF-DOQI guideline report on anemia provides a thorough review of the scientific evidence and expert opinion describing how epoetin should be administered to CRF patients as well as when adjuvant therapies may be necessary to optimize treatment response. Based on a review of the evidence, the NKF-DOQI work group concluded that target Hct should be 33 to 36 percent.

The NKF-DOQI guidelines recommend that iron status should be monitored and supplemental iron is necessary in order to maintain iron stores in a range that supports optimal erythropoiesis. Although oral iron may be administered initially, the work group noted that many CRF patients may be unable to maintain sufficient iron stores using oral iron alone. In most hemodialysis patients, ongoing blood loss necessitates the use of intravenously administered iron supplementation. Intravenous iron has much greater bioavailability than orally administered iron, and the evidence reviewed by the NKF-DOQI report showed that changing from oral to intravenous iron can result in increased Hct while using smaller amounts of epoetin.

The route of administration for epoetin appears to influence the efficiency in terms of the total dose of epoetin necessary to achieve and maintain a desired Hct level. Many studies have examined the effect of using subcutaneous versus intravenous epoetin, and the NKF-DOQI work group concluded that the evidence supported a recommendation to use subcutaneous epoetin as the preferred route of administration because of its increased efficiency. Because epoetin is more slowly absorbed when administered subcutaneously, elevated serum levels of epoetin are sustained over a longer period of time. The resulting effect is that target Hct level may be maintained using approximately 15 to 50 percent lower doses of epoetin when subcutaneous epoetin is substituted for intravenous epoetin.

Canadian Evidence-Based Recommendations

In 1995, a set of evidence-based recommendations for the clinical use of epoetin were published (Muirhead, Bargman, Burgess, et al., 1995). Over 200 scientific papers were reviewed by a group of Canadian medical professionals in the process of developing these recommendations that address five major questions: (1) Who should receive epoetin? (2) What should the target Hct be? (3) What is the best route of epoetin administration? (4) How should iron status be evaluated and managed? and (5) How should patients be monitored and followed up? The Canadian recommendations are similar with regard to route of epoetin administration and management of iron status and supplementation. However, the recommended target Hct for hemodialysis patients was 31.5 to 34.5 percent in the Canadian review, which is slightly lower than the target Hct recommended in the NKF-DOQI report.

European Best Practice Guidelines

The European renal community has established a Working Party including representatives from the European Renal Association/European Dialysis and Transplantation Association (ERA-EDTA) as well as from a cross-section of the national nephrology societies from European countries. The European Best Practice Guidelines for the Management of Anaemia in Patients with Chronic Renal Failure were published in 1999 (Working Party for European Best Practice Guidelines for the Management of Anaemia in Patients with Chronic Renal Failure, 1999). The published guidelines include 28 separate sections covering a broad range of issues relating to anemia in CRF patients. The specific guideline addressing target hemoglobin concentration recommends that Hct should be maintained above 33 percent; however, the guideline does not specify an upper limit for target Hct and suggests that such targets should be individualized (Working Party for European Best Practice Guidelines for the Management of Anaemia in Patients with Chronic Renal Failure, 1999).

Epoetin

Recombinant human erythropoietin or "epoetin," was developed in the 1980s, after the human gene responsible for its production was cloned and expressed in vitro (Jacobs, Shoemaker, Rudersdorf, et al., 1985; Lin, Suggs, Lin, et al., 1985). The 165-amino acid mature recombinant protein is identical to the endogenous hormone with respect to its peptide sequence, and it has identical biologic activity (Amgen, Inc., 1999; Faulds and Sorkin, 1989; Ortho-Biotech, Inc., 1999).

The recombinant epoetin has been produced in two forms: alfa and beta (Halstenson, Macres, Katz, et al., 1991). Each differs from the other and from the endogenous form principally in the nature and composition of the carbohydrate chains attached to the peptide (McEvoy, 1999). The two recombinant forms may differ in their pharmacokinetic properties (Halstenson, Macres, Katz, et al., 1991). However, only the alfa form has been approved for marketing in the United States by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) (McEvoy, 1999).

Epoetin cannot be administered orally; it is administered either by subcutaneous (sc) or intravenous (iv) injection (Amgen, Inc., 1999; Ortho-Biotech, Inc., 1999). Trials in patients with ESRD provide evidence that the drug is cleared more rapidly after iv than after sc administration (Albitar, Meulders, Hammoud, et al., 1995; Besarab, Flaherty, Erslev, et al., 1992; Canaud, Bennhold, Delons, et al., 1995; Kaufmann, Reda, Fye, et al., 1998; Paganini, Eschbach, Lazarus, et al., 1995; Virot, Janin, Guillaumie, et al., 1996). Slower clearance suggests a longer duration of exposure to biologically effective concentrations at a given dose when epoetin is administered subcutaneously rather than intravenously.

In most studies of patients who have CRF, the drug has been administered as an iv bolus 3 times weekly, generally in conjunction with hemodialysis treatments. The drug also has been administered parenterally via other routes convenient to the clinical situation (e.g., into the peritoneal cavity for patients on peritoneal dialysis). Also, the drug may be self-administered by the patient (Amgen, Inc., 1999; Ortho-Biotech, Inc., 1999).

Epoetin alfa is FDA-approved in the United States and marketed under the trade names Epogen® (Amgen, Inc., Thousand Oaks, CA) and Procrit® (Ortho-Biotech, Inc., Raritan, NJ). Both trade products are derived from the same source and are identical in composition (McEvoy, 1999).

Table 1. FDA-approved uses of epoetin alfa and dosing recommendations
FDA-Approved LabelingStarting DoseAdjustmentComment
"indicated in the treatment of anemia associated with chronic renal failure, including patients on dialysis (end-stage renal disease) and patients not on dialysis"50-100 U/kg 3 times weekly (iv or sc)Reduce dose if: Hct approaches 36% or Hct increases >4 points in any 2-week period. Increase dose if: Hct does not increase by 5-6 points after 8 weeks of therapy and Hct is below the suggested range.
  • Predialysis patients with symptomatic anemia considered for therapy should have an Hct less than 30%.

  • Transferrin saturation should be at least 20% and ferritin should be at least 100 ng/mL.

  • Hct should be monitored twice weekly until it has stabilized in the target range and the maintenance dose has been established.

  • Suggested target Hct range: 30-36%; however, the labeling states that "at the physician's discretion, the suggested target hematocrit range may be expanded to achieve maximal patient benefit."

"indicated for the treatment of anemia related to therapy with zidovudine in HIV-infected patients"100 U/kg 3 times weekly (iv or sc) for 8 weeksAfter attainment of the desired response (i.e., reduced transfusion requirements or increased Hct), the dose should be titrated to maintain the response based on factors such as the change in zidovudine dosage and the presence of intercurrent infections or inflammatory episodes. If the Hct exceeds 40%, the dose should be discontinued until the Hct drops to 36%. The dose should be reduced by 25% when the treatment is resumed and then titrated to maintain the desired Hct.
  • Endogenous serum erythropoietin concentration should be <500 μU/mL.

  • Weekly total zidovudine dose should be <4.2 g.

  • Hct should be monitored once weekly until it has stabilized in the target range and then measured periodically thereafter.

"indicated in the treatment of anemia in patients with non-myeloid malignancies where anemia is due to the effect of concomitantly administered chemotherapy"150 U/kg sc 3 times weeklyIf Hct exceeds 40%, the drug should be withheld until the Hct falls to 36%; the drug dose should be decreased by 25% when therapy is resumed. If the initial drug dose induces a very rapid response (e.g., an increase of 4 or more points in any 2-week period), the dose should be reduced. If Hct response is not satisfactory after 8 weeks, the dose can be increased up to 300 U/kg 3 times weekly.
  • Patients must be receiving the concomitant chemotherapy for a minimum of 2 months.

  • Therapy not indicated for the treatment of anemia in cancer patients resulting from other factors such as iron or folate deficiencies, hemolysis, or GI bleeding; these should be managed appropriately.

  • Although no specific serum erythropoietin concentration can be stipulated above which patients would be unlikely to respond, treatment of patients with "grossly elevated" serum concentrations (e.g., >200 mU/mL) is not recommended.

  • If patients fail to respond to 300 U/kg 3 times weekly, it is unlikely that they will respond to higher doses.

  • Hct should be monitored once weekly until it has stabilized in the target range and then measured periodically thereafter.

"indicated in the treatment of anemic patients (hemoglobin >10 to <13 g/dL) scheduled to undergo elective, noncardiac, nonvascular surgery to reduce the need for allogeneic blood transfusions… indicated for patients at high risk for perioperative transfusions with significant, anticipated blood loss"300 U/kg daily sc for 10 days prior to surgery, the day of surgery, and 4 days after surgery Also, the drug may be given at a dosage of 600 U/kg sc once weekly at 21, 14, and 7 days before surgery, plus a fourth dose the day of surgery.N/A
  • Not indicated for anemic patients who are willing to donate autologous blood.

  • The safety of the perioperative use of the drug has been studied only in patients who are receiving anticoagulant prophylaxis.

  • All patients should receive adequate iron supplementation; iron therapy should be initiated no later than the beginning of epoetin treatment and should continue throughout the therapy course.

Maintenance doses should be titrated to response in all cases.

All information from Ortho-Biotech and Amgen FDA-approved labeling.

N/A = not applicable.

Epoetin alfa has been FDA-approved for four uses (Table 1):
  • The treatment of anemia associated with CRF (including patients on dialysis [for ESRD] and patients not on dialysis);

  • The treatment of anemia related to therapy with zidovudine in HIV-infected patients;

  • The treatment of anemia in patients with nonmyeloid malignancies where anemia is an effect of concomitantly administered chemotherapy; and

  • The treatment of anemic patients (hemoglobin >10 to <13 g/dL) scheduled to undergo elective, noncardiac, nonvascular surgery to reduce the need for allogeneic blood transfusions and patients at high risk for perioperative transfusions with significant, anticipated blood loss (Amgen, Inc., 1999; Ortho-Biotech, Inc., 1999).

Amgen, Inc. is licensed to market Epogen® for the treatment of dialysis patients with anemia of ESRD; Ortho-Biotech, Inc., is licensed to market Procrit® for the treatment of all other FDA-approved uses, including the treatment of anemia in predialysis patients.

The drug has been used off-label for a variety of other uses, including anemia of prematurity (Faulds and Sorkin, 1989), anemia of chronic disease (e.g., rheumatoid arthritis) (Faulds and Sorkin, 1989; Pincus, Olsen, Russell, et al., 1990; Salvarani, Lasagni, Casali, et al., 1991; Vreugdenhil and Swaak, 1990), anemia of myelodysplastic syndromes (Adamson, Schuster, Allen, et al., 1992; Ludwig, Fritz, Leitgeib, et al., 1993; Stein, Abels, and Krantz, 1991), sickle-cell anemia (Faulds and Sorkin, 1989), anemia of multiple myeloma (Ludwig, Fritz, Leitgeb, et al., 1993), and anemia following high dose chemotherapy with stem-cell support (Henry, 1998).

In patients with CRF receiving epoetin therapy, the most common adverse effect of the drug is hypertension, occurring in approximately 24 percent of such patients (Amgen, Inc., 1999; Ortho-Biotech, Inc., 1999). Other less common but more serious adverse effects of the drug include hypertensive encephalopathy, seizures, and thrombotic/vascular events (Amgen, Inc., 1999; Ortho-Biotech, Inc., 1999).

Unpublished International Clinical Trials

During the course of conducting this systematic review, the EPC team followed the status of two additional international studies that evaluated the effects of increasing Hct above 36 percent in patients with CRF (Jacobs, 1999): (1) a multicenter randomized controlled trial (RCT) conducted in Canada by Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al. (1998) comparing normalization of Hct (40.5 percent target) with partial correction of anemia (30 percent target) in 146 hemodialysis patients with asymptomatic cardiomyopathy; and (2) a multicenter RCT conducted in Scandinavia comparing normalized Hct (target of 43.5 to 48 percent in males, 40.5 to 45 percent in females) with partial correction of anemia (target 27 to 36 percent) in 416 patients with CRF (293 hemodialysis, 51 continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis, and 72 predialysis) ("Scandinavian Multicentre Trial," see description in Jacobs, 1999). At the time this report was completed, results of the Canadian study had been published in two abstracts (Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al. 1998; Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al. 1998), and these findings are described in this systematic review. No results of the Scandinavian study were available.

Chapter 2. Methodology

Overview

This evidence report is the product of a systematic literature review including synthesis and analysis of data from all relevant sources that met predefined criteria. The protocol for this review was prospectively designed to define:study objectives, search strategy, patient populations of interest, study selection criteria and methods for determining study eligibility, outcomes of interest, and data elements to be abstracted and methods for abstraction. The protocol and report were developed with considerable guidance from expert advisors external to the Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association Technology Evaluation Center (TEC).

To maximize the accuracy of study selection and data abstraction, two independent reviewers were involved in each step in this protocol. Disagreements were infrequent and were resolved by consensus of the reviewers. The protocol provided that disagreement that could not be resolved by the reviewers would be referred for discussion with the external advisors.

This is a review of published evidence, including both full reports and abstracts from scientific meetings. Abstracts were included in the evidence review to maximize the comprehensiveness of the evidence presented. The decision to include abstracts was made in consultation with advisory experts who suggested that the number of full reports addressing the key questions was not large and that the overall usefulness of the report would be enhanced by including analysis and synthesis of data reported in scientific abstracts. Full reports of study methodology and findings that have gone through a peer review process are viewed with greater confidence than are abstracts presented at scientific meetings. Inherent limitations of abstracts relate primarily to the limited detail of information provided in the allowable space as well as the lack of a rigorous peer review process. Thus, results of abstracts are included to provide information of potential interest to the reader, but the evidence from abstracts would be considered preliminary and of lesser quality as compared with evidence drawn from a full report.

During the course of the literature review, the EPC team followed the status of three international studies that evaluated the effects of increasing Hct above 36 percent in patients with CRF (Jacobs, 1999). These studies include: (1) a multicenter RCT conducted in Canada by Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al. (1998) comparing normalization of Hct (40.5 percent target) with partial correction of anemia (30 percent target) in 146 hemodialysis patients with asymptomatic cardiomyopathy; (2) a multicenter study conducted by the Spanish Cooperative Renal Patients Quality of Life Study Group comparing outcomes before and after raising the Hct above 36 percent with epoetin in a group of 156 stable hemodialysis patients who did not have severe comorbidity (Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000); and (3) a multicenter, RCT conducted in Scandinavia comparing normalized Hct (target of 43.5 to 48 percent in males, 40.5 to 45 percent in females) with partial correction of anemia (target 27 to 36 percent) in 416 patients with CRF (293 hemodialysis, 51 continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis, and 72 predialysis) ("Scandinavian Multicentre Trial," see description in Jacobs, 1999).

Quality of life and safety outcomes were assessed in all three studies. Echocardiographic changes were also assessed in the Canadian study and the Scandinavian study. Although both the Canadian and Scandinavian studies have been completed, the final results have not been published as full reports. Results of the Canadian study have been published in two abstracts (Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al. 1998; Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al. 1998). Results from the Spanish study have been published as a full report (Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000) and have been included in this review. Results from the Scandinavian study have not yet been published. Supplemental review of these unpublished data may be performed in the future as full reports of these studies become publicly available.

Technical Advisors

The Technical Advisory Group (TAG) served as the primary advisory panel and was consulted extensively through all phases of this project. The Renal Disease TAG included three members appointed by the TEC: Allen Nissenson, MD, and Joseph Eschbach, MD, nephrologists; and Earl Steinberg, MD, MPP, an internist with expertise in outcomes research. Dr. Eschbach chaired and Dr. Nissenson was a member of the Anemia Work Group of the NFK-DOQITM. Dr. Steinberg was the NFK-DOQI Scientific Director. In addition, Alan Lichtin, MD, a hematologist appointed by the American Society of Hematology to serve on the TAG for our companion systematic review on the use of epoetin in oncology, was included in some of the Renal Disease TAG discussions.

An early work product for this report, consisting of a preliminary analysis of evidence, was reviewed by the Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association TEC Medical Advisory Panel. This interdisciplinary panel comprises experts in technology assessment methods and clinical research and also includes managed care physicians from Blue Cross and Blue Shield and Kaiser Permanente health plans.

An additional panel of External Reviewers provided input to the design of the prospective protocol and reviewed the draft report. This panel included clinical and research specialists involved in the treatment of patients with CRF who were either selected by the Technology Evaluation Center (TEC) or were designated by one of the national stakeholder organizations contacted by the TEC. In addition, a patient representative was designated by the American Association of Kidney Patients. The External Reviewers also included technical staff of Ortho-Biotech, Inc., which markets epoetin alfa for the treatment of predialysis patients with progressive renal failure, and technical staff of Amgen, Inc., which markets epoetin alfa for the treatment of patients undergoing dialysis for ESRD. A medical officer from the Health Care Financing Administration, which requested the systematic review of evidence on the normalization of Hct in ESRD, was also a reviewer for this report.

Appendix A lists the members and institutional affiliations of the TAG, External Reviewers, and the Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association TEC Medical Advisory Panel.

Search Strategy for the Identification of Articles

A comprehensive literature search was performed to identify publications of relevant clinical studies. The search process began with the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases. Two separate electronic search strategies were performed for this systematic review. The first search strategy pertains to Part I (Adult Patients with Chronic Renal Failure) and Part II (Pediatric Patients with Chronic Renal Failure). This search strategy listed "kidney failure" as a required search term. The second search strategy, which pertains to Part III (Subpopulations of Interest with or without Chronic Renal Failure), did not require "kidney failure" as a search term.

Search Strategy for Results and Conclusions, Parts I and II

These online sources were searched for all articles published since 1985 that included at least one of the following text words (tw) or Medical Subject Heading (MeSH®) terms in their titles, their abstracts, or their keyword lists:

  • erythropoietin (MeSH®)

  • epoetin alfa (MeSH®)

  • erythropoietin (tw)

  • epoetin (tw)

  • Epogen (tw)

  • Procrit (tw)

  • epo (tw)

  • Anemia/drug therapy (MeSH®; including all subheadings)

  • Anemia/therapy (MeSH®; including all subheadings)

  • Anemia/diet therapy (MeSH®; including all subheadings)

The search results were then limited to include only those articles that were indexed under the Medical Subject Headings® "kidney failure" (including all subheadings) and that addressed studies on human subjects. The MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were last searched in December 1998. To supplement the above strategy, issues of Current Contents on Diskette were searched through October 30, 1999, to identify recently published articles that had not yet been indexed by the online databases.

An additional source of bibliographic information and reprints of clinical studies was provided by Ortho-Biotech, Inc., and Amgen, Inc. Finally, all relevant review articles, editorials, and letters published in 1995 or later were retrieved. Reference lists from these articles were searched for relevant studies not identified by the above methods.

Search Strategy for Results and Conclusions, Part III

An electronic search was conducted to identify articles pertaining to patient subgroups of interest defined by clinical characteristics that have been postulated to warrant maintaining Hct above 36 percent. Relevant clinical characteristics included: congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, arterial occlusive disease including peripheral vascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, living at high altitude, and adolescent age.

Studies considered to be relevant for this section of the systematic review were not required to include only patients with CRF. Our rationale for including studies in patients without CRF was that the clinical outcomes resulting from different levels of Hct observed in patients with one of these clinical characteristics might be generalizable to CRF patients with the same clinical characteristic. Thus, for example, if an Hct level above 36 percent was shown to improve health outcomes in a general population of patients with peripheral vascular disease, then the EPC team felt it might be reasonable to generalize that finding to CRF patients with peripheral vascular disease.

The following online search strategy was employed for this portion of the evidence review using the following tws or MeSHeading terms in their titles, abstracts, or keyword lists:

  • erythropoietin (MeSH®)

  • epoetin alfa (MeSH®)

  • erythropoietin (tw)

  • Epoetin (tw)

  • Epogen (tw)

  • Procrit (tw)

  • epo (tw)

  • Anemia/drug therapy (MeSH®; including all subheadings)

  • Anemia/therapy (MeSH®; including all subheadings)

  • Anemia/diet therapy (MeSH® including all subheadings)

AND at least one of the following items:

  • heart failure (MeSH®>)

  • congestive disease (MeSH®)

  • coronary disease (MeSH®)

  • arterial occlusive disease (MeSH®)

  • cerebrovascular disease (MeSH®)

  • lung diseases, obstructive (MeSH®)

  • altitude (MeSH®)

  • adolescent (MeSH®)

The search results were then limited to include only those articles that addressed studies on human subjects.

In addition to this search process, reference lists from relevant reviews, editorials, and letters published since 1995 were searched for studies not identified by the electronic search methods. Furthermore, all of the external advisors involved in the project were asked to inform the project team of any additional studies potentially relevant to the key questions that had not yet been identified. This search process identified over 3,106 titles and abstracts.

Determining Study Eligibility

Study eligibility was assessed in five general areas: (1) types of participants, (2) type of study, (3) Hct range being studied, (4) sample size, and (5) type of outcome reported.

Types of Participants

The primary population of interest for this systematic review is patients with CRF who have anemia secondary to the renal disease. The report includes studies addressing CRF patients of all ages and divides the discussion of Results and Conclusions into two parts: Part I includes adult patients with CRF, and Part II includes pediatric patients with CRF. Chronic renal failure includes the full spectrum of disease severity from those patients on hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis to those patients with progressive CRF but not yet receiving dialysis at the time of treatment for anemia.

Other subpopulations of interest for this systematic review (Results and Conclusions, Part III,) include patients who have at least one of a predefined set of clinical characteristics thought to warrant maintaining Hct >36 percent. These predefined clinical characteristics included coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, arterial occlusive disease, cerebrovascular disease, obstructive lung disease, patients living at high altitude, and patients in the adolescent age group. Maintaining Hct >36 in the adolescent age group might favorably influence growth and development. Living at high altitude exposes the patient to oxygen at lower levels in the air. Normal subjects adapt to living at high altitude by increasing their Hct level; however, patients with ESRD are unable to respond appropriately because of deficient erythropoietin production. In each of the other clinical circumstances, maintaining Hct >36 is postulated to alleviate symptoms from these comorbidities.

Studies of patients with primary hemoglobinopathies (e.g., sickle cell disease or thalassemia) were excluded because of the potential for outcomes associated with the primary disease to confound the analysis of outcomes resulting from differences in Hct level. These subjects were not required to have anemia secondary to renal disease.

Types of Studies

Studies were required to report a controlled comparison of a health outcome (or appropriate intermediate outcome) for the included patient groups at the relevant levels of Hct defined for each key question. Controlled comparisons could be derived from clinical studies using randomized or nonrandomized control designs. Studies reporting cross-sectional analyses describing the relationship between outcome and Hct level that mathematically controlled for confounding factors were included as well.

Hematocrit Range Being Studied4

The primary focus of this systematic review was to compare the outcomes of maintaining the Hct >36 percent as compared with 33 to <36 percent. However, evidence derived from studies comparing outcomes of maintaining Hct >36 percent with outcomes of maintaining Hct in the range of 30 to <36 percent was also included in this systematic review because of the small number of studies addressing the primary comparison of interest.

Because the normal range of Hct in the preadolescent population5 is lower than that for the postadolescent population, the primary Hct range of interest was different for the pediatric population. In the pediatric population of preadolescent patients, the relevant comparisons were Hct >30 compared with Hct 27 to <30 or Hct >33 percent as compared with Hct 27 to <33 percent.

Sample Size

Studies were excluded if there were data on fewer than 10 patients in each group being compared. Since the prevalence of chronic renal disease is high, the requirement of at least 10 patients per analyzed group was considered reasonable by the various experts consulted in developing this protocol. Information derived from studies with fewer than 10 patients per analyzed group was considered of negligible statistical and clinical value and was not considered to be an adequate basis for informed decisionmaking in managing anemia in this clinical setting.

Type of Outcome Reported

In this systematic review, the EPC team was primarily interested in outcomes that would be considered health outcomes, those that are readily recognizable to patients as being meaningful in their lives. For example, health outcomes would include death rate or myocardial infarction (MI) rate. However, in the interest of completeness, the team considered a variety of intermediate outcomes. For an intermediate outcome to be relevant for this systematic review, the intermediate outcome measure must be known or believed to be predictive of a health outcome.

Studies were included if they reported at least one of the following outcomes. Results for each outcome were analyzed separately in the evidence tables:

  • Mortality.

  • Quality of life.

  • Hospital utilization.

  • Red blood cell transfusions.

  • Cardiac outcomes (including clinical cardiac events as well as intermediate outcomes such as echocardiographic measures of left ventricular size).

  • Functional status (including physiologic measures related to various aspects of functional status such as physical performance, cognitive performance, sleep quality, or nutritional status).

  • Adverse effects.

  • Growth and development (pediatrics).

  • School-related performance (pediatrics and adolescents).

Stages of Study Selection

Three stages were used in systematically selecting articles to be included in the systematic review.

Stage 1: Screening Titles and Abstracts

Initially, one of two independent reviewers evaluated each title (and abstract if available) against the predefined screening criteria. References were grouped into two categories: "retrieve" or "hold." Those references labeled as "hold" by the first reviewer were also evaluated by the second reviewer. Full-text copies of articles were obtained if either reviewer labeled the reference "retrieve."

The screening criteria used in Stage 1 were designed to be as inclusive as possible. In other words, articles were selected for further review in full text unless it was clear from the information provided in the title or abstract that it did not relate to the scope of this review.

If insufficient information was provided in the abstract to determine the study's potential relevance, the study was selected for further review. References that only had titles available were marked for retrieval unless the title clearly identified the article as outside the scope of this review.

Studies were rejected from further review if any of the following criteria were met:

  • The number of subjects in each group being compared was clearly stated to be fewer than 10 per group.

  • The target or achieved Hct was clearly stated to be less than 36 percent (hemoglobin [Hb] 12 g/dL) for studies of adolescent or adult patients or less than 30 percent (Hb 10 g/dL) for studies of pediatric patients.

  • The abstract clearly demonstrates that the study will not include an analysis of the relationship between Hct level (or hemoglobin level) and a health outcome or a relevant intermediate outcome.

  • The patient population did not have CRF or one of the prespecified clinical characteristics listed in the key question for Part III.

  • The patients in the study were selected for having a primary hemoglobinopathy (e.g., sickle cell disease or thalassemia).

The screening process produced 1,144 articles to be reviewed in full text.

Stage 2: Review and Categorization of Articles in Full Text

The full-text articles were categorized as follows: (1) potential data article, (2) review/editorial/letter, or (3) non-English article. Approximately 200 non-English articles were identified from the articles retrieved in full text. After discussion with the TAG, external experts, and the Task Order Officer, it was concluded that the non-English literature was unlikely to contain data relevant to the key issues that was not reported elsewhere within the English literature. Thus, the decision was made to exclude non-English articles from further review. Approximately 550 publications were identified as potential data articles, and 360 as review/editorial/letter. Articles identified as potential data articles were further evaluated in Stage 3.

Stage 3: Evaluation of Potential Data Articles and Identifying Studies Eligible for Analysis of Evidence

Table 2. Reasons for study exclusion
Reason for ExclusionCriterion
Not in EnglishFull-length journal article was not published in the English language.
No primary dataReview article, editorial, commentary, letter, or position statement that did not report primary outcomes data from a clinical trial or cross-sectional analysis.
Wrong Hct rangeThe Hct range being studied did not correlate with the Hct ranges prespecified in the key questions.
No relevant outcomeThe results of the study did not include information on health outcomes or relevant intermediate outcome.
Hct and outcomes not relatedThe outcomes reported in the article were not reported in relation to the Hct level of patients in the study.
N <10 per study armOne or more of the groups being analyzed included fewer than 10 patients.
Wrong patient populationPopulation did not have renal disease (Parts I and II). Population did not have one of the prespecified clinical characteristics (Part III). Population included patients with primary hemoglobinopathy (e.g., sickle cell anemia, thalassemia).
No control comparisonThe study did not include a control group or make a controlled comparison with patient data at an appropriate Hct level.

N=number of patients.

Articles identified as potentially containing data were evaluated by two independent reviewers according to a prespecified set of study selection criteria. A list of predefined reasons for exclusion are described in Table 2. Reviewers were not required to list more than one reason for exclusion in the database even if more than one reason was applicable. Disagreements were reviewed by a third reviewer. In most cases, a consensus opinion could be reached through discussion. When a consensus decision was not reached among the three reviewers, a decision was made in consultation with the TAG members. A total of 25 studies, 15 full reports and 10 abstracts, were identified as eligible for inclusion in the review of evidence.

Data Abstraction

The data abstraction forms utilized for this part of the systematic review can be found in Appendix B.

Two reviewers independently abstracted data from each eligible study and recorded the data directly into a word-processing tabular format. Information was gathered describing the patient population (including demographics and type of dialysis), study design, anemia treatment information, and outcome information. These tables were visually compared for consistency by a single reviewer, and simple numerical discrepancies were resolved by referring to the original article. Inconsistencies not related to a simple error were discussed and consensus was reached.

Evaluation of Study Quality

The primary assessment of study quality that we used in this systematic review is based on study design with a three-tier hierarchy of quality. Accordingly, each section of the Results is subdivided into three categories (listed in order of strongest to weakest design): RCT, nonrandomized controlled clinical trial, or cross-sectional analysis. Discussion of results within each category of study design addresses both results described in full reports and results described in abstracts. Results from full reports are viewed with greater confidence than are those from abstracts presented at scientific meetings.

Although it was the intent of this systematic review to prospectively apply additional measures to assess study quality, the overall paucity of available evidence and considerable variation in study designs utilized by various investigators grossly limited the feasibility and utility of constructing a formal quality evaluation schema. In consultation with the TAG, the decision was made not to apply any formalized quantitative quality scoring system. However, during analysis of the evidence, five issues pertaining to study quality and relevance were identified.

For the purpose of this report, the first two dimensions serve to define better studies (uses double-masked design, or compares Hct >36 percent with 33 to <36percent), and the second two dimensions serve to define worse studies (loss to followup or missing data for >10 percent, or potential bias in control group comparison). The EPC team recognizes that the comparison of Hct range is not a measure of study quality; however, this issue pertains to the relevance of the study to the primary focus of this systematic review. Thus, the team included this dimension among the quality assessment criteria for simplicity. Finally, the extent to which cross-sectional analyses identified and controlled for confounding influences in the data analysis was described.

These five dimensions of study quality and relevance are described and tabulated for each study included in the systematic review.

Chapter 3. Results and Conclusions

Overview

This systematic review of the use of epoetin in patients with CRF seeks primarily to compare outcomes of maintaining a target Hct above 36 percent with outcomes of maintaining a target Hct in the 33 to < 36 percent range. The published clinical trial evidence that addresses the specific comparison of primary interest to this systematic review was quite limited. To maximize the comprehensiveness of this report, the EPC team decided, in consultation with advisory experts, also to synthesize and analyze results of studies reported only in abstract form,6 studies using any form of controlled design; and studies reporting intermediate outcomes known or thought, to predict health outcomes. Therefore, this report includes associational studies as well as interventional studies -- studies in which the control group Hct was maintained in the 30 to <33 percent range as well as those in which the control group was maintained in the 33 to < 36 percent range.

In this systematic review, the EPC team was primarily interested in outcomes that would be considered health outcomes, those that are recognizable to patients as being meaningful in their lives. For example, health outcomes would include mortality or MI rate. However, in the interest of completeness, the team considered a variety of intermediate outcomes. For an intermediate outcome to be relevant for this systematic review, the intermediate outcome measure must be known or believed to be predictive of a health outcome.

Guidelines issued by the NKF-DOQI recommend a target range for maintenance Hct of 33 to 36 percent based on their review of the literature showing improvement in outcomes associated with this Hct range. For the objectives of this systematic review, studies that compare Hct above 36 percent against 30 to <33 percent are less relevant than those studies that compare Hct above 36 percent with Hct 33 and < 36 percent. Benefits reported in the former studies might be attributable, at least in part, to improvements associated with raising the Hct from 30 to <33 percent to 33 to <36 percent. Thus, the comparison of highest interest in this report is the comparison between maintaining Hct above 36 percent and maintaining Hct 33 and <36 percent.

Each of the three parts of this systematic review is focused on one of three different populations of interest. Part I addresses adult CRF patients, Part II addresses pediatric CRF patients, and Part III addresses subpopulations of interest with or without CRF who have any one of a predefined list of clinical characteristics that are postulated to warrant maintaining Hct above 36 percent.

Part I: Adult Patients with Chronic Renal Failure

The key questions detailed below create the analytic framework for Part I, which focuses exclusively on adult patients with CRF. The analytic approach is separated by study design to emphasize the difference in the type of information that may be derived from each type of study design. Controlled intervention studies may demonstrate an effect observed following the intervention, whereas cross-sectional studies describe statistical relationships between defined variables. In the latter circumstance, no conclusion regarding a causal relationship between statistically associated variables can be inferred.

The key questions focus on the relationship between Hct and health outcomes and do not address the relationship between alternative ways of administering epoetin and the resulting effect on Hct. As described in Chapter 1, Introduction, specific aspects of administering epoetin, such as subcutaneous as opposed to intravenous route of administration, have been found to influence the efficiency of epoetin in modulating Hct.

Key Questions

  1. Based on evidence from interventional studies, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent compared with maintaining target Hct in the 30 to <36 percent range or, more specifically, in the 33 to <36 percent range?

  2. Based on evidence from associational studies, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent compared with maintaining target Hct in the 30 to <36 percent range or, more specifically, in the 33 to <36 percent range?

Overview of the Evidence

The literature search and selection process identified 13 full reports and 10 scientific abstracts that reported findings on the relationship between outcomes associated with an Hct level above 36 percent and outcomes associated with an Hct level between 30 and 36 percent in patients with CRF (see Evidence Tables 1 through 3). Some of these reports originate from the same authors and/or institutions, and the degree of overlap of patients across separate reports cannot be determined from the information provided.7

Interventions

All interventional studies included in this systematic review used epoetin to raise the Hct level above 36 percent in the treatment group and to maintain Hct in the range >30 and <36 percent for control comparison. There were no clinical studies using other anemia treatments that met study selection criteria. The cross-sectional analyses varied in regard to anemia treatments being used in the study population. Most of these analyses were performed in populations already being treated with epoetin, though one study specifically selected patients newly started on epoetin therapy (Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993) and another study did not specifically require patients to be receiving epoetin at all (Lowrie, Huang, Lew et al., 1994).

Patient Populations
Type of dialysis

The available evidence is largely derived from hemodialysis patients. Few studies included a small number of peritoneal dialysis patients: 9.6 percent in Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson (1993), 7 percent in Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al. (1999c), and 4 percent in Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al. (1996). Two studies examined patients with CRF who did not require dialysis (Levin, Singer, Thompson, et al., 1996; Levin, Thompson, Ethier, et al., 1999).

Heterogeneity of the patient populations

Although the studies in this systematic review are largely targeted to hemodialysis patients, it must be recognized that there is considerable clinical heterogeneity within the hemodialysis population. The length of time that patients had been on dialysis varies within and across studies. Some studies analyzed Medicare ESRD data, thus including only subjects who qualified for ESRD benefits. The presence of significant comorbid conditions (e.g., vascular disease, diabetes mellitus, cardiac disease) varies across studies, with some studies specifically excluding patients with severe comorbid conditions and others specifically requiring comorbid conditions for inclusion in the study. Age is another factor that varied across studies. Finally, the normal range of Hct level varies by gender with males having a higher normal Hct level than females, but none of the studies included in this systematic review reported results separately by gender.

Quality of Study Design and Conduct

The study selection criteria for this systematic review required that studies use some form of control in conducting the analysis; however, multiple methodologies and study designs were considered to meet this criterion. The primary assessment of study quality that was used in this systematic review is based on study design with a three-tier hierarchy of quality. Accordingly, each section regarding study quality is subdivided into three categories (listed in order of strongest to weakest design): RCT, nonrandomized controlled clinical trial, or cross-sectional analysis. The majority of nonrandomized controlled trials were single-arm intervention trials, where patients served as their own controls and outcome measures at baseline Hct levels were compared with those observed after raising the Hct level above 36 percent (pre/postdesign). Discussion of results within each category of study design addresses both results described in full reports and results described in abstracts. Results from full reports are viewed with greater confidence than are those from abstracts presented at scientific meetings.

Table 3. Overview of study quality and relevance: Results and conclusions, Part I
StudyNBetter Studies Are CheckedWorse Studies Are CheckedMethod of Case-Mix Adjustment
Uses Double-Masked DesignCompares Hct >36% with 33-36%Loss to Followup or Missing Data for >10%Potential Bias in Control Group Comparison
Randomized controlled clinical trial
Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 19981,233N/A
McMahon, McKenna, Sangkabutra, et al., 199914 graphic element graphic elementN/A
Abstract Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al., 1998146? Not reportedN/A
Abstract Wells Coyley, Lee, et al., 1998130? Not reportedN/A
Abstract Stray-Gundersen, Sams, Gookin, et al., 199727 graphic elementN/A
Nonrandomized controlled clinical trial
Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000115 graphic element graphic elementHospital utilization Quality of lifeN/A
Pickett, Theberge, Brown, et al., 199920N/A
Benz, Pressman, Hovick, et al., 199910N/A
Suzuki, Tsutsui, Yokoyama, et al., 199510 cases; 39 control graphic element Exercise PerformanceN/A
Abstract Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et. al., 199710? graphic element graphic elementN/A
Abstract Mason and McMahon 199710? graphic element graphic element graphic elementQuality of lifeN/A
Abstract Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 199310-13 graphic elementQuality of life graphic elementQuality of lifeN/A
Cross-sectional analysis
Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et. al., 19981,233 graphic element graphic element Quality of lifeN/A
Levin, Thompson, Ethier, et. al., 1999246N/A graphic elementAge, gender, race, underlying renal disease, blood pressure, renal function, laboratory values, and hemoglobin level
Levin, Singer, Thompson, et al., 1996175N/AN/A graphic elementN/ANone
Lowrie, Huang, Lew, et al., 199416,153N/ANot reportedN/ACase mix: cause of renal failure Lab values
Ma, Ebben, Xia, et. al., 199975,283N/A graphic elementNot reportedN/AAge, gender, race, prior dialysis exposure, comorbidity, primary renal diagnosis, and severity of disease (# vascular access procedures, # blood transfusions, hospital length of stay)
Xia, Ebben, Ma, et. al., 199971,717N/A graphic elementNot reportedN/AAge, gender, race, prior dialysis exposure, comorbidity, presence of diabetes, and severity of disease (# vascular access procedures, # blood transfusions, hospital length of stay)
Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993324N/A graphic elementN/ANone
Moreno, Lopezgomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al., 19961,013N/A graphic elementN/AAge, gender, comorbidity index, presence of diabetes, socioeconomic level, educational level
Abstract Collins, Hao, Ebben, et. al., 1990a6,650N/A graphic elementAge, gender, race, 10 comorbid conditions, 3 severity of disease measures, diabetes
Abstract Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999b85,473N/A graphic elementAge, gender, race, 10 comorbid conditions, 3 severity of disease measures, diabetes
Abstract Collins, Hao, Ebben, et. al., 1999c82,879N/A graphic elementAge, gender, race, renal diagnosis, and entry year
Abstract Riedel, Hampl, Nundel, et. al., 199675N/ANot reportedN/ANot reported

N = number of patients; N/A = not available.

The quality and relevance of each study included in this systematic review is further described along five dimensions (Table 3). For the purpose of this report, the first two dimensions serve to define better studies (uses double-masked design, or compares Hct above 36 percent with 33 to < 36 percent8); whereas the second two dimensions serve to define worse studies (loss to followup or missing data for >10 percent, or potential bias in control group comparison). Finally, the extent to which each cross-sectional analysis study identified and controlled for potential confounding influences in the data analysis is described under the method of case-mix adjustment.

Outcomes

Table 4. Overview of outcomes reported in each study: Results and conclusions, Part I
Author(s) YearSample SizeStudy DesignEfficacy OutcomesTreatment-Related Morbidity
MortalityQuality of LifeHospital UtilizationRBC TransfusionCardiacOtherIncreased Blood PressureVascular Access ThrombosisOther
Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 19981,233Randomized, prospective, open-label trial graphic element graphic element graphic element graphic element graphic element graphic element graphic element
McMahon, McKenna, Sangkabutra, et al., 199914Randomized, double-blind, crossover study graphic element Exercise performance
Abstract Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al., 1998146RCT (Canadian Study) graphic element
Abstract Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al., 1998130RCT (Canadian Study) graphic element
Abstract Stray-Gundersen, Sams, Goodkin, et al., 199727RCT graphic element Exercise Performance graphic element
Abstract Mason Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al., 199710Blinded crossover study graphic element graphic element
Abstract Mason and McMohan, 199710Blinded crossover study graphic element graphic element? graphic element
Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomex, et al., 2000115Pre/post graphic element graphic element graphic element
Pickett, Theberge, Brown, et al., 199920Pre/post graphic element Cognitive function physiologic testing
Benz, Pressman, Hovick, et al., 199910Pre/post graphic element Sleep pattern
Abstract Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 199310-13Pre/post graphic element graphic element graphic element Exercise performance graphic element graphic element graphic element
Suzuki, Tsutsui, Yokoyama, et al., 199510 cases; 39 controlsNon-randomized open label study with historical control group graphic element Exercise performance graphic element
Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 19981,233Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Levin, Thompson, Ethier, et al., 1999246Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Levin, Singer, Thompson, et al., 1996175Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Lowrie, Huang, Lew, et al., 199416,153Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Ma, Ebben, Xia, et al., 199975,283Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al., 199971,717Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993324Cross-sectional analysis graphic element graphic element graphic element graphic element
Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al., 19961,013Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Abstract Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999a6,650Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Abstract Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999b85,473Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Abstract Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999c82,879Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Abstract Riedel, Hampl, Nundel, et al., 199675Cross-sectional analysis graphic elementNutritional status

RBC = red blood cell; RCT = randomized controlled trial.

The outcomes identified for this report include mortality, quality of life, hospital utilization, red blood cell transfusion, treatment-related morbidity, and cardiac events as well as cardiac-related intermediate outcomes, including left ventricular mass index(LVMI) as a measure of LVH and left ventricular cavity volume as a measure of left ventricular dilatation (LVD). Several additional intermediate outcomes were identified including physiologic measures of exercise performance, physiologic measures of cognitive function, physiologic measures of sleep quality, and serum levels of amino acids as a measure of nutritional status. An overview of which studies report each of the various outcome measures is provided in Table 4.

Results

Mortality
Overview

Four full reports and one abstract described the relationship between mortality and maintaining an Hct above 36 percent compared with maintaining an Hct > 30 and <36 percent (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999c [abstract]; Lowrie, Huang, Lew, et al., 1994; Ma, Ebben, Xia, et al., 1999; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000). The overall quality of the evidence was strengthened by the inclusion of a large RCT although the remaining studies were weak in design for evaluating effect on mortality. However, only the three cross-sectional analyses actually provided evidence relating Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct 33 to <36 percent, the primary Hct ranges of interest in this systematic review.

Evidence from randomized controlled clinical trials

Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998; n=1,233) was the largest, prospective, RCT designed to examine the outcomes associated with targeting the Hct to 42 percent ("normal target group") compared with targeting the Hct at 30 percent ("low target group") in long-term hemodialysis patients with documented cardiac disease (congestive heart failure or ischemic heart disease). The primary endpoint was combined death or first nonfatal MI. The report compared overall mortality as well as cause-specific mortality between the two study groups on an intent-to-treat basis and reported results of a cross-sectional analysis of the data as well.

At the third interim data analysis, higher mortality was observed in the normal target group, although this difference was not statistically significant. Nevertheless, the independent data monitoring committee recommended that the study be halted after 29 months because, in light of the increased death rate in the normal target group, the trial could not demonstrate a benefit for the normal target Hct group.

The primary analyses were performed on an intention-to-treat basis so that all 1,233 patients were included in the analysis with median followup of 14 months. When the study was halted (29 months), the normal target group had 183 deaths and 19 first nonfatal MIs whereas the low target group had 150 deaths and 14 first nonfatal MIs. These differences did not reach statistical significance and correspond to a risk ratio of 1.3 and 95 percent confidence interval (CI) of 0.9 to 1.9. Additional analyses adjusting for a variety of prespecified baseline characteristics did not affect these results. Overall mortality at 1 and 2 years was reported to be 7 percentage points higher in the normal target group compared with that in the low target group. Data presented in Evidence Table 4 showed slightly higher rates of infectious mortality (5.2 percent compared with 3.6 percent) and cardiac mortality (20.2 percent compared with 18.2 percent) in the normal target group compared with those in the low target group, but statistical significance of these comparisons was not provided in the article.

Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) also reported a cross-sectional analysis of mortality based on the average Hct value achieved for each patient over the course of the study regardless of target Hct group assignment. Average Hct was calculated using all Hct values for each patient up to the point of death, loss to followup, or March 31, 1996. Each patient was categorized into one of five ranges for average Hct: 27 to 29.9; 30 to 32.9; 33 to 35.9; 36 to 38.9; or 39 to 41.9 percent.

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   Figure 1. Mean Mortality Rate as a Function of the Average Hematocrit Value

(Adapted from Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998 (Copyright (c) 1998 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.)

Figure 1 provides a comparison of the observed death rate versus the average Hct category, stratified by assigned target group.

In the study by Besarab and coworkers (1998) there was an insufficient number of patients randomized to the low target group that maintained an average Hct above 36 percent to allow comparison between study groups at the higher levels of Hct. The lowest mortality was seen in those who achieved Hct 39 to 41.9 percent. However, there was no difference in mortality between patients who achieved Hct 36 to 38.9 compared with those who achieved Hct 33 to 35.9. When the normal target group was compared with the low target group within the same range of achieved Hct, mortality was actually lower in the low target group. Moreover, mortality in the low target group patients who achieved an average Hct of 33 to 35.9 percent was only slightly higher than that for those normal target level patients who achieved Hct 39 to 41.9 percent, roughly 19 percent versus 14 percent, respectively.

It is notable that the group of patients in the normal target group that maintained an average Hct of 39 to 41.9 percent had the lowest mortality; however, multiple factors should be considered in interpreting this finding. First, a favorable patient selection process may account for this finding (i.e., those patients able to achieve and maintain a normal Hct level may tend to be the healthiest patients to begin with and those with the lowest a priori likelihood of death independent of their average Hct level). Second, Besarab and colleagues (1998) noted that, at least in some patients, "the Hct fell considerably before they died." Study therapy was prematurely terminated in some patients weeks or even months before they died, which could affect the calculated average Hct category to which the patient was assigned for this analysis. Thus, a patient who ultimately died during the study may have had a period of time before death with a relatively low Hct that would serve to lower his average Hct. Third, intercurrent illness, particularly infection, may lower the achieved Hct during the time of illness because of development of resistance to epoetin. Since patients who died during the study may reasonably be expected to have a higher frequency of such illness, the effect would be to further depress the average Hct in such patients. Each of these factors would serve to categorize sicker patients into a lower Hct group, leaving only relatively healthy and robust patients surviving in the highest average Hct group.

A Cox regression analysis was performed on the primary endpoint (combined endpoint of death or nonfatal MI) using the average Hct instead of randomized group assignment in the model. This model adjusted for the 11 prespecified baseline conditions including: age, gender, race, adequacy of dialysis, type of vascular access, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, peripheral vascular disease, congestive heart failure, ischemic heart disease, and New York Heart Association class III cardiac disability. Based on this analysis, the risk ratio associated with Hct was 0.7 (95 percent CI, 0.6 to 0.8 p<0.001). That is, a 10 point higher Hct was associated with a 30 percent lower risk of death or MI. However, this type of cross-sectional analysis adjusts for some but not all of the differences in patient characteristics that may influence the primary study endpoint, and the potential for additional factors not included in the model to confound the analysis remains.

Interpretation of this analysis raises several questions. The full report did not specify the manner in which average Hct was modeled. It appears that the model may have assumed a linear relationship between average Hct and the primary endpoint; however, the data presented in Figure 1 do not clearly support using a linear assumption. Moreover, the analysis assumes that a single Hct value for each patient (calculated by averaging all Hct values over the entire study period) accurately describes the relationship between Hct and mortality. The actual Hct values observed over time may not be well represented by this average value.9

Analyzing the results using this single average Hct value might obscure a potential relationship between actual Hct and outcome. Personal communication with one of the coauthors (Goodkin D, January 2000) revealed that multiple additional unpublished analyses were performed by the investigators' modeling Hct in numerous ways. Reportedly, none of these analyses demonstrated a relationship between higher achieved Hct level and increased mortality. If this is the case, then having a higher Hct per se may not be toxic, but some other factor associated with trying to normalize Hct could be causing the increased morbidity and mortality in these cardiac patients.

Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) noted that there were differences between the two treatment groups other than the assigned target Hct level. Two particular factors distinguishing the two treatment groups were discussed. These two factors were a higher use of intravenous iron dextran and lower values of Kt/V, a measure of the adequacy of dialysis, in the normal target group. The authors discuss several theories on how intravenous iron dextran may be related to the unfavorable outcomes associated with the higher Hct target observed in this study. Iron may be implicated in free-radical generation, damage of the myocardium, worse cardiac outcomes in men, and a greater predisposition to infection in hemodialysis patients.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al. (2000) studied 156 selected hemodialysis patients who were observed over a 6-month period after Hct was raised from a baseline mean ± standard deviation (SD) of 31 ± 2 percent up to 38.5 ± 2.5 percent. The authors reported no deaths observed in this cohort during the study. However, it is important to acknowledge the stringent selection criteria that were used to enroll patients into this study when interpreting this favorable observation. These selection criteria are detailed in the study description table (Evidence Table 2), but briefly, patients with diabetes, uncontrolled hypertension, or history of severe comorbidity were excluded. This type of cohort was quite different and considerably more healthy than the patients enrolled in the study by Besarab and colleagues (1998). In addition, the length of followup in the study by Moreno and coworkers (6 months) was much shorter than that in the study by Besarab and coworkers (median 14 months), and a 6-month followup is probably too short to assess long-term benefits or adverse effects.

Evidence from cross-sectional analyses

Ma, Ebben, Xia, et al. (1999) performed a cross-sectional analysis on 1993-94 administrative data from the Health Care Financing Administration ESRD Program Management and Medical Information System (PMMIS). The analysis included 75,283 hemodialysis patients and categorized patients into the following Hct ranges: <27, 27 to <30, 30 to <33, 33 to <36, and above 36 percent. All-cause mortality was significantly decreased in the 33 to <36 percent group compared with that in the reference group, 30 to <33 percent (relative risk [RR]=0.9, 95 percent CI 0.85 to 0.95). Risk of cardiac death was also decreased in this comparison (RR=0.92, 95 percent CI=0.85 to 0.99), but risk of infectious death was not significantly decreased. In contrast, mortality in the above 36 percent group was compared with that in the 30 to <33 percent reference group, and no significant differences in mortality risk were identified. In the Hct >36 percent group, all-cause mortality had a relative risk of 1.06 (95 percent CI=0.89 to 1.27), cardiac mortality had a relative risk of 1.15 (95 percent CI=0.9 to 1.47), and infectious mortality had a relative risk of 1.04 (95 percent CI=0.62 to 1.73). The full report did not directly compare mortality in the above 36 percent group with that observed in the 33 to <36 percent group; however, the 95 percent confidence intervals for each of these two groups compared against the same reference group (30 to < 33 percent) could be compared with each other. When the results for Hct above 36 percent were compared with those for Hct 33 to 36 percent, no mortality advantage was seen. There is some suggestion of greater mortality in the Hct above 36 group, but this may be related to population selection rather than any adverse effect of using epoetin to maintain Hct above 36 percent.

Ma, Ebben, Xia, et al. (1999) controlled for covariates including: age, gender, race, prior dialysis exposure, comorbidity, primary renal diagnosis, and severity of disease (number of vascular access procedures, number of blood transfusions, hospital length of stay); however, no R2 was reported in this paper. Since the subjects included in the analysis by Ma and colleagues (1999) were managed in the Medicare ESRD program, it should be noted that Medicare requires a medical justification (i.e., the patient must have a medical condition such as angina) to obtain reimbursement for maintaining an Hct above 36 percent. Thus, patients in this cohort with Hct above 36 percent likely would have been sicker than the general ESRD population and have had a mixture of comorbidities that justified a target Hct above 36 percent. This type of unfavorable selection process would bias upward the observed mortality in the higher Hct group, assuming these selection factors were not fully accounted for in the regression analysis.

Some of the same investigators as those who worked on the study by Ma, Ebben, Xia, et al. (1999) published an abstract reporting an analysis restricted only to patients newly on dialysis and in the Medicare ESRD population (incident Medicare patients) as opposed to their prior analysis, which included all eligible prevalent Medicare patients (Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999c [abstract], n=82,879). This abstract showed that, when compared with that for patients with Hct 30 to <33 percent, the relative risk of mortality was significantly decreased for hemodialysis patients with Hct 33 to <36 percent (RR=0.85, p=0.0001) or for those with Hct above 36 percent (RR=0.81, p=0.0001). There was insufficient information provided in the abstract to determine if the improvement at Hct above 36 percent represented any significant difference when compared with that at Hct 33 to <36 percent. In addition, peritoneal dialysis patients with Hct 33 to <36 percent had significantly lower mortality (RR=0.85, p=0.01) than those who had Hct 30 to <33 percent. When the relatively small number of peritoneal dialysis patients who had Hct above 36 percent (n=305) was compared with the reference group (Hct 30 to <33 percent), no significant difference in mortality was seen (RR=0.95, p=0.67). Although use of an incident population may be more homogenous with respect to severity and duration of CRF than a prevalence population, the followup period (which was not clearly stated in the abstract and was assumed to be less than or equal to 1 year) may have been too short to discern any mortality differences.

Lowrie, Huang, Lew, et al. (1994) performed a cross-sectional analysis on 1991 administrative data from National Medical Care. The analysis included 16,153 hemodialysis patients and categorized patients into the following Hct ranges: <20, 20 to 25; 25 to 30; 30 to 35; 35 to 40, and >40 percent. The authors found that mortality was statistically significantly higher when Hct increased above the reference range of 30 to 35 percent. The odds ratio of mortality for Hct of 35 to 40 percent compared with 30 to 35 percent was 1.45, p<0.0001. Similarly, the odds ratio of mortality for Hct >40 percent compared with 30 to 35 was 1.8, p<0.01.

The analysis by Lowrie and colleagues adjusted for case-mix predictors of death such as age, gender, diabetic status, and renal diagnosis. In addition, a variety of laboratory variables were noted to be predictors of death and were adjusted for in the model. However, the R2 for this model suggests that the model accounts for no more than 20 percent of the variation in mortality among these hemodialysis patients.

Quality of Life
Overview

Six publications including three full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al., 1996; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000) and three abstracts (Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]; Mason and McMahon, 1997 [abstract]; Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al., 1998 [abstract]) described quality of life results associated with Hct above 36 percent in ESRD patients. Two of the three full reports described by the same coauthors and the remaining sources provided very limited information on quality of life outcomes. Unfortunately, none of these studies addressed the comparison of Hct above 36 percent with Hct 33 and <36 percent, which is the comparison of primary interest to this systematic review.

The overall quality of the evidence on quality of life is weakened by the frequent use of unmasked, poorly controlled study designs and the relatively high degree of patients who are lost to followup or excluded from the analysis. Such deficiencies in study design and conduct may be associated with overestimation of the magnitude of effect and its associated statistical and clinical significance. The studies by Besarab, Bolton, Brown, et al. (1998) and Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al. (1996), both cross-sectional analyses, were large and included over 1,000 subjects. The studies by Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al. (1998 [abstract]) and Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al. (2000) were moderate in size and included over 100 patients each; the former was an RCT whereas the latter was a pre/postintervention study. The studies described in the abstracts by Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al. (1993) and Mason and McMahon (1997) were small and included 10 patients each.

Two of these studies used the Short Form 36-Item Health Survey (SF-36) (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al., 1998 [abstract]), and three used the Sickness Impact Profile (SIP) (Mason and McMahon, 1997 [abstract]; Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al., 1996; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000). Otherwise, studies incorporated one or more of a variety of instruments including the Kidney Disease Questionnaire, Health Utilities Index (HUI), Karnofsky Performance Scale, Nottingham Health Profile, and an unspecified questionnaire used by Eschbach and colleagues (1993). This variation in assessment tools makes evaluation across studies difficult.

Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al. (2000) prospectively studied quality of life in a cohort of 156 selected hemodialysis patients using a pre/postdesign and assessing quality of life both before and after raising Hct above 36 percent. Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al. (1996) randomly selected 1,188 patients on dialysis from 42 hospital centers and distributed questionnaires that the patients completed at home and returned. This article provides a cross-sectional analysis of two different quality of life measures in 1,013 patients who completed and returned the survey according to instructions. Neither of these studies reported using masking in the assessment of outcomes.

The three abstracts and the full report by Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) provided very limited information on quality of life. The Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) study and the Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al. (1998 [abstract]) study were both designed as open-label RCTs, and Mason and McMahon (1997 [abstract]) used a crossover design comparing a normalized Hct arm with a control arm maintained at approximately 30 percent Hct level. However, given the very limited quality of life information provided by Besarab and colleagues (1998), it is difficult to determine whether the statements made regarding quality of life results were actually derived from a cross-sectional analysis relating achieved Hct to quality of life results or were derived from an intention-to-treat analysis. Personal communication with a study coauthor (Goodkin D, December 1999 and January 2000) confirmed that quality of life results were reported based on cross-sectional analysis; and for the purposes of this systematic review, the study by Besarab and colleagues (1998) will be discussed along with other cross-sectional analyses.

Evidence from randomized controlled clinical trials

Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al. (1998 [abstract]) administered three separate quality of life instruments (Kidney Disease Questionnaire [KDQ], SF-36, and HUI) to 130 hemodialysis patients with asymptomatic LVH or LVD. The abstract provided limited qualitative information on quality of life results. Quality of life assessments were performed at baseline, at 24 weeks, and at 48 weeks. Improvements over baseline were noted in KDQ and SF-36 but not HUI scores at 24 and 48 weeks in all patients (both normalized and partially corrected); however, the actual numerical results and significance of such changes were not reported. Overall comparisons at 24 weeks between patients with Hct targeted to 40.5 percent ("normalized") compared with patients with Hct targeted to 30 percent ("partial correction" of anemia) revealed statistically significant improvements in normalized subjects for two of five KDQ subscores: fatigue (p=0.004) and relationships (p=0.016). When LVH and LVD patients were analyzed separately, no significant quality of life improvements were seen for LVH patients, but three of five KDQ subscores were statistically significantly improved in normalized patients with LVD: fatigue (p=0.026), relationships (p=0.004), and depression (p=0.039). However, the numerical magnitudes of the reported improvements in quality of life scores were not provided in the abstract so the clinical relevance of the reported findings cannot be evaluated.

A second abstract (Mason and McMahon, 1997 [abstract]) reported on a study of 10 hemodialysis patients in a blinded, crossover manner, comparing SIP scores at 30 percent and at a target of 42 percent. This abstract reported statistically and clinically significant improvements in both the Global SIP Score (change in score of approximately 6 points and p<0.02) and the Psychosocial Dimensional Score (change in score of approximately 10 points and p<0.02) (see Evidence Table 5). However, these changes are derived from a comparison between Hct of 30 percent and 42 percent, and specific information about the magnitude of any incremental improvement in quality of life achieved from raising Hct from just below 36 percent to a level above 36 percent is not provided by this study.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al. (2000) used the SIP and Karnofsky Scale (KS) to study a cohort of 156 patients (115 of these were evaluable) with baseline mean (± SD) Hct of 31 (± 2) percent and who were treated with epoetin until mean (± SD) Hct was 38.5 (± 2.5) percent. Mean scores on the SIP Global Score, Physical Dimension Score, and Psychosocial Dimension Score were slightly lower (i.e., directed toward better quality of life) in this group of patients after Hct was raised above 36 percent. Although these differences were reported to be highly statistically significant (p<0.005), the magnitude of change in SIP scores was only approximately two points on these scales ranging from 0 to 100. A two-point change on the SIP is not generally considered to be clinically significant. Similarly, scores on the KS were found to be statistically significantly increased (p<0.01) after Hct was raised above 36 percent, but the median score was unchanged and the mean score increased only three points on a 0 to 100 point scale (not clinically significant).

The abstract by Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al. (1993 [abstract]) reported quality of life results on 10 patients who were assessed by a quality of life questionnaire after at least 4 months at baseline Hct (approximately 32.6 percent ± 1.5) and then reassessed after a period of 4 months at a normalized Hct (approximately 42 percent ± 1.9). Three additional patients in the study (3 of 13 patients, 23 percent) were not included in the quality of life analysis (reason not specified in abstract or by personal communication with J. Eschbach). The abstract did not include information on the nature of the quality of life questionnaire or the statistical analysis of the reported results. The Nottingham Health Profile10 was specifically mentioned and scores on it improved in regard to energy (23.8 to 4.8) and sleep (43.2 to 17.8). The abstract further stated "Perceived health improved from good-excellent in 50-90 [percent]; depression, muscle weakness and leg cramps decreased."

The type of study design and analysis employed in both Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al. (2000) and Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al. (1993 [abstract]) raises some concerns. First, these were unmasked studies of relatively short duration where the patient's own baseline served as the only control, and, as such, this design did not control for a placebo effect. Therefore, the possibility of a placebo effect must be carefully considered, particularly given the small magnitude of changes observed in quality of life scores in the Moreno and colleagues study. In addition, the Moreno study excluded 41 patients (26 percent) from the analysis, including 12 patients who experienced adverse events (9 patients with vascular access thrombosis and 3 patients with difficult-to-control hypertension, including one who developed cardiac failure as a result). Specifically excluding patients experiencing adverse events from the analysis of quality of life results introduces a bias by removing patients who might have suffered a decline in quality of life as a result of the intervention. Eschbach and colleagues excluded three patients from the analysis; however, no reason for exclusion was provided.

Evidence from cross-sectional analyses

Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al. (1996) performed a cross-sectional analysis on questionnaire data distributed to 1,188 dialysis patients randomly selected from multiple centers. Patients self-administered the questionnaire at home and returned it to the investigators. The response was 86 percent (1,023 of 1,188). Ten additional surveys were excluded for being improperly completed. The analysis of results by Hct included 910 evaluable patients (89 percent of 1,013 patients) and categorized patients into the following Hct ranges: <24, 24 to 30, 30 to 36, and above 36 percent. The vast majority of patients were in the two middle categories with only 85 patients in the above 36 percent category.

Results were analyzed by performing a logarithmic transformation (Ln) on the quality of life scores (Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al., 1996). Four outliers were excluded. The adjusted scores were compared across Hct groups using covariance analysis. A multivariable analysis adjusting for age, comorbidity, presence of diabetes, gender, socioeconomic level, and educational status found a statistically significant relationship between increasing Hct category and improvement in global score (p<0.05) and physical dimension (p<0.01) of the SIP. However, this analysis did not permit the EPC team to discern whether there was marginal benefit in the range of Hct above 36. No significant relationship was demonstrated with the psychosocial dimension of the SIP or the Karnofsky Performance Scale.

When the mean SIP scores (global score and physical dimension score) were compared between Hct of 30 to 36 percent and above 36 percent, the mean scores were slightly lower, although the difference was less than two points for each of the scores (not clinically significant) (Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al., 1996). Furthermore, the 95 percent confidence intervals were quite wide in the above 36 percent group, and there was complete overlap with the 95 percent confidence interval for the 30 to 36 percent group suggesting that there was no statistically significant difference in mean SIP scores between these two Hct groups. The strongest independent predictors of improved quality of life were lower age and lower comorbidity score. Factors with a smaller influence included absence of diabetes, higher educational level, male gender, higher socioeconomic level, and higher Hct.

Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) provided very little detail on quality of life analysis and results in their full report. Quality of life was assessed using the SF-36 at baseline and every 6 months. Results for the physical-function score at 12 months "increased by 0.6 point for each percentage-point increase in the Hct (p=0.03). For example, an increase in the Hct from 30 percent to 42 percent was associated with a clinically meaningful increase of 7.2 points in the score on the physical-function scale." The remaining seven subscales did not demonstrate any significant changes. However, using this same arithmetic formula, comparing Hct of 42 percent with 36 percent was associated with SF-36 scores that were 3.6 points higher (not clinically significant).

Hospitalization
Overview

Four full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000; Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al., 1999) and two abstracts (Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999a, 1999b) reported evidence on the relationship between hospitalization and Hct level. The studies by Besarab and colleagues (1998; n=1,233) and Moreno and coworkers (2000; n=156) were both clinical trials, with the former being a randomized controlled trial and the latter a longitudinal pre/postdesign. The other four studies -- Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson (1993; n=324), Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al. (1999; n=71,717), Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al. (1999a [abstract]; n=6,650), and Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al. (1999b [abstract]; n=85,473) -- reported cross-sectional analyses relating hospitalization to Hct level, and the latter two sources were published in abstract form only. Hospitalization outcomes were assessed in various ways, including comparison of risk of hospitalization, comparison of frequency of hospitalization events, and comparison of length of stay. The available data, summarized in Evidence Table 6, reported inconsistent findings.

Evidence from randomized controlled clinical trials

The single RCT by Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) reported no significant difference in risk of hospitalization between the normal target Hct group and the low target Hct group.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al. (2000) evaluated the total number of hospitalization events and the total length of stay observed in 115 patients during the 6-month study period. To provide a basis for comparison, the number of hospitalizations and length of stay occurring in the same group of patients during the 6 months preceding the study were assessed. Results summarized in Evidence Table 6 suggested a statistically significant decrease in hospital utilization with a 58 percent reduction in total number of hospitalizations (p<0.05) and a 69 percent reduction in length of stay (p<0.05).

Several concerns must be considered in interpreting the reported findings of Moreno and colleagues (2000). First, the authors excluded 41 subjects from the study analysis. In particular, 12 patients were excluded because of adverse events (9 because of vascular access thrombosis and 3 because of difficult-to-control hypertension), and it seems likely that some, if not all, of these patients may have required hospitalization. Post hoc exclusion of patients at higher risk for hospitalization from the analysis would underestimate the risk of hospitalization in the group of patients undergoing the intervention. In addition, the use of historical data on hospital utilization prior to the study period as the control comparison ignores the potential for a Hawthorne effect (i.e., physicians may alter their hospitalization decisions knowing that a study is being conducted). The possibility of a Hawthorne effect threatens the validity of reported comparisons of hospital utilization.

Evidence from cross-sectional analyses

The cross-sectional analyses did not report consistent findings. Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al. (1999) found a U-shaped relationship between hospitalization such that patients who had Hct maintained at 33 to 36 percent had significantly lower risk for hospitalization and lower numbers of hospitalization events when compared with either the 30 to 33 percent group or the > 36 percent group. Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson (1993) reported a lesser intensity of hospitalization as Hct category increased, but no assessment of statistical significance was reported. Hospitalization events (converted to per patient year) were reported to be 0.96 for the 30 to 33 percent group, 0.72 for the 33.1 to 36 percent group, and 0.60 for the above 36 percent group. Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al. (1999a [abstract]) noted a significantly lower hospitalization risk for infection in peritoneal dialysis patients with Hct above 36 percent (RR=0.61, p<0.03) and nonsignificant trends toward lower risk of all-cause hospitalization (RR=0.88) and higher risk of cardiac hospitalization (RR=1.09) when Hct 30 to <33 percent is the reference group. In hemodialysis patients, Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al. (1999b [abstract]) reported significantly reduced all-cause hospitalization (RR=0.80, P<0.002) for Hct above 36 percent compared with 30 to <33 percent. In addition, cardiac but not infectious hospitalization risk was significantly lower as Hct increased in hemodialysis patients. Insufficient information was provided in these abstracts to determine if results for Hct above 36 percent were significantly different from those associated with Hct 33 to < 36 percent.

Differences in the study populations and treatment patterns may account for the differing observations in the cross-sectional studies. Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson (1993) studied a cohort of patients enrolled in a Phase IV clinical trial using epoetin. Furthermore, this study analyzed only those patients who were new epoetin users and reported hospitalization outcomes as an adverse event. In contrast, Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al. (1999) evaluated administrative data on a large group of patients within the Medicare hemodialysis population who were ongoing users of epoetin and did a primary analysis of the relationship between maintained Hct and hospitalization. Patients maintained at Hcts higher than 36 percent in the Medicare population studied by Xia and colleagues (1999) were presumably specifically required to have medical justification of need for a higher than 36 percent Hct in order to be reimbursed. It is uncertain to what extent Medicare policy influenced the management of patients in the study by Levin and coworkers (1993). The Medicare reimbursement policy introduced a negative bias with relatively sicker patients in the above 36 percent Hct category in the study by Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al. (1999). Although the analyses by Xia and colleagues (1999) did make some adjustments for case mix and severity of disease, it remains possible that these adjustments did not account for all of the variation resulting from differences in patient characteristics.

Transfusion
Overview

Only one full report (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998) described results of the effect of increasing target Hct above 36 percent on the use of red blood cell transfusion in patients with ESRD (Evidence Table 7).

Evidence from randomized controlled clinical trials

In the RCT by Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998; n=1,233), the patients in the normal Hct target group received fewer red blood cell transfusions (21 percent) compared with patients in the low Hct target group (31 percent, p<0.001).

The authors noted that many of the transfusions were related to episodes of gastrointestinal bleeding or surgical blood loss. Certainly, it would be expected that as the maintenance Hct level increases, the likelihood of needing a red blood cell transfusion in response to acute blood loss should decrease. This single study provides findings consistent with that hypothesis. It would also be expected that the absolute reduction in red blood cell transfusions would be related to the likelihood of blood loss events occurring in the study population. That is to say, populations with the highest incidence of acute blood loss would achieve a greater benefit in terms of reduced need for red blood cell transfusions than populations with a very low incidence of acute blood loss.

Cardiac Events and Related Intermediate Cardiac Outcomes
Overview

The available evidence included two full reports describing data on clinical cardiac events such as MI rates (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993). In addition, five publications, two full reports and three abstracts (Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al., 1998 [abstract]; Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]; Levin, Singer, Thompson, et al. 1996; Levin, Thompson, Ethier, et al., 1999; Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al., 1997 [abstract]), presented results for intermediate cardiac outcomes including LVH as assessed by LVMI, and LVD, as assessed by left ventricular cavity volume index (LVCVI). Left ventricular mass as assessed on echocardiography has been shown to be predictive of adverse cardiovascular events, both fatal and nonfatal, and is included as a relatively strong intermediate outcome.

The evidence from clinical trials is drawn from four studies (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al., 1998 [abstract]; Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]; Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al., 1997 [abstract]), including over 1,350 patients, and the largest study (n=1,233) was a full report. The evidence from cross-sectional analyses is derived from three full reports (Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993; Levin, Singer, Thompson, et al., 1996; Levin, Thompson, Ethier, et al., 1999). The latter two studies shared the same first author; yet data acquisition for the two studies was clearly reported to occur over separate time intervals. The study by Levin and colleagues (1993) was completely independent from the other two studies.

Evidence from randomized controlled clinical trials

Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) found no significant difference in the rate of nonfatal MI between study groups, with 3.1 percent of patients in the normal target group and 2.3 percent of the low target group experiencing this event, p=0.48 9 (Evidence Table 8). In addition, Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) found no statistically significant differences between groups for the following cardiac outcomes: angina requiring hospitalization, congestive heart failure requiring hospitalization, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty, and coronary artery bypass grafting. Cardiac death rates were 18.2 percent and 20.2 percent in the low target and normal target groups, respectively.

The Canadian study reported in the 1998 abstract by Foley, Parfrey, and Morgan looked at the change in LVH (as assessed by LVMI) and change in left ventricular cavity volume in patients who had asymptomatic LVH or LVD at baseline (Evidence Table 9). Patients were randomized into either a group with a normal target Hct or a group maintaining Hct approximately 28.5 to 31.5 percent. Changes on echocardiography were assessed after 40 weeks. No significant regression in LVH was observed in patients with LVH at baseline. The development of LVH was not significantly affected in patients with LVD at baseline. No significant improvement in left ventricular cavity volume was observed in patients who had LVD at baseline. A statistically significant difference was noted in the development of left ventricular cavity dilatation in patients who had LVH at baseline. Patients in the lower Hct group had greater increases in left ventricular cavity volume compared with patients in the normalized Hct group (p=0.05). Excluding patients who were not maintained within their target range, this finding was even slightly more significant (p=0.02). Thus, in patients with LVH, but with normal left ventricular cavity volume at baseline, this evidence suggests that normalization of Hct may prevent increases in LVD.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al. (1997 [abstract]) reported results of 11 patients (58 percent of 19 subjects enrolled) who completed a blinded, crossover trial comparing echocardiographic findings at Hct of 30 percent or 42 percent (see Evidence Table 9). A statistically significant reduction in LVMI was observed at 42 percent Hct (p<0.01). Significant reduction in left ventricular end-diastolic diameter but not end-systolic diameter was also observed at the higher Hct level.

Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al. (1993 [abstract]) performed baseline echocardiography in 13 hemodialysis patients with mean Hct of 32.6 percent and repeated echocardiography after 4 months at a mean Hct of 42 percent. No significant difference in left ventricular mass was found between baseline and followup assessments.

Evidence from cross-sectional analyses

Levin, Thompson, Ethier, et al. (1999) studied a cohort of 446 patients, each of whom had chronic renal insufficiency and was not expected to die or need dialysis within the next year. Of the original cohort, only 246 patients had assessable echocardiography studies both at baseline and 12-month followup. At baseline, this group of patients had a mean Hct of approximately 38 percent. The mean decrease in Hct was significantly greater in those 55 patients who demonstrated significant left ventricular growth11 (−2.55 ± 0.33 percent, mean ± SD) compared with those 191 patients who did not show left ventricular growth (−0.33 ± 0.36 percent, mean ± SD) (p=0.001). When Hct was included in a regression model, a 1.5 percent decrease in Hct was associated with an increased odds of having significant left ventricular growth (odds ratio equal to 1.32 and 95 percent confidence interval equal to 1.1 to 1.59).

Levin, Singer, Thompson, et al. (1996) studied a group of 175 consecutive patients with renal insufficiency who were not on dialysis. In this group, 107 patients met diagnostic criteria for LVH on echocardiography. The mean Hct was slightly higher in patients without LVH (35.7 ± 5.9 percent) compared with patients with LVH (33.0 ± 6.2 percent) with p=0.0049. When Hct was included in a multivariate logistic regression model, higher Hct remained a statistically significant predictor of decreased presence of LVH (i.e., each 0.3 percentage point increase in Hct was associated with an odds ratio of having LVH=0.98, p=0.0062).

The cross-sectional analysis by Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson (1993) (n=324) reported the number of MI and cardiac arrest events combined together and determined the rate of such events per patient month (Evidence Table 9). The event rate was quite low within each Hct group (fewer than five events each) and no cardiac events were observed in the small group of patients with Hct above 36 percent. No statistical analysis was reported for this result, but it would be unlikely to achieve statistical significance.

Exercise Performance
Overview

Four studies -- one full report of a randomized crossover controlled trial of 14 patients (McMahon, McKenna, Sangkabutra, et al., (1999), one full report of a nonrandomized controlled trial of 10 subjects and 39 controls (Suzuki, Tsutsui, Yokoyama, et al., 1995), one abstract of a pre/postcontrolled study in 13 patients (Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]), and one abstract of 27 patients (design not reported in abstract but personal communication with an investigator [Goodkin D] described design as "prospective, randomized, double-blinded, controlled study") (Stray-Gundersen, Sams, Goodkin, et al., 1997 [abstract]) -- reported findings describing effects on exercise performance using a variety of physiologic measures obtained during cycle ergometry as intermediate outcome measure (Evidence Table 10).

McMahon, McKenna, Sangkabutra, et al. (1999) provided the most detailed reporting and broadest range of outcome measures. The remaining reports provided very little detail with regard to methods and results, and overall this body of literature lacked detailed reporting. The available studies all measured peak oxygen consumption, whereas only some studies reported results on exercise duration, peak heart rate, peak work rate, work done, peak ventilation, or 6-minute walk distance.

Evidence from randomized controlled clinical trials

McMahon, McKenna, Sangkabutra, et al. (1999) enrolled 30 stable, sedentary ESRD patients on hemodialysis who had no cardiovascular, respiratory, or musculoskeletal cormorbidity into a prospective, double-blinded, randomized crossover trial. The study protocol randomly assigned patients to a target Hct of 30 percent or 42 percent and evaluated exercise performance after 4 weeks at the target Hct. Then patients were crossed over to the other target Hct level and retested after a 4-week period at the new target Hct. Fourteen of the 30 patients completed the study protocol. The reasons the other 16 patients discontinued are reported in Evidence Table 10. Exercise testing was performed on a cycle ergometer using a predetermined protocol that varied slightly so as to compare younger patients with older patients in terms of work rate acceleration.

When the results achieved at Hct of 42 percent were compared with those at 30 percent, statistically significant improvements were seen in peak work rate, work done, and peak oxygen consumption (McMahon, McKenna, Sangkabutra, et al., 1999). Normalization of Hct was associated with a 25 percent improvement in work done, which is commonly held by clinicians to be in the range of a clinically meaningful benefit. No significant changes were noted in peak heart rate or peak ventilation. These results are summarized in Evidence Table 10.

McMahon and colleagues (1999) found that, when compared with age- and weight-matched sedentary norms, the observed levels for peak oxygen consumption at Hct of 30 percent were 70 percent of predicted and at Hct of 42 percent were 83 percent of predicted. Thus, subjects achieved an 18 percent improvement in peak oxygen consumption with normalization of Hct but did not reach the normal predicted level.

Stray-Gunderson, Sams, Goodkin, et al. (1997 [abstract]) studied 27 patients using cycle ergometry at target Hct of 30 percent (achieved Hct of 31 ± 2 percent) and again at a target Hct of 42 percent (achieved Hct of 42 ± 2 percent). In addition to correcting the anemia, this study employed a regular exercise training program during each assessment period. A 16 ± 4-week crossover period was imposed to permit detraining and Hct adjustment. For peak work rate, a 9 percent increase was attributable to correcting anemia alone and a 23 percent increase was attributable to exercise alone. The combination of correction of anemia and exercise resulted in a 33 percent increase (p<0.001). For peak oxygen consumption, a 10 percent increase was attributable to correcting anemia alone and an 8 percent increase was attributable to exercise alone. The combination of correction of anemia and exercise resulted in a 20 percent increase (p<0.001). The results of this study suggest that training and conditioning effects may outweigh the effect of correcting anemia on measures of physical performance.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

Suzuki, Tsutsui, Yokoyama, et al. (1995) selected 10 chronic hemodialysis patients (9 male, 1 female), who had no overt circulatory or musculoskeletal disease and increased the target Hct for these patients from 30 percent up to 35 to 40 percent. Exercise testing was performed on a treadmill using the Bruce protocol. Results in these 10 patients were compared with historical exercise testing results obtained 6 years earlier in 39 separate patients who were maintained at an Hct of 30 percent. It should be noted that differences between the subjects and the control group were evident in regards to gender, age, and length of time on dialysis. No mention was made in the article regarding how the 10 subjects were selected, leaving open the possibility of a selection bias. Furthermore, the 6-year difference in time of exercise testing between the study group and the control group might have biased the observed results if other improvements in management of dialysis patients had occurred in the interim that could possibly influence exercise performance.

Peak oxygen consumption was 13 percent higher in the higher Hct group compared with the control group (p<0.01). The majority of subjects (7 of 10) did not achieve normal predicted levels of peak oxygen consumption when maintained at the higher Hct. This study also reported exercise duration and peak heart rate, and both were virtually unchanged at the higher Hct level.

Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al. (1993 [abstract]) studied 13 hemodialysis patients by cycle ergometry. The abstract provides little detail but reports that "maximal oxygen uptake increased 24 percent and correlated with the percent change in Hct. Exercise duration on the bicycle increased 20 percent." Measures of muscle strength improved in the quadriceps (p=0.01) but not for hand grip.

Cognitive Performance
Overview

One full report by Pickett, Theberge, Brown, et al. (1999) described results of cognitive function testing in 20 dialysis patients. Patients were fully evaluated at a baseline mean Hct of 31.6 percent and reevaluated 2 to 3 weeks after Hct was normalized to a mean level of 42.8 percent. A variety of physiologic measures were recorded using electroencephalogram (EEG) spectra and cognitive event-related potentials (ERPS) during the Auditory Oddball Task and the Continuous Performance Task. These neurophysiologic tests were listed and discussed in increasing order of difficulty such that the highest level of cognitive function is required to perform the difficult Continuous Performance Task. Results are summarized in Evidence Table 11.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

EEG spectra were obtained at baseline (T1) and followup (T2) in both the eyes-open and eyes-closed conditions using three different electrode locations: parietal (Pz), central (Cz), and frontal (Fz). After normalization of Hct, a decrease in EEG slowing was observed. The authors noted that this neurophysiologic result is consistent with a "general improvement in mental status." EEG results are reported in Evidence Table 11 using a power ratio:

graphic element

Using within-subjects analysis of variance (ANOVA), the effect from T1 to T2 was significant in the eyes-open condition (p<0.02), but not the eyes-closed condition. According to the authors, this "was predictable because alpha tends to dominate the EEG spectrum (including theta) during eyes-closed conditions, obscuring any changes in theta power."

Pickett and coworkers (1999) tested cognitive event-related potentials in three different manners: Auditory Oddball Task, simple Continuous Performance Task (sCPT), and difficult Continuous Performance Task (dCPT). These three tasks were listed in increasing order of difficulty, each requiring successively more complex cognitive functioning. These tasks evoked an event-related potential termed P300 which has two characteristics, namely, P300 amplitude and P300 latency.

Table 5. Summary of results for Pickett, Theberge, Brown, et al., 1999
Pickett, Theberge, Brown, et al., 1999Time EffectRx EffectElectrode EffectTime-by-Electrode InteractionRx-by-Electrode InteractionCorrelation with Hct
Auditory Oddball Task
P300 latencynsnsp<0.05??nsYes, in 1 of 3 electrodes
P 300 amplitude? not reportednsp<0.01??nsNo
sCPT
P300 amplitudensp<0.003p<0.002No
P300 latencynsNo
dCPT
P300 amplitudensnsp<0.05No
P300 latencynsNo

Rx = treatment; Hct = Hct; ns = not specified; SCPT = simple Continuous Performance Task; dCPT = difficult Continuous Performance Task.

Results of a statistical analysis using within-subjects ANOVA of P300 latency and P300 amplitude are summarized in Table 5. Terminology used in this article to describe effects included time effect, treatment effect, electrode effect, and several interaction terms -- time-by-electrode and treatment-by-electrode. In interpreting the results of cognitive event-related potential testing, the lack of an overall time or treatment effect when comparing mean Hct 31.6 percent (T1) to mean Hct 42.8 percent (T2) is somewhat concerning. Although some statistically significant results were reported for other comparisons, the numerous statistical comparisons made in analyzing this data made the importance of the various reported statistically significant results uncertain.

On cognitive event-related potential testing, the P300 amplitude was significantly reduced in the fz electrode after normalization of Hct for the simpler tasks (Auditory Oddball Task and sCPT). Pickett and colleagues (1999) attributed this finding to an "improved ability to sustain an attentional set." Changes in P300 amplitude on the dCPT after Hct normalization were suggested to reflect an improved ability to "maintain a memory trace of the last occurring stimulus" and to make the subject "more certain in detecting the target at the greater Hct level."

Sleep Pattern
Overview

One full report (Benz, Pressman, Hovick, et al., 1999) described findings in 10 anemic hemodialysis patients who had sleep complaints and who were found to have periodic leg movements of sleep (PLMS) (Evidence Table 12). At baseline, these patients had a mean Hct of 32.3 percent. Using a pre/postdesign, these investigators raised the mean Hct to 42.3 percent using epoetin and studied the effect on the presence of PLMS as well as other measures used to describe sleep pattern.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

Benz, Pressman, Hovick, et al. (1999) used a pre/postdesign to study the effect on sleep pattern of increasing Hct from a mean of 32.3 percent to 42.3 percent. The author defined PLMS as "repetitive, dorsiflexions of legs occurring during sleep with regular periodicity." These movements may cause arousal from sleep and when they do they are termed arousing PLMS (APLMS).

The average number of PLMS per hour of sleep decreased from 147.5 to 97.7 with normalized Hct (p=0.03). Also, the average number of APLMS per hour of sleep decreased from 82.8 to 40.3 (p<0.01). It is important to note that PLMS and APLMS were not reduced to the normal range, that is fewer than five events per hour of sleep (Benz, Pressman, Hovick, et al., 1999).

Maintenance wakefulness testing mean score increased from 9.7 to 17.7 minutes (p=0.04), and stage 1 sleep was significantly decreased (61.9 to 46.9 minutes, p=0.04) whereas rapid eye movement (REM) sleep was significantly increased (37.9 to 53.9 minutes, p=0.07). Thus, the quality of sleep was improved by patients spending less time in stage 1 sleep (light sleep) and more time in REM sleep.

Nutritional Status

A single abstract was available (Riedel, Hampl, Nundel, et al., 1996 [abstract]) that addressed the relationship between Hct and nutritional status as measured by plasma free amino acid and ketoacid levels. Riedel and colleagues (1996 [abstract]) evaluated a population of 75 hemodialysis patients using fluorescence-high-performance liquid chromatography methods to measure leucine, valine, and α-ketoisocaproate (KIC) and reported a cross-sectional analysis by level of Hct. The results for patients with Hct less than 24 percent (n=25), Hct between 27 and 33 percent (n=25), and Hct between 36 and 42 percent (n=25) (summarized in Evidence Table 13) were compared with normal control values. Note that these Hct ranges were converted from hemoglobin ranges <8, 9 to 11, and 12 to 14 g/dL and no discontinuity between ranges was intended. The mean levels for each of these nutritional measures at an Hct of 36 to 42 percent were higher than that associated with Hct of 27 to 33 percent (no statistical analysis reported). However, these nutritional measures did not reach normal levels with normalization of Hct, and the clinical importance of the increased levels was not defined. The abstract also mentioned that "[hemodialysis] patients during rhEPO therapy from [Hct 27 to 42 percent] showed a weight gain of 3.19 ± 1.33 kg."

The abstract did not provide information about patient selection and lacked any discussion of whether statistical analysis controlling for confounding influences was performed.

Treatment-Related Morbidity
Overview

The morbidity of using epoetin to maintain Hct above 36 percent in patients with ESRD was described in four full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000; Suzuki, Tsutsui, Yokoyama, et al., 1995) and four abstracts (Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]; Mason and McMahon, 1997 [abstract]; Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al., 1997 [abstract]; Stray-Gunderson, Sams, Goodkin, et al., 1997 [abstract]). The most frequently reported potential morbidities included effect on blood pressure and vascular access thrombosis. Some studies also reported other results including cerebrovascular events, seizures, intestinal ischemia, peripheral gangrene, and tests of blood clotting.

Blood Pressure
Evidence from randomized controlled clinical trials

The RCT by Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998), which included 1,233 hemodialysis patients with documented cardiac disease, reported no significant difference in blood pressure between patients randomized to the normal Hct target (42 percent) as compared with those randomized to 30 percent Hct target. In addition, no significant difference between groups was noted in the use of six categories of cardiovascular medications (angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors, antiarrhythmic drugs, β-adrenergic antagonists, calcium-channel blockers, digoxin or digitoxin, and nitrates); however, the details of these data and methods of analysis were not reported.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al. (2000) reported that for three patients (2 percent), it was difficult to control hypertension. One of these patients developed cardiac failure secondary to uncontrolled hypertension. The 115 patients that remained in the study did not demonstrate any significant difference in arterial hypertension during the study period.

Three abstracts and one full report of relatively small nonrandomized, controlled studies also reported blood pressure findings. Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al. (1997 [abstract]) and Mason and McMahon (1997 [abstract]), both crossover design studies comparing Hct 42 with Hct 30 percent, reported no significant differences in blood pressure between groups. Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al. (1993 [abstract]) observed 13 patients in a pre/postdesign before and after Hct normalization. There was no difference in blood pressure after Hct normalization, although two patients did require increased blood pressure medication. In another study (Suzuki, Tsutsui, Yokoyama, et al., 1995), one-half of the 10 subjects who were selected for study at higher Hct levels had hypertension at baseline. Two of these five (40 percent) required an increase in blood pressure medication after Hct was raised to 35 to 40 percent.

Evidence from cross-sectional analyses

Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson (1993; n=324) reported no significant difference in blood pressure across the various Hct groups. The rate of accelerated or malignant hypertension was measured as well. These results are summarized in Evidence Table 14. None of the few patients who had an Hct above 36 percent developed accelerated/malignant hypertension, although one such event was noted within each of the lower Hct categories. Statistical comparisons were not available.

Vascular Access Thrombosis
Evidence from randomized controlled clinical trials

Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) did find a statistically significant increase in vascular access thrombosis in those randomized to a target Hct of 42 percent as compared with those with a target Hct of 30 percent, 39 as compared with 29 percent, respectively (p=0.001). The majority of subjects in this study (approximately two-thirds) had arteriovenous grafts in place whereas just under one-fourth of the patients had natural arteriovenous fistulas. The remaining 10 percent of patients had vascular catheters or unspecified types of access.

Stray-Gunderson, Sams, Goodkin, et al. (1997 [abstract]) saw no significant difference in incidence of thrombotic events in an RCT of 27 patients comparing Hct 42 percent with Hct 31 percent.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al. (2000) reported that nine patients (5.7 percent) were censored because of vascular access thrombosis. The cumulative probability of developing thrombosis over the 6-month period was 0.067. None of the seven subjects with arteriovenous fistula developed thrombosis during the course of the Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al. (1993 [abstract]) study. Mason and McMahon (1997 [abstract]) reported no significant difference in the rate of vascular access thrombosis with Hct above 36 percent.

Evidence from cross-sectional analyses

Results described in the Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson (1993) report on vascular access thrombosis were not categorized by Hct group.

Other Morbidity
Evidence from randomized controlled clinical trials

Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) did not find any significant difference between study groups in rates of cerebrovascular accident, transient ischemic attack, peripheral gangrene, intestinal ischemia, or seizures.

Evidence from nonrandomized controlled clinical trials

Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al. (1993 [abstract]) reported that no cerebrovascular accidents or MIs occurred during the observation period. This study was only available in abstract form, and no information was provided regarding additional morbidities.

Evidence from cross-sectional analyses

Rates of cerebrovascular accidents (CVAs), transient ischemic attacks (TIAs), and seizures were reported across various Hct groups in Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson (1993) (Evidence Table 14). Again the article did not perform a statistical analysis of significance. One patient in the group with Hct above 36 percent and one patient in the group with Hct between 33.1 and 36 percent each had a CVA. The calculated rate of CVA was thus higher for the relatively small group of patients with Hct above 36 percent (0.006 events per patient month) compared with the three times larger group with Hct between 33.1 to 36 percent (0.002 events per patient month). No statistical analysis was reported.

Conclusions

In adult patients with CRF, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 compared with maintaining target Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range?

Evidence comparing the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent compared with maintaining target Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range consisted of four full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993; Ma, Ebben, Xia, et al., 1999; Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al., 1999;) and three abstracts (Collins, Hao, Ebben et al., 1999a, 1999b, 1999c).

No interventional studies directly addressed this question. The main source of evidence is derived from multiple cross-sectional analyses of a large Medicare dataset consisting of over 70,000 individuals. Because Medicare reimburses for maintenance of Hct over 36 percent only for patients with a comorbid condition, the findings of such associational studies are likely to reflect the underlying comorbidity in this population. Such database analyses cannot anticipate the results of adequately controlled interventional studies where the effects of using epoetin to maintain Hct above 36 percent could be directly compared with maintaining Hct in the 33 to < 36 percent range. The study described in Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) was an RCT; however, data specific to the Hct 33 to 36 percent group were available only from a cross-sectional analysis performed on the entire study population. The report by Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson (1993) was a Phase IV surveillance study that reported on adverse events of epoetin. However, all comparisons among target Hct levels were based on cross-sectional analysis, and no tests of statistical significance were reported for differences between these subgroups.

The evidence is not adequate to compare the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 compared with maintaining target Hct in the 33 to <36 percent range in adult patients with CRF. The evidence available on each of the specific outcomes of interest is summarized below.

  • Three cross-sectional analyses, two full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Ma, Ebben, Xia, et al. 1999) and one abstract (Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al. 1999c), provided data on the association between Hct and mortality. These data did not provide strong or consistent evidence of a mortality benefit in adult patients with CRF whose Hct is maintained above 36 percent as compared with those maintained at Hct 33 to <36 percent.

  • Four cross-sectional analyses, two full reports (Levin, Lazarus, Nissenson, et al., 1993; Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al., 1999) and two abstracts (Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999a and 1999b), provide data on the association between Hct and hospital utilization. One full report and one abstract described favorable results but without analysis of statistical significance. One full report found higher hospital utilization in the group with Hct > 36 percent, and one abstract found no difference. These data did not provide strong or consistent evidence of reduced hospital utilization in adult patients with CRF whose Hct was maintained above 36 percent as compared with those maintained at Hct 33 to <36 percent.

  • One cross-sectional analysis (Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993; n=324) provided data on the association between Hct and cardiac outcomes. This study also reported on hypertension, CVAs, TIAs, and seizures; however, the absolute number of adverse events observed in each group being compared was quite small and no statistical analysis was reported. Thus, no conclusions can be drawn on the basis of this data.

No studies specifically compared the Hct ranges of primary interest to this systematic review with respect to the following outcomes: quality of life, red blood cell transfusion, exercise performance, cognitive function, sleep patterns, or nutrition.

2. In adult patients with CRF, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 compared with maintaining target Hct in the >30 to <36 percent range?

Evidence comparing the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 36 percent compared with maintaining target Hct in the >30 to <36 percent range consisted of 13 full reports (Benz, Pressman, Hovick, et al., 1999; Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993; Levin, Singer, Thompson, et al., 1996; Levin, Thompson, Ethier, et al., 1999; McMahon, McKenna, Sangkabutra, et al., 1999; Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guajardo, et al., 1996; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000; Lowrie, Huang, Lew, et al., 1994; Pickett, Theberge, Brown, et al., 1999; Suzuki, Tsutsui, Yokoyama, et al., 1995; Ma, Ebben, Xia, et al., 1999; Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al., 1999) and 10 abstracts (Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999a, 1999b, 1999c; Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993; Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al., 1998; Mason and McMahon, 1997; Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al., 1997; Riedel, Hampl, Nundel, et al., 1996; Stray-Gunderson, Sams, Goodkin, et al., 1997; Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al., 1998). Some of these reports originated from the same authors and/or institutions, and the degree of overlap of patients across separate reports could not be determined from the information provided. Of the 12 interventional studies, only 4 included more than 100 patients. Two of these four were full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998, n=1,233; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000, n=115) and two were abstracts and were both actually drawn from the same Canadian trial (Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al., 1998, n=146; Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al., 1998, n=130).

Additional evidence is derived from multiple cross-sectional analyses, with five of these publications, two full reports and three abstracts, coming from the same research group that analyzed a large Medicare dataset consisting of over 70,000 individuals. Because Medicare reimburses for maintenance of Hct over 36 percent only for patients with comorbid conditions, the findings of such associational studies using Medicare data are likely to reflect the underlying comorbidity in this population. Levin, Thompson, Ethier, et al., (1999) used an observational design to examine the natural history of predialysis patients.

Overall, the evidence is not sufficient to determine whether maintaining target Hct above 36 percent is more beneficial than maintaining target Hct in the 30 to <36 percent range in adult patients with CRF.

Mortality

Two interventional studies, both full reports, and four cross-sectional analyses, three full reports and one abstract, described mortality results. The first interventional study was an RCT of 1,233 hemodialysis patients with documented congestive heart failure or ischemic cardiac disease (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998). Besarab and colleagues analyzed and reported results of an intention-to-treat analysis and a cross-sectional analysis of the data. The second interventional study was a nonrandomized controlled trial of 115 hemodialysis patients free of comorbidity (Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000). The three additional cross-sectional studies (Lowrie, Huang, Lew, et al., 1994; Ma, Ebben, Xia, et al., 1999; Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999c [abstract]) analyzed large databases of patients on dialysis.

The evidence does not permit a conclusion regarding the effect on mortality of maintaining Hct above 36 percent. However, to date, a mortality advantage has not been demonstrated.

  • There was increased mortality in the patients with cardiac disease who were randomized to normal target Hct (42 percent) as compared with low target Hct (30 percent) with 31.6 percent versus 26 percent, respectively (statistical significance not reported). The relative risk for the combined endpoint of mortality and first nonfatal MI was 1.3 (95 percent CI=0.9 to1.9) for the normal target Hct group compared with that for the low target Hct group. This trial was halted even though these results did not achieve statistical significance. It was determined that, even if the trial was completed, the results could not demonstrate a statistically significant benefit for the higher target Hct for the primary endpoint, and there was concern over the potential harm associated with attempting to maintain higher Hct in such patients.

  • No deaths were observed in a population of CRF patients free of associated comorbidity who were maintained at Hct above 36 percent. However, the 6-month duration of followup in this study was too short to assess a long-term benefit or adverse effect on mortality.

  • Of three large database studies, one study (n=16,153) found a significantly higher mortality in those patients with Hct above 36 percent, one study (n=75,283) found no significant difference in mortality between Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct 30 to <33 percent, and a third study available only as an abstract (n=82,879) found significantly reduced mortality for Hct above 36 percent.

  • A fourth cross-sectional analysis was performed on the data from Besarab and coworkers (1998; n=1,233). So few patients in the 30 percent target Hct group achieved average Hct above 36 percent that none was included in this analysis. The lowest mortality was noted in those who achieved an average Hct 39 to 41.9 percent. However, no difference was apparent in mortality between patients who achieve Hct 36-38.9 percent compared with those who achieve Hct >30 to <36 percent. In patients with average achieved Hct in the 30 to 36 percent range, mortality was lower in those patients assigned to the 30 percent target Hct group than those assigned to the 42 percent target Hct group.

Quality of Life

Four interventional studies, one full report (Moreno, Sanz-Guarjardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000) and three abstracts (Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al, 1993 [abstract]; Mason and McMahon, 1997 [abstract]; Wells, Coyle, Lee, et al., 1998 [abstract]), and two cross-sectional studies, both full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Moreno, Lopez-Gomez, Sanz-Guarjardo, et al., 1996), described quality of life findings. All studies suffered from relatively weak design or methodologic flaws that might introduce biases that overestimate effect on quality of life. These data did not provide strong and consistent evidence of a benefit on quality of life of maintaining the Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct >30 to <36 percent.

Hospital Utilization

Two interventional studies, both full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000), and four cross-sectional studies, two full reports (Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993; Xia, Ebben, Ma, et al., 1999) and two abstracts (Collins, Hao, Ebben, et al., 1999a [abstract] and 1999b [abstract]), described hospital utilization. Overall, these data did not provide strong or consistent evidence of reduced hospital utilization in patients whose Hct was maintained above 36 percent as compared with those maintained at Hct >30 to <36 percent.

  • The trial by Besarab and colleagues (1998) found no significant difference in hospital utilization between patients randomized to either the lower or higher target Hct arms. The nonrandomized trial by Moreno and coworkers found a significant reduction in hospital utilization when Hct was maintained above 36 percent, but the results of this unmasked study using a comparison with historical data prior to study entry must be viewed with caution.

  • Of the cross-sectional studies, one full report found that hospital utilization in the Hct 33 to <36 group was lower than in either the Hct 30 to <33 or the Hct >36 groups. Another full report found a slightly lower hospitalization rate in patients with Hct above 36, but no analysis of statistical significance was performed. Finally, two abstracts described favorable findings for the Hct > 36 percent group but without analysis of the statistical significance.

Transfusion

One RCT reported on red blood cell transfusion. This trial of 1,233 patients by Besarab and colleagues (1998) found significant reduction in red blood cell transfusion in the normal target Hct group compared with that the low target Hct group, 21 percent versus 31 percent, respectively (p<0.001). In this study, the need for transfusion was largely associated with acute blood loss (e.g., as a result of gastrointestinal bleeding or surgery).

Cardiac Events and Related Intermediate Cardiac Outcomes

Four full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993; Levin, Singer, Thompson, et al., 1996; Levin, Thompson, Ethier, et al., 1999) and three abstracts (Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]; Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al., 1998 [abstract]; Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al., 1997 [abstract]) discussed cardiac outcomes. Besarab and colleagues (1998) and Levin and colleagues (1993) addressed cardiac clinical events, and the other reports addressed cardiac intermediate outcome measures, including LVH (as assessed by LVMI) and LVD (as assessed by LVCVI).

There is limited evidence on cardiac events, and the available studies were insufficient to draw conclusions. However, the evidence available does not demonstrate a reduction in cardiac events when Hct is maintained above 36 percent as compared with 30 to <36 percent.

  • An RCT by Besarab and colleagues (1998; n=1,233) studied hemodialysis patients who had documented congestive heart failure or ischemic cardiac disease. In this group of patients, although overall mortality was greater in the higher target Hct arm, no significant difference between the two study arms was seen in fatal or nonfatal cardiac events. Levin and colleagues (1993) presented a cross-sectional analysis of a Phase IV surveillance study in 324 patients. This study reported no MIs in the Hct above 36 percent group, one MI in the Hct 33.1 to 36 percent group, and four MIs in the Hct 30 to 33 percent group. However, the number of events was small, and, relative to the Hct above 36 percent group, the number of patient-months of observation was almost three times higher in the Hct 33.1 to 36 percent group and almost seven times higher in the Hct 30 to 33 group. No statistical analysis was reported for these data, thus limiting interpretation of the results.
    The evidence on cardiac intermediate outcome measures described possible relationships between Hct above 36 percent and reduced left ventricular mass and left ventricular cavity size. Two full-report cross-sectional analyses suggested an association between Hct and cardiac outcome measures. However, there were insufficient data from well-designed intervention studies to determine whether raising Hct above 36 from Hct 30 to 36 percent would result in a clinically meaningful improvement in LVH.

  • Levin and colleagues (1999) conducted a cross-sectional analysis of an observational, longitudinal study in 246 evaluable CRF patients who were not yet on dialysis. Because CRF is a progressive condition, Hct decreases over time as renal function deteriorates. Over a 12-month observation period, this study compared the relative changes in mean Hct level between the group of 55 subjects who met the criteria for significant left ventricular growth and the group of 191 subjects who did not demonstrate significant left ventricular growth. A significantly greater drop in Hct was observed in the group that showed significant left ventricular growth. Furthermore, each 1.5 percent decrease in Hct was associated with a 32 percent increased odds of showing significant left ventricular growth (OR=1.32, 95 percent CI=1.1 to 1.58).

  • A separate report with the same first author (Levin, Singer, Thompson, et al., 1996) also reported a significant association between lower Hct level and the presence of LVH in predialysis patients.

  • An abstract of the Canadian multicenter study (Foley, Parfrey, Morgan, et al., 1998 [abstract]) described results of an RCT in 125 evaluable hemodialysis patients with asymptomatic LVH or LVD who were targeted to either an Hct 39 to 42 percent or Hct 28.5 to 31.5 percent. Changes in left ventricular measurements were compared after 40 weeks. No significant differences were observable in LVMI. Only one of four analyses reported achieved statistically significant findings. Left ventricular cavity size decreased to a greater extent in patients with LVH who were maintained in the higher target Hct group compared with those maintained at Hct approximately 30 percent (p=0.05).

  • An abstract from a crossover study in 11 patients (Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al., 1997 [abstract]) demonstrated statistically significant reductions in LVMI (p<0.01), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (p<0.01), but not left ventricular end-systolic diameter.

  • An abstract by Eschbach and colleagues (1993; n=13) reported no significant change in left ventricular mass after Hct was maintained above 36 for 4 months.

Exercise Performance

Four small interventional studies, two full reports (McMahon, McKenna, Sangkabutra, et al., 1999; Suzuki, Tsutsui, Yokoyama, et al., 1995) and two abstracts (Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]; Stray-Gunderson, Sams, Goodkin, et al., 1997 [abstract]), presented findings on intermediate outcome measures related to exercise performance. The two full reports included selected patients who were free of significant cardiovascular or musculoskeletal disease; patient selection criteria were not well described in the two abstracts. No cross-sectional analyses addressed this outcome.

The available evidence is suggestive of an improvement on measures of exercise performance when Hct is maintained above 36 percent compared with Hct 30 to <36 percent. However, whether these improvements in physiologic measures are predictive of clinically significant benefits needs to be established. In addition, such findings would need to be reproduced in large studies or populations more representative of the general population of patients with CRF.

  • The double-masked interventional studies included a full report by McMahon and colleagues (1999; n=14) of a crossover study and an abstract by Stray-Gunderson and colleagues (1997, n=27) of a crossover RCT trial. Both showed a significant improvement in several physiologic measures of physical work, although the abstract reported that, depending on the outcome being considered, approximately one-half to two-thirds of the improvement was a result of conditioning and training and one-half to one-third of the total improvement was a result of correction of anemia.

  • The two remaining studies, one abstract and one full report, also described favorable results when Hct was maintained above 36 percent. However, the selection of cases and controls in Suzuki and coworkers (1995) appears open to substantial bias; and detail regarding actual results was very limited in the abstract by Eschbach and colleagues (1993).

Cognitive Function, Sleep Pattern, and Nutrition

One interventional study in 20 hemodialysis patients performed neurophysiologic testing (Pickett, Theberge, Brown, et al., 1999) and another interventional study in 10 selected hemodialysis patients evaluated sleep patterns (Benz, Pressman, Hovick, et al., 1999) before and after Hct was raised to approximately 42 percent. Nutritional status was described in an abstract (Riedel, Hampl, Nundel, et al., 1996 [abstract]) by measuring three different amino acid levels in 75 hemodialysis patients on epoetin therapy, divided equally into three different Hct ranges. These levels were compared with each other and with healthy control subjects.

Favorable results on physiologic measures of cognitive function, sleep patterns, or nutrition were observed with Hct levels above 36 percent in each of these studies. However, whether these improvements in physiologic measures were predictive of clinically significant benefits needs to be established. In addition, such findings need to be reproduced in large studies or populations more representative of the general population of patients with CRF.

Treatment-Related Morbidity

Eight reports described adverse events associated with maintaining Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct >30 to 36 percent, four full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000; Suzuki, Tsutsui, Yokoyama, et al., 1995) and four abstracts (Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]; Mason and McMahon, 1997 [abstract]; Mason, Skinner, Sangkabutra, et al., 1997 [abstract]; Stray-Gunderson, Sams, Goodkin, et al., 1997 [abstract]). Seven of these were interventional studies, and one full report was a cross-sectional analysis of a Phase IV surveillance study without statistical analysis of results (Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993). Three of the four abstracts included fewer than 15 patients.

Blood Pressure

The evidence, derived from four full reports and three abstracts, shows no significant difference in overall blood pressure measurements when Hct is maintained above 36 percent compared with Hct >30 to <36 percent. However, several studies suggested that some patients require intensified medical management to maintain blood pressure control at Hct above 36 percent, but these studies did not permit estimation of the magnitude of the frequency of this occurrence. Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) employed well-designed concurrent controls and reported no significant differences between target Hct groups in the use of various cardiovascular medications. The listed classes of medications included several antihypertensive agents; however, the reported details of data and methods of analysis did not clarify whether medication dosage might have been increased differentially in the high target Hct group.

Vascular Access Thrombosis

Five studies reported on vascular access thrombosis with Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct > 30 to <36 percent, two full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Moreno, Sanz-Guajardo, Lopez-Gomez, et al., 2000) and three abstracts (Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]; Mason and McMahon, 1997 [abstract]; Stray-Gunderson, Sams, Goodkin, et al., 1997 [abstract]).

Targeting Hct at 42 percent significantly increased the rate of vascular access thrombosis in a population of patients with documented cardiac disease compared with targeting Hct at 30 percent. There was insufficient evidence in other groups of hemodialysis patients to determine the effect of Hct above 36 on vascular access thrombosis.

  • The best quality evidence was from Besarab and colleagues (1998). In a group of hemodialysis patients with documented congestive heart failure or ischemic cardiac disease, there was a statistically significant increase in vascular access thrombosis in the normal target Hct group (42 percent) as compared with the low target group (30 percent), 39 versus 29 percent, p=0.001. This group of patients may have been at particularly high risk of vascular access thrombosis because of associated cardiovascular comorbidity.

  • Abstracts of two small concurrent control studies in hemodialysis patients (Mason and McMahon, 1997 [abstract], n=10; Stray-Gunderson, Sams, Goodkin, et al., 1997 [abstract], n=27) reported no significant difference in vascular access thrombosis with Hct of 42 percent as compared with Hct 30 to 31 percent.

  • Two pre/postcomparisons in hemodialysis patients, one full report and one abstract, reported the observed rate of vascular access; however, the lack of a comparison control group limits interpretation of these findings.

Other Treatment-Related Morbidity

The evidence describing other treatment-related morbidities was limited to two full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Levin, Lazarus, and Nissenson, 1993) and one abstract (Eschbach, Glenny, Robertson, et al., 1993 [abstract]). Overall these reports did not suggest any significant increase in other adverse events such as CVA, TIA, peripheral gangrene, intestinal ischemia, or seizure with Hct above 36 percent.

Part II: Pediatric Patients with Chronic Renal Failure

The key question detailed below creates the analytic framework for Part II, which focuses exclusively on pediatric patients with CRF.

Key Question

What is the effect on outcomes of maintaining an Hct in the following ranges:

  • Above 30 compared to 27 to <30 percent?

  • Above 33 compared to 27 to <33 percent?

Results

The available literature evaluating the relationship between Hct in the relevant ranges and outcomes was sparse. None of the studies identified by the systematic review met the study selection criteria to be included in this evidence review. The key question for Part II is framed to compare outcomes associated with raising the Hct above 30 percent with outcomes achieved by maintaining the Hct between 27 and 30 percent. The minimum threshold for baseline Hct of 27 percent used in the systematic review protocol was prospectively defined based on current medical practice in pediatric nephrology (personal communication, Sandra Watkins, MD, April 8, 1999; Jabs and Harmon, 1996). The primary reason for exclusion of most of the studies reviewed in full text was that the baseline or control Hct to which normalization of Hct was being compared was below 27 percent. Evidence from these studies does not address the key question as set out in this systematic review, particularly with regard to the efficacy outcomes.

Table 6. Summary of observed effect on blood pressure in selected studies using epoetin to raise Hct over 30 percent in pediatric patients
StudyNAgeSubjectsEffect on Blood Pressure
Yalcinkaya, Tumer, Cakar, et al., 19972010.55 ± 2.93 range 5-16 yCAPDIncreases in BP observed in high-dose epoetin group (150 U/kg) requiring increased medication, particularly in patients with hypertension at baseline. Mean Hct achieved = 32.4%.
Brandt, Avner, Hickman, et al., 1999449.3 ± 6.25 range 4 m-20 yHD, PD, predialysisNew or worsening hypertension was found in 13 (30%) and was more common in HD patients (66%) than PD (33%) or predialysis (16%) (p=0.02). Hct target was lower end of normal range for age.
Navarro, Alonso, Avilla, et al., 1991238.3 + 5.7 yCAPD, HD, predialysis4 normotensive children developed mild hypertension during epoetin and required antihypertensive therapy. None had seizures or other major complications. Mean Hct target 30-36%.
Scigalla, Bonzel, Bulla, et al., 19895112.6 + 3.9 yHD, CAPD16% developed new hypertension, 50% of prior hypertensive patients needed increased medication. 4% had to discontinue epoetin because of uncontrolled hypertension. Approx. 8% of patients had improved BP or decreased medication. Target Hct was greater than 30%.
Scharer, Klare, Braun, et al., 1993157.8 + 5.3 y range 0.6-17 yPredialysisIncrease in blood pressure observed with increased medication required in about one-half of patients. One patient developed uncontrolled hypertension requiring discontinuation of epoetin. Mean Hct achieved = 34.2%.

N = number of patients; BP = blood pressure; HD = hemodialysis; PD = peritoneal dialysis; CAPD = continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis.

Several full reports included information on the observed effect on blood pressure when Hct was raised above 30 percent. These results are briefly summarized in Table 6. It appears that for some patients an increase in blood pressure, generally requiring increased medication for control, was associated with an increase in Hct above 30 percent. Most of these studies excluded patients with uncontrolled hypertension at baseline. The average ages of patients in these studies clustered between 7 and 13 years of age; however, the ranges included patients as young as 4 months and as old as 20 years of age.

Conclusions

  1. In pediatric patients with CRF, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 30 compared with maintaining target Hct in the 27 to <30 percent range?

  2. In pediatric patients with CRF, what are the outcomes of maintaining target Hct above 33 compared with maintaining target Hct in the 27 to <33 percent range?

No studies of pediatric patients were identified that met the study selection criteria to be included in this systematic review. The primary reason for exclusion of most of the studies reviewed in full text was that the baseline or control Hct to which the normalized group was being compared was below 27 percent. Thus, the available evidence does not address the key question as set out in this systematic review, particularly with regard to outcomes of treatment efficacy.

Part III: Subpopulations of Interest (With or Without Chronic Renal Failure)

This part of the systematic review focuses exclusively on subpopulations of interest defined by the presence of one or more specific clinical characteristics listed in the key question below. Each of these clinical characteristics has been postulated to warrant maintaining Hct above 36 percent. For subgroups number 1 through 6, the hypothesis is that the morbidity associated with the specified condition will be reduced if Hct is maintained above 36 percent. For the adolescent subgroup, it is hypothesized that growth and developmental outcomes would be improved by maintaining Hct above 36 percent.

Studies considered to be relevant for this section were not required to include patients with CRF. Our rationale for also including studies in patients without CRF was that the clinical outcomes resulting from different levels of Hct observed in nonrenal patients with one of these clinical characteristics might be generalizable to CRF patients with the same clinical characteristic. Thus, for example, if an Hct level above 36 percent was shown to improve health outcomes in a general population of patients with peripheral vascular disease, then it might be reasonable to generalize that finding to CRF patients with peripheral vascular disease.

Key Question

What is the effect on outcomes of maintaining the Hct level >36 percent compared with 30 to <36 percent in the following patient subgroups (regardless of the presence of renal failure): (1) patients who have coronary artery disease, (2) patients who have congestive heart failure, (3) patients who live at high altitude, (4) patients who have arterial occlusive disease, (5) patients who have cerebrovascular disorders, (6) patients who have obstructive lung disease, and (7) patients who are in the adolescent age group?

Results

The literature search identified three full reports and no abstracts that met the selection criteria for this key question. Two of these studies (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998; Carson, Duff, Poses, et al., 1996) reported evidence relevant to patients with cardiovascular disease (including patients with coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, arterial occlusive disease, subgroups 1, 2, and 4); one study (Kusunoki, Kimura, Nakamura, et al., 1981) addressed patients with cerebrovascular disease (subgroup 5). Only the study by Carson, Duff, Poses, et al. (1996) reported data comparing Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct 33 to <36 percent. These studies are described in Evidence Tables 15 and 16. There were no studies addressing patients in subgroup 3, 6, or 7 that met selection criteria for inclusion in this systematic review.

Interventions

Only one of the three studies (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 1998) used epoetin to normalize Hct and study the effects on outcomes. The other two studies (Carson, Duff, Poses, et al., 1996; Kusunoki, Kimura, Nakamura, et al., 1981) did not employ any prospective intervention in their design and used cross-sectional analyses to examine the relationship between Hct and various outcomes of interest.

Patient Populations

For this key question, the patient population of interest was inclusive of patients with or without renal failure. Patient populations were required to fall into at least one of the subgroups predefined in the key question. The two full reports addressing patients with cardiovascular disease included a mixture of patients with characteristics defined by subgroups 1, 2, and 4. Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) specifically focused the study population to include patients with documented ischemic cardiac disease or congestive heart failure. Carson, Duff, Poses, et al. (1996) used a retrospectively defined, heterogeneous, adult cohort of patients and examined the relationship between Hct and outcomes comparing patients with and without cardiovascular disease. In this study, cardiovascular disease meant the presence of at least one of these factors: a history of angina, MI, congestive heart failure, or peripheral vascular disease. When the study selection criteria for patient inclusion were compared in Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) and Carson, Duff, Poses, et al. (1996), Besarab and colleagues seem to have strictly required patients to have had a documented, qualifying cardiac event within the preceding 2 years whereas Carson and colleagues categorized patients with cardiovascular disease if the patient's medical record mentioned a history of at least one of several categories of cardiovascular disease.

Quality of Study Design and Conduct

Table 7. Overview of study quality: Results and conclusions, Part III
StudyNBetter Study QualityWorse Study QualityMethod of Case-Mix Adjustment
Uses Double-Masked DesignCompares Hct >36% with 33-36%Loss to Followup or Missing Data for >10%Potential Bias in Control Group Comparison
Randomized controlled clinical trial
Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 19981,233N/A
Cross-sectional analysis
Carson, Duff, Poses, et al., 19961,958N/A graphic element graphic elementN/AAge; gender; race; cancer in past 5 years; diabetes mellitus; hypertension history; angina pectoris; congestive heart failure; atherosclerosis; cardiovascular disease; cardiopulmonary disease; APS+age score; Charlson score; intraperitoneal, intrathoracic, or aortic procedure; emergency surgery; general anesthesia
Kusunoki, Kimura, Nakamura, et al., 198127N/AN/ANone

N/A = not available; Hct = Hct; APS = acute physiology score.

The approach to evaluating the quality of study design and conduct was described in Chapter 2, Methodology and in Chapter 3, Part I: Results and Conclusions. These same criteria are applied to the three full reports analyzed in Part III of this systematic review, and the descriptive results are displayed in Table 7.

Outcomes

Table 8. Overview of outcomes reported in each study: Results and conclusions, Part III
Author(s) YearSample SizeStudy DesignEfficacy OutcomesTreatment-Related Morbidity
MortalityQuality of LifeHospital UtilizationRBC TransfusionCardiac EventsOtherIncreased Blood PressureVascular Access ThrombosisOther
Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 19981,233Randomized, prospective, open-label trial graphic element graphic element graphic element graphic element graphic element graphic element graphic element
Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al., 19981,233Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Carson, Duff, Poses, et al., 19961,958Cross-sectional analysis graphic element
Kusunoki, Kimura, Nakamura, et al., 198127Cross-sectional analysis graphic element Cerebral blood flow; arterial oxygen content; oxygen delivery

RBC = red blood cell.

The outcomes to be considered in this systematic review were previously described in Chapter 2, Methodology and in Chapter 3, Part I: Results and Conclusions. An overview of outcomes reported in each of the three studies is provided in Table 8.

Evidence Pertaining to Patients Who Have Cardiovascular Disease

Overview

Two studies reported information on the relationship between Hct level above 36 percent and outcomes in patients with cardiovascular disease. Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998; n=1,233) studied a population of hemodialysis patients with documented cardiovascular disease. Carson, Duff, Poses, et al. (1996; n=1,958) provided a retrospective analysis of the relationship between preoperative Hct and postoperative morbidity and mortality and, in particular, the difference in these outcomes for patients with and without cardiovascular comorbidity.

Evidence from Randomized Controlled Clinical Trials

The results of Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. (1998) were reviewed in detail in Part I. For reference here, this study reported that mortality was higher in the group randomized to a normal Hct target compared with that in those randomized to a low Hct target although these results were not statistically significant at the time the trial was halted. Additional post hoc analyses of mortality were reported stating that mortality decreased with increasing Hct. However, interpretation of these analyses is worth some discussion. The theory that providing increased oxygenation through increasing Hct in CRF patients with cardiac disease would decrease cardiac events and mortality is not supported by the results of this study. Although it may be argued that having a normal Hct per se may not be toxic, the results of the intention-to-treat analysis raise concern that some factor experienced by the group of patients randomized to a target Hct of 42 percent may adversely affect mortality. There is a potential for favorable selection factors to bias the results of the cross-sectional analysis such that relatively healthier patients might actually achieve normal Hct levels while less healthy patients do not. Such a bias might make having a normal Hct itself appear beneficial even though it is the underlying health status of the patient that truly accounts for the better outcomes observed.

Evidence from Nonrandomized Controlled Clinical Trials

Carson, Duff, Poses, et al. (1996) conducted a retrospective analysis using chart review on 1,958 adult patients who had undergone surgery and refused to have blood transfusions because of religious preference. The level of preoperative Hct was examined in relation to the primary endpoint of perioperative mortality (death within 30 days of surgery) and a secondary endpoint of mortality or inhospital morbidity within 30 days of surgery.

The authors reported the perioperative mortality, perioperative morbidity/mortality, and the unadjusted relative risks of perioperative morbidity and perioperative morbidity/mortality in the overall patient population stratified by preoperative Hct: 30 to <33, 33 to <36, and >36 percent. These results are summarized in Evidence Table 17. Rates of both perioperative mortality and perioperative morbidity/mortality increased as preoperative Hct decreased. The differences between the Hct >36 and the Hct 33 to <36 percent groups were not statistically significant, but the Hct >36 group did have statistically significant improvements compared with the Hct 30 to <33 percent group.

The authors examined the influence of having cardiovascular disease on perioperative mortality and its relationship to preoperative Hct in two ways. First, a graphic display was reported showing the adjusted odds ratio for perioperative mortality versus preoperative Hct. Two separate lines were compared, one representing those with and the other those without cardiovascular disease. As would be expected, patients with cardiovascular disease generally demonstrated higher odds of perioperative mortality than those patients without cardiovascular disease, and this difference increased as Hct decreased below 30 percent. However, as Hct increased above 30 percent, the two lines converged upon each other and no difference was discernable between the two groups at an Hct of 36 percent. Thus, it would appear from this graph that no difference would be expected at preoperative Hct values above 36 percent. This graph did not provide any tests of statistical significance comparing the two groups of patients.

A second analysis reported in the paper examined the relationship between preoperative Hct and mortality in patients with and without cardiovascular disease and stratified the reported results by the magnitude of the decline in Hct after surgery. These results did not achieve statistical significance, and it must be noted that there was a large amount of missing data on postoperative Hct so this analysis includes only 55.2 percent of the patients.

Evidence Pertaining to Patients Who Have Cerebrovascular Disease

Overview

The available evidence regarding the relationship between Hct and outcomes in patients with cerebrovascular disease was limited to a single study (Kusunoki, Kimura, Nakamura, et al., 1981), and this study reported a cross-sectional analysis of several intermediate outcomes stratified by Hct level.

Evidence from Cross-Sectional Analysis

Kusunoki, Kimura, Nakamura, et al. (1981) studied 27 patients with ischemic cerebrovascular disease (see Evidence Table 16 for study description). Cerebral blood flow was measured, and arterial oxygen content was determined based on calculations using arterial oxygen saturation. From these two measurements, oxygen delivery to the brain was calculated. The relationship between these outcomes and the Hct level was analyzed and results are summarized in Evidence Table 18.

Cerebral blood flow showed a statistically significant inverse correlation with Hct (r=−0.49, p<0.05) and arterial oxygen content was highly correlated with Hct (r=0.91, p<0.001). When these two factors were combined to calculate the oxygen delivery to the cerebral circulation, a U-shaped distribution was observed with the maximum level of oxygen delivery observed at an Hct level of 40 to 45 percent. That is to say that optimal oxygen delivery to the brain was achieved in the Hct range of 40 to 45 percent, and oxygen delivery was actually worse at Hct levels above 45 percent or below 40 percent in this group of patients with ischemic cerebrovascular disease. Statistical significance was reported (p<0.05) for comparisons between Hct 30 to 35 percent and Hct 40 to 45 percent and between Hct 35 to 40 percent and Hct 40 to 45 percent. A direct comparison of statistical significance was not reported comparing Hct 30 to 35 percent with Hct 35 to 40 percent, but the data suggested little difference between these two groups with (mean ± standard error of the mean) 6.35 ± 0.33 compared with 6.71 ± 0.22 ml O2/100g/min oxygen delivery for each group, respectively.

Conclusions

1. What is the effect on health outcomes of maintaining the Hct level above 36 percent versus 30 to 36 percent in the following patient subgroups (regardless of the presence of renal failure): (1) patients who have coronary artery disease, (2) patients who have congestive heart failure, (3) patients who live at high altitude, (4) patients who have arterial occlusive disease, (5) patients who have cerebrovascular disorders, (6) patients who have obstructive lung disease, and (7) patients who are in the adolescent age group?

Patients Who Have Cardiovascular Disease (coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, and/or arterial occlusive disease)

The evidence describing the outcomes of maintaining Hct above 36 percent compared with Hct >30 to <36 percent in patients who have cardiovascular disease is derived from two full reports (Besarab, Bolton, Browne, et al. 1998; Carson, Duff, Poses, et al. 1996). Besarab and colleagues (1998) included only patients on hemodialysis whereas patients in the study by Carson and colleagues (1981) were selected regardless of the presence of CRF. These two studies did not provide strong and consistent evidence of benefit in maintaining Hct above 36 percent in patients with cardiovascular comorbidity.

  • The results of Besarab and colleagues were summarized in detail in Part I of this report. A variety of outcomes were evaluated; however, the primary endpoint analysis for combined mortality and nonfatal MI did not support a benefit from higher target Hct in patients with documented cardiac disease.

  • In contrast, the retrospective analysis by Carson and coworkers noted an association between higher perioperative mortality and lower Hct level, particularly in patients with cardiovascular comorbidity with Hct <30 percent. However, there was no statistically significant difference between patients who had Hct above 36 compared with those who had Hct >33 to <36 percent.

Patients Who Have Cerebrovascular Disorders

A single cross-sectional study (Kusunoki, Kimura, Nakamura, et al., 1981) examined several physiologic measures in patients with cerebrovascular disease without regard to the presence of chronic renal disease. Compared with Hct 30 to 35 percent, this analysis found greater cerebral oxygen delivery associated with Hct levels between 40 and 45 percent, but not between 35 and 40 percent. No interventional study reported on outcomes of raising and maintaining Hct above 36 percent in a population with CRF and cerebrovascular disease.

Other Patients

With regard to other subpopulations of interest, there were no studies that met selection criteria for inclusion in this systematic review for the following subgroups: patients who live at high altitude, patients who have obstructive lung disease, or patients who are in the adolescent age group.

Chapter 4. Future Research

Epoetin offers patients with anemia of CRF the potential to increase Hct to a level considered normal for a healthy individual; yet the benefits and risks of such a management strategy have not been well established in the published literature. A broad spectrum of disease severity and associated comorbidity is represented in the CRF population. Subgroups of this heterogenous population may differ with respect to the potential benefits and adverse effects of using epoetin to maintain Hct above 36 percent.

Evidence of a favorable association between higher Hct and lower LVMI was derived from populations of CRF patients who were not yet on dialysis. In contrast, an RCT found no reduction in cardiac events in hemodialysis patients with documented congestive heart failure or ischemic cardiac disease who were maintained at Hct above 36 percent. A question of interest is whether maintaining higher Hct in patients early in the course of disease to prevent LVH might prove more effective than trying to reverse existing LVH in chronic dialysis patients. The single study that tested this hypothesis is limited by the relatively short duration of followup and uncertainty as to whether the cardiac parameters reported are significant predictors of LVH and clinically evident cardiac events.

Statistically significant improvements have been reported in physiologic measures of exercise performance, physiologic measures of cognitive function, laboratory sleep patterns, and some quality of life measures in small studies of highly selected CRF patients maintained at Hct above 36 percent. In particular, physiologic measures of physical performance obtained using cycle ergometry report statistically significant changes in peak oxygen consumption, peak work rate, and work done. The clinical significance of these favorable changes in outcome measures needs to be established in larger populations of CRF patients.

Methodologic weaknesses inherent in much of the existing literature might produce results that overestimate the magnitude of effect attributed to raising Hct above 36 percent. In particular, the use of a pre/postcontrol design in the absence of double-masking is problematic when looking at outcome measures that depend on patient effort and/or familiarity with the testing instruments used to assess outcome.

Future studies should focus on relatively healthy populations of CRF patients without severe comorbidity. Studies should include large samples and prospectively identify relevant subgroups for stratified analysis in order to understand any differential effects in various groups of CRF patients. Methodologically strong control designs using randomization are preferable to minimize confounding influences. Outcome measures should be carefully selected and well validated to maximize clinical relevance and reliability of findings.

Evidence suggesting improvements in neurophysiologic measures of cognitive function when Hct is raised from a mean of 31.6 percent to a mean of 42.8 percent was derived from a single-arm, unmasked interventional study. However, repeated exposure to the outcome testing situation might produce a training effect resulting in improved test performance regardless of Hct level.

In a similar fashion, pre/poststudies of exercise performance are subject to patient motivation and the effects of physical training and conditioning. A single study controlled for training effect reported that approximately two-thirds of the observed improvement was attributable to physical conditioning and only one-third was attributable to correction of anemia.

Improvement in the relevant scales of a validated quality of life instrument, such as the SF-36, would substantiate the clinical significance of the physiologic measures of cognitive function and exercise performance reported in several small intervention studies. Assessment of quality of life requires well-designed trials to control for potential sources of bias. Relevant design features include double-masking, rigorous protocols for administration of the quality of life instrument, methods for minimizing and handling missing data, and prospective definition of effect sizes that are considered clinically significant.

The pediatric CRF population has specific issues related to growth and development that do not exist in adult CRF populations. If benefits in physical performance, cognitive function, and prevention of organ damage when anemia is eliminated are confirmed in adults, it will be of utmost importance to perform similar studies in children. Outcomes specific to children include growth and school performance. Because there is considerable normal variation in growth and development and many factors may influence these outcomes, randomized trials are preferred to minimize confounding of results. Studies of growth and development would necessitate large samples because of the wide normal variation in these outcomes and because prospective stratification would be useful to investigate the influence of factors such as age, severity of renal disease, and comorbidity.

Evidence Tables

Acronyms and Abbreviations Used in Evidence Tables

ABPM: ambulatory blood pressure monitoring

APLMS: arousing periodic leg movements of sleep

APS+age: aute physiology score + age

AV: arteriovenous

BP: blood pressure

CABG: coronary artery bypass

CAPD: continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis

CCPD: continuous cyclic peritoneal dialysis

CHF: congestive heart failure

CI: confidence interval

CO: cardiac output

CPT: Continuous Performance Task

CRF: chronic renal failure

CVA: cerebrovascular accident

Cz: central electrode

DBP: diastolic blood pressure

DM: diabetes mellitus

EEG: electroencephalogram

enr: enrolled

ERP: event-related potential

ESRD: endstage renal disease

eval: evaluated

Fz: frontal electrode

HCFA: Health Care Financing Administration

Hct: hematocrit

HD: hemodialysis

hosp: hospitalized

HTN: hypertension

HUI: Health Utilities Index

Hx: history

IHD: ischemic heart disease

inc: included

IV: intravenous

KDQ: Kidney Disease Questionnaire

KIC: alpha-keto-isocaproate

KS: Karnofsky scale

Kt/V: A measure of dialysis where K is the dialyzing membrane clearance, t is the time of dialysis delivered in minutes, and V is the volume of distribution

LE: life expectancy

LV: left ventricular

LVD: left ventricular dilatation

LVEDD: left ventricular end-diastolic dimension

LVESD: left ventricular end-systolic dimension

LVH: left ventricular hypertrophy

LVMI: left ventricular mass index

MI: myocardial infarction

mo./mos.: month/months

N: number of patients

NR: not reported

NYHA: New York Heart Association

OR: odds ratio

PCR: protein catabolic rate

PLMS: periodic leg movements of sleep

PSG: polysomnography

pt./pts.: patient/patients

PTCA: percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty

PVD: peripheral vascular disease

Pz: parietal electrode

QOL: quality of life

RBC: red blood cell

RCT: randomized controlled trial

RDI: Respiratory Disorder Index

REM: rapid eye movement

RR: relative risk; risk ratio

SD: standard deviation

SIP: Sickness Impact Profile

TIA: transient ischemic attack

TPRI: total peripheral resistance index

Tx: treatment

UCLA: University of California Los Angeles

USRDS: U.S. Renal Data System

VO2max: Volume of Oxygen

Appendices

Appendix A: Technical Advisory Group, External Reviewers, and Medical Advisory Panel

Technical Advisory Group

  • Joseph W. Eschbach, MD

  • University of Washington

  • Alan E. Lichtin, MD

  • Hematology/Oncology

  • Cleveland Clinic Foundation and Co-Chair, ASH/ASCO Expert Panel on the Use of Erythropoietin

  • Allen R. Nissenson, MD

  • University of California in Los Angeles

  • Earl Steinberg, MD, MPP

  • Covance Health Economics and Outcomes Services, Inc.

Task Order Officer

  • Martin Erlichman, MS

  • Center for Health Care Technology

  • AHRQ

Health Care Financing Administration Liaison

  • John Whyte, MD, MPH

  • Medical Officer

  • HCFA

External Expert Reviewers/Advisors

  • John W. Adamson, MD

  • Blood Research Institute

  • Tom Anderson, MD

  • Division of Hematology/Oncology

  • Medical College of Wisconsin

  • Barbara Alving, MD

  • Director, Division of Blood Diseases and Resources

  • National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute

  • Hanan S. Bell, PhD

  • Independent Consultant; formerly Clinical Policies Analyst/Co-Director

  • American Academy of Family Physicians

  • Allan J. Collins, MD, FACP

  • Associate Professor of Medicine

  • Division of Nephrology, University of Minnesota

  • Helen Danko, MS, RN, CNN

  • Winthrop Hospital, Minneola, New York

  • Peter DeOreo, MD

  • Associate Clinical Professor of Medicine

  • Case Western Reserve University, Division of Nephrology

  • University Hospitals of Cleveland

  • Steve Fishbane, MD

  • Director, Dialysis Services

  • Winthrop University Hospital, Minneola, New York

  • Thomas Golper, MD

  • Professor of Medicine

  • Division of Nephrology, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences

  • David Goodkin, MD

  • Amgen, Inc.

  • Lawrence Goodnough, MD

  • Division of Laboratory Medicine

  • Washington University

  • Paul Kimmel, MD

  • Nephrology Program Director

  • National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases

  • National Institutes of Health

  • Carolyn E. Latham, President

  • American Nephrology Nurses' Association

  • Glenn Ramsey, MD

  • Northwestern Memorial Hospital Blood Bank

  • Mitchell Slavin, PharmD

  • Ortho Biotech, Inc.

  • Alice Thurston, Esq.

  • Patient Advocate

  • American Association of Kidney Patients

  • Neil Powe, MD, MPH, MBA

  • Johns Hopkins University

  • School of Hygiene and Public Health

  • Fernando Valderrabano, MD

  • Chief, Department of Nephrology

  • Hospital General Universitario

  • Gregorio Maranon

  • Madrid, Spain

  • David van Wyck, MD

  • Tucson, Arizona

  • Sandra L. Watkins, MD

  • Department of Pediatrics

  • University of Washington Children's Hospital

  • Jay Wish, MD

  • Coordinator, Patient-based Program of Hemodialysis Services

  • University Hospital, Division of Nephrology, Cleveland, Ohio

Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association Medical Advisory Panel

  • Peter C. Albertsen, MD

  • University of Connecticut Health Center

  • Division of Urology

  • James. O. Armitage, MD

  • Internal Medicine

  • University of Nebraska Medical Center

  • Wade Aubry, MD (Chair)

  • Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association

  • National Medical Consultant

  • J. Lawrence Colley, MD

  • Corporate Medical Director

  • Trigon BlueCross BlueShield

  • Helen Darling, MA

  • Practice Leader, Group Benefits & Health Care

  • Watson Wyatt & Company

  • David M. Eddy, MD, PhD

  • Kaiser Permanente

  • Southern California Region

  • Scientific Advisor for Health Policy and Management

  • Alan M. Garber, MD, PhD

  • Director, PCOR and CHP

  • Stanford University

  • Michael A. Hattwick, MD

  • Woodburn Internal Medicine Associates, Ltd.

  • I. Craig Henderson, MD

  • University of California, San Francisco

  • Professor of Medicine, Chief of Oncology

  • Albert R. Jonsen, PhD

  • University of Washington

  • Department of Medical History and Ethics

  • Peter A. Margolis, MD, PhD

  • Assistant Professor, Department of Pediatrics

  • Clinical Assistant Professor, Department of Epidemiology

  • Children's Primary Care Research Group

  • Barbara J. McNeil, MD, PhD

  • Ridley-Watts Professor and Head of Health Care Policy

  • Harvard Medical School

  • Richard G. Roberts, MD, JD

  • Department of Family Medicine

  • University of Wisconsin School of Medicine

  • Earl P. Steinberg, MD, MPP

  • Covance Health Economics and Outcomes Services, Inc.

  • Clifford Waldman, MD

  • Medical Director

  • Anthem BlueCross & BlueShield

  • Paul J. Wallace, MD

  • Kaiser Permanente Northwest

  • Les Zendle, MD

  • Associate Medical Director

  • Kaiser Permanente Southern California

Appendix B. Data Abstraction Forms: Renal

Patient Population Information

Age (descriptive statistics)
Age subgroup analysis in paper: yes/no
Gender subgroup analysis in paper: yes/no
Race subgroup analysis in paper: yes/no
Total number of patients in analysis
Type of dialysis population: #pre-dialysis, #dialysis (percentages will be automatically calculated cells)
Type of dialysis - # HD, #PD

Patient inclusion exclusion criteria - to be provided to TAG only for information

Treatment information

EPO yes/no
IV iron yes/no
Oral iron yes/no
Androgen yes/no
Transfusion yes/no
Other free text

Pediatric studies:
Nutritional supplementation yes/no [when defined as nutrition given by IV, NGT (nasogastric tube), NJT (nasojejunal tube), G-tube (gastrostomy tube), J-tube (jejunostomy tube)]
Growth hormone yes/no

Group Hematocrit description table

Summary hematocrit value
Hematocrit summary statistic (mean versus median)
SD hematocrit
Range
Number of patients in group

Outcome information

  • Functional Status - issues of various outcome assessment tools used and appropriate
    intermediate outcomes

  • Quality of life - KD QOL etc

  • Survival

  • Blood transfusions - various ways of reporting
    % pts requiring transfusion
    number of transfusions needed (units)

  • Hospitalization - various dimensions of this outcome to consider
    Number of hospital days
    Number of overall hospitalizations
    Number of hospitalizations for a specific problem

  • Treatment related morbidity - rate of new or worsened hypertension, vascular access thrombosis, cardiovascular events, any others? (seizures, etc...)

  • Growth - height, weight, percentile, standard deviation score, head circumference

  • Development - Stanford-Binet score, Bailey score, normal vs. delayed

  • School Performance - within normal limits vs. special needs Regularly attend school - able vs. unable vs. part-time

Appendix C. Acronyms and Abbreviations

ANOVA: analysis of variance

APLMS: arousing periodic leg movements of sleep

CAPD: continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis

CI: confidence interval

CRF: chronic renal failure

CVA: cerebrovascular accident

dCPT: difficult Continuous Performance Task

EEG: electroencephalogram

ERA-EDTA: European Renal Association/European Dialysis and Transplantation Association

ERP: event-related potential

ESRD: endstage renal disease

FDA: Food and Drug Administration

Hb: hemoglobin

Hct: hematocrit

HPLC: high-performance liquid chromatography

HUI: Health Utilities Index

iv: intravenous

KDQ: Kidney Disease Questionnaire

KS: Karnofsky Scale

LVCVI: left ventricular cavity volume index

LVD: left ventricular dilatation

LVH: left ventricular hypertrophy

LVMI: left ventricular mass index

MeSH: Medical Subject Heading

MI: myocardial infarction

NFK-DOQI™: National Kidney Foundation's Dialysis Outcomes Quality Initiative

NHP: National Health Profile

OR: odds ratio

PD: peritoneal dialysis

PLMS: periodic leg movements of sleep

PMMIS: Program Management and Medical Information System

RCT: randomized controlled trial

REM: rapid eye movement

RR: relative risk

sc: subcutaneous

sCPT: simple Continuous Performance Task

SD: standard deviation

SF-36: Short Form 36-Item Health Survey

SIP: Sickness Impact profile

TAG: Technical Advisory Group

TIA: transient ischemic attack

tw: text word

U: Units

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