TABLE 3-8Scenario Results, Excluding the 500 Initial Casesa

Scenario: actionCases Deaths
MeanQ1bQ3bMeanQ1Q3
Baseline1,7501,5271,428523455584
3:SCc828694935211173239
4:SC + PHV10%768653872197168231
5: SC + PHV50%678595750180156206
6: SC + PHV10% + RSC + RMV40%4393904749684107
7: SC + PHV50% + RSC + RMV40%367341394837391
8:SC + PHV10% + RSC + RMV80%2532182763873244
9: SC + PHV50% + RSC + RMV80%203185219332938
10: SC + PHV10% + RSC712152798182152206

PHV, pre-emptive hospital vaccination; RSC, reactive school closure; RMV, reactive mass vaccination.

a

based on 100 simulations.

b

Q1: first quartile; Q3: third quartile.

c

SC, surveillance and containment with vaccination of close contacts.

based on 100 simulations.

Q1: first quartile; Q3: third quartile.

SC, surveillance and containment with vaccination of close contacts.

From: 3, Strategies for Disease Containment

Cover of Ethical and Legal Considerations in Mitigating Pandemic Disease
Ethical and Legal Considerations in Mitigating Pandemic Disease: Workshop Summary.
Institute of Medicine (US) Forum on Microbial Threats.
Washington (DC): National Academies Press (US); 2007.
Copyright © 2007, National Academy of Sciences.

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