TABLE 5-2Potential Impact of Price Increases of 10 Percent, 33 Percent, 50 Percent, and 70 Percent on Tobacco Mortality by World Bank Region, 2000

World Bank RegionSmoking attributable deaths in millionsChange in number of deaths in millions
10% price increase 33% price increase 50% price increase 70% price increase
LowHighLowHighLowHighLowHigh
East Asia and Pacific (percent)173−2.9
(−1.7)
−8.7
(−5.0)
−9.6
(−5.5)
−27.5
(−15.9)
−14.5
(−8.4)
−37.5
(−21.7)
−20.3
(−11.7)
−46.2
(−26.8)
Europe and Central Asia (percent)51−0.9
(−1.7)
−2.6
(−5.1)
−2.8
(−5.6)
−8.1
(−16.0)
−4.3
(−8.5)
−11.2
(−22.0)
−6.0
(−11.8)
−13.8
(−27.2)
Latin America and the Caribbean (percent)40−0.7
(−1.8)
−2.1
(−5.3)
−2.3
(−5.8)
−6.7
(−16.8)
−3.5
(−8.8)
−9.5
(−23.7)
−4.9
(−12.3)
−11.6
(−29.1)
Middle East and North Africa (percent)13−0.2
(−1.7)
−0.7
(−5.2)
−0.8
(−5.8)
−2.2
(−16.6)
−1.2
(−8.7)
−3.1
(−23.2)
−1.6
(−12.2)
−3.8
(−28.5)
South Asia (percent)62−0.9
(−2.4)
−2.6
(−8.6)
−2.9
(−9.5)
−8.5
(−27.7)
−4.4
(−14.3)
−12.5
(−40.6)
−6.2
(−20.1)
−16
(−52)
Sub-Saharan Africa (percent)23−0.4
(−1.6)
−1.1
(−4.9)
−1.3
(−5.4)
−3.7
(−15.9)
−1.9
(−8.2)
−5.5
(−23.6)
−2.7
(−11.5)
−6.6
(−28.5)
Low- and middle-income (percent)362−6.0
(−1.6)
−17.9
(−4.9)
−19.7
(−5.4)
−56.8
(−15.7)
−29.8
(−8.2)
−79.2
(−21.9)
−41.7
(−11.5)
−98.2
(−27.1)
High-income (percent)81−0.6
(−0.8)
−2.6
(−3.2)
−2.1
(−2.6)
−8.5
(−10.6)
−3.2
(−4.0)
−12.2
(−15.1)
−4.5
(−5.6)
−16.2
(−20.0)
World (percent)443−6.6
(−1.5)
−20.5
(−4.6)
−21.8
(−4.9)
−65.3
(−14.7)
−33.0
(−7.5)
−91.5
(−20.7)
−46.2
(−10.4)
−114.3
(−25.8)

SOURCE: Reprinted, with permission, from Jha et al. (2006). Copyright 2006 by the World Bank.

From: 5, Preventing Cancers (and Other Diseases) by Reducing Tobacco Use

Cover of Cancer Control Opportunities in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
Cancer Control Opportunities in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.
Institute of Medicine (US) Committee on Cancer Control in Low- and Middle-Income Countries; Sloan FA, Gelband H, editors.
Washington (DC): National Academies Press (US); 2007.
Copyright © 2007, National Academy of Sciences.

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